The ZIMBABWE Situation Our thoughts and prayers are with Zimbabwe
- may peace, truth and justice prevail.

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Zimbabwe Standard

      42 killed in train crash
      By Langton Makwenda

      FORTY-TWO people were killed in the early hours of yesterday morning
after two trains crashed head-on near the coal mining town of Hwange, in an
accident that exposed the general decay at a parastatal that has been run
down by some corrupt administrators and an uncaring government over the
years.

      At the time of going to press last night, there were fears that the
death toll could rise as 64 people, most of them critically injured, were
battling for their lives at the Wankie Colliery hospital.

      The accident which occurred at around 3 am about six kilometres from
the Dete railway station, when a south bound freight train collided with a
passenger carrier, left the small mining town of Hwange resembling a funeral
parlour as hundreds milled around the hospital searching for their
relatives.

      Police spokesman, Andrew Phiri said last night: "We understand that
about 42 people died but there are fears that many more may have perished.
Both drivers of the trains and their assistants have also perished in the
accident," he said.

      Rescue operations were still in progress by late yesterday and the
medical staff at Wankie Colliery Hospital where the victims were being
detained were working around the clock to save lives.

      NRZ sources who talked to The Standard last night said the accident
exposed the decay of an ill-equipped and debt ridden parastatal many of
whose technicians had sought greener pastures in the UK and South Africa.

      They said the NRZ which used to be the preferred mode of transport in
the early 80s was now a pale shadow of its former self, ridden as it is with
corruption and maladministration against the background of a non-existent
government financial support system.

      "The story of NRZ is a very sad one. The parastatal which was a source
of pride a few years ago, has been run down by some corrupt administrators,
some of them known Zanu PF cronies, to the point of it becoming a health
hazard. People are not even aware that the trains are now potential killing
machines due to the shortage of spares and the collapse of the central
control system which guides trains the world over," said the source adding
"this was a disaster waiting to happen".

      He further added: " In a normal set up, trains can derail for some
reason or other but they can never collide head on. The reason why railways
have signal systems is to ensure that they don't collide. What this tragic
accident simply did was to expose what we have known for some years now-that
NRZ has virtually collapsed," said one of the workers.

      Another said: "While the railways used to boast of a modern signalling
system which was centrally controlled, this has collapsed. Now, sadly, NRZ
trains move on paper orders. At each station, train drivers go either to a
station or yard master to get a paper order granting them permission to move
to the next station. Suppose the yard master is drunk or sick, what
happens?"

      Yet another NRZ source said last night: "It was clear that accidents
of this nature could be avoided if corrective measurers were put in place.
As for this particular one, how could officials give the go ahead for a
train laden with petrol to go on the same track as a passenger train full of
people? Heads must surely roll because this shows neglience on the part of
the officials," he said.

      Two weeks ago, workers at the NRZ signalled their intention to go on
industrial action over low wages and poor working conditions.

      "While I cannot link this to the mix up of failing to warn train
drivers correctly, it should be noted that there is a lot of disgruntlement
in the parastatal. The time is long past when workers used to give their
best to the parastatal," said a source.

      Of late, the NRZ trains have been derailing at an alarming rate. This
accident is the fourth in the last four months alone.

      Another goods train derailed in Harare, although the details were not
clear at the time of going to print.

      Insp Phiri confirmed the accident had happened.

      "It's true that there has been a derailment but I am sorry to say the
details are not clear at the moment," he said.

      These accidents become the second railway disaster inside three weeks.
Only three weeks ago, a goods train and a bus collided in the high density
suburb of Kambuzuma resulting in the deaths of four people.

      In 2000, in the Dete area again, there was a derailment in which 16
people perished.
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Zimbabwe Standard

      Tsvangirai says masses must organise themselves
      By Chengetai Zvauya

      MORGAN Tsvangirai, the MDC president, has refused to attach the tag of
martyr to his neck as pressure piles upon him to lead despondent Zimbabweans
in mass action to remove the Zanu PF regime.

      Tsvangirai yesterday told The Standard that it was up to the people to
organise themselves first before his party could take any meaningful action
to remove the increasingly autocratic government of President Mugabe.

      Admitting that he was under tremendous pressure to organise some form
of mass action, Tsvangirai said criticism levelled against him mainly in the
independent press, had not been justified.

      "The calls for mass action are a sign of desperation but it is not
like going for a picnic. We are leading at the front but we do not want
something which is uncoordinated and unstructured. I am not the commander of
an army, I am only a leader of an opposition party. The Zimbabwean crisis is
not a Tsvangirai issue but the concern of all Zimbabweans. People must
organise themselves to reclaim their power. When the people are ready to
act, they will do so and we will back them up," Tsvangirai said.

      He added: "What people must understand is that we are in a struggle
which must be long and which cannot be accomplished 10 months after the
disputed elections. People do not learn from their history. How long did it
take us to execute the liberation struggle against the Ian Smith regime? You
can't just say mass action now, mass action now. It won't work.

      "The economic crisis that the country is going through was not brought
about by the MDC but by Zanu PF and I don't know what Tsvangirai can do
about it. The issue here is about the legitimacy of the Mugabe regime which
has entrenched itself and people need to understand that you just don't wake
up and say we are on a mass action."

      Tsvangirai who goes to court tomorrow to face treason charges,
together with Welshman Ncube, the MDC secretary-general and Renson Gasela,
the shadow secretary of agriculture, said people were expecting too much of
him.

      "The issue is not about individuals but collective action. When people
say Tsvangirai must lead them in mass action, it doesn't help anyone. It is
a sustained programme which must be coordinated if it is to succeed. It is a
shame that people say we don't have martyrs when we already have 150 people
who were killed in politically motivated violence. Munoda ku-ti ndife here
kuti mugutsikane kuti Tsvangirai anoda kukutungamirai. Some of you reporters
practise 'desktop journalism', where you speak of mass action while you are
safe behind your computers. Some of the criticism is frankly not justified."

      The MDC leader has, in recent times, come under fire from thousands of
Zimbabweans and even his party's supporters who have accused him of taking a
soft stance against Mugabe in the face of the crippling economic crisis.
They say the time is now ripe to take on the Zanu PF government head on.

      Meanwhile, the MDC national executive council met yesterday in Harare
to discuss, amongst many other issues, mass action.

      Paul Themba Nyathi, the MDC spokesman said a number of the executive
members felt that the party should be prepared to engage in mass action.

      Added Nyathi: "The economic situation gripping the nation is such that
Zimbabweans should brace themselves for a strategy of national survival
which will involve mass stayaways. The MDC will mobilise the people of
Zimbabwe to take action against the illegitimate government. It will in due
course announce the new course of action.

      "At the meeting, we also discussed the Kuwadzana by-election whose
delay represents the flouting of the constitution. The Speaker should have
informed the president 14 days after the seat was declared vacant and by now
the election date could have been set.

      "As far as the distortion of the voter's roll in Kuwadzana is
concerned, we will consult with our lawyers and soon announce a form of
action," Nyathi said.
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Zimbabwe Standard

      Chiefs eat cake with Mugabe
      By Walter Marwizi

      AS the nation grapples with hardships characterised by acute food
shortages and skyrocketing prices of commodities, Zimbabwe's chiefs last
week blew millions of dollars in Bulawayo where President Mugabe promised
them vehicles that could cost the taxpayers up to $4 billion, The Standard
can reveal.

      The 266 chiefs who helped Mugabe win the controversial presidential
election by shutting out MDC campaign teams from their areas, were booked at
the Rainbow Hotel together with their aides, from Wednesday to Friday, while
they were attending an annual meeting of the Zimbabwe Council of Chiefs.

      Rainbow is one of the most prestigious hotels in Bulawayo where a
single bed and breakfast costs $16 500 with lunch and dinner going for $9
000. Unimpressed Bulawayo residents told The Standard that they were
surprised that the custodians of traditional culture were prepared to blow
millions of dollars at an exotic hotel at a time when their subjects were
starving in the rural areas.

      "Its a clear case of misplaced priorities. How can you have chiefs
leaving their people starving in the rural areas and coming to wine and dine
in the city? From the way they conducted their business, it just shows that
chiefs have joined the gravy train," said Thabani Ngwenya, who sells
cigarettes close to the hotel, along Robert Mugabe way.

      At the meeting, the chiefs who demanded, telephones and stockpiles of
maize at their homesteads, fell over each other to praise Mugabe.

      Said Chief Serima of Gutu to a round of applause; "Va Mugabe, rambai
muchitonga kusvika madhongi amera nyanga."

      The chiefs, who implored Mugabe not to retire, pledged to the
president a cow from each of the country's nine provinces as a way of
congratulating him for winning last year's presidential elections.

      They also pledged two beasts for the First Lady Grace Mugabe in
recognition of the support she gave to her husband during the campaign
period.

      Addressing the chiefs, Mugabe promised that they would each get a
vehicle as per their request and would also have their allowances reviewed.

      "We shall defend you, enhance your functions and we are happy that you
refused to be deviated from the correct way of protecting your functions.
There is a need to review your allowances, and even those who work in
factories, their welfare is being taken care of. We have not put a full stop
to an increase in your allowances, a comma maybe. We have agreed that you be
assisted in getting transport and the modalities on this are being worked
out. It will not be a problem to get 266 vehicles," said Mugabe.

      On the market, a brand new pick up truck costs not less that $15 000
000.

      Mugabe also took the chance to announce that 90% of the chief's
homesteads had been electrified.

      Mugabe started wooing chiefs and traditional leaders to thwart the
expansion of the opposition MDC's support base into the rural areas just
before the June 2000 parliamentary elections.

      Chiefs, who were not on the government payroll until the year 2000,
have had periodic reviews of their salaries and living allowances in return
for ensuring that the MDC does not establish support bases in areas under
their authority.

      This is reminiscent of the strategies Ian Smith used to woo the
support of the chiefs in the then Rhodesia. How history repeats itself!

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Zimbabwe Standard

      Gvt meddling in Church matters-Ncube
      By our own Staff

      ARCHBISHOP Pius Ncube, the outspoken clergyman of the Roman Catholic
Church, this week accused the government of planting its agents within the
church so as to divide it along political lines.

      Refuting reports carried out in the state-run media alleging that
there had emerged a great rift within the church as a result of his
perceived political activities, Ncube challenged the government to seek ways
of halting the suffering of the people rather than dedicating its energy
towards meddling in religious matters.

      Ncube said: "There is no division within the Catholic Church and we
remain focused on breaking the silence."

      Churches have often been accused of being silent over government
excesses.

      Ncube further stated: "They (the government) have planted state agents
in the church in an attempt to divide us, yet we as church leaders meet
every two months to discuss matters of the church."

      Ncube said constant reports in the state media that the church was
divided were nonsense and that the notion of political involvement was part
of everyone's life.

      Church leaders in Bulawayo have held a series of meetings in the past
two weeks where they resolved to take a stand against the escalating levels
of political repression and civil intimidation. The clergy roundly called
for a return to the rule of law and order.

      The meetings held within different congregations, saw hundreds of
Christians from different denominations conducting a series of prayers for
the nation.

      Pastor Ray Motsi of the Baptist church, told The Standard that the
church in Bulawayo had taken a stand on the mishaps affecting the people and
was challenging the government to address the plight of the people.

      "The church has the right to tell the people the truth, because we are
the critical agents of the society and are responsible for the welfare of
the people and even the government," said Motsi.

      "The church has not been quiet by choice. But because of the present
laws which have refuted the voices of decency, we were gagged."
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Zimbabwe Standard

      Govt intransigent over water
      By our own Staff

      AS Zanu PF intensifies efforts to incapacitate Harare executive mayor
Elias Mudzuri, it has emerged that the government has refused to grant the
opposition-led city council borrowing powers for the sake of a crucial $6,5
billion water treatment plant, among other projects.

      With the water situation getting worse by the day, Council required
the money so as to do an upgrade of the Morton Jeffrey water works and the
sewerage system.

      Mudzuri confirmed to The Standard that the ministry of local
government had failed to grant them borrowing powers for the crucial
projects.

      "The minister knows quite well that there is a pending water shortage
and it is not surprising that he does not want to help us get the money.
What he wants to do is to point fingers at us when there is a crisis,'' said
Mudzuri.

      He added: "We are in a crisis now in terms of the water situation and
we need a new water treatment plant for the city considering that the
population is a fast-growing one.''

      Currently, Harare is at a consumption level of 720 million litres a
day while its production capacity stands at around 550 million litres. The
situation translates into a shortfall of 170 million litres of water needed
for daily use in both the domestic and industrial sectors.

      Ironically, past councils led by Solomon Tawengwa, and the commission
led by Elijah Chanakira, both Zanu PF apologists, were given borrowing
powers by the same ministry so as to obtain funding for capital projects.

      Mudzuri said without the approval of government, the Council could not
borrow money from financial institutions.

      Last week, Mudzuri announced that the city was to introduce water
rationing for Harare and its dormitory towns of Chitungwiza, Norton, Ruwa,
and Epworth. The rationing is likely to start in March.
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Zimbabwe Standard

      Starving villagers blast government
      By Henry Makiwa

      STARVING villagers in Mt Darwin's Matope area, a Zanu PF stronghold,
this week condemned the government for reneging on its promise to provide
enough relief aid in the face of an imminent famine.

      The despondent folk of Chisora village expressed deep-seated despair
over their livelihood in the face of yet another drought in the coming
season.

      Said Amos Chinomhona, the village headman: "We are dying of hunger in
broad daylight and the government is doing nothing at all to ensure our
survival."

      Chinomhona said the government's relief efforts were so meagre that
were it not for the assistance of the World Vision, the United Nations World
Food Programme and donor non-governmental organisations (NGOs), the
situation would have been catastrophic.

      Chinomhona's sentiments were echoed by Todd Katsande, the ward 24
councillor, who expressed dissatisfaction with the unavailability of staple
maize.

      Meanwhile, the United Nations Children's Fund (Unicef) has come to the
rescue of at least 40 000 children in Mt Darwin by providing a supplementary
feeding programme for children under five.

      Unicef said similar programmes are being run in six other districts
where children subsist on a thin yellow porridge daily.

      The porridge, known as Unimix, is a special blend of peanut butter,
corn meal, soya beans and micro-vitamins and it contains a third of the
children's daily requirement of nutrients.
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Zimbabwe Standard

      Police warned against torture
      By Henry Makiwa

      THE Human Rights Trust of Southern Africa (SAHRIT), has warned the
police against committing acts of torture against suspects as they will risk
international trial in the future.

      Philliat Matsheza, the executive director of SAHRIT, this week
expressed concern over the escalating levels of politically-motivated cases
of torture perpetrated by law enforcement officials.

      Matsheza said: "Torture carried out by police and state officials is a
serious crime and ranks on the same level as other international crimes such
as genocide. We have noted with concern the escalating occurrences in cases
of torture of suspects in police custody.

      "If things continue like this, we may see a repeat of what was
happening in Latin America in the 1970s," he said before drawing
similarities with the case of Augusto Pinochet, the former Chilean dictator
who was convicted of human rights abuses.

      SAHRIT monitors the state of human rights within the Southern African
region and frequently trains police within the Southern Africa Development
Community bloc on the international regulations governing law enforcement.

      "We carried out a three-year training programme for the police from
1998 to 2001, and it is regrettable from what we have noted that the police
do not seem to have improved their conduct. Instead, the level of
police-perpetrated acts of violence and torture seem to have increased due
to the weakening fabric of the rule of law, state abuse of the people's
rights and political polarisation, " Matsheza said.

      "Perpetrators of tor-ture within the police force are, however, warned
that their acts are recorded and they risk conviction on one unfortunate day
in the near future."

      Matsheza's statement comes hard on the heels of the alleged torture of
MDC parliamentarian, Job Sikhala, while in police custody last month.
Sikhala and four others have been charged with burning a Zupco bus in
Harare.

      Said Matsheza: "Zimbabweans are yet to fully utilise the international
human rights mechanisms to report cases of official torture to the United
Nations (UN) Committee on Human Rights. However, according to UN and African
Unity conventions, a violator of human rights is subject to civil arrest
anywhere across the world.

      "The police should be wary and avoid being used by their superiors
because torture cases stand by the individual perpetrator."

      Meanwhile, the Zimbabwe Human Rights NGO Forum, recently published a
damning report which held the Zimbabwean government accountable for cases of
political violence.

      In its report entitled: Are They Accountable?-Examining alleged
violators and their violations, Pre and Post Presidential Election March
2002, the human rights watchdog noted the prevalent occurrences of organised
violence of political origin in Zimbabwe.

      It recorded that at least 900 cases of political violence were carried
out in the year 2002, the majority of which were perpetrated against
opposition supporters.
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Zimbabwe Standard


      'Parliamentary committee's rescue plan futile'
      Kumbirai Mafunda

      ECONOMIC analysts have described as futile the last minute attempts by
the parliamentary portfolio committee on foreign affairs, industry and
international trade to craft a "rescue plan" for the economy which the
parliamentarians watched when the country was degenerating into an economic
abyss.

      Led by Philip Chiyangwa, the Zanu PF member of parliament for
Chinhoyi, the committe recently announced in a statement that it will start
taking suggestions and ideas from various stakeholders in Harare on Tuesday.

      The committee also comprises MDC's shadow minister of foreign affairs
Moses Mzila-Ndlovu, Willas Madzimure, Zanu PF's Ambrose Mutinhiri and
Lazarus Dokora.

      However, economic commentators say it is a case of too little too late
as irreparable damage has already been done to the economy which is in the
intensive care.

      "The effectiveness of those hearings is questionable. In fact, they
are a waste of time and effort. They will hear those concerns but to
implement them is the problem. The person who gives the nod is President
Mugabe and his politburo. This reminds us of the Simba Makoni who had a
sound Millenium and Economic Recovery Programme but later lost his job,"
said Witness Chinyama, an analyst with Kingdom Financial Holdings.

      Zimbabwe is entrenched in its fourth year of economic recession and
political turmoil which have largely been attributed to President Robert
Mugabe's 23-year rule during which he has ruined the country.

      One committee member who refused identity questioned the late timing
in consulting stakeholders. "Why start now when the crush has already taken
place? You debate and debate and at the end of the day nothing is
implemented."

      Year- on-year inflation soared to 198,9% as the hyperinflationary
trend reached unprecedented levels in Zimbabwean history.

      Government has rebuffed rationale and constructive criticisms at the
expense of political expediency. But of late, sanity seems to be creeping
into some government ministers' heads, given the gravity of the precipitous
economic haemorrhage.

      "There is now an intention to rationalise the land reform and economic
reforms. All it shows is that government is making a u-turn from pursuing
suicidal policies which are detrimental to the economy," said one
commentator.

      But it remains to be seen whether words will be translated into
concrete action.
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Zimbabwe Standard

      Prospects for 2003 agricultural season
      BY Rongai Chizema Intermarket Research

      ZIMBABWE has an agro-based economy, hence the significance of the
agricultural sector in the economy's development. According to the Reserve
Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ) statistics, agriculture accounts for 15,9% of Gross
Domestic Product (GDP), an average of 40% to export earnings and 26,3% of
formal employment.

      Performance of the sector also has a direct bearing on manufacturing
sector output, accounting for at least 60% of the sector's input
requirements given strong backward and forward linkages. The agricultural
sector has recently gone through radical transformation through land reform,
making available at least 11 million hectares of former commercial
agricultural land to indigenous farmers. The 2003, national budget
prioritised the sector as an anchor for the turnaround of the economy.

      Recent performance

      The sector's performance has recently come under threat owing to
drought, which saw the sector shrinking by 20,8% in 2002, necessitating
imports in excess of 1,5 million tonnes of cereal to cover to feed 6,7
million people. There was a reverse in the sector's growth in 2001 after
averaging 5% per annum in the five years to the year 2000. The sector still
has to ward off the transitional costs of land reforms, which will take some
time to absorb. Prospects for the sector's performance this year have been
hampered by the unfolding drought, and escalating costs of inputs which have
severely compromised cropping arrangements.

      Outlook for 2002-2003 season

      According to the SADC Regional Early Warning Unit, by early November
Zimbabwe had received more than 80% of normal rainfall following significant
and well distributed rains since late October. However as the rainy season
progresses, signs of drought have emerged.

      In the first half of 2002-2003 rainy season moderate to poor rainfall
was received in most parts of the country. According to the FEWSNET Report
for the season to 16 December, rainfall received countrywide during the
period October to December has ranged from 40 to 60% of normal. Hot and dry
weather was recorded throughout the country during the second half of
November and the first week of December, resulting in the wilting of the
early crop.

      Severe crop wilting has been recorded in the districts of Chivi, with
30% of the maize crop planted in October reaching permanent wilting, casting
doubts on the potential yields from these regions. These developments point
to the effects of the moderate El Nino phenomenon which had been projected
to take effect during the last quarter of 2002 and early 2003.

      The current drought signals have also been alluded to by the SADC
Drought Monitoring Centre's report for the period October to March 2003. The
centre submitted that the northern part of the SADC region is expected to
receive normal to above normal rainfall for the period October to December
2002, while the rest (Zimbabwe included) of the region is likely to
experience normal to below normal rainfall. During the period January to
March 2003, the Centre reported that there were high possibilities of normal
conditions across much of Southern Africa. However, there is a chance of the
rainfall sliding into the below normal category over the southern part of
the region. The countries to be affected are Zimbabwe, Botswana, Southern
Zambia, Southern Malawi, Central and southern Mozambique, Southern Namibia
and much of South Africa.

      The period from October to December 2002 had a high possibility of
normal rainfall (40%) for the Northern part of Zimbabwe. However, for
Southern Zimbabwe, there was a 35% chance of below normal rainfall this
season in comparison with the 25% chance of the same rainfall pattern in the
Northern region of the country. This rainfall pattern has been proved by the
inconsistent rainfall received by most parts of the country.

      Land utilisation

      Land preparation and planting during the current season was
constrained by state tillage bottlenecks and shortages of essential inputs
such as seed and fertiliser. High input costs, particularly for maize seed
whose prices have risen by 200%, have resulted in significant cost
escalations for newly resettled farmers.

      The country has experienced a persistent shortage of inputs,
particularly seed and fertiliser. As a result, most farmers had to plant
without any basal fertiliser. This, together with the erratic pattern of
rainfall and the uncertainty surrounding land redistribution, is likely to
see the country harvesting insufficient grain this season.

      Uptake for A2 plots has been below 50% at most, casting doubts on the
agricultural sector's capacity to expand this season. The agriculture
sector's financing woes have been worsened by confidence problems, which
have seen the Agribills floated through Syfrets Merchant raising $7,2
billion against a target of $25 billion. The facility would have lessened
government's financing requirements for agriculture, hence the outcome may
exert pressure on the domestic banking sector.

      FEWSNET estimates for the period to 4 December reveal that 37% of the
average area planted in the 1990s had been planted, with more planting
expected in the same month. The statistic implies a significant
underutilisation of capacity in the agro-sector, with negative effects on
the sector's earnings capacity. However, given the poor rainfall pattern,
not much planting activity was expected in December. Compared to the 1990s
figures for area under planted maize, sorghum, rapoko and pearl millet are
38, 13, 49 and 15% respectively. Hectarage for major cash crops ranges from
25 to 56% of the 1990s level. Cotton planted is at least 56% of the average
area, groundnuts 49% and tobacco 25%.

      The statistics point to a major strain in the sector which has impeded
land utilisation this season. There is no doubt that these production
bottlenecks will imply raw material supply bottlenecks to the manufacturing
sector, which draws 60% of its inputs from agriculture. Preliminary
estimates by the CFU point to a significant reduction in national agro
output this year, with maize estimated at 30% of annual output, groundnuts
35%,and soyabeans 87,4%.

      It will therefore not be surprising that a supplementary budget to
cover the sector's deficit will be tabled this year. A severe drought will
put pressure on inflation, the budget and the exchange rate in 2003.
Commodity stock outs will therefore become inevitable, depending on the
severity of the drought.

      Tobacco crop drops

      Tobacco contributes at least 30% of national export earnings and a
swing in output implies a significant shock on national foreign currency
reserves. According to the Zimbabwe Tobacco Association (ZTA), provisional
statistics point to a total of 528 commercial farmers who have planted for
the season on 21 000 hectares, of which 7 800 hectares is irrigated. This
crop hectarage implies a potential crop of 55-60 million kgs of which 22
million kgs would be from the irrigated crop. The total crop is however
expected to be slightly higher due to an additional 50 new commercial
farmers who are still to be surveyed.

      Smallholder farmers encompassing both existing and newly resettled
farmers are estimated to have planted 30 000 hectares, with an estimated
yield potential of 25 million kgs this season. This year's crop is at least
48,7% lower than the preceding season's which totalled 165,5 million
kilograms, and was 58% lower than that for the 2000/2001 season. The current
crop size points to a significant decline in volumes, implying a critical
drop in foreign currency earnings. Zimbabwe will this year lose its third
position on the world tobacco producers chart to Brazil which has been
upping production in recent years. Brazil expects to produce 540 million
kilograms in the forthcoming marketing season.

      Tobacco grower base increase

      The biggest impact of land reforms has been a steep rise in the
participation of small scale growers in the tobacco sector as shown by the
graph.

      According to the ZTA, the number of small growers was 1264 in 1996,
rising to 12 000 in 2002 while at the same time the number of large scale
growers has dropped significantly from 1 653 to an estimated 1 400 in 2002.
Yields per hectare for small scale growers has been static at an average of
821,57 kg/ ha over the period. The steep rise in the number of small scale
growers does not necessarily imply a large yield, unless sufficient
productivity growth is registered. The need to increase productivity can
therefore not be overstated if competitive and sustainable yield levels are
to be guaranteed in the sector.

      Challenges

      The biggest threat to viability for the sector would be macroeconomic
instability which has caused huge input supply bottlenecks during the
current season. Price controls have also dented confidence in agro-based
business, and hence a relook at this policy will have an impact on the role
of agriculture in Zimbabwe.

      Another glaring challenge is the capacity of the resettled farmers to
sustain the productivity levels of previous tenants, as well as safeguard
the sector's contribution to national export earnings.


      It is also imperative to ensure that the sector moves away from
producing commodity based output towards value added production, or products
which are less susceptible to international price fluctuations. Although
agricultural output may grow, what is more desirable is the quality of the
output and on farm processes that may transform the value chain. The foreign
currency earnings capacity of the sector will therefore be enhanced.
Currently, producer prices are set primarily on social accounting
parameters, which have hampered viability. It is therefore important that
producer prices are reviewed periodically to reflect the cost of production,
in order to stimulate investment in the sector. Government also needs to
quickly audit the signals of the looming drought and engage in forward
arrangements to minimise effects of the looming cereals deficit on societal
welfare.
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Zimbabwe Standard

      Signing of turnaround plan imminent
      By Kumbirai Mafunda

      ZIMBABWE is poised for a major economic policy shift that could see
the country back on the recovery path after wallowing in economic recession
for nearly five years.

      Sources close to the ongoing Tripartite Negotiating Forum comprising
government, labour and business, said the signing of the long awaited
turnaround plan entitled 'Proposals on Stimulating Economic Activity', which
was recommended to the technical committee of the TNF by the TNF
sub-committee on economic stabilisation measures, is scheduled for Thursday.

      This follows the signing of a Prices and Incomes Stabilisation
protocol last Thursday by the three social partners, which is intended to
stimulate the recovery and sustainable socio-economic development of the
country.

      The signing ceremony was attended by finance and economic development
minister, Herbert Murerwa, the minister of industry and international trade,
Simbarashe Mumbengegwi, energy and power development minister, Amos Midzi,
and environment and tourism minister, Francis Nhema.

      The Kadoma Declaration, which demands a return to the rule of law and
good governance, was also discussed at yesterday's meeting and is ready for
signing on Thursday.

      "We have reached an agreement on the immediate recovery of the economy
and I don't see them refusing to sign the immediate measures to stabilise
the economy. Yesterday, we signed a Prices and Incomes Stabilisation
Protocol. There seems to be a climb-down on the part of government. We have
talked the government out of price freezes. We are now deliberating on
management of prices and wages," said one source.

      High on the proposals on stimulating economic activity is the
implementation of stabilisation measures which will enable the economy to
expand exports and employment.

      Implementation of measures such as those meant to stimulate exports
could be immediate.

      Besides establishing appropriate legal mechanisms and an enabling
environment for fuel procurement by other market players besides Noczim,
government will immediately review fuel prices in order to reflect the full
economic costs.

      To guarantee adequate supply of electricity, exporting companies will
pay electricity bills in foreign currency with provision for discounts for
companies who opt for this.

      Multiple exchange rates for various sectors, ie an export support rate
of $1 350 to the US dollar for the mining industry and $1 200 to the
horticultural sector, were rejected. Instead, in order to forestall the
expected inflationary impact of multiple support rates, the social partners
agreed on a uniform support rate which would keep the exchange rate constant
at $55 to the US dollar at 2000 prices, but a nominal support rate will be
pegged at $800 to the US dollar.

      For government and official transactions, the exchange rate will
remain constant at $55 to the US dollar.

      Analysts contend that the $800 to the US dollar rate will improve the
competitiveness and viability of exports and would result in increased
inflows into the official foreign exchange market, which dried up on the eve
of the announcement of the 2003 budget.

      Bureaux de change which were shut down on 1 December, will reopen
under a new regulatory regime which will enable them to operate as special
agencies closely supervised by the Reserve Bank.

      The number of bureaux de change are likely to be trimmed through
higher capital requirement. Currently, they are capitalised to the tune of
US$150 000.

      The imperative of undertaking measures which will enhance confidence
in domestic and foreign investors, including international development
partners, is principal in the proposal and government is expected to ease
its hard line stance on the IMF which visits Zimbabwe this month.
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Zimbabwe Standard

      Who will monitor the partisan police?
      What's on air By Peter Moyo

      RESPONDING to comments from police chief, Augustine Chihuri three
weeks ago, we said that the only political group that needed to be monitored
during the Cricket World Cup is the Zimbabwe Republic Police. Events are
already proving how correct we were.

      A few weeks ago they stormed a Mabvuku hall to arrest Harare mayor,
Elias Mudzuri on frivolous grounds. They claimed he was holding a political
meeting because residents from other areas outside Mabvuku were present!

      Again, last Wednesday the same political group masquerading as a
national police force, gleefully fired tear gas in all directions at Town
House in an attempt to stop the mayor from holding a meeting. How is the
mayor expected to perform his duties when he cannot hold meetings with
councillors, politicians and residents?

      The partisan police force's efforts, coupled with those of Dead BC's
rambling municipal decampaigner, 'Freedom' Moyo, are not having the desired
effect of painting Mudzuri as a corrupt and incompetent MDC activist.
Efforts to intimidate him and soil his image have instead shown him to be a
hero standing up to the ruling party's bullying tactics.

      'Freedom'-a man who has failed dismally to practise what his name
implies-should be commended for channelling his limited abilities as a
broadcaster to trying to rubbish Mudzuri for he is so inept that the mayor
comes across a brave man.


      While the consensus is that propaganda should be for free, those who
spew it should be paid-or so it seems. Last week, Dead BC's
reporters-turned-propagandists and other workers downed tools to press for
higher wages, only to be suspended.

      Those who go on strike are branded by Dead BC as members of the
opposition. Does this mean the workers have now joined the opposition MDC?
Whatever the case, all Dead BC workers deserve rest from the relentless
propaganda they have been forced to spread for the past three years.


      So agriculture minister, Joseph Made, has finally realised the
importance of maintaining production on farms during his fast-track land
reform. The man never ceases to amaze. When the rainy season is more than
half way through and drought and more famine beckons, he starts making
overtures to the white farmers he confiscated land from.

      It is no secret that much of the land was taken by the chefs and many
of the acquired farms lie idle. We hope the land audit report will be made
public so that everyone knows what exactly transpired.

      Joseph Made's antics have a lot to do with the forthcoming
Commonwealth Troika Meeting, we suspect. Otherwise how do we explain the
regime's sensitivity now-a regime which has not been known for this kind of
sensitivity before.


      DRC foreign minister, Kikaya Bin Karubi, was in Zimbabwe last week to
thank the country for helping his country in its war. The Dead BC reporter
who interviewed him should have asked if the DRC was going to pay four our
effort and when. Zimbabwe sunk in scores of billions of dollars into the war
at great expense to national development and a mere thank you will not help
this country which faces its greatest ever economic crisis.


      One viewer from Bulawayo phoned last week to ask when the Hondo
Yeminda adverts would stop. We have bad news for him and all other viewers
as Munyaradzi Hwengwere, the CEO of Dead BC, categorically stated that as
long as the adverts were being paid for by the government, they would be
flighted.

      He even said they had managed to pay workers' bonuses from the adverts
which where paid for in advance. We wonder where the money to screen the
propaganda adverts is coming from since government is bankrupt. Talk of
wasting taxpayers' money!

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Zimbabwe Standard

      Barmy farmers believe bull
      overthetop By Brian Latham

      THE government of a troubled central African country says it is
considering giving farms back to the farmers it has been beating, murdering,
intimidating and evicting for the last three years.

      The surprising move was met with considerable scepticism by cynical
ex-farmers, but with brave smiles from one of the organisations representing
the handful of farmers still on their land.

      Others pointed out that the offer to give farms back came just weeks
before controversial sports matches were scheduled to take place in the
troubled central African nation. The surprise offer also preceded, by a few
weeks, the impending visit of a nattily dressed gent from a corrupt West
African power, a visit by the most equal of all comrades to Gay Paris and a
meeting of the Commonwealth Troika.

      Over The Top can dispel rumours that the French government has changed
its national motto to 'Hypocrisie, Hypocrisie, Hypocrisie.'

      "It goes without saying that we're hypocritical," said a French
government spokesman. "There's no need to change our national motto because
we believe in liberty for Frenchmen and you're not French."

      Still, that's a digression, so back to the point.

      Talks between the troubled central African country's government and a
farming organisation have set gossip mongers in a flurry of animation. OTT
can reveal that the talks are just one more piece of the farce that is
politics in the central African nation.

      More than that, no good can come of them.The timing is hardly
coincidental, still less is the fact that over half the population is
scrabbling for food while 2 500 people die each week.

      Besides, while it is unclear who is behind the talks-someone is always
behind talks in the troubled central African country-it appears there may be
an oleaginous presence lurking in the shadowy corridors of tenuous power.

      Of course, it may be no more complicated than the fact that the
slow-thinking chefs who are running the troubled central African nation's
crisis have suddenly realised that there's no food, and no prospect of
buying food (or anything else) because there's no tobacco either.

      OTT does not believe this is the case because the troubled central
African nation's chefs are not slow-thinking. Many of them hold doctorates
from reputable universities, indicating at least passable intelligence.

      That means that someone with, as they say now, "an agenda", would like
to see farmers return to their homes and get on with the business of growing
food for the people and tobacco forS that same oily presence lurking in the
background.

      Over The Top would like to caution farmers tempted by this offer that
they should be suspicious of Greeks bearing gifts-and to be especially aware
of accepting offers from the person who last week, last month or even last
year, trashed your family home, broke your arms or herded cattle into your
maize crop. The same maize crop, incidentally, might now be feeding
thousands of people who are now standing in a queue waiting for maize that
isn't there.

      Of course, all this may be very wide off the mark. It could simply be
that the troubled central African nation's ruling Zany Party is in a flat
spin panic, doesn't know where it is, where it's going or what to do. It
might be that, faced with an unprecedented crisis (of its own making), it
has awoken to the fact that plans need to be made if the party isn't to
disappear up its own fundament.

      The problem is that it's all too little, too late. The Zany Party's
fundament is substantial and ravenous and it is eating itself.
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herald.co.uk

'All he is doing is helping Mugabe'

Murder victim's son bewildered by MSP's stance on land reform, writes
WILLIAM TINNING
THE killing last March of Terry Ford by self-styled war veterans seeking to
regain land from white farmers in Zimbabwe is still raw in the mind of his
son, Mark.

Under the orders of Robert Mugabe, the Zimbabwean president, the veterans
broke into the Fords' farmhouse, near Norton, one week after the country's
alleged rigged elections were held.

Mr Ford's killers used his revolver to shoot him before making off with his
alcohol, firearms and TV set. His death shocked the world. Pictures of
Squeak, his Jack Russell dog, standing guard over the blue blanket which
covered his corpse became a poignant symbol of the tragedy being played out
across rural Zimbabwe.

His son, Mark, who was told to leave the farm or face the same fate as his
father, was forced to flee to Johannesburg.

Comparisons drawn by Bill Aitken, the Tory list MSP for Glasgow, of new land
reform legislation in Scotland with the violent farm seizures in Zimbabwe,
have not helped him get over his father's death.

The legislation, passed last month, gives rural communities the power to buy
the land they live on, ending centuries of the landlord system in Scotland.

After the Land Reform (Scotland) Bill was approved, Mr Aitken said: "This
bill has nothing to do with land reform and everything to do with the other
parties in this parliament being obsessed by replaying the class wars of 200
years ago.

"This type of legislation has no place in modern Scotland. It will have a
dreadful effect not only on those living in rural areas, but on city
dwellers whose hard-earned tax will be used to pay for this Mugabe-style
land grab."

Mark Ford believes the MSP's argument ignores the different political
context for the two countries' land reform programmes.

"In Zimbabwe, farmers aren't being compensated . . . farms are basically
being stolen," he said. "I don't see that happening in Scotland. It's a
democracy and things will be done fairly and monitored by independent
people."

He said he could not understand the MSP's decision to link Scotland with
Zimbabwe. "I don't understand where he's coming from. All he's doing is
giving Mugabe a platform."

Last week, the pro-Mugabe Herald newspaper in Zimbabwe quoted Mr Aitken,
together with an analysis piece, which carried the headline: "Scottish Bill
proves land is vital resource the world over."

The article said Scotland's legislation would send "shockwaves" to the
British government which had sternly opposed Zimbabwe's land reform
programme.

It argued that Scotland and Zimbabwe were now pursuing similar schemes.

The newspaper drew parallels between the Highland Clearances and the
evictions carried out by British colonisers in Zimbabwe, and argued that
both countries were righting the wrongs of the past.

However, John Worswick, vice-chairman of Justice for Agriculture, an
organisation set up to defend the rights of farmers in Zimbabwe, said the
government was using Scotland's land bill to legitimise its own land reform
programme.

"There's no comparison between the two countries," Mr Worswick said.

"In Scotland the scheme will involve independent valuation of land,
compensation will be paid and land will be allocated to the most deserving,
like the crofters. Here government officials, army, airforce and police
officers are receiving the best farms."

According to the World Food Programme, 7.2 million people are now reliant on
food aid in Zimbabwe.

Mr Aitken last night insisted his views on the new legislation had not
changed.

The MSP said: "Mr Ford is entitled to his opinion. My view remains firmly
that the Scottish Executive is simply facilitating land being taken by
owners without their consent which is quite contrary to any democratic
principle and is totally inappropriate in a modern democracy such as
Scotland.

"The fact that Robert Mugabe's spokesman in London has commented that
Scotland and Zimbabwe appear to have a lot in common with regard to land
reform is eloquent testimony to the appropriateness of this analogy."

Morgan Tsvangirai, Zimbabwe's opposition leader, and two party colleagues
are scheduled to go on trial today on charges of treason for allegedly
plotting to kill President Mugabe.

What the Zimbabwe Herald said
The recent passing of the Land Reform Bill in Scotland aimed at overhauling
land ownership in that country is likely to have sent shockwaves to the
British government that has been vehemently opposed to Zimbabwe's land
reform programme.

Recent developments in Scotland demonstrate the contagious effect of
Zimbabwe's land reform exercise.

The skewed land ownership in Scotland was similar to that of Zimbabwe before
the government embarked on the fast-track land reform programme in July
2000.

We can draw several similarities on the origins of the land issue both in
Zimbabwe and Scotland.

Like in Zimbabwe, the grand estates of Scotland were owned almost
exclusively by rich and often absent foreigners.

A major part of the Scottish land issue dates from the Highland clearances
in the 1780s through the 1850s.

These were characterised by the evictions of the poor from their farms when
large owners discovered their holdings were worth more when used for hunting
or sheep ranching than growing crops.

This resulted in the ruthless eviction of hundreds of thousands of tenants.
Some historians likened it to modern ethnic cleansing.

The same situation prevailed in Zimbabwe, where the British evicted
thousands of black people from their fertile land during the colonial era.

-Feb 3rd
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The Scotsman

Tsvangirai's support down as he faces trial

JANE FIELDS IN HARARE


FOR years his position as the figurehead of Zimbabwe's opposition has gone
unchallenged. But as Morgan Tsvangirai enters court today to fight treason
charges his political position is looking increasingly weak.

Mr Tsvangirai's enormous popularity appears to be on the wane amid
increasing frustration at the slow pace of change in the country.

Today's trial will be one of the biggest legal cases Zimbabwe has seen since
independence more than 20 years ago. The leader of the Movement for
Democratic Change (MDC) will argue that he did not plot to assassinate
president Robert Mugabe before elections last year, a charge that could see
him facing the death penalty.

Mr Tsvangirai says he was set up by government agents, after a video
broadcast on Australian television just before Zimbabwe's presidential
elections appeared to show the opposition leader discussing the possible
"elimination" of Mr Mugabe.

The opposition says the video was doctored and that party members did not
know that the political lobbyist they had hired, former Mossad agent Ari Ben
Menashe, was a "friend" of Mr Mugabe.

The party believes Mr Mugabe wants to get rid of the troublesome Mr
Tsvangirai, who has proved the fiercest challenger yet to the president's
23-year grip on power.

However, even as he fights in court to prove his innocence, in his urban
strongholds, Mr Tsvangirai's support appears to be ebbing away.

"He has not lived up to our expectations," Zimbabwe's top civic leader
Lovemore Madhuku of the National Constitutional Assembly (NCA) said this
week. "I feel let down by Tsvangirai."

The NCA has been one of the MDC's closest allies. Opposition supporters
appear to have been disappointed by Mr Tsvangirai's failure to lead
demonstrations against the increasingly repressive government.

He came under fierce criticism last week at an MDC meeting in northern
Harare, at which party members said they had "very low expectations" of
their leadership.

Independent papers - normally staunch supporters of the MDC - have carried
comment unusually critical of the opposition leader.

"He has failed to even do anything to change things," one young MDC
supporter wrote in the Daily News this week. "Tsvangirai is more concerned
about the welfare of his family and his way into the state house at the
expense of the starving population."

Stung, top opposition officials have hit back. "He's doing the best he can
under the circumstances," spokesman William Bango said last week, pointing
out that Mr Tsvangirai has had to report to police twice a week since the
treason charges were filed last year.

In a clear attempt to raise his public profile the opposition leader went
walkabout in several low-income suburbs of Harare last week, ostensibly to
discuss problems facing commuters.

Apparently still reeling from the criticism, Mr Tsvangirai complained
yesterday he was not the commander of an army. "I am only the leader of an
opposition party. The Zimbabwe crisis is not a Tsvangirai issue but the
concern of all Zimbabweans," he told the Standard newspaper.

Mr Mugabe's government has seized with glee upon reports Mr Tsvangirai is
fighting to retain support. "Very soon he will be wallowing in the political
dustbin," a state-run newspaper said.

However, the opposition hopes his trial could restore his fortunes.

"For the image of the MDC locally, it will be very useful, because it will
put [Mr Tsvangirai] in the limelight," local political analyst Dr John
Makumbe said last night. "It will enable him to have a platform to project
himself in a better light than has been happening of late."

The death toll in Saturday's Zimbabwe rail crash rose to 46. The government
blamed human error for the collision.
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The Times

February 03, 2003


Hussain says players will bow to public opinion on boycott
From Richard Hobson in Port Elizabeth

NASSER HUSSAIN has given the clearest hint yet that his England squad will
boycott the World Cup match against Zimbabwe if the authorities fail to move
the venue from Harare. The England captain also admitted that players will
be guided by public opinion back home before deciding an ultimate course of
action.
The players have requested that the game, due to take place on February 13,
be switched to South Africa and Hussain, asked yesterday what the party will
do if their wishes are not met, said: "If nobody has made a decision for us
then we will have to make that decision."
In Cape Town on Friday, the 15-man squad, management and senior ECB
officials will meet Malcolm Speed, the chief executive of the ICC, and
Patrick Ronan, the head of security at the World Cup. Meanwhile, the
management board of the ECB is expected to convene for talks today.
A further clue to Hussain's intentions is his reference to public opinion,
which he knows is overwhelmingly against fulfilling a fixture that could
hand a propaganda victory to Robert Mugabe. "We want to know what people
think," he said. "There is no point playing in Zimbabwe if people do not
want us to."
Although the ICC has so far shown no inclination to move the game to South
Africa, any decision will be taken from now on by a technical committee,
instead of the full executive with its in-built majority supporting the
Asian bloc.
The ECB hopes that it will receive a more sympathetic hearing from the new
body which comprises Ali Bacher, the tournament director, Speed, former
players Michael Holding and Sunil Gavaskar, Brian Basson, an experienced
South African administrator, and Campbell Jamieson, the ICC commercial
manager.
The ICC has said that the game cannot be moved after February 9 for
logistical reasons. A switch will only be made if it is felt that players
would be at risk. Last Thursday, after studying a report from Kroll, an
American security firm, the ICC confirmed that it did not think safety would
be jeopardised.
Since then, New Zealand Cricket has said that its players will not go to
Nairobi even if it means conceding four points to Kenya, their opponents.
The Professional Cricketers' Association, which represents the England
players, is unhappy that it has not been allowed to see the Kroll report.
During the closing days of the Australia tour, Hussain told each player
individually to say nothing about the Zimbabwe issue and to stick to a party
line, that the squad had "gone into a bubble" and was concentrating on the
World Cup.
His own newspaper column yesterday explained why the squad will be
refraining from further comment.
Hussain said that players had moral concerns even before they received
letters from a Zimbabwe pressure group in Sydney last month. He added: "The
matter is delicate, to say the least, and there is always the danger that we
may say the wrong thing at the wrong time, or be reported to have done."
England trained yesterday for the first time since arriving in South Africa
and attended a civic reception in Port Elizabeth. All of the squad bar
Ronnie Irani and Steve Harmison had spent the previous three days at Sun
City where the emphasis was on golf and team bonding. Irani, not much of a
golfer, had opted to spend the time practising in Port Elizabeth with Ian
Pont, his personal coach. Ever resourceful, Irani even managed to borrow a
speed tracking device from the local police force - usually employed to keep
a check on motorists - to monitor the pace of his bowling.
Harmison is back with the party, having been allowed to return home on
compassionate grounds to see his daughter, who was born in December. One of
his first tasks today will be to prove his fitness after turning an ankle in
a one-day game in Adelaide.
Having received a warm reception when they arrived at Port Elizabeth airport
on Saturday, the squad was again well supported yesterday when a crowd of
more than 100 turned out to watch a light, enthusiastic session at St George
's Park, cheering every time a player hit the stumps during fielding drills.
"Those people have given the whole team a bit of a lift," Hussain said. "We
are enjoying ourselves as a group again. The team had been torn apart with
injuries in Australia, we did not know if we were coming or going. We needed
those three days away."
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The Times

February 03, 2003


By the rules: Thabo Mbeki says that if Britain wanted a sports boycott of
Zimbabwe it should not have allowed it to come to the Commonwealth Games


Cricket and war leaves old allies divided
by Magnus Linklater and Richard Beeston

President Mbeki discusses Zimbabwe, Iraq and Aids




PRESIDENT MBEKI of South Africa has described the proposed cancellation of
the England World Cup cricket match in Zimbabwe as hypocritical and
unethical and has urged Tony Blair to engage with President Mugabe rather
than isolate his regime with sanctions.
In a wide-ranging interview with The Times after his meeting with Tony Blair
at Chequers, Mr Mbeki also sought to distance himself from Nelson Mandela's
criticism of British and US policy on Iraq, but welcomed Washington's pledge
to contribute $15 billion towards fighting Africa's Aids epidemic.
Zimbabwe: Mr Mbeki, long regarded as Britain's closest ally in Africa,
revealed deep splits over Zimbabwe, a problem that he insisted should be
dealt with by the Africans rather than by their former colonial masters in
Europe.
Some of his strongest criticism was directed at government calls for the
England cricket team to boycott the World Cup match due to be played in
Harare on February 13 in protest at Zimbabwe's land seizures and cycle of
political violence.
"They should play," he told The Times. "You see if this country had wanted
to raise the matter of a sports boycott, they should have said Zimbabwe
should not have come to Manchester for the Commonwealth Games. They did not.
"It is not right (to call for a boycott now). It does not have an ethical
basis." He added that Australia had invited Zimbabwe to the Olympic Games
but wanted to pull out of its World Cup match in Bulawayo.
The cricket issue exposed a widening rift with Britain over Zimbabwe, which
is suspended by the Commonwealth and whose leadership is banned from
travelling to Europe, after the regime seized white-owned farms and used
violence to silence the Opposition and hold on to power in last year's
elections.
Mr Mbeki said that, unlike Europe, South Africa was Zimbabwe's neighbour and
that he had no alternative but to engage with the regime. Punitive sanctions
served only to harden attitudes in Harare.
"There is a strong sense among Zimbabweans that issues like the land
question constitute part of an uncompleted process of decolonisation," he
said. "So when a demand comes out of Europe to impose sanctions . . . it
does not produce a result that 'we must change'. It produces a result that
'we cannot be dictated to by a colonial power'."
Mr Mbeki, whose country provides Zimbabwe with electricity and most of its
imports, said that if he tried to intervene in this climate he would be
denounced as "an agent of Blair" in the state-owned Herald newspaper in
Harare.
Instead, he urged Britain and the EU to "back off", to re-engage with
Zimbabwe's leadership and to leave the matter to African nations to deal
with. He said that if Britain said "we are ready to work with you" to
resolve the question of land reform, of anti-democratic legislation and
other concerns, Zimbabwe "would say welcome, let us act together on this".
He dismissed reports that Mr Mugabe may be considering stepping down and
going into exile. "I do not think this is a realistic proposition," he said.
"Any speculation about exile is a waste of time."
Iraq: Thabo Mbeki is also the chairman of the Organisation of Non-Aligned
States. He emerged from his four-hour meeting with Mr Blair convinced that
last-minute negotiations could still prevent war and that the Prime Minister
agreed with his plan to continue a dialogue with the Iraqis. He denied that
he wanted to act as a mediator: "It's not mediation. It is really to
encourage the Iraqis to co-operate."
He believes that although the Iraqis have allowed the inspectors access to
weapons sites, they have not been "pro-active" in providing information
about weapons of mass destruction. "We have to engage the Iraqis so that
they respond seriously," he said. "Mr Blair's view was: 'If you can do that,
we would all appreciate it.' "
Mr Mbeki sought to distance himself from last week's outspoken attack on the
American and British stance by Mr Mandela, in which he accused them of
racism and called Mr Blair America's "Foreign Minister".
"Unlike Nelson Mandela, we are engaging with governments," he said. "And
they respond. There isn't anybody who has said 'we don't want to talk to you
'. I haven't had any sense from any of the permanent members of the UN
Security Council, to whom we have spoken, that our intervention has no
meaning. If that were to happen, we might indeed ourselves say 'Here are the
warmongers', and denounce them in the strongest terms."
Asked whether South Africa would endorse war if a Security Council
resolution supports intervention, he said that it would depend on the
strength of the evidence against Iraq. "Given the position of the Security
Council, it would have to be on the basis of very strong evidence that there
is a real actual threat to international security that has to be addressed
by means of war. We would be against weapons of mass destruction and that
would have to be stopped, but it is difficult to imagine a situation where
we would get to this actual point with Iraq."
Aids: Mr Mbeki appears to have softened his position on the Aids epidemic
that has engulfed southern Africa. He has been attacked in the past for
refusing to endorse the Western drugs that, health organisations have
argued, would have helped to save thousands of lives.
He said that he welcomed the US Government's offer of a $15 billion (£9.1
billion) aid package for South Africa, whose specific objective is to build
a comprehensive system for diagnosing, preventing and treating Aids. He
said. "We have a bilateral health agreement with the US, and their Health
Secretary has been in South Africa, and we have worked together on these
matters." But he insists that drugs are not the whole answer and that the
priority is to tackle the underlying problems of South Africa's health
infrastructure - the lack of clean water and sanitation that are, in his
view, as responsible for spreading disease as Aids itself.
"The drugs may be cheap and affordable but unusable because you don't have
the infrastructure. You can't just talk about health as drugs and medicines.
Where people are going to drink untreated water they are going to fall sick.
So you've got to have a comprehensive approach to health matters."
A programme to test the use of anti-retroviral drugs, one of the main
weapons in treating patients infected by HIV-Aids, is still being undertaken
in South Africa. Mr Mbeki pointed out that one of the principal brands that
South Africa had been urged to adopt - Nevirapine - had been withdrawn in
the US after an adverse report from the Food and Drugs Administration.
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Zimbabwe Standard

      MDC criticism wide off the mark
      sundayopinion By Paul Themba Nyathi

      THE week ending 26 January 2003, was a difficult one in the press for
the Movement for Democratic Change. The state-owned press had its usual
flurry of puerile anti-MDC stories that no one takes seriously.

      The independent press, for its part, weighed in with articles that in
the majority of cases exhorted the MDC to do something about the
fast-deteriorating situation in Zimbabwe.

      Of all the articles that were critical of the MDC, The Standard of 26
January 2003 outdid the rest. What is puzzling and disturbing about The
Standard's editorial is its virulent language. The MDC accepts criticism and
is of the strong opinion that those who offer critical opinions do so either
to build or destroy. In the case of the state-sponsored media, our opinion
is that it seeks to destroy the opposition. It has all the incentives in
doing so.

      As for the independent press, it seeks to build and we are convinced
it has a constructive national interest to do so.

      You must be aware Mr Editor that a comparison of the present situation
in Zimbabwe to that of South Africa in the 90s is too simplistic. For
starters, the South African struggle had a civic society that gave birth to
the likes of UDF, Umkhonto We Sizwe and other externally based forces and
did not have an overbearing relationship with the internal democratic
movement.

      In Zimbabwe, the bulk of the struggle was initiated from outside with
limited internal organisation. The externally based liberation forces had a
predominant relationship with the internal political formations. The culture
of mass struggle, civil disobedience if you like, has to be cultivated in
Zimbabwe.

      Be that as it may, we in the MDC are humbled by those Zimbabweans who,
at considerable risk to themselves, continue to demonstrate their opposition
to Mugabe's tyranny.

      We are at a loss to understand what you meant when you said in your
editorial: "Zimbabweans... need heroes. They have neither for heroes are
buried..." I suspect that you do not consider the members of the MDC who
have been killed since the formation of the MDC as heroes of the struggle
for freedom. If that is what you mean, then you are being insensitive to
those gallant fighters who sacrificed so much.

      As for focused leadership, you need only to go through the MDC's
policies to appreciate how focused the leadership is. The MDC's structures
in all urban areas are intact and vibrant. The frequent brutal assaults that
urban folk receive from both the police and army explain the vibrancy of
these structures. Zanu PF is trying to crush them through violence.

      The MDC takes Zanu PF head on at every turn. The numbers who have been
arrested and tortured testify to that. I hope that by taking Zanu PF head
on, you are not inviting the MDC to engage Zanu PF in its violent agenda. We
will not go toe to toe in violence with Zanu PF because violence
contaminates the victim as well as the perpetrator.

      We share The Standard's recognition of Madhuku's courage. We are
together with the NCA's quest for a new constitution. In fact, the MDC is a
member of the NCA.

      You allege that the MDC has halfheartedly sought to take its struggle
abroad. In fact, you characterise the MDC's international lobby work as
"amateurish", "incoherent" and "embarrassing" but the truth of the matter is
that the MDC's international work has been extremely successful.

      In fact, the MDC detractors usually accuse it of concentrating all its
work internationally thus neglecting the home turf.

      Despite public posturing in support of Zanu PF, Africa is supportive
of the MDC's position. Our delegations have been received at the highest
levels of leadership and given Africa's sensitivity to opposition parties,
we have done exceedingly well in Africa. It is Mugabe's forays into Africa
that have been an embarrassment to his hosts.

      It is untrue to suggest that the MDC is sitting back waiting for
events to unfold. The Editor of The Standard should send his reporters to
the MDC offices to collect a calendar of MDC events throughout the country.
We do not know which Zimbabweans will be made to conclude that "the MDC
leadership is either lazy, cowardly or both". Those who follow closely the
activities of the MDC on the ground know differently.

      As for the remark that the MDC might win by default, I leave it to the
electorate to judge the unfair comment which dares question their right to
make a choice of their liking.
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IOL

Mugabe ready to soften restrictions - Mbeki

      February 03 2003 at 06:26AM

      By Peter Fabricius


Zimbabwean President Robert Mugabe is to introduce legislation to increase
press and political freedoms in his country.

This is the message President Thabo Mbeki gave British Prime Minister Tony
Blair during a six-hour meeting on Saturday at Chequers, Blair's weekend
residence outside London.

It is not known how Blair responded to the information.

Mbeki told journalists after the meeting that he believed Mugabe would
announce legislative changes in the next few weeks. These would increase
freedom of political activity and soften the controversial media law which
came into effect last year, and which gives Mugabe's government almost total
control over the media.

      Mbeki said he was unhappy about the role Britain had played in the
Iraqi standoff
The law forces all journalists to register with the government, allowing it
to refuse to register media critics.

Mbeki told Blair that SA cabinet ministers who have visited Harare recently
learnt of Mugabe's plans to ease the political restrictions.

However, some observers believe Mugabe's moves will merely be a ploy to
pre-empt the reimposition of Commonwealth and European Union sanctions when
these come up for renewal in the next few weeks.

It is understood that apart from these expected legislative changes, no plan
to resolve the Zimbabwe crisis was discussed.

There had been some speculation that the two leaders might discuss a plan
for Mugabe to step down in favour of a government of national unity.

However, as Mbeki and Blair mostly met without advisers or notetakers, it is
not certain exactly what they talked about. The two met for four hours alone
and were then joined by their closest advisers for two hours of lunch.

Iraq was also prominent in the discussions, especially as Blair had just
returned from intense consultations in Washington with US President George W
Bush.

Mbeki told journalists that he had told Blair he believed a war in Iraq
could still be avoided. To this end he would soon be sending Deputy Foreign
Minister Aziz Pahad to Baghdad to urge the Iraqi government to comply more
pro-actively with the UN weapons inspectors looking for weapons of mass
destruction in Iraq.

In a Sky News interview, Mbeki said he was unhappy about the role Britain
had played in the Iraqi standoff, noting that many in SA shared "a concern
about an approach which seems to say there must be a war".

Mbeki's spokesperson Bheki Khumalo said the weapons inspectors had
complained last week of a lack of pro-active co-operation from the Iraqi
government, and so getting them to provide such co-operation was a key to
preventing war.
Mbeki also told journalists he believed Blair was committed to international
peace and that he recognised that a war against Iraq would need
international support.

Mbeki was meeting Blair not only as SA president but also as chairperson of
the Non-Aligned Movement, representing most of the developing world, and as
chair of the African Union which represents the 53 nations of Africa.

British officials had also stressed before the meeting that Blair would want
to reach these constituencies through Mbeki, as part of his effort to drum
up international support for military action against Iraq if it did not
co-operate with the weapons inspectors.

It is understood that Blair had stressed to Mbeki that he believed that the
UN security council would need to pass another resolution to approve war
against Iraq.
This is a major point of difference between Blair and Bush, who believes
that another security council resolution is not absolutely necessary.

Blair and Mbeki also discussed other conflict areas in Africa where SA is
involved in peacemaking efforts, such as the Democratic Republic of Congo,
Burundi and Ivory Coast.

They also discussed the New Partnership for Africa's Development (Nepad),
which Blair has enthusiastically supported, and agreed that concrete action
to implement Nepad's development agenda was needed at the next G8 summit in
France in June. - Independent Foreign Service


  .. This article was originally published on page 3 of The Star on 03
February 2003
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Fox Sports

Govt to fund boycott
February 3, 2003

A major obstacle to Australia boycotting its World Cup match against
Zimbabwe has been passed after Foreign Minister Alexander Downer revealed
the Federal Government was prepared to help pay compensation costs.

The International Cricket Council (ICC) will demand a six-figure sum from
the Australian Cricket Board (ACB) if the defending World Cup champions
withdraw from the game at Bulawayo on February 24 because of safety
concerns.

Massive sponsorship deals signed by the ICC for the World Cup are dependent
on all matches being run to schedule.

"Our answer to that is, well, if compensation has to be paid, we'll have a
look at making a contribution ourselves to that compensation," said Mr
Downer, adding Australian diplomats were preparing to give updated
information on security risks to the ACB and ICC.

Opponents to Zimbabwe president Robert Mugabe's regime have threatened riots
to disrupt the game and the players fear they will be caught up in the
trouble.

Reports have also emerged about possible terrorist activity in Zimbabwe if
the US declares war on Iraq.

ACB chief executive James Sutherland, general manager Michael Brown and
players' representative Tim May flew out of Australia yesterday for
Johannesburg as opposition leader Simon Crean urged the Government to put
pressure on the ICC.

The High Commissioner to Zimbabwe, Jonathon Brown, had previously sent Mr
Downer a "disturbing report" warning of widespread protests likely to turn
violent.

Mr Downer called on the ICC to reverse its decision to support matches in
Zimbabwe and Kenya but Mr Crean, seemingly unaware that Australia's game was
scheduled for Bulawayo, demanded firmer action.

"If the travel warnings have been upgraded, the government has only one
choice," said Mr Crean.

"It's got to use every diplomatic pressure it can to ensure that the game is
not played in Harare."

He said it was ridiculous to warn people against attending a cricket game
because there could be fears for their safety, but then allow the cricketers
to play.

"If it's dangerous for spectators, it's got to be dangerous for players,"
said Mr Crean.

"And if that's the case, then the government should be insisting no games
are played there."

ICC chief executive Malcolm Speed said the protests would have nothing to do
with cricket and plans were in place to keep them away from the ground.

"They're not demonstrating against us holding cricket matches, they're
demonstrating about economic and political issues," he told reporters in
Cape Town.

"They're using the presence of the international media in Zimbabwe as an
opportunity to get their message through.

"If it is an illegal demonstration the local authorities, under their law,
are able to deal with that.

"We don't want to see innocent people, who have come to the cricket, caught
up in a demonstration."

Emphasising he was not making a political comment, Speed added: "If there is
something that comes out of this it is that a lot of people are now aware of
the political situation in Zimbabwe who may not previously have been aware
of it."

All decisions relating to the World Cup will be made from today by a six-man
technical committee headed by Speed and including World Cup executive
director Ali Bacher plus ex-Test layers Sunil Gavaskar and Michael Holding.

The committee will have the power to change venues if the security situation
worsens.

Its first job will be to find a resolution to the problem caused by New
Zealand's withdrawal from a match in Kenya on February 21. The Kiwis are
expected to apply to the committee to have the game staged in South Africa.

Sutherland, May and ACB general manager Michael Brown will address
Australia's players over the next few days, but an immediate final decision
on a possible boycott is highly unlikely.

High Commissioner Brown was to address the ACB and players here later today.
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