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What more must we do?

Sokwanele - Enough is Enough - Zimbabwe
PROMOTING NON-VIOLENT PRINCIPLES TO ACHIEVE DEMOCRACY

Sokwanele : 1 April 2008

Sokwanele enjoys the privilege of being a non-partisan organization committed to achieving democracy through non-violent means. Over the years we have established a broad spectrum of relationships with political parties, civil society and NGOs. Following the harmonised elections we have continuously monitored the situation on the ground through our diverse networks. We have come to our own conclusion as to the final seat count of the House of Assembly results, extracted from both MDC formations and Independent candidates, cross referenced with ZESN findings and the independent Zimbabwe Election Result website (www.zimelectionresults.com).

MDC Tsvangirai – 99
MDC Mutambara – 11 seats
Independent – 1
ZanuPF – 96

(Please note that 3 bi-elections will have to be held following the unfortunate deaths of certain candidates, hence a total of 207 seats in the House of Assembly).

These results clearly show that the opposition coalition now enjoys a majority control of the House of Assembly. However, please be aware that should Mugabe steal the Presidential vote, according to the constitution he would have the power to dissolve the House of Assembly.

Parallel Voter Tabulation (PVT) results have been compared to the “official” Zimbabwe Electoral Commission (ZEC) figures. The “official” results are emanating from the government controlled body at a snail pace and indicate massive discrepancies in certain constituencies, a clear sign Zanu PF is desperately attempting to inflate results in their favour. This is being done to reduce Morgan Tsvangirai’s presidential vote to below the 50% plus 1 result required for him to win the race in round one.

Zanu PF are slowly building overall numbers in the House of Assembly to facilitate inflated Presidential votes for Mugabe. It must be pointed out that should it come to a presidential run off, the combined forces of Morgan Tsvangirai and Simba Makoni would ensure success for the opposition. However, one cannot be certain that Mugabe’s forces have sufficient resources to go to a run off and they may well attempt to rig completely in Mugabe and ZanuPF’s favour in this first round.

At this stage the most blatant discrepancy can be clearly seen in ex-Vice President, Joice Majuru’s Mt Darwin West constituency. She recorded 6071 votes in the PVT results to win back her seat, as compared to the ZEC declared results of 13270. This constitutes inflation of over 100%. In Mashonaland Central, Shamva North constituency, Nicholas Goche polled 4195 votes in the PVT results, but the ZEC declared his win as 10385, more than double the PVT figure.

The delay in the announcement of the official results by ZEC is being strategically planned in order to give the Central Intelligence Organisation the much needed time to manipulate the results. This is blatant rigging at its most iniquitous.

The people of Zimbabwe have spoken and it is now time for Zanu PF, SADC, all other African bodies and the rest of the world to respect and support the will of the people.


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President race - we may have to vote again

Zimbabwe Today

Latest leaked figures in the contest for the top job mean a presidential
run-off

Harare, Zimbabwe, Monday, March 31, 4.30 pm

Two different sources of information have agreed this afternoon that the
contest for the next President of Zimbabwe, known already to be a
two-horse-race between Tsvangirai and Mugabe, is so close that unless the
figures are changed by Zanu-PF's vote riggers, there will be a run-off vote.

Both the independent organisation Crisis In Zimbabwe Coalition and my source
within the Zimbabwe Electoral Commission (ZEC) agree with the following
figures:

Tsvangirai 48 per cent

Mugabe 44 per cent

Under the constitution, this means there will have to be a two-man run-off
vote.

While observers here try to decide what this will mean in the coming days,
one successful parliamentary candidate has allowed his celebration of
victory to get slightly out of hand.

Eliot Manyika, who is the Zanu-PF National Commissar and a Minister Without
Portolio, won in Mashonaland East. He and his supporters decided that this
was an occasion for singing and dancing, and the song they chose was a
composition by Manyika himself, who claims to be a musician.

The Minister noticed a young lad wearing a t-short supporting Tsvangirai,
and stopped the celebration to tell the boy to go away. A quarrel developed,
there was some pushing and shoving, and then the boy ran for it. Manyika,
unable to run as fast as the boy, drew a pistol and shot him in the right
leg. Then he was driven away by his supporters.

There is no news of the boy's condition. Police are believed to have
interviewed the Minister, but not arrested him.

I called Manyika this afternoon and asked him to comment on the incident. He
said: "Leave me alone. Do you want me to shoot you instead?"

I have decided to steer clear of the Minister for a few days.

Posted on Monday, 31 March 2008 at 15:53


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Heading for disaster in the country

The Zimbabwean

Monday, 31 March 2008 15:26

Global Zimbabwe received the following information: Forum-USA has

CIO informant says meetings are taking place to determine the exact figures
that must be announced. This is no longer a question of how many votes were
tallied.

ZANUPF will be given over 100 seats
MDC (Tsvangirai) will be allocated 93 seats Rest will be shared among Makoni
and Mutambara

CIO is now waiting for people to go sleep s they can announce the results

Tomorrow's Herald (Tuesday) is going to publish that Mugabe has won the
elections.

The army has now been deployed around the country at full alert and with
orders to deal ruthlessly with any protests.

Waiting for ZEC results is now fruitless exercise.

Way forward?? - Nicholas Nickson Mada


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All Calm in Zimbabwe Before The Storm

Huffington Post

Michealene Cristini Risley
Posted March 31, 2008 | 06:54 PM (EST)

The calm before the storm is a frighteningly familiar feeling for me. As a
Midwest gal born and raised, I know that feeling down to my bones. It is the
eerily quiet time period before a tornado touches down, before the chaos
hits, before destruction visits. Right before that touchdown, the air is
clear and crisp, there is an unnatural stillness. The squirrels have stopped
playing hide and seek amongst the branches and the birds have been silenced.
For those of us hiding in basements, our eyes glued to the television, we
are enveloped in anxiety waiting for information on where the tornado will
touch down.

Zimbabwe is in this place right now, thirteen million people holding their
collective breathe, waiting for the results of the presidential election.
The longer the wait, the more that anxiety spreads like a pre-cursor to
blood-shed across the country. The only response to the collective waiting
has been silence and more silence. I spoke to a friend in Borrowdale earlier
today, she said "Everyone has been off the streets today. All of us are
quiet and calm, but we know that must stay indoors and wait for the
results."

There are people around the world holding their breath with you,
Zimbabweans. You are not alone. There are many people everywhere committed
to democracy that are fearful that you will not sit quietly through another
rigged election. All of us are fearful of increased violence in a country
that has been decimated by poor leadership.

On Sunday, I heard reports that people were celebrating in the streets. In
fact, one journalist, Jan Raath wrote this for The Times, (UK) "We are on
the knife edge now. There is little doubt in the minds of a very large slice
of the population that Robert Mugabe was dealt a severe blow on Saturday.
They laughed in the voting queues about how they were going to skewer the
rooster (Mr. Mugabe) and roast him. They cast their votes and went home to
await the result. The slack Sunday morning was interrupted repeatedly by
cars hooting long and loud, with young men whistling and waving wide open
palms. One crowd was singing: "Saddam is gone, and now it is Bob's turn."

But is it really Bob's turn? As Drew Barrymore voice rings in my ears from
the movie ET I can hear her say, "What's happening?" And I wish I knew. One
interesting aspect of this election is that Mugabe had agreed in advance to
allow local districts to count and post results on site. To me this seems to
make it harder to rig the elections district by district. On
www.Zimbabwemetro.com, one third of the vote counted puts Mugabe in second
place, far behind Morgan Tsvangirai. So what is taking so long to get to the
final results?

It has been over 48 hours since the polling sites have closed. Most people
that I spoke with in Zimbabwe could care less which candidate gets in, as
long as it is not President Robert Mugabe. One of three things will happen.
The first is that Mugabe will state that there is a TIE and an election run
off needs to happen. The second scenario is that he will give up his post,
just after collects all of "his" money and exits Zimbabwe with his core
alliance.

The third scenario, and the one that terrifies me the most, is Mugabe
rigging the election and declaring his 6th term in office. No one can afford
this scenario. Another sources in Zimbabwe said that tomorrow Mugabe has a
planned meeting with the Army General and the head of the Police force. It
scares me that this may happen, and would be devastating to Zimbabwe. Then
again, I can't even begin to get inside the mind of Robert Mugabe. So I like
the rest of the world, must wait.


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Zimbabwe nickel mine shares soar on hopes of Mugabe defeat

The Times
April 1, 2008

Robert Lindsay
Investors in Mwana Africa, which owns a big nickel mine in Zimbabwe, were
gambling yesterday on President Mugabe suffering an electoral defeat,
sending the company’s shares soaring 8p to 41p. The company’s Bindura nickel
mine is productive, but it is valued at zero in Mwana’s share price amid the
country’s economic chaos, runaway inflation and government regulation that
prevent it making a profit on nickel sales.

Central African Gold, which has a mine in Zimbabwe, closed up 1p at 33p.
Aquarius Platinum also has a mine in Zimbabwe, but it ended the day down 4p
at 745p.

Hornby, the maker of model trains, came off the rails somewhat, falling 16p
to 189p as it said that demand in Britain had slumped in the past few
weeks, while sales to Europe had been hit by delays in receiving products
from the Far East. Dresdner Kleinwort cut its target price from 300p to
214p.

Fortune Oil jumped 0.96p to 8.5p after it bought a gas distribution business
in Xinyang, China, and had had its coal bed methane resource in China
independently valued at $184 million (93 million).

Victoria Oil & Gas rose 9p to 29p after it said that Russian authorities
were expected to allow it to register a discovery at its Siberian gas
project at West Medvezhye, which should allow it to move from exploration to
production. It also announced first recoverable reserves.

Camec closed up 4p at 54p after Credit Suisse cut its target price to 120p
but retained a “buy”, saying that the rising price of cobalt should support
it.

Heritage Oil, a producer in Russia and Oman and an explorer in Africa and
Iraq, rose to 298p from its 267p price after switching its listing from the
Toronto stock exchange.

Eros International, the Bollywood film group, rose 12p to 307p, as it
signed a series of big television syndication deals


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Slight lead for opposition in Zimbabwe results

HARARE, April 1 (AFP)

Zimbabwe's opposition Movement for Democratic Change maintained a slight
lead late Monday over President Robert Mugabe's ruling ZANU-PF as results
trickled in from weekend general elections.

With 89 of the 210 parliamentary seats so far declared, the MDC had won 46
while the Zimbabwe African National Union - Patriotic Front was trailing
slightly with 43, the Zimbabwe Electoral Commission announced to reporters.

The two sides had been at level-pegging after each of the first four
announcements released Monday but the MDC pulled ahead with the fifth set of
declarations by the electoral commission.

One notable early result saw Mugabe's outgoing justice minister Patrick
Chinamasa beaten in the rural eastern constituency of Makoni Central.

A second cabinet member, Chen Chimutengwende, also lost his seat in Mazowe
central, a rural constituency near Harare.

Those who retained their seat included Vice President Joyce Mujuru.

As well as choosing lawmakers, voters went to the polls on Saturday to
choose a president and local councillors.

The relatively slow pace of announcements has prompted the opposition to
accuse the commission of deliberately sitting on the results in a bid to fix
the election in favour of Mugabe, who has ruled since independence from
Britain in 1980.


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Uncharted water

www.cathybuckle.com

Sunday 30th March 2008

Dear Family and Friends,
We finally arrived at the March 29th elections in typical Zimbabwean
splendour. It was a glorious day with a clear, bright blue sky, a warm sun
and everywhere an overwhelmingly positive feeling. The mood was one of
anticipation and relief that at last this momentous day had arrived and it
would surely mark the turning point and define the future of Zimbabwe.

Voting started with long queues at a few polling stations in my home area
but nothing even remotely similar to the elections of 2002 and 2005 when we
had waited for ten or more hours to vote. This time people waited for short
periods and by mid day the queues had reduced considerably. The actual
voting process was efficient and streamlined and many polling stations were
completely deserted by early afternoon - hours before the close of the
election.

At 7am on the 30th March, 12 hours after polling stations had closed and
counting had been underway, there was still no official information or any
election results.

By 11 am, 16 hours into the counting process numerous phone calls had come
in from excited, exhausted people telling of major opposition wins but still
no official announcements were forthcoming. On the government controlled ZBC
television there were no analysts, commentators or even news stories of
Zimbabwe's most crucial election. Finally at midday a short announcement was
made by the Zimbabwe Electoral Commission. They said results were being
collated and verified and would be announced in "due course."

As I write this letter the polls have been closed and counting has been
underway for over 27 hours and still not a single official result from even
one constituency has been announced. Tallying results publicly displayed at
individual polling stations, the MDC have declared that they have a strong
advantage. British Foreign Secretary Lord Malloch Brown has said that it is
"quite likely that Mr Mugabe has lost the election" and Pan African Election
Observers are expressing growing concern at the lack of official results.

As each hour passes without any official results, anxiety and suspicions are
growing. We are in uncharted water. Never before has there been a complete
media blackout after an election. We can do nothing but hope and pray that
somehow we will emerge from this with a true and honest reflection of the
will of the people. Perhaps by the time you read this letter the facts will
be known, I hope so.
Until next time, love cathy.


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Is Mugabe about to commit fraud?

The Zimbabwean

Monday, 31 March 2008 12:59
I WRITE this piece reluctantly. I am not sure I can add anything that
would make a difference to the fraud that is about to be committed by Robert
Mugabe and his thugs in Zimbabwe, writes Xolela Mangcu in The Weekender,
Johannesburg.

Yes, I am presumptuous enough to think what I and many of my
colleagues wrote made a difference to what happened in Polokwane. At the
very least we raised our voices, and there was still a political party
willing to stand up to its own leader.

But sometimes I just think Zimbabweans allowed Mugabe too long a
reign. The arguments were the same as the ones advanced for a Mbeki third
term — uncle Bob was Zimbabwe’s philosopher king. We even sent a delegation
that came back praising one of their elections — despite the clear violence
that Mugabe’s thugs used against his opponents. Already there are
allegations that the ruling party has printed millions of extra ballot
papers. As an MDC spokesperson put it, this election is not going to be lost
by beating up, locking up and even killing opponents. It is going to be lost
through the computer.

I thought the Zuma camp were just being difficult when they insisted
on a manual count of the ballots at Polokwane. They knew better than the
Zimbabweans how to stop dictators dead in their tracks.

We must bear a great deal of responsibility: with the support of our
government Zimbabwe became the most tragic example of how racial nationalism
can literally bring a country to its knees, and its monstrous leader can
take a bow to thunderous applause. Sheer madness, if you ask me. But true
nonetheless. I have no wise words for Zimbabwe, just a prayer.

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