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July 31 polls: Army versus people

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 12, 2013 in News, Politics

WITH the military increasingly involving itself in campaigning for President
Robert Mugabe and Zanu PF, the July 31 elections are shaping up to a fierce
battle between multitudes of Zimbabweans demanding change and the army
defending the status quo.

Report by Brian Chitemba/Clayton Masekesa

Mugabe and Zanu PF have activated their paramilitary campaign strategies
through the Joint Operations Command (Joc) — which comprises the army,
police and intelligence chiefs — in a bid to retain power. The military
rescued Mugabe in 2008.

However, the fresh deployment of the military — persistently reported in the
Zimbabwe Independent for more than a year so far — has now created tensions
within the party as some senior officials, particularly Vice-President Joice
Mujuru, are becoming uncomfortable with the active role the army commanders
are playing in Zanu PF’s affairs.

The Independent understands Mujuru has been complaining in several meetings
with Mugabe about the take-over of the party by military chiefs now
dictating the pace of events, while imposing their preferred candidates in
constituencies during the recent chaotic primary elections.

In a recent meeting with Mugabe, Mujuru reportedly launched a candid attack
on army generals for their role in primary elections in areas like Bikita
West where former Reserve Bank senior staffer Munyaradzi Kereke was involved
in fierce battle with his ex-colleague Elias Musakwa and in Mberengwa where
Zanu PF spokesperson Rugare Gumbo lost to July Moyo. There are also many
other constituencies where the army played a critical role during primaries.

Gumbo is aligned to a faction led by Mujuru, while Moyo is a close ally of
Defence minister Emmerson Mnangagwa. Most senior army commanders, including
Zimbabwe Defence Forces General Constantine Chiwenga, have close relations
with Mnangagwa. Gumbo has petitioned Mujuru protesting over alleged
irregularities and vote rigging in the primaries.

The military has ensured that there are more than a dozen Zanu PF candidates
in the elections with security backgrounds.

The imposition of preferred army-backed candidates is said to have prompted
Mujuru to confront Mugabe after the primaries to question the role of the
military in Zanu PF’s internal affairs and the party’s election campaigns.

Sources said Mugabe, however, shot down Mujuru’s protests reminding her that
they were still in power, courtesy of the role played by the army in the
2008 elections.

“Mujuru is not happy with the military’s involvement in the party affairs
because the army chiefs, mainly those who sit in Joc, are more aligned to
Mnangagwa, which has a bearing on the Mugabe succession issue,” said a
senior Zanu PF official this week. “The generals are accused of imposing
candidates, for instance, in the Kereke case in Bikita West. Chiwenga
reportedly ordered Kereke to be allowed to contest primaries after the
politburo had blocked him.”

As reported widely in the Independent over the past year, the army has
vastly deployed senior commanders and key military units across the country
in a bid to rescue Mugabe in the do-or-die elections.

The military chiefs have abandoned their plush offices at Defence House in
central Harare to join “Boys on leave” to campaign in the provinces for
Mugabe.

Brigadier-General David Sigauke has been deployed in Mashonaland West while
Major-General Douglas Nyikayaramba replaced Brigadier-General Charles
Tarumbwa, who manned Manicaland in the 2008 disputed elections.

Major-General Engelbrecht Rugeje is busy in Masvingo, while Retired
Major-General Victor Rungani is co-ordinating campaigns in Mashonaland East.
Vice Air-Marshal Titus Abu Basutu is in Matabeleland South and
Brigadier-General Sibusiso Moyo in the Midlands. Brigadier-General
Sibangumuzi Khumalo is campaigning in Matabeleland North, while Colonel
Chris Sibanda is working in Bulawayo and Retired Air Commodore Michael
Karakadzai covering Harare.

Brigadier-General Etherton Shungu is in charge of Mashonaland Central.

As the elections approach, some senior army commanders are becoming more
brazen in their approach and are openly campaigning for Mugabe and Zanu PF.

Army chief-of-staff (general staff) Major-General Martin Chedondo, who has
vowed to defend Mugabe’s grip on power, last week told a platoon commanders’
course graduation in Nyanga that soldiers should rally behind Mugabe and
drive out the “few remaining whites”. He warned soldiers against supporting
the MDC-T, branding the party “an enemy of the country”.

Chedondo said: “I want to urge you to vote for our President Robert Mugabe
and Zanu PF. Your votes should help us with the numbers to get rid of whites
who are sell-outs.

“As soldiers, we are not ready and will not allow bringing back the whites
because they have been calling their friends from outside the country to
impose sanctions that are hurting us right now.”

Chedondo, a fierce Mugabe loyalist, accused the MDC-T of being an agent of
the West before ominously declaring that Zimbabwe’s future lies squarely in
the hands of the army. This confirmed a widely held view that the next
elections will be a battle between the army and multitudes of Zimbabweans
demanding change.

Military commanders are falling over each other to back Mugabe while vowing
to block MDC-T leader Morgan Tsvangirai from taking over even if he wins the
election.

Chiwenga has gone on a whirlwind tour of the country’s 10 provinces holding
a series of meetings with war veterans and military commanders to order them
to campaign for Zanu PF. Chiwenga’s wife Mary also joined the campaign trail
urging female soldiers and wives of army personnel to rally behind Mugabe
and Zanu PF as they were “chosen by God”.

Prisons chief Retired Major-General Paradzai Zimondi has ordered his
sub-ordinates to vote for Mugabe, while police chief Commissioner-General
Augustine Chihuri has also openly declared allegiance to Zanu PF. Air
Marshall Perence Shiri on Tuesday also joined the fray, saying “do not force
us to do that which we did not want to do” as criticism of security forces’
involvement in elections grows.

Senior army commanders, particularly Nyikayaramba, Major-General Trust
Mugoba and Chedondo, have vowed to retain Mugabe and Zanu PF in power at all
costs, pitting the military against the people on July 31.


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Poll preps: Zec in tight corner

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 12, 2013 in News, Politics

THE Zimbabwe Electoral Commission Zec)’s state of preparedness for the polls
continues to be in doubt as the electoral body has not secured any funds,
leaving it with a lot work to do in the remaining 19 days before the July 31
general elections.

Report by Owen Gagare

A senior Zec official said yesterday the electoral body had not yet trained
polling and presiding officers, although constituency election officers have
been trained.

The official said Zec was in such a tight corner that it was now asking to
pay service providers after government releases the money.

Zec also does not have enough vehicles and is depending on the Central
Mechanical Equipment Department.

“The situation is very difficult because the money is just not there, so we
have to be innovative,” said the official.

“We have been talking to some service providers to provide their services on
credit and some of them have been understanding.”

Because of cash problems, Zec has engaged a local company to print ballot
papers on credit. The company will print more than six million ballot
papers. Finance minister Tendai Biti says there is no money for elections.


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Mugabe’s frailty exposed at Nzvimbo rally

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 12, 2013 in News, Politics

PRESIDENT Robert Mugabe’s increasing health frailties were exposed again
yesterday when he was driven in a Ford Ranger sport utility vehicle (SUV)
for a 200-metre distance instead of his usual stroll to greet over 7 000
party supporters at Nzvimbo Secondary School in Chiweshe for the first of 10
nationwide star rallies he is set to address ahead of elections on July 31.

Report by Paidamoyo Muzulu

Mugabe’s failing health has created anxiety in his Zanu PF party and
constantly disrupted government business as he frequently flew to Singapore
for medical attention in a bid to extend his 33-year. Mugabe, who was
accompanied by his wife Grace, climbed into the back of the truck with the
aid of a mobile staircase and his minders to wave to his supporters.

While Mugabe in a 50-minute address spoke about the need for a violent-free
elections, his wife Grace, made a stinging personal attack on MDC-T leader
Morgan Tsvangirai describing him as a “philanderer” who wasted time
gallivanting with girlfriends atexotic beaches instead of formulating
policies that help improve the lives of the generality of Zimbabweans. For
the first time in election campaigns, the first lady told party supporters
that other political contenders such as Tsvangirai should stop dreaming
about getting into the State House as her husband was there to stay.

“President Mugabe has been consistent in his messages about empowering the
people unlike others who spent their time going to exotic beaches with
different girlfriends. Those who dream about power should continue dreaming
but we are at State House to stay,” she said.

Grace described Tsvangirai as a leader who only upholds personal interests
rather than daddressing people’s concerns.

In his address, Mugabe admitted these elections would be tough considering
the closely fought 2008 polls where Zanu PF survived narrowly survived
defeat.

“This is going to be my first stop in the long journey throughout the
country reminding people who we are, especially after 2008 when we seemed
like we had forgotten about our history,” Mugabe said.

Zanu PF lost two parliamentary seats in Mashonaland Central to the MDC-T in
2008 elections, marking the first time the party lost a seat in the province
since independence in 1980.

“Let’s not make the same mistake of 2008. We should be wary of puppet
political parties that are seeking to reverse the gains of independence,”
Mugabe said.

Mugabe said Zanu PF does not want another coalition government claiming that
the MDC-T sabotaged the party’s policies, such as agriculture and the
presidential scholarship scheme, through its control of Treasury.


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Tsvangirai responds to Grace Mugabe attack

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 12, 2013 in News, Politics

Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai’s spokesperson, Luke Tamborinyoka, today
responded to first lady Grace Mugabe’s description of the premier as a
“philanderer who wasted time in salacious exotic beaches instead of
formulating policies that help improve the lives of the generality of
Zimbabweans.”

Said Tamborinyoka: “Of all the people, Grace Mugabe is not qualified to
comment on the prime minister’s morals because she destroyed the marriage of
an otherwise honourable first lady that we had.

“The philanderer the prime minister knows of is one president who fell in
love with his secretary whilst his legitimate wife was dying of a kidney
ailment. It is sad that Grace is taking us down this route during an
important election where we should be talking about our manifesto, issues
and programmes that address the people’s interests rather than
 name-calling.”


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MDC launches manifesto in Mash East

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 12, 2013 in Elections 2013, News, Politics

THE MDC led by Professor Welshman Ncube is launching the party’s manifesto
in Mashonaland East province. Also in attendance are coalition partners Zapu
who are represented by their president Dumiso Dabengwa and his deputy Emila
Mukaratirwa. Dabengwa has pledged support for the MDC even beyond this
election.

Elias Mambo

“The people of Zimbabwe have never enjoyed peace since 1980 but with this
coalition we hope a time shall come when we shall enjoy fruits of
liberation,” Dabengwa said. Dabengwa also expressed his happiness that the
launch is taking place in Chikomba, the home district of his best friend,
the late former army commander Solomon Mujuru.

“I came because Mujuru wanted change in Zanu PF and it will now take place.
Wherever he is he should know that I am still fighting for that change”.
Also present is United Movement for Democracy which has also pledged its
allegiance to MDC leader Welshman Ncube.


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Zanu PF bigwigs clash over Kereke

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 12, 2013 in News, Politics

ZANU PF’s perennial divisions along factional lines were further reflected
this week in the decision-making politburo debate over the controversial
candidacy of former Reserve Bank governor Gideon Gono’s advisor Munyaradzi
Kereke whose bid to represent Bikita West constituency in the next general
elections has left a trail of bitter clashes among party bigwigs.

Report by Faith Zaba

The issue has been conflict-ridden since Kereke, who had been campaigning in
the area for a long time, was recently left out of the party’s official list
of candidates for primaries by the politburo — which eventually expelled him
on Wednesday — as he had not been a party member for five consecutive years.

After he was initially blocked, Kereke reportedly sent chiefs to appeal to
party leaders on his behalf. Resultantly, he trounced his rival Elias
Musakwa, although the result was contested.

A dispute then ensued, leading to both Musakwa and Kereke filing their
nomination papers with the Zimbabwe Electoral Commission to stand on the
Zanu PF ticket.

Although it initially appeared Zanu PF would allow the two candidates to
stand on its ticket, the party moved to endorse Musakwa as its official
candidate for the general elections. Pressure was then piled on Kereke by
senior party officials to withdraw but he refused, leading to the politburo
intervening on Wednesday and resolving to expel him.

Zanu PF insiders told the Zimbabwe Independent yesterday the Kereke issue
dominated the politburo debate on Wednesday amid factional clashes.

Sources said there was heated debate over whether Kereke should be allowed
to contest on a “parallel candidate” platform on the Zanu PF ticket or be
expelled from the party to run as an independent.

The sources said Zanu PF officials aligned to Vice-President Joice Mujuru’s
faction demanded Kereke must withdraw or be fired. Since he had already
refused to do so, Mujuru’s camp pushed for his expulsion and prevailed amid
resistance from the Mnangagwa faction. The Mujuru group argued Kereke must
be dismissed because he was insubordinate, while the Mnangagwa faction said
he should be allowed to run as a parallel candidate since he was popular on
the ground.

Sources said Mujuru’s long-time rival, Mnangagwa and his key ally Josiah
Hungwe fought in Kereke’s corner to convince other politburo members to
allow the businessman to contest because of what they described as his
“immense grassroot support” in Bikita West.

Sources said Mnangagwa and Hungwe warned the party’s top leadership of a
possible “bhora musango” (internal electoral sabotage) in Bikita West if
Kereke was forced to withdraw or expelled.

Kereke’s allies said he enjoyed the support of several traditional chiefs in
the area as well as the backing of some senior army commanders who have been
pushing for popular candidates to contest in the elections to ensure a Zanu
PF victory in parliamentary and presidential polls.

“Mnangagwa told the politburo party officials should not confuse the
negative perception out there about Kereke and the reality on the ground
where he has popular grassroots support. Mnangagwa and Hungwe’s argument was
that a decision to expel Kereke could cost the party the Bikita West
parliamentary seat,” said a politburo insider.

However, sources said Mnangagwa and Hungwe’s arguments were dismissed by
others who felt Kereke should be expelled.

“Politburo members wanted to understand how Kereke ended up contesting in
the primary elections in the first place when he had been disqualified and
also how he filed nomination papers on a Zanu PF ticket. The nomination
papers were signed by the Masvingo chairperson (Lovemore Matuke) and
(Edmund) Mhere (the Masvingo provincial secretary for administration) who
said they acted under instructions from some top people.”

Matuke is now facing disciplinary measures over the issue although he acted
on senior army commanders’ orders.

Fresh controversy over the issue erupted after State Security minister
Sydney Sekeramayi and Mujuru, who were initially singled out as having met
chiefs from Bikita West and given their nod for Kereke to enter the primary
election race, distanced themselves from that saying they never met any
chiefs over the matter.

“After a long debate, which lasted more than an hour, it was the President
(Robert Mugabe) who moved the motion to expel Kereke from the party. The
president even went as far as saying he is willing to lose that one seat if
it came to that. He went further to say even if Kereke wins the elections,
he will remain expelled from the party,” said a senior politburo member.

Zanu PF spokesperson Rugare Gumbo yesterday said the Kereke issue dominated
debate at Wednesday’s politburo meeting.

Gumbo said the politburo resolved to expel Kereke from the party for
insubordination. “We took a long time debating the Kereke issue,” said
Gumbo. “People wanted to understand what happened. Kereke was told after a
politburo decision disqualifying him not to contest as it is said that he
only joined the party last year in October, although others had proposed a
waiver.

“It was the provincial executive that told him to contest. Matuke and Mhere,
who signed the nomination papers, will be brought before a disciplinary
hearing for going against a politburo decision. If he withdraws from the
elections, his expulsion will be lifted.”

However, in an interview with the Independent yesterday, Kereke vowed not to
withdraw from the race although he refused to comment on his expulsion.

“I don’t comment on politburo matters,” said Kereke. “What I am doing is
focusing on what is happening on the ground and on my campaign in order to
deliver Bikita West, which is what I will do.”


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Litmus test for Zec as special vote starts

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 12, 2013 in News, Politics

THE Zimbabwe Electoral Commission (Zec) faces a litmus test when it conducts
the controversial two-day special voting starting on Sunday across the
country ahead of crucial general elections on July 31.

Report by Elias Mambo

According to Section 81A of the Electoral Act, special voting is conducted
at least 16 days before the actual day of polling to allow people who would
be on elections duty to cast their ballot in advance.

These may include members of the uniformed forces and election officials.
Postal voting for people working at Zimbabwe missions abroad is also done at
the same time.

Zec said more than 80 000 applications for special voting have been
processed and requisite logistics are in order.

Zec chairperson Justice Rita Makarau this week said of the 120 000
application forms issued for special voting, 87 316 had been returned to Zec
with the police accounting for 69 222; Zec officials 15 954; Zimbabwe Prison
Services (ZPS) 2 000 and Zimbabwe National Army (ZNA) 140.

However, for the first time in Zimbabwe’s history, members of the uniformed
forces and other security apparatus will not cast ballots at their camps,
but at 209 Zec-designated polling stations.

“Special voting is conducted in a polling booth like the one set up for the
general elections and it will be supervised by Zec officials following the
same procedures,” said Makarau. “Polling stations will be at schools and
some centres, not barracks and police camps as some of you claim.”

President Robert Mugabe and his Zanu PF party have in the past been blamed
for manipulating special votes for the uniformed forces to win elections.

However, Makarau this week re-assured political parties that there would be
no rigging through the controversial special voting system, amid widespread
fears the ballots would be tampered with.

“The ballots are transported from polling stations to the chief elections
officer and thereafter to the ward in tamper-proof envelops that will be
sealed in the presence of election agents who are entitled to sign on the
seal,” she said.

Makarau also said political party agents are entitled to be present when the
tamper-proof envelopes are opened.

Suspicions have already been raised as Zimbabweans are questioning the
number of police officers set to vote this weekend.

Zanu PF has been stepping up its election campaign with the army, police and
prison services embarking on a massive recruitment drive to aid the party to
win the do-or-die polls.

Government sources told the Zimbabwe Independent recently that secret hiring
by ZNA, ZPS and the police were underway in defiance of the Public Service
Commission freeze on recruitment.

MDC-T secretary for defence and security Giles Mutsekwa said the recruitment
drive was “suspicious” and aimed at boosting Zanu PF’s chances in the
elections.

“This is a deliberate attempt by Zanu PF to recruit as many people as
possible to boost their chances of winning the next elections. What Zanu PF
is not aware of is that those people do not support them.
“Those are desperate people seeking employment and won’t help the dying
party’s chances to win the elections,” Mutsekwa said.


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Zanu PF begs rebels to withdraw

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 12, 2013 in News, Politics

A high-powered Zanu PF delegation has begged party “rebels” to withdraw from
contesting as independents in the general elections and support
party-endorsed candidates who won primaries despite widespread complaints of
rigging and voting irregularities, it has emerged.

Report by Brian Chitemba

The team led by the party’s secretary for administration Didymus Mutasa,
director of the commissariat department Retired Air Vice- Marshal Henry
Muchena and officials from the President’s Office have since met Daniel
Garwe (Murehwa North), Marian Chombo (Zvimba North) and prominent lawyer
Jonathan Samkange (Mudzi South) to ask them to withdraw from parliamentary
polls. Sources said the candidates refused to bow to pressure and insisted
that they will contest the polls as independents.

In Bikita West, businessman Munyaradzi Kereke, who was expelled from the
party on Wednesday by the politburo, will run as an independent against the
party’s preferred Elias Musakwa.

The meetings were prompted by President Robert Mugabe’s appeal while
addressing Zanu PF’s central committee last week that party members should
do all they can to convince those who lost primaries to support those who
won. Some of the problems which characterised the primaries included
controversial disqualifications, re-admissions through the backdoor,
imposition of candidates, poor logistics, shortage of ballot papers,
attempts to run-away with ballot boxes, delayed announcement of results and
allegations of rigging.

Zvimba North parliamentary candidate Marian Chombo was adamant she would
contest the July 31 elections as an independent against her ex-husband
Ignatius Chombo, Local Government minister. Marian, told the Zimbabwe
Independent this week that her ex-husband was employing underhand tactics to
frustrate her by holding rallies about 100 metres away from hers.

“Zvimba North constituency asked me to stand as an independent candidate but
if I win the elections I will hand the seat to Zanu PF,” said Marian. “If
Chombo is allowed to go it alone against an MDC-T candidate, the seat will
be lost. I am campaigning for President Mugabe and I am positive I will win
the seat. Marian also revealed that her ex-husband had demanded that she
stops using the Chombo surname but she insisted she was still a Chombo by
marriage.

“Chombo has been threatening my supporters that they will lose their farms
if they don’t vote for him. But I am convincing voters that their vote is
their secret and they should not be intimidated into voting for a candidate
who never visited the constituency since 2008.”


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No immediate return to Zim dollar: Gono

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 12, 2013 in News, Politics

RESERVE Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ) governor Gideon Gono has allayed fears of a
hurried return of the now defunct Zimbabwe dollar saying prospects for the
re-introduction of the local currency are medium to long term.

Report by Taurai Mangudhla

Gono yesterday told the Zimbabwe Independent the country and the business
community should not panic as the move remains no more than an aspiration
that is still at consultation stage.

He said discussions had been held between his office and President Robert
Mugabe’s office on the return of a local currency, whose name may not
necessarily be the Zimbabwe dollar. He also said the local currency will
only come back after an enabling macroeconomic environment has been created.

Gono said among the agreed preconditions needed are sustainable
macroeconomic stability, accumulation of adequate foreign exchange reserve
buffers to the Sadc regional target of three months and rehabilitation of
infrastructure.

Mugabe understands the local currency, Gono added, will only return upon
restoration of confidence in economy generally and in the banking sector in
particular and alignment of various pieces of legislation and administrative
systems so that they complement each other prior to its re-introduction,
together with appropriate pre-education and wide consultations.

“The above pre-conditions can be feasibly attained in the medium to long
term, and only then has the president directed that we can as monetary and
fiscal authorities, timely devise ways of re-introducing the local
 currency,” Gono said.

“Additionally, the local currency according to the wishes of His Excellency,
would be required to circulate alongside the basket of currencies which are
currently legal tender in Zimbabwe and the public will be free to pick and
use a currency of their choice for transactions purposes.”

The central bank chief said sustained stability of the re-introduced local
currency will also be contingent upon the accumulation of adequate assets
from the country’s resources, notably gold, to enable the currency to be
fully gold-backed. To achieve this, Gono said, government would need to
purchase adequate stocks of gold from miners in order to build its bullion
reserves.

Last week, Mugabe said the Zimdollar will eventually return but not
immediately.

Debate on the return of the local currency comes as banking sources indicate
Finance minister Tendai Biti is on the verge of gazetting a statutory
instrument which will, among other things, seek to demonetise (stop use of)
the Zimbabwe dollar.

As reported by the Zimbabwe independent last week, sources said Biti wanted
to gazette the legal instrument and demonetise the defunct local currency.


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Aspiring MPs go on door-to-door campaign

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 12, 2013 in News, Politics

IN a desperate move to garner votes in the July 31 polls, aspiring Zanu PF
MPs went on a door-to-door campaign collecting identity documents to
register potential voters in their respective constituencies to beat the
Tuesday voter registration deadline.

Report by Brian Chitemba

The move which was used mainly by Zanu PF candidates in urban areas such as
Harare and Bulawayo, was seen as a ploy to mobilise voters based on fear of
a battering in cities that are regarded as Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai’s
strongholds.

It emerged this week that the candidates went on a last-minute rush to lure
supporters to register as voters while some resorted to importing potential
voters from outside their constituencies.

“Candidates embarked on a door-to-door campaign enticing unregistered
residents to give them photocopies of IDs and other documents so they could
register us. The potential MPs were in a rush to make sure they maximise on
the number of registered voters in their constituencies before the closure
of the voters’ roll on Tuesday,” said Dorothy Moyo, a Harare resident.

Some of the aspiring legislators took to social networks such as Facebook
and WhatsApp to invite their unregistered friends to surrender their
identity documents which were taken to voter registration centres by the
candidates.

One of the WhatsApp messages seen by the Zimbabwe Independent read:
“Comrade, are you a registered voter? Please give me your documents so I can
register you to vote in my constituency. I need every vote in my area
because every vote counts.”

This came as aspiring urban voters had nightmares to register as the
Registrar-General’s officers allegedly employed delaying tactics to
deliberately frustrate the electorate. By the closure of the 30-day
mandatory voter registration exercise on Tuesday, thousands of people
struggled without success to get registered because the process was moving
at a snail’s pace while long queues of prospective voters remained stagnant.

A survey this week showed at the RG’s office in Highfield, only 66 people
out of several hundreds were registered from opening of the centre at 7am up
to 2pm, implying that only 10 people were being registered per hour, leaving
thousands disenfranchised.


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Gukurahundi sore point in Matabeleland — Tshinga Dube

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 12, 2013 in News, Politics

ZANU PF central committee member and parliamentary candidate for Bulawayo’s
Makokoba constituency retired Colonel Tshinga Dube says his party’s failure
to effectively resolve long-standing concerns in Matabeleland, including the
1980s Gukurahundi massacres, remains a sore point for people in the region.

Report by Herbert Moyo

In an exclusive interview with the Zimbabwe Independent in Bulawayo last
Saturday, Dube bemoaned failure to address the Gukurahundi and
marginalisation protests saying he had warned his colleagues this would cost
the party support in the elections.

“I have said it over and over again that we have failed to address these
issues (Gukurahundi and marginalisation),” said Dube. “A lot of unpleasant
things happened here. Somebody who was not affected might just say it was a
war while those who were affected will call it by a different name.”

Dube said he had proposed that the National Organ on Healing and
Reconciliation should work with chiefs from the region in organising rituals
of reconciliation and “pardoning each other”.

“We are not even touching the nerve centre of the problems. People may smile
at you, but deep down they still retain a lot of hatred. Until we have that
apology made, people will continue to harbour grievances.”

The Zanu PF arm of government has repeatedly refused to entertain any public
discussions and calls for compensation for victims of the conflict and
killings which President Robert Mugabe described as a “moment of madness”.

Mugabe recently blamed government forces for the murders, claiming they
acted beyond their mandate.

Government set up a commission of inquiry to look into the atrocities in
Matabeleland headed by Justice Simplisius Chihambakwe in 1983, but the
findings were never made public.

The Catholic Commission for Justice and Peace (CCJP) said that over 20 000
victims were killed during the conflict.

The CCJP report recommended a national reconciliation process; proper burial
for the victims and compensation for those affected, as well as accelerated
development for the affected regions.

However, Zanu PF is hesitating on these recommendations claiming the dark
chapter ended at the stroke of the pens when Mugabe and the late Joshua
Nkomo signed the Unity Accord in December 1987.

The Gukurahundi episode has, however, continued to haunt Zanu PF in
elections with the party only winning all seats in the Matabeleland
provinces in 1990 and 1995 in the absence of any formidable opposition.

However, since the MDC came onto the political scene, Zanu PF has had
nightmares in Matabeleland, failing to win any seat in Bulawayo since 2000
and getting a handful elsewhere in the volatile region.

Dube also suggested that his party’s persistent liberation war rhetoric is
not in sync with young people’s aspirations as they are more concerned about
getting an education, jobs and a decent life.

“History is a good subject for people to know where they came from, but I am
not one of those people who want to make people live in the past,” said
Dube.

“Young people’s aspirations are shaped by their present circumstances; so,
it would be a mistake to pre-occupy them with the history of the liberation
struggle which happened more than 30 years ago.”

Dube, who lost the 2008 elections to MDC-T vice-president Thokozani Khupe,
said he was confident of winning the Makokoba seat saying the MDC-T’s “poor
record of delivery in the coalition government had exposed its incompetence”.

“In the past, Zanu PF would be blamed for all the problems as it was the
sole governing party, but the MDC-T has had its own shortcomings which were
exposed during the government of national unity where its ministries all
fared badly,” Dube said.


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Fear of violence linger on in Mash Central: PM Tsvangirai

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 12, 2013 in News, Politics

MDC-T leader Morgan Tsvangirai says although intimidation and open political
violence have declined, the fear factor is still lingering in the three Zanu
PF strongholds of Mashonaland provinces.

Report by Elias Mambo

The Mashonaland provinces have denied Tsvangirai victory in previous
elections by overwhelmingly voting for Zanu PF. In an exclusive interview
with the Zimbabwe independent on the sidelines of his campaign trail in Zanu
PF’s stronghold of Mashonaland Central, Tsvangirai said his supporters are
still being intimidated and reminded of the horrors of the 2008 disputed
elections that shook President Robert Mugabe’s grip on power.

“Zanu PF is employing discreet methods of intimidation in an attempt to
frustrate our supporters,” said Tsvangirai.

“I have been around this province since morning but what I have seen are
tactics to stop our supporters from attending our rallies so as to deny us
victory in the forthcoming elections. But I am warning Zanu PF supporters
that things have changed and since everyone wants change, we are going to
win,” he said.
Tsvangirai had to change his “walk past programme” at Guruve centre after
his supporters were arrested.

“The president (Tsvangiriai) had to go and rescue about 40 supporters who
had been arrested at Guruve centre for wearing party regalia and singing
while waiting for his team to arrive,” said Tsvangirai’s spokesperson Luke
Tamborinyoka.

At Mvurwi business centre, Tsvangirai could not address a scheduled rally at
the stadium after Zanu PF supporters hastily organised ball games inside the
venue to thwart the gathering. The rally was eventually held at an open
space near Mvurwi vegetable market, some 300 metres away from the stadium
with only seven police officers separating the rival party supporters. The
same intimidation tactics were employed in Glendale where Zanu PF supporters
encircled the stadium in which Tsvangirai was addressing supporters chanting
party slogans.

Even though MDC-T had secured police clearance to hold the rally, Zanu PF
supporters deliberately occupied the venue five hours before Tsvangirai was
scheduled to address his supporters at midday, effectively blocking MDC-T
supporters from assembling.

MDC-T supporters, who started trickling into the venue around 8am, were
shocked to find two netball and three soccer teams of Zanu PF youths and
women donning party regalia preparing to play matches inside.

“This is shocking because we have a police clearance to use the venue but
Zanu PF decided to have ball games here forcing us to hold our rally at this
open space,” said MDC-T organising secretary Nelson Chamisa.

Tsvangirai has been telling his supporters at every rally in Mashonaland
Central that voting for Zanu PF and Mugabe is setting the country backward.

“If you want progress then vote for MDC but if you want the economy to go
back where it was in 2008 then vote for Zanu PF and Mugabe,” he said.

“What will Zanu PF do which they have failed to do in the past 33 years?”


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Prison inmates won’t vote: Makarau

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 12, 2013 in News, Politics

ALTHOUGH the new constitution grants political rights to prisoners, the
country’s estimated 17 000 inmates would not be allowed to vote in the July
31 elections as the time left is inadequate for the Zimbabwe Electoral
Commission (Zec) to put in place logistics required for them to cast their
ballot.

Report by Hazel Ndebele

Zec chairperson Justice Rita Makarau told the Zimbabwe Independent on
Tuesday that the country’s inmates would not be able to vote.

“As Zec, we acknowledge that Chapter 4, Section 4.18 of the new charter
states that every Zimbabwean has the right to vote,” said Makarau. “However,
we do not have mechanisms for prisoners to vote in this year’s elections. We
have already started engaging with relevant stakeholders to enable prisoners
to vote in future. There are many things involved before allowing prisoners
to vote, which is why, as Zec, we are saying they will not be able to vote
now, but in future.”

Makarau added that voting is a process which includes voter education and
voter registration.

“It is not a matter of us just walking into prisons and letting them cast
their votes during elections.

“Others are serving 20 years in prison; who are they going to vote for?
Political parties would have to campaign in prisons and this needs
 security,” she said.

“Prisoners have to be educated on the political environment outside prison,
therefore, all this cannot be done within the short time left.

“For one to register as a voter, one needs to secure an identity card and
establish the ward or constituency he/she belongs to, and inmates had to go
through all the required processes in the short time given to be able to
vote.”

Zimbabwe’s second round of voter registration commenced on June 19 and ended
on July 9, and with the general elections set for July 31, those who did not
register will not be able to cast their ballots.


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Grace Mugabe an embarrassing simpleton — MDC-T

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 11, 2013 in Elections 2013, News, Politics

MDC-T spokesman Douglas Mwonzora on Friday responded to first lady Grace
Mugabe’s attack on Prime Minister Morgan saying she was an “embarrassing
simpleton who dwelt on the trivial when Zimbabwe was burning”.

Paidamoyo Muzulu

Grace had made a stinging personal attack on MDC-T leader Morgan Tsvangirai
describing him as a philanderer who wasted time in salacious exotic beaches
instead of formulating policies that help improve the lives of the
generality of Zimbabweans.

“Mrs Mugabe’s comment reflects the capacity of this first lady. She is an
embarrassing simpleton and we are happy that she now has only 18 days to
leave State House,” Mwonzora said.

Mwonzora added that the first lady will not be missed as “she was not a
blessing to Zimbabwe at all”.

The first lady told over 7 000 party supporters that other political
contenders such as Tsvangirai should stop dreaming about getting into the
State House as her husband President Robert Mugabe was there to stay.

“President Mugabe has been consistent in his messages about empowering the
people not like others who spent their time going to exotic beaches with
different girlfriends. Those who dream about power should continue dreaming
but we are at State House to stay,” she said while addressing a rally at
Nzvimbo Secondary School, Chiweshe in the Zanu PF heartland of Mashonaland
Central province.

Grace took the podium soon after her husband had finished his 50 minute
speech which focused on reminding Zimbabweans to hold dear the values of the
liberation struggle and keep wary of imperial forces who seek to reverse
independence gains.

The Nzvimbo rally was the first star rally in a series of 10 nationwide
planned by Zanu PF ahead of the July 31 elections.

Grace donated food stuffs to the elderly in Chiweshe which comprised 10
tonnes of mealie-meal, 10 tonnes of sugar beans, two tonnes of table salt
and 560 boxes of cooking oil.

She operates a children’s home and a private school in Mazowe within the
province.


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‘Zec logistical hurdles denied registrants’

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 11, 2013 in News, Politics

THE Election Resource Centre (ERC) says the just-ended voter registration
exercise was fraught with logistical problems resulting in many people
failing to register to vote.

Elias Mambo

ERC, a non-partisan electoral institute supporting democracy stakeholders,
said: “The combined civil and voter registration provided an opportunity for
prospective voters to acquire new and lost identification documents;
register to vote and inspect the voters roll. However the process itself was
fraught with logistical and technical challenges which impeded the
registration of all prospective registrants.”

The mandatory 30-day mobile voter registration exercise was conducted by
Zimbabwe Electoral Commission (Zec) from June 10-July 9, but the ERC said
challenges including general lethargic service, inadequate voter education,
inaccessibility of registration centers, inconsistent application of
provisions for voter registrationand limited publicity, among many others,
scuttled the entire registration process.

“ERC observers also noted a combination of unprofessional conduct and
disturbing lack of urgency by certain registration officials resulting in
long winding queues at various centres throughout the country.”

“Lessons from the previous voter registration process must in future inform
Zec that the provisions for continuous voter registration in Zimbabwe must
run parallel to a similarly continuous voter education process.”

Meanwhile the MDC-T secretary-general Tendai Biti, this week, called for an
extension of the mobile voter registration exercise, claiming that at least
300 000 prospective voters in Harare alone have been denied the right to
participate in general elections.


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Zec should extend mobile voter registration — Zesn

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 12, 2013 in Elections 2013, News

THE Zimbabwe Election Support Network (Zesn) has called on the Zimbabwe
Electoral Commission (Zec) to extend the mobile voter registration exercise
as the massive under-registration of urban and young voters will deprive
these groups the opportunity of exercising their democratic rights.

Zesn’s findings come after it conducted a demographic analysis of the voters’
roll on all 5 890 169 names on the voters’ roll from all 1,964 wards and 210
constituencies compared to the official 2012 Census data from the Zimbabwe
National Statistics Agency.

“The analysis by Zesn shows the under-registration of eligible voters in
urban wards with approximately 750 000 missing urban voters and under
registration of youth voters in urban and rural wards with approximately 400
000 missing young voters,” Zesn, adding that “these youth voters are only 5%
of registered voters compared to 20 % in the Zambian election held in 2011.”

Failure to address this issue, according to Zesn, might seriously undermine
the credibility of the whole electoral process. Zesn found a significant
disparity between registration rates in urban and rural wards with
registration in urban wards at 67.94% and those in rural wards at 99,97%.
For urban voter registration rates to be comparable with rural registration
rates another 750 000 urban voters must still be registered.

The analysis also revealed a number of discrepancies between census data and
registered voters across all age groups. For instance there are
approximately 831 482 people in the age group 40-49 years.  However it is
worrying that the voters’ roll reflects 1,250,989 registered voters in this
age group.

Zesn noted that in the age group 80 years or more which according to census
data has an estimated population of 155,653, while the registered voters of
the same group are 343 187, some of whom are as old as 114 years old.

This over registration of elderly voters in urban and rural wards
demonstrates that approximately 250 000 names of individuals who are likely
to be deceased, whose names have not been removed from the voters’ roll.

Zesn also lamented Zec’s failure to provide updates of the mobile voter
registration exercise for the period June 10 to July 10 saying the last
updates were for the period from  April 29 to  May 19.

“Thus, it is not possible to assess the final state of voter registration.
The official registration figures showed a total 5,890,169 registered
voters, as at 19 June 2013,” said Zesn, adding that “the true registration
rate is likely lower because clearly names of deceased persons remain on the
roll.”

This situation would only have been exacerbated by the just ended mobile
voter registration period because of the distribution of registration
centres, with the majority located in rural areas which reinforces the
inequitable access to voter registration already reflected on the voters’
roll.

Zesn’s analysis, which is based on the 2012 Census shows that about 18,24 %
of eligible voters are between 18 and 22 (those who became eligible since
the 2008 elections) but just 2,39  % of registered voters are in this age
group – one ninth of the desired number. Similarly, estimated eligible
voters between 23 and 29 are 22, 97 % according to the 2012 Census, but
registered voters in this age group are just 11, 7% or half the desired
number. At the same time, census data shows that 5,5 %- of estimated
eligible voters are between the ages of 70 and 80 while 5,82% of registered
voters are 80 years or older.

The Network notes with concern that registration of young people in Zimbabwe
is not only well below 2012 Census estimates it is significantly lower than
registration rates in other African countries for recent elections.
Registration of young voters (under 25) is more than 10%  less in Zimbabwe
than comparable countries such as South Africa (16.5%), Kenya (16.86%) and
Zambia (20,61%).  It is our view that for registration rates for youth
voters to approximate the 2012 Census another 400 000 voters aged between 18
and 29 need to be registered. – Zesn.


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‘Political uncertainty currently halting business decisions’

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 12, 2013 in Business

FIDELITY Life Assurance CEO Simon Chapereka (SC) talks to the Zimbabwe
Independent business reporter Taurai Mangudhla (TM) on the likely impact of
the impending elections on his company and gives an update on specific
strategic projects.

Below are excerpts:

TM: The country is now in an election period and all the attention is on
what is happening on the political field. What is the likely impact of these
elections on your business?

SC: In terms of the issue of elections, everything hinges on uncertainty and
once the uncertainty has been removed, we believe, a number of issues
affecting industry will be addressed. For example, the issue of liquidity
and issues of business goals.

Actually, it is a good thing for us if the elections are held, the sooner
they are held the better.

TM: From your past experience, what has been the trend for your business in
terms of performance around elections?

SC: Obviously, if you take 2008, for instance, because of the violence, I
think a number of our partners withdrew to protect themselves, but this time
it has been relatively peaceful and we have not yet recorded such issues. We
have not had anyone saying they can’t work with us. So, if this environment
continues to exist, it’s a huge plus for Zimbabwe.

TM: Turning to specific projects, what is the likely impact of delays at
your Southview Park high-density residential stands project on group
performance?

SC: It will not affect our performance because we have not built into
Southview in our budgets for this year. What has happened, of course, is
these are pre-sales and we will realise the sale into our books when we have
delivered and we are delivering basically a finished product which we will
then bring into account.

TM: What reasons have been given for the hold-up and are you not concerned
about this delay?

SC: I think we are not unduly concerned with the time it has taken because
it is reasonable given that we are talking about ground development of
around 6 000 housing units. That’s a massive investment. So the city fathers
have got to ensure that they have looked at it from every angle because the
houses are expected to last for the next 100 years.

TM: What has been the payment pattern especially with the delays?

SC: When people go to Southview Park, they see the land and they know they
are talking to a developer of repute, you only need to go to Manresa and see
what we can do. Individuals have not changed, but housing funds and
co-operatives have indicated that they will participate once we start
developing the area, that’s why we are expecting a huge uptake once we have
started.

TM: Still on the Southview Park project, how many stands have you sold so
far?

SC: We have sold about 582 on installments of over five to 10 years and that’s
over US$1 million.

TM: During your annual general meeting, you spoke about partnering a South
Sudanese company. Would you care to shed some light on the nature of the
investment?

SC: We are talking about a 50-50 joint venture to exploit the opportunities
in that market.

TM: What is the name of the company?

SC: The company is called National Insurance Company of South Sudan.

TM: In terms of your seed capital, how much are you looking at for the
project?

SC: The investment which we want to put in there is in terms of IT, and the
human resources; so we are talking about US$1 million for computers and
vehicles.
TM: How soon do you expect returns from the investment in South Sudan?

SC: If everything goes according to plan we should expect returns by next
year. Now we are establishing the system, sourcing the business and ensuring
everything is in place.

TM: Still on new investments, you have previously spoken about establishing
a micro bank and how the group expects it to be a game-changer.

SC: Yes, from a point of view that our major competitors are the banks, they
have access to large deposits because they are deposit-taking whereas ours
is basically limited to the funds we are collecting from our premiums — our
own lending — so, you then find we can’t meet the demand. I think we are
only meeting 20% of our demand. So, basically, it will help us do so, but
you can understand that the Microfinace Bill, which is before parliament,
hasn’t gone to senate. Once it has gone, it will have an impact on the terms
for new licensing.

TM: Do you have the resources to start the micro-finance business, given the
capital requirement stands at US$5 million?

SC: Yes, we do, and if you go to our balance sheet you will see that we have
got more than US$4,5 million. We will use internal resources.

TM: Does it mean you are abandoning previous considerations to move into
established banks?

SC: Look, while that was considered, we will have a problem if we deal with
already established businesses because they had their own overheads and if
we get in we get stuck and in terms of re-aligning, we would clear the debts
overnight whereas if we are fresh, we start from a clean sheet.

TM: You have spoken about a group rationalisation plan, what targets are you
looking at in terms of impact on performance?

SC: The rationalisation will actually result in a savings of up to 20% on
expenses incurred; so, we actually have a reduction of business expenses as
opposed to fee increase which obviously will have an impact on the bottom
line.

TM: Is your staff going to be affected by the strategic decision?

SC: The staff has been re-assigned in terms of the expanding business and
re-alignment.


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Economy slows as polls draw closer

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 12, 2013 in Business

ZIMBABWE’S hope for a 5% annual economic growth buoyed by agricultural and
mining sectors is fading away as the country’s decisive elections draw
closer with analysts saying the target is unattainable.

Report by Hazel Ndebele

Despite the usual lack of policy stability and other challenges that have
spilled into 2013 from previous years, the general elections, which are set
for July 31, are a major setback for Zimbabwe’s economic performance, with
visible signs of slowdown apparent across key sectors.

The mining sector has been affected by erratic power supplies, policy
instability and capital constraints with gold production registering a 2,73%
year-on-year decline to 1 081,93kg in April 2013 while small-scale producers’
contribution to total gold production declined by more than 25% between
March and April 2013.

In agriculture, tobacco deliveries missed the Tobacco Industry Marketing
Board’s 170 million kg target for 2013 to close the season at 160 million
kg.

Economist Takunda Mugaga told the Zimbabwe Independent this week the country’s
economic performance is expected to continue slowing down further from the
Medium Term Plan’s average 7,1% annual target on account of reckless
political statements being made by the executive.

“The economy will further sink with Mugabe’s mantra of pulling out of Sadc
slowing trade movements between Zimbabwe and its trading partners,” he said.

“The targeted 5% economic growth is unattainable considering everything has
come to a standstill and lines of credit are to dry up completely as we
approach July 31. This is expected to continue beyond the next three
 months.”

Economist Eric Bloch also said: “I don’t think as a nation we will be able
to attain 5% economic growth by the end of the year because after the
elections, it will take time for the economy to improve in consideration of
the liquidity crisis the country is in.”

“It is important for the economy to have free and fair elections. The
business community is looking forward to the new government and policies
which will boost economic recovery greatly needed and craved for by all
Zimbabweans.”

He said banking sector deposits would further decrease due to fear of going
back to the Zimbabwean dollar.

Bloch’s remarks follow similar remarks by the African Development Bank
(AfDB)’s May 2013 Zimbabwe Monthly Economic Review that Zimbabwe’s economic
slowdown is mainly a result of uncertainty around the process and outcome of
elections with the current liquidity crunch being among the signs of stress.

According to the regional bank, broad money supply declined from 33,4% in
March 2012 to 10,5% in March 2013 largely due to declining long-term
deposits, after deposit maturities were withdrawn from the formal banking
system instead of being rolled over.

“The withdrawal of long-term deposits may be attributed to factors that
include uncertainty around the post-election business environment. On
monthly basis, banking sector deposits have declined influenced by low
average disposable incomes, individuals’ and corporates’ reduced capacity to
save and weak confidence in the formal banking system,” AfDB said.

The latest AfDB report said Zimbabwe was in debt distress with arrears to
most creditors continuing to accumulate.

The economic review notes that net credit to government has been increasing
due to pre-election government spending such as funding for the referendum,
elections and voter registration, among others. Net credit to government has
increased from US$153,2 million in February this year to US$170,6 million
and is most likely to increase again.

Figures released by the Zimbabwe National Statistics Agency two weeks ago
indicate the country’s trade deficit will worsen to over US$3 billion by the
end of this year after the balance of trade in the four months to April
widened to US$1,6 billion as the country’s reliance on imported goods and
services grew against declining exports.

Confederation of Zimbabwe Industries (CZI) president Charles Msipa said many
businesses in the manufacturing sector are still in crisis or in intensive
care due to the country’s suffering economy.

“Political stability is an essential pre-condition for an environment that
fosters business and economic growth. As CZI, we are calling for peaceful
and credible elections,” he said.

Analysts say the manufacturing sector desperately needs investment given its
failure to embrace new low-cost production.


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Mugabe’s Sadc pullout threat ‘cheap rhetoric’

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 12, 2013 in News, Politics

PRESIDENT Robert Mugabe’s threat last Friday to pull Zimbabwe out of Sadc if
the regional body continues to put him under pressure to hold free and fair
elections is impractical and in any case likely to be resisted by citizens
due to the bloc’s immeasurable importance in the country’s survival and
development.

Report by Brian Chitemba

Analysts say apart from immense economic benefits that Zimbabwe derives due
to its integration to Sadc, Mugabe is ironically still in office due to a
power-sharing deal brokered by the regional body in September 2008 which saw
the formation of the inclusive government after his re-election claim was
widely rejected due to violence and intimidation.

Mugabe claimed to have won the June 2008 presidential run-off which his
rival Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai boycotted after a reign of terror
perpetrated by the military and Zanu PF militias on the country in their
survival bid.

Mugabe seems to have conveniently forgotten, analysts say, that Sadc is the
same organisation which, by brokering the Global Political Agreement (GPA),
which rescued and restored legitimacy on him following accusations of gross
human rights abuses and election rigging.

Mugabe told Zanu PF supporters last Friday Zimbabwe could pull out of Sadc
due to what he described as “stupid things” done by “ordinary, stupid and
idiotic people” within the regional bloc.

“Sadc has no power,” Mugabe said. “Let it be known that we are in Sadc
voluntarily. If Sadc decides to do stupid things, we can pull out.

“For now we have a Sadc that has good sense. Although from some quarters
there was a stupid, idiotic woman saying elections cannot be held by July
31. Did such person ever think as an independent country we would take such
utterances which were stupid and idiotic?”

Mugabe’s ranting, analysts said, was cheap rhetoric from an old and tired
politician who seems to have run out of options to ensure political survival
except desperate measures.

Academic Kudakwashe Chitofiri said Mugabe’s utterances were “mere
politicking” because Zimbabwe depended on Sadc for economic survival and
other things.

“The only thing these utterances have managed to do is to further alienate
Zanu PF and Mugabe from South Africa in general and the African National
Congress in particular, as well as other countries in the region,” said
Chitofiri.

“Isolation from Sadc means isolation from the AU and basically we will be a
lone ranger with no semblance of legitimacy.”

The threats stemmed from a tough Sadc stance on Mugabe’s unilateral
proclamation of election dates last month under the guise of complying with
the July 31 election controversial deadline ordered by the Constitutional
Court.

Sadc has been insisting that Zimbabwe only holds elections after necessary
reforms were implemented to pave way for free and fair polls.

However, Godwin Phiri, an analyst, said Mugabe’s words should not be taken
lightly given that he seems to have the courage of his convictions and a
record of acting on his threats.

“We have seen some really ridiculous, ad hoc decisions and policies being
made even at funerals in the past, which have left the country isolated,”
said Phiri.

“I would not be surprised if Mugabe and Zanu PF attempted to pull out in
order to force the regional body to accept their electoral skullduggery. It
would be a suicidal move but with Zanu PF you can expect anything, including
suicide. This is a party that is prepared to cut its nose in order to spite
its face.”

In 2003, Mugabe unilaterally pulled Zimbabwe out of the Commonwealth after
the organisation extended the country’s suspension from the group following
rampant human rights abuses and lack of democratic reforms.

In a surprise move, Mugabe angrily pulled out, saying Zimbabwe did not need
the Commonwealth because it had “Sadc and the African Union (AU) as our
mentors, not the Commonwealth”.

Now that Sadc is insisting on the same things as the Commonwealth
demanded –– particularly adherence to the Harare Declaration – Mugabe is now
contradicting himself by threatening to leave the regional bloc even if
analysts say that would be unrealistic and unsustainable.

Analysts say, in any case such a decision, given that Zimbabwe is integrated
to the region, cannot be legitimately made by Mugabe alone but by
Zimbabweans through a referendum or some other consultative process.

Unlike the Commonwealth, which is a grouping of former British colonies and
has no direct economic benefits, Sadc is critical with more than three
million Zimbabweans holed up in neighbouring countries after fleeing the
economic meltdown caused by Mugabe’s bankrupt policies mainly since 2000.

Zimbabwe is a landlocked country and largely depends on ports such as Durban
in South Africa, Walvis Bay in Namibia, Beira and Maputo in Mazambique and
Tanzania’s Dar es Salaam for its vital imports.

Analysts say pulling out of Sadc could lead to Zimbabwe re-negotiating trade
pacts and deals for usage of the ports with individual countries in Sadc,
something which could prove economically disastrous.

Political commentator Blessing Vava dismissed Mugabe’s Sadc pullout warning
as an “empty threat” saying Zimbabwe has no capacity to go it alone in
political and economic terms.

He said Zimbabwe cannot afford further isolation, especially in the region,
because member states depend on each other on economic and security issues.
“Pulling out of Sadc is different from the Commonwealth in many aspects,”
Vava said.

“If you look at how the regional bloc is structured, Zimbabwe cannot afford
to survive without Sadc and its neighbours in particular. For instance our
economy is indirectly sustained by countries in the region mainly South
Africa from where most our food is imported. Besides, South Africa is
Zimbabwe’s biggest economic partner and the region is our source of economic
and security survival as a nation.”


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Issues and trivia in manifestos..as parties fight for voters’ hearts

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 12, 2013 in News, Politics

PRESIDENT Robert Mugabe and Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai have launched
their parties’ manifestos, signalling the official start of electioneering
for polls on July 31, which look set to be a close call as they are likely
to follow established voting trends, with Zanu PF winning in its rural
strongholds and the MDC-T prevailing in urban areas.

Report by Elias Mambo

Current trends show that the MDC led by Professor Welshman Ncube, which has
formed an alliance with Dumiso Dabengwa’s Zapu, might win significant seats
in Matabeleland and Midlands, coming in-between the main parties as the
power broker.

After the launch of campaigns, the three main parties and an avalanche of
fly-by-night political outfits, which normally emerge from the woodwork
during election years, have all entered the home stretch with just over two
weeks left before poll day.

Zanu PF was the first out of the block launching its manifesto in “the
cradle of mass nationalism” — Highfield — as the party tried to rejuvenate
its dwindling support base.

It was in Highfield, where Zanu PF was formed, that Mugabe was welcomed by
huge crowds of Zimbabweans on the eve of Independence in 1980. It was also
in Highfield where the late veteran nationalist Joshua Nkomo was given a
house by Herbert Chitepo to organise his meetings.

Judging by policies being propagated by different political parties for the
forthcoming elections, there is now a pragmatic shift in the electorate’s
expectations as people are no longer interested in mere speeches and
sloganeering, but issues which put food on their tables.

As a result, Zanu PF is mainly campaigning on the indigenisation platform,
MDC-T on job creation and MDC on devolution of power which it hawks as a
potential panacea to problems of over-centralisation and inclusion of the
marginalised masses in mainstream economic programmes and development.

While in Zimbabwe policy issues are still not the ultimate game-changer,
even if they help in defining the identities and programmes of parties, the
United States presidential debates last year gave a glimpse of how
policy-based political campaigns make a difference rather than political
leaders engaging in name-calling and character assassination.

With political violence and intimidation relatively low compared to previous
elections, policy issues are slowly coming to the fore even though parties
are not able to competently substantiate their claims and explain how they
will achieve their objectives.

The Zanu PF manifesto, themed Indigenise, Empower, Develop and Create
Employment, outlines 22 key goals set to define the party’s policies over
the next five years, while the MDC-T manifesto is based on job creation,
uplifting of the economy and defending the constitution.

MDC-T says it will create one million jobs in the next five years if voted
into power.

“The biggest challenge that confronts our economy today is unemployment,”
reads the party’s manifesto launched in Marondera last Sunday.

“The MDC-T policy — Jobs, Upliftment, Investment Capital and the Environment
(Juice) — is our plan to create jobs and build a strong growing economy.”

Zanu PF has promised to create more than two million jobs through the party’s
indigenisation and empowerment initiatives.

“The initiatives will create 2,265 million jobs across key sectors of the
economy and contribute to export earnings, food security and to the fiscus
among many other benefits,” reads Zanu PF’s manifesto.

Ncube’s MDC emphasises in its election manifesto, which will be launched on
July 20 in Binga, revitalisation of industry to create jobs as companies
have collapsed after decades of economic mismanagement although its campaign
is based on devolution of power.

The party has already launched its economic policy Access, Control,
Transformation, Initiative, Organisation, New Technologies, Sustainability
(Actions), focusing on harnessing the country’s vast natural and human
resources for reconstruction.

It believes access to resources, power and justice; control of destiny and
welfare; transformation of communities and strengthening livelihoods of
Zimbabweans; initiatives for wealth, job creation and organisation of all
public institutions to effectively deliver services, among other things, are
the answer to the country’s economic ills.

After relatively succeeding in campaigning for devolution in the new
constitution, the MDC has decided to push its campaign on that issue now
resonating, mainly in Manicaland, Matabeleland and Midlands.

At the launch of MDC-T’s manifesto, Tsvangirai said his party is faced with
a task to right the wrongs done in the 33 years Mugabe has been in power.
“As demonstrated in our agenda for real transformation (Art) of governance,
we have plans to tackle the ills of this nation after 33 years of bad
governance, corruption, primitive accumulation by the elite, lies and
deception,” Tsvangirai said.

Zanu PF’s campaign is generally based on the themes of independence,
sovereignty, respect for the values and ideals of the liberation struggle,
patriotism, employment, housing and economic prosperity.

The party harks back on claims of past achievements, such as the attainment
of Independence, the signing of the Unity Accord between Zanu PF and Zapu,
the land reform programme, education, health, gender advancement and
security policies.

However, political analyst Pedzisai Ruhanya, who is also the Zimbabwe
Democracy Institute director, said the Zanu PF manifesto compares poorly to
the MDC-T’s blueprint centred on jobs.

“Zanu PF’s indigenisation message is not as attractive as the land reform
and cannot be compared to the jobs agenda which will drive the MDC-T,”
Ruhanya said. “MDC-T is cruising on the jobs campaign and this has a bearing
on the common people. The jobs agenda is appealing to the electorate because
people want food on their tables, not promises of company shares which seem
unrealistic.”

Ruhanya said this election will be fought on real issues precisely because
of where the country is coming from.

“The country is coming from near-collapse where we witnessed hyperinflation,
decay of the health sector, education and state institutions as a result of
authoritarian administration,” Ruhanya said. “Voters will shun policies that
will fly them back into the past, so parties have to consolidate their
policies so as not to reverse economic gains made after the 2008 disputed
elections.”

Jabusile Shumba, another political analyst, said the next election will be
decided by practical policies that will bring food on the table of the
common people and dismissed the indigenisation and empowerment programme as
“pie in the sky” for the majority of Zimbabweans.

“People will be enticed by policies that seek to resolve the effects of
economic decline and political meltdown Zimbabwe faced in the past decade,”
Shumba said.
“However, Zanu PF is in a fix because for most communities, indigenisation
and community share ownership schemes are pie in the sky. They cannot hold
it and enjoy it.

“The programmes remain campaign gimmicks meant to win votes for the Zanu PF
party. The whole idea is a lipstick of corporate social responsibility which
companies have been doing even before this law was introduced, but it won’t
work.” Shumba said.

However, opinion polls say Mugabe and Zanu PF have recovered since 2008
precisely due to land reform and indigenisation policies, although continued
food shortages due to farm seizures and corruption rocking company
take-overs seem to diminish the purported gains on the programmes.


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Zimdollar: Zanu PF’s Sword of Damocles

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 12, 2013 in Opinion, Politics

What a way to launch an election campaign: calling a senior official in the
office of the South African president who is doing her best to help Zimbabwe’s
recovery a “street woman”, simply because you don’t like the fact that she
is urging parties to keep to what they promised five years ago in the GPA.

This is sovereignty gone sour. What is redeeming is that the majority of
voices in response seem to have repudiated such language and recognise only
too well the role South Africa is playing in putting the country right.

It is a shocking situation that a decent woman with a liberation struggle
background should be subject to the offensive and prejudiced views of a
cantankerous ruler.

It is good to watch this hostility backfire. Women of all stripes have
joined forces to transfer their votes to parties that believe in the
equality of the sexes.
Well done Zanu PF. Now we know what you really think about women. Another
own goal!

Girl power

She could afford to turn the other cheek as Priscilla Misihairabwi-Mushonga
responded in kind: “A man fails to insult other men at the recent Sadc
meeting in Maputo, but has the temerity to insult a woman from South Africa.

“He is saying Zulu is a prostitute because he says she lives on the streets.
After the Sadc meeting in Maputo, he went and coiled in his hotel room, but
now wants to insult and abuse women.”

Ouch! Hell hath no fury like a woman scorned indeed.

Serial losers

What was also enlightening at the weekend was the decision by Zanu PF to
launch its manifesto in Highfield. It wasn’t the nationalist event the
former ruling party was hoping for. The numbers didn’t begin to match the
reception given to Robert Mugabe on his return from Mozambique in 1980. Most
were bussed in from Mbare’s flea and vegetable markets.

And Highfield is no longer the nationalist citadel it once was. Since 2000
it has been in the possession of the MDC-T. Mugabe always votes there as an
act of solidarity. Let’s see if he can sustain his record of losing the
constituency in every election since then!

Still teething 33yrs on

Muckraker was amused by Simon Khaya Moyo trying to excuse his terrible
performance in the Zanu PF primaries.

The party struggled to find ballot boxes, resorting to cutting up cardboard
boxes and pieces of paper. How could SK get away with this level of poor
preparation and incompetent management?

This is the party that has been in power for 33 years but continues to
believe it is indispensable to the nation? It couldn’t, as they say,
organise a pi**-up in a brewery.

SK said that once the voting started they “realised” they didn’t have
sufficient funds for the administration of the primaries.

Remember only too recently Zanu PF also “realised” there were hundreds of
ghost workers in the civil service.

Why did it take so long for them to wake up to this reality when newspapers,
including this one, revealed the extent of the ghost-worker epidemic several
years ago. They were all born on the same day and worked in the same
ministry.

Sword of Damocles

Then Zanu PF threw another gift in the MDC-T’s direction. President Mugabe
said a return to the Zimdollar was not immediately on the cards, giving
credence to the view that it soon would be.

If there’s one thing that unites the nation it is the threat to return to
the currency that impoverished millions of people. Muckraker some years ago
urged Zanu PF to promise to return to the Zimbabwe dollar.

It was a sure election loser for Zanu PF. Mugabe and his gang simply can’t
resist these unproductive nationalist impulses.

The MDC-T needs to spread the word: If it wins, Zanu PF will bring back the
old currency. Watch this space.

Chinese at it again

While Mugabe was speaking in Highfield, media reports stated the Chinese
were busy handing out T-shirts supporting President Mugabe and Zanu PF.

Zanu PF spokesman Rugare Gumbo, however, dismissed the media reports saying
the regalia had been donated to the party by the First Family which “used
its own money to rescue the party after it pleaded financial constraints”.

So it seems the Mugabes are more well-heeled than the revolutionary party.
It’s probably the sanctions’ fault, we presume.

Brings to mind the last days of the reign of Mobutu “King of Zaire” Sese
Seko who would on occasion “donate” money to fund the operations of his
cash-strapped government.

The Chinese would do well to stop interfering in Zimbabwe’s internal
affairs.

Back home in Hong Kong citizens were carrying Union Jacks –– British
flags –– with placards saying “Chinese colonists get out”.
This was to commemorate the transfer from British to Chinese rule in 1997.

Nice to see the Chinese authorities getting the reception they deserved.

They should be addressing the needs of their citizens instead of trying to
win elections for Zanu PF.

Selective amnesia

Upon assuming her position as police spokesperson, Charity Charamba claimed
police do not selectively apply the law nor target MDC-T members.

However, the police’s actions have spoken much louder than her words with
senior officers ordering their subordinates and their next of kin to vote
for Zanu PF with the sanction of dismissal hanging over their heads.

Charamba’s refrain when asked on such inconvenient issues is to profess
ignorance or claim to be “looking into it”.

However, when Solomon Madzore says his party will retaliate to Zanu PF
provocations Charamba springs to life claiming to be “disturbed” by the
comments which she said should be condemned by all “right-thinking and
progressive peace-loving Zimbabweans”.

Strangely Charamba is not “disturbed” when self-professed war veterans like
Jabulani Sibanda or army commanders threaten war if Zanu PF loses the
elections.

Defect to North Korea

Zanu PF is once again up to its old tricks in collusion with ZBC with
stories of alleged defections of MDC-T members to the “revolutionary” party.

This time the so-called defections took place in Bulawayo’s Makokoba
constituency with the new converts citing unfair treatment as the reason for
changing parties.
The defectors, we are told, said they have seen that the MDC-T is a failure
and it is only in Zanu PF that they can find policies which are for the
development of their communities.

A gleeful retired colonel Tshinga Dube, the Zanu PF House of Assembly
candidate for the constituency, welcomed the defectors saying they had
finally “seen the light” by deciding to re-join the party.

Muckraker has a feeling the good colonel will discover they were busy
winking in the dark after the people of Makokoba have their say at the
polls.

Take the hint

Finally we were amused by the front page picture in NewsDay’s Saturday
edition featuring policeman–cum politician Oliver Mandipaka, President
Mugabe and his wife Grace.

Headlined “Grovelling cop”, the picture shows Mandipaka attempting to
schmooze with the Mugabes with a wide grin which, unfortunately, is not
reciprocated by the latter.

Amai Mugabe conspicuously has her hand close to her mouth and nose as if to
relay a message.

All we can say to Cde Mandipaka is take the hint, get a mint.


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Independence is not necessarily freedom

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 12, 2013 in Comment, Opinion

I HAVE an abiding admiration for the brave people of this country who saw it
fit to fight, in whatever form, against settlerism and colonialism. There is
a certain dignity in refusing to live under the bondage of foreigners.

Candid Comment with Brian Mangwende

There are those masses who assiduously set out to resist settler supremacist
racism, and then there are those, like the late Joshua Nkomo, James
Chikerema, George Nyandoro, Ndabaningi Sithole, Robert Mugabe, Eddison
Zvobgo and many others, who more robustly opposed the system.

There are those brothers and sisters in our neighbouring countries, like
Zambia, Botswana, Mozambique, Tanzania and many more who gave us moral and
material support as well as sanctuary during our trying times. Not to forget
those in the East who gave us weapons with which to fight the enemy and
those in the West who were sympathetic to our cause and supported it.

Then there are those who saw it fit to take up arms and bring some measure
of equilibrium against the settlers’ fighting machinery. Many died in the
process, but not in vain.

The dignity that comes with self-determination and self-rule is sometimes
worth dying for. This creed continues even in post-colonial times, in the
event that a country is seized by selfish elites and tyrannical oligarchs.

I take my hat off to all those who made it possible for us to be
independent.

But independence and freedom are not necessarily mutually inclusive. They
are two very distinct ideals that are often conflated. It’s possible to be
independent without being free.

Not everyone who fights for national liberation from colonists necessarily
wants for that liberation to evolve to freedom for the people. Some fight
simply to seize power for themselves, and they will fight tooth and nail
against the very people they purport to have liberated to ensure that
liberation does not metamorphose to freedom.

When a section of those who purport to have brought about liberation use all
sorts of means at their disposal to thwart people’s quest for freedom you
have a new and unanticipated outcome.

All too often former liberation movements resort to oppression to suppress
the same people they claim to have liberated. Africa is replete with such
dispensations.

We have, in Zimbabwe, a few individuals who have re-written contemporary
history in a bid to idealise themselves. These people claim to have
single-handedly liberated Zimbabwe. These individuals have supplanted the
people’s most inalienable right to elect their own leaders and have
arrogated to themselves the right to choose who will rule Zimbabwe.

Given, it matters a lot what role one played in the liberation of the
nation, but that role does not confer on that individual or individuals, the
right to choose for the people who will rule Zimbabwe. Zimbabwe is not a
personal property of anybody. It belongs to all of us who live in it.

As Frantz Fanon said in one of his works: “No leader, however valuable he
may be, can substitute himself for the popular will!”


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Mugabe threats expose policy bankruptcy

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 12, 2013 in Opinion

THE launch of the Zanu PF election manifesto by President Robert Mugabe in
Harare last week exposed his party’s policy bankruptcy and his own critical
lack of content reflected by his brazen resort to threats, insults and an
exhausted nationalist discourse centred on rhetoric about sovereignty and
independence.

Opinion by Pedzisai Ruhanya

What came out clearly is Zanu PF’s lack of a sound campaign platform and a
flawed foreign policy premised on an outdated concept and understanding of
sovereignty.

Mugabe badly spoiled a grand occasion to outline his party’s policies by
hurling insults at Sadc facilitation team leader and South African President
Jacob Zuma’s international relations advisor Lindiwe Zulu using
undiplomatic, demeaning and hate language.

The public expectation was that the president would outline critical policy
issues that would convince citizens to re-elect him and his party in the
coming elections on July 31 given his awful record of superintending a
corrupt and authoritarian public administration for over three decades.

Instead of courting both the domestic and international publics to back his
party and what it stands for in the next election, Mugabe did everything to
scare away supporters and sympathisers as he faces crunch elections by
displaying irrational aggression which has always been part of his style,
but is now overused and repulsive.

By threatening to pull out of Sadc while attacking its mediation team,
especially Zuma’s key envoy, Mugabe was telling voters that his party was
prepared to sever ties with our neighbours and with the country’s leading
trading partner, South Africa, despite the fact that it helped in restoring
political and economic normalcy in Zimbabwe in the past five years.

The important question to ask is: how will Zimbabwe do business with the
rest of Africa if it has no diplomatic and business relations with Sadc,
South Africa in particular?

What kind of investment climate is Mugabe promoting and how will he create
employment which Zanu PF, through its manifesto, says is an important issue.

Unemployment is part of the legacy of Zanu PF’s 33 years of economic and
political assault on the state and its citizens?

It becomes clear that due to old age and lack of foresight, Mugabe is
sacrificing the future of the country and its people by attacking friendly
regional countries that have been assisting Zimbabwe to move out of the
economic and political quagmire that he triggered.

Put simply, Zanu PF’s manifesto is premised on fears of losing power,
arrogance and a failure to acknowledge that Zimbabweans want a future
centred on domestic economic and political stability as well as sound and
cordial international relations with other countries.

Given some level of economic, social and political stability brought about
by the inclusive government that was mainly made possible by regional and
international goodwill, the country needs further consolidation on all these
fronts and not a slide-back to autocracy and economic meltdown.

Political party policies that will secure support as the country prepares
for decisive elections should therefore offer a package of economic and
political stability to millions of disparate and desperate young people who
have no jobs, health insurance and are failing to pay for their education.

Messages of hope, love and a prosperous future are what Zimbabweans expect,
not hurling insults on our neighbours and threatening to pull out of Sadc as
if the country belongs to a political party or to a clueless and corrupt
oligarchy run by geriatrics.

A critical analysis of the Zanu PF 108-page election manifesto entitled The
People’s Manifesto 2013, Taking back the Economy, Indigenise, Empower,
Develop and Create Employment, exposes contradictions worsened by Mugabe’s
ranting.

In the globalisation and regional integration era, how does a country’s
economy grow and later on create jobs through investment drives for millions
of unemployed citizens when the leader of a political party that wants to
retain power preaches isolation and fights with its biggest economic partner
for starters?

The Zanu PF manifesto says that its policies for the next five years are
guided and motivated by what it calls the people’s goals such as
independence, sovereignty, unity, security, respect for the values and
ideals of the liberation struggle, patriotism, gender equality, respect for
the elderly, which is a euphemism for respecting Mugabe and his aging crew,
economic prosperity, education for all as well as freedom and democracy,
among other things.

What is clear from these goals is that they are just dreams and ideals that
the 33 years of Zanu PF and Mugabe’s incumbency have nullified through their
behaviour and policies. The party had promised this before and failed to
deliver.

For instance, how can Zanu PF talk of freedom and democracy when by its
behaviour since 1980 it has abundantly shown that it does not respect the
fundamental civil and political liberties of the citizens by numerous acts
of egregious human rights violations, including the Gukurahundi massacres,
Murambatsvina and violence associated with the sham 2000, 2002 and June 2008
elections.

Zimbabweans cannot believe that a party that does not allow transparent
contests for power internally can promote the same at the national level.
The party’s primary elections were a clear demonstration of its lack of
internal democracy and order.

One of the reasons Zanu PF is grappling with a vicious succession battle is
lack of internal democracy and freedom for members to choose and renew their
leaders.

Worse still, the fielding of Mugabe as the presidential candidate at 89 and
after he has been at the helm of the party leadership since 1977, clearly
shows the authoritarian nature of both the party and its leader.

Simply put, the goals of Zanu PF policies and the actual policy
pronouncements are a cocktail of contradictions, some that are easily
nullified by 33 years of bad governance and most recently by Mugabe’s
outburst at the launch of the election manifesto.

Unlike in the past elections in 2000 and 2002, where the emotive and
legitimate land reform issue was a solid manifesto item in Land is the
Economy, the Economy is Land (despite its simplistic appreciation of the
economy), this time around the indigenisation policy is less attractive,
particularly given that it is riddled with contradictions and corruption
which Mugabe even acknowledged in a birthday speech in March this year.

Zanu PF argues the ideological meaning of indigenisation and empowerment
arises from the historical fact of the country’s independence that is linked
to the liberation struggle. However, empty ideologies that fail to
empirically empower people broadly while creating clienteles would not
assist millions of people without jobs and food on their tables.

While it is not disputed empowerment initiatives are attractive and could
realistically change the lives of people if well executed, what is clear is
only a small group of connected party officials and selected people outside
the party have so far benefitted from this policy. For ordinary people in
the countryside and villages, as well as townships, it is difficult to talk
of the benefits of these elite programmes such as community share ownership
schemes. What is the meaning of a share to a villager in Muzarabani, Binga
or Mwenezi unless it translates into something which uplifts their
conditions of life and well-being?

The manifesto also talks of the achievements in the areas of health,
education and the dollarisation of the economy.

The two areas of health and education, in particular given our high literacy
levels, could have been success stories if Zanu PF’s failed economic
policies of the past decade had not nullified these great foundations. So,
this is just idle talk about what could have been given the collapse of
health and education facilities.

Some of the proposals such as the US$3 billion economic infrastructure
programme which aims to rehabilitate the existing national power grid,
upgrade the transport sector, water supply and sanitation as well as water
storage are sound initiatives, the current failures in these areas can be
put squarely on the Zanu PF regime’s doorstep.

What is clearly missing from the Zanu PF manifesto is the relationship
between these policies and the political regeneration of the party. There is
need for a symbiotic relationship to avoid contradictions that hurt the
economy and the broad institutional renewal of the state.

Zanu PF’s economic policy embraces liberal market values, but in an
authoritarian political set-up. It is about marketisation without
democratisation. These open contradictions and dishonesty in Zanu PF’s
manifesto ahead of elections will not assist the country to move forward in
a world that is changing fast.
Ruhanya is the director of Zimbabwe Democracy Institute.


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Value-addition a must for Zimbabwe’s recovery

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 12, 2013 in Opinion

Among the many operations which could contribute to a substantive recovery
and growth of Zimbabwe’s presently fragile economy would be value-addition
to many of the country’s high quality primary products.

The Erich Bloch Column

Much of the produce that can be forthcoming from the agricultural and mining
sectors would be of exceptionally high quality, internationally favoured and
in demand, whether exported in unprocessed, primary condition, or enhanced
by industrial value-addition.

It is irrefutable that Zimbabwe has the potential to produce considerable
quantities of agricultural produce of an extraordinarily high quality,
including cotton, tobacco, and diverse foodstuffs, but most of that produce
is disposed of in initial form, devoid of any value-addition.

In like manner, the varied minerals with which Zimbabwe is endowed are,
relatively speaking, only minimally mined, and then are exported in their
raw state, instead of undergoing any manufacturing processes which could
considerably enhance their value. This includes, platinum, diamonds, gold,
ferrochrome, palladium, nickel, copper and rhodium.

In the first five months of 2013, Zimbabwe produced in excess of US$83
million of palladium, over US$274 million of gold, more than US$246 million
of platinum, approximately US$54 million of nickel, as well as diverse other
minerals, including diamonds, and those considerable output values achieved
were notwithstanding a fairly substantial decline of most mineral prices
during that period.

However, almost without exception, these revenues were for the minerals in
their raw state, without the enhancement of value through their being wholly
or partially processed prior to export.

Among many opportunities of value-addition to Zimbabwe’s primary products
are:

•Diamond cutting, polishing and manufacture of jewellery.

•Smelting and processing of chrome

•Refining and processing of copper, and manufacture of copper products;and
similarly with many of Zimbabwe’s other minerals. In like manner, great
value-addition could be given to innumerable others of Zimbabwe’s primaries.
For many years textile and clothing manufacture was a key element of the
country’s industrial production, servicing not only domestic consumer
demand, but also very extensive export markets in the region and further
afield.

Concurrently, the economy considerably benefitted through various food
processing operations, whereas now it is very dependent on imports. Zimbabwe
also had a significant timber producing sector, mainly in the eastern
highlands and in Matabeleland North but, to a very considerable extent,
timber was exported without any substantive value-addition, which could have
include production of furniture, door and window frames, doors, flooring,
and much more.

Despite extensive production of textiles and clothing, to a great extent
Zimbabwean cotton was not a key input. Many of the manufacturers used cotton
imported from neighbouring countries, and diverse other imported fibres and
fabrics.

To a great degree, Zimbabwean cotton was exported in a primary state, and
this has consistently been the case in respect of most other primary
products. Concurrently that is so to an even greater extent, notwithstanding
that with the exception of many minerals the extent of production of primary
products has declined considerably, in tandem with the general economic
decline that prevailed from 1997 to 2008.

However, as Zimbabwe pursues a much-needed, considerably greater economic
recovery than has been achieved to date, one factor that could extensively
contribute to such a recovery would be if, concurrently with increasing the
production of primary products (as is already happening in the mining
sector), it would vigorously pursue extensive value-addition to those
products.

Doing so would generate considerable opportunities of the much-needed growth
in employment opportunities, with major economic benefits downstream of the
value-addition enterprises, and progressively enhanced revenue flows to the
fiscus. But, if that is to occur, government must cease its creation of
barriers to value-addition, and instead, facilitate and incentivise such
operations.

The governmentally-created barriers are manifold, including many instances
of highly prohibitive fees and taxes. One of the prime examples of such
barriers was the recently announced annual fee prescribed by the Ministry of
Mines and Mining Development in respect of diamond beneficiation.

Initially, the fee was US$20 000 per annum, but in 2011 it was increased to
US$100 000 and then, with minimal responsiveness to the intending diamond
beneficiation operators representations, in May, 2013 the annual fee was
reduced to US$50 000. At that level the licence fee continues to be a major
hindrance to the establishment of viable diamond processing entities. This
was convincingly contended by Richard Mvududu, chairman of the Diamond
Beneficiation Association of Zimbabwe, who highlighted that it was grossly
disparate with such fees charged by other governments, such as ZAR5000 per
annum in South Africa and BWP100 per annum in Botswana.

As a result, it is impossible for any Zimbabwean diamond processing
operation to be internationally competitive, and hence such operations are
effectively debarred from contributing any substance to Zimbabwe’s economy.

The extent that government’s diamond licensing fees are a deterrent to
Zimbabwe achieving economic well-being was demonstrated by the president of
the Zimbabwe National Chamber of Commerce (ZNCC), when he noted that in
Surat, India, in excess of 60 000 people are employed in value-addition to
Zimbabwean diamonds. That is cataclysmic when in excess of 80% of Zimbabwe’s
employable population is devoid of formal sector employment.

Yet another barrier to Zimbabwe’s economic wellbeing is the total absence of
any export incentive being accorded to Zimbabwean industries. Other
countries provide comprehensive export incentives to their manufacturers. So
doing accords the export products significant price competitiveness in the
countries to which those products are exported, markedly lessening demand
for similar Zimbabwean products.

That barrier is moreover intensified by the Zimbabwean fiscal authorities
imposing excessively high import duties on the manufacturing inputs required
by many of the country’s factories, as a result of which the Zimbabwean
produced goods cannot be price competitive, in the domestic market, against
goods produced in countries that give their manufacturers comprehensive
export incentives.

Similarly, the authorities recurrently fail to facilitate Zimbabwean
industry access to the state-of-the-art technologies which enhance product
quality, production efficiencies, and real competitiveness against the
products of other countries.

At the same time, endless hindrances are raised to foreign investment in
Zimbabwe, which investment would provide the funding resources, technical
expertise, and access to markets, which would stimulate value-addition to
Zimbabwe’s wealth of primary products.


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Reflecting on positive Zimbabwe GNU moments

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 11, 2013 in Opinion

Over the past three years, Zimbabwe has been experiencing a transition.
Although transitions are difficult, they are not impossible. Any government
that wants to change the course of history needs to make difficult political
choices and work hard at implementing them.

Opinion by Leon Hartwell Netherlands diplomat

Several analysts have written about the government of national unity (GNU)’s
shortcomings and disappointments, especially with regards to outstanding
issues in the Global Political Agreement (GPA) that have not been
implemented.

Zimbabwean politicians also sometimes talk about the GNU as if it is a
“marriage of inconvenience” or more scornfully, an “unholy trinity”.
However, failure to reflect on some of the processes and important moments
since the formation of the GNU in 2009 would mean failing to recognise that
Zimbabweans have shaped important values and institutions that can be built
upon.

The economy has stabilised partly as a result of dollarisation, but also
because of the formation of the GNU. It signalled to businesses and
investors that there is the potential for a more stable economic
environment. After years of economic stagnation, the Zimbabwean economy grew
by more than 9% per year in 2010 to 2011 before it slowed down to 5% in
2012.

At a political level, the GNU has exposed the main political parties to
several intense processes of negotiation. Importantly, the GNU gave birth to
several new mechanisms and institutions, including the Joint Monitoring and
Implementation Committee (Jomic) and the new constitution. Working on
developing these institutions helped former enemies to become one another’s
opposition. As political parties are moving ever closer towards the upcoming
elections, one hopes that they will continue to respect and treat one
another as opposition members.

The constitution-making process, especially over the past two years, was
characterised by several moments that are worth mentioning. The second
all-stakeholders conference in 2012 was a merry event. At the opening,
President Robert Mugabe and Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai danced to
Oliver Mtukudzi’s music.

When Constitutional Affairs minister Eric Matinenga opened the second
all-stakeholders conference, he stated that he felt “a sense of political
tolerance” and argued that the Constitution Parliamentary Committee (Copac)
draft was “a product of a collective effort”. Deputy Prime Minister Arthur
Mutambara emphasised that the new constitution will be a matter of
“posterity”.

During their addresses at the second all-stakeholders conference, Mugabe and
Tsvangirai both called for “peace”. Near the end of his speech, Mugabe
stated: “Violence is primitive and here I would like to speak to Zanu PF;
Tsvangirai is your neighbour and to the MDC; Mugabe is your neighbour … Let
us shame our detractors who think Zimbabweans cannot resolve their
differences without resorting to violence.”

When the constitution was introduced in parliament, Copac co-chairs Douglas
Mwonzora and Paul Mangwana cracked jokes across the floor with one another.
They called each other “twins” and one of them remarked that the
constitution-making process was a form of “national healing”.

The fact is that Copac forced political parties, as well as Zimbabweans,
into an intense conversation about the country’s past, present and future.
One would like to believe that this has not been in vain and that many of
these negotiation processes have fostered a culture of compromise and
dialogue.

The above moments throughout the Copac process stand out because it is in
stark contrast to the image of the violence that characterised Zimbabwe in
2008.

Following the referendum in which people overwhelmingly voted in favour of
the new constitution, Zimbabweans now have new lenses to judge one another’s
conduct. The new constitution redefined the relationship between the state
and the individual. After Mugabe signed the Constitutional Bill into law,
Industry and Commerce minister Welshman Ncube remarked: “We finally have a
constitution that we can truly call our own … As we move forward to rebuild
our Zimbabwe, let the challenge be of ensuring that our political and
governance practices measure up to the letter and spirit of this supreme
law.”

In the preamble of the new constitution, it is written: “We, the people of
Zimbabwe, are united in our diversity by our common desire for freedom,
justice and equality, and our heroic resistance to colonialism, racism and
all forms of domination and oppression.”

These values, embedded in the new constitution, were created, not by one man
or one party, but by many Zimbabweans for the benefit of all Zimbabweans.

Chapter 4 of the new constitution consists of the Declaration of Rights.
Many of these rights are well crafted, but they will not bloom by
themselves.

Constitutionalism goes beyond having a new legal framework; it is about its
implementation.

Albie Sachs, an African National Congress liberation hero and former South
African Constitutional Court judge, argues: “It is easy to have beautiful
principles when they aren’t being tested, but isn’t it when they are tested
that they really matter?”

As Zimbabwe moves forward politically, so have relations with the Western
world improved since 2008. In fact, many of the multi-party processes,
including the constitution-making process and Jomic, have been supported by
the Western world.

In recognition of the GNU’s commitments and implementation of the GPA, the
European Union removed and suspended a host of measures against a number of
top Zimbabwean officials and the regional bloc said it would work with any
government formed as a result of a free and fair election.

The United States also recently sent a long-time friend of Zimbabwe,
American civil rights activist Andrew Young, to deliver a strong message
from Secretary of State John Kerry: the United States is ready to normalise
relations with Zimbabwe following free, fair and credible elections.

When politicians fight with one another, it is people who suffer. Today
Zimbabwe has an opportune moment to capitalise on the momentum of the work
that it has done since 2009.

Many Zimbabweans from across the political divide simply want liberty,
peace, and economic prosperity. The power is within this government and the
next to deliver this to the people by focusing on implementation of the new
constitution as well as by hosting free, fair and credible elections.

Hartwell is a senior policy adviser at the Netherlands embassy. He wrote
this article in his personal capacity and the views expressed are his own.


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July 31 polls: History repeats itself

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 12, 2013 in Opinion

Consider, if you will, the following pre-election headlines and press
clippings:

Massive registration of voters by Zanu PF (The Zimbabwean of June 14 2008);

Opposition now ‘mince-meat’ for Zanu PF (AFP, February 4 2008);

Mugabe bends law to retain power (Sapa-AFP (IOL), April 24 2008);

Zec admits voters’ roll ‘in shambles’ (The Standard, March 29 2008);

Opposition reveals rigging plot (Zimbabwe Independent, March 27 2008);

Zim court turns down opposition (Sapa-AFP (IOL), April 14 2008);

Zuma calls for more pressure on Zim (Cape Times (IOL), April 23 2008); and

Chaos mars Zanu PF primary elections in Bulawayo (Zim Online, February 4
2008).

Both MDC factions have expressed surprise at the announcement (of the
election date). “It’s an act of madness and arrogance,” Nelson Chamisa,
spokesperson for the MDC-T told the AFP news agency.

“At the moment the conditions in Zimbabwe do not allow for free and fair
elections and so we are heading towards illegitimacy if we go ahead with the
elections …” (Zimbabwe sets March date for poll, BBC News Online, January 26
2008).

MDC-T leader Morgan Tsvangirai said setting the vote date … was illegal, but
“we will contest” (Commission sets Zimbabwe run-off for June, USA Today
Online, May 16 2008).

The enactment by President Robert Mugabe of Presidential Powers (Temporary
Measures) (Amendment of the Electoral Act) Regulations summarises everything
that is wrong with this election in particular and Zimbabwe in general
(Mugabe can’t play God with us, The Standard March 27 2008).

Press clippings and headlines of this ilk are familiar to anyone keeping
track of the media in the build-up to Zimbabwe’s July 31 elections. However,
all these headlines and clippings are extracted from press reports relating
to the elections of 2008, and not those of 2013.

Given the current brouhaha over the recent announcement of the date of the
elections for 2013, claims of unconstitutionality and the (mis)use of the
Presidential
Powers (Temporary Measures) Act (PPTMA) to amend electoral legislation, it
is worth remembering that Zimbabwe has trodden this path before.

At the beginning of 2008, then South African president and Sadc facilitator,
Thabo Mbeki, was mediating intense negotiations for democratic reforms ahead
of the elections slated for that year. It was believed by Mbeki and the MDC
formations that the reforms would be implemented ahead of the elections so
that the outcome would not be disputed.

In the midst of this mediation, on January 25 2008, Mugabe shocked all
stakeholders by suddenly proclaiming the elections, setting the date as
March 29. It was clear that the agreed reforms could not be in place by
then. The announcement, anticipating the comments made in regard to the
proclamation setting the 2013 election date, drew a furious response from
the MDC formations, with Chamisa referring to the precipitate date as being
a “slap in the face” for Mbeki — somewhat more refined, but similar in
sentiment, to MDC president Welshman Ncube’s infamous comment that the July
31 date effectively told Sadc to “f” off.

In 2008, the use of the PPTMA to amend the Electoral Act also evoked
controversy. Regulations promulgated by Mugabe on March 17 2008, purportedly
using the PPTMA, changed the electoral law so as to allow police officers to
be present in polling stations and to “assist” incapacitated voters.

Only a few months before, parliament had amended the Electoral Act to
exclude police officers from polling stations. Mugabe, a contestant in the
impending poll then, thus overrode the explicit intention of parliament and
restored a legislative provision, the removal of which parliament had deemed
would enhance the democratic integrity of the election.

The use of the PPTMA to amend electoral legislation is unconstitutional. The
constitution then, as now, requires the electoral law to be made by “an Act
of parliament” and not by presidential regulations. An urgent application in
this regard was brought before the High Court ahead of the 2008 election,
challenging the amendment by Mugabe. Justice Antoinette Guvava avoided
dealing with the constitutionality of this use of the PPTMA. She dismissed
the application on technical and procedural grounds.

In so doing, the judge replicated the approach of the Supreme Court in 2002,
ahead of the presidential election of that year. Then, Tsvangirai had
likewise challenged as invalid changes made to the Electoral Act by way of a
regulation and not by an Act of parliament as the constitution requires.

Justice Wilson Sandura, a lone voice on the bench, agreed. Led by Chief
Justice Godfrey Chidyausiku, the remainder of the bench declined to
adjudicate upon the issue, citing a supposed technicality. Even though
Tsvangirai was a contestant in the election, the majority held that he had
no locus standi — that is that he had no interest in the issue and thus
could not bring the application before the court.

When Mugabe lost the first round of the presidential election in 2008, a
flood of illegalities followed, including the run-off election itself. The
result of the first round was withheld. Using a tortured interpretation of
Section 67A of the Electoral Act, which had not been suggested by legal
counsel, and deploying a series of non-sequiturs, Justice Tendai Uchena
declined to order the release of the results when an application to compel
publication came before him.

Section 110 of the then Electoral Act required that a run-off election be
held within 21 days of the election, where no contestant achieved an
absolute majority (that is 50% plus one vote). When 21 days came and went
without the run-off, it was argued that “the election” is not merely the day
of voting, but the entire process up to and including the announcement of
the result — so the 21 days, it was maintained, only commenced once the
result was announced.

Fast forward to May 2013 and the new Constitutional Court (Concourt) orders
that the next election must be held by July 31. The argument that “an
election” means the entire process ending with the announcement of the
result, so vociferously argued in 2008 by the Minister of Justice, Patrick
Chinamasa, and others, is now forgotten. The meaning of “an election”
reverts to being polling day, as it ought, rather than the entire electoral
period. As with 2008, there is an outcry that the date has been set before
reforms are in place.

As with the 2008 presidential run-off, the date set is regarded as
unconstitutional by the MDC parties. The July 31 date allows insufficient
time for the constitutionally required 30-day intensive voter registration
period to be completed. It is uncertain if essential amendments to the
Electoral Act (such as those pertaining to proportional representation) can
pass through parliament in time, as once the election dates are announced by
the president, the new constitution bars any further changes to the
Electoral Act.

“No problem,” says Mugabe. Without warning to, or obtaining the required
consent of cabinet, which he had met but a few hours before, and without
consultation with the Zimbabwe Electoral Commission, as the constitution
requires, Mugabe once more uses the PPMTA to amend the Electoral Act so that
registration is now allowed to continue beyond the sitting of the Nomination
Court, in order that the constitutional requirement of the 30-day intensive
voter registration period can be met. The amendments also include provisions
introducing proportional representation into the Electoral Act — despite the
fact that the new constitution specifically states that such provisions
shall be by way of an “Act of parliament” and not presidential regulations.

The election date is set by a proclamation made on the same day as the
regulations. An outcry about the election dates follows. There is an
application to the
Concourt about the use of the PPTMA to amend electoral legislation. The
judges hearing the matter include Chidyausiku and Guvava, both of whom had
previously avoided dealing with the question of the constitutionality of the
use of PPTMA in this manner, and Justice George Chiweshe, whose past
judgments as to when elections must be held always seem to dovetail with
presidential preference.

As in 2002 and 2008, the judges dismiss the application. The reasons for the
dismissal are yet to be given. But a betting man will wager that when the
judgment is delivered, we will find that the issue has not been dealt with
and the judges have precluded consideration of the point on a technical,
procedural ground.

Thus, it seems that all players — Mugabe, Zanu PF, the MDC parties, Western
countries, Sadc, governance NGOs, etc — are reciting the lines (though not,
apparently, from memory) written for them in 2008. And this is so, not
merely in relation to the date of the election, the use of the PPTMA, and
reforms. They are dutifully repeated in relation to bias in the media, the
voter registration process, accreditation of observers and the security
sector, allegations of rigging, vicious primary battles, fissures and
multiple candidacies, Zanu PF’s hubristic claims of inevitable victory, MDC
parties’ despondency, and party splits and pacts — as a glance at the press
headlines of 2008 will confirm.

Only the European Union has departed slightly from the script, easing
restrictive measures against senior Zanu PF officials, claiming that this is
a “reward” for what it claims are the changes and progress in Zimbabwe’s
polity.

The next few months will reveal whether the drama will continue to unfold
exactly as before, with the penultimate act a descent into chaos and brutal
repression following a Mugabe defeat and the denouement of a second global
political agreement.

Matyszak is a lawyer and senior researcher with the Research and Advocacy
Unit.


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Editor’s Memo: A million ripples of change

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 12, 2013 in Opinion

AS Zimbabwe’s parties brace for mortal electoral combat, it is worth
reminding ourselves of an earlier struggle that took place in the region
where there was also an American presence inspiring and driving the process
of change.

Editor’s Memo by Iden Wetherell

President Barack Obama recalled this recent history as he couched his
address at the University of Cape Town two weeks ago in the language of the
struggle in which he was raised. Obama quoted at length Bobby Kennedy’s 1966
address on the same platform and in the teeth of similar reactionary
repression.

Kennedy, brother of a slain president, was the guest of Nusas, the South
African national students union, and his soaring rhetoric had as its
framework the movement for racial equality in the segregationist south.

This would not have been lost on supporters of the anti-apartheid movement
of the 1960s, especially student activists on the country’s campuses. But 47
years on, it also served to connect Obama to the students of today and to
the struggle for democracy in those African regimes that, like Zimbabwe,
deny their people elementary freedoms of assembly, association and
expression.

Kennedy’s speech, of which a recording survives, inspired a generation of
student radicals and saw their leaders severely punished for inviting the
former US attorney-general to South Africa.

They were banned from having any contact with other students.

Kennedy’s theme, as relevant now as then, has remained a powerful statement
of commitment to freedom. All small things amount to something big if given
the chance, he argued. He was assassinated in 1968 while on the campaign
trail and was thought likely to win the 1968 election.

Obama quoted him at length but this is the central point.

“Each time a man stands up for an ideal, or acts to improve the lot of
others, or strikes out against injustice, he sends forth a tiny ripple of
hope, and crossing each other from a million different centres of energy and
daring, those ripples build a current which can sweep down the mightiest
walls of oppression and resistance.”

Tony Leon in his Business Day column quoted Obama as providing this warning:
“There are some who advocate for democracy only when they are out of power.
Once in power they are ruthless in suppressing the rights of others…
Government of the people by the people sets a single standard for all who
hold power: you must maintain your power through consent, not coercion; you
must respect the rights of minorities and participate with a spirit of
tolerance and compromise; you must place the interests of your people and
the legitimate workings of the political process above your party.”

In that statement Obama had a message for us all, and it is one that
cascades down the passage of time rippling out in different directions. It
is very simply that democratic change cannot be resisted indefinitely and,
as in Egypt which erupted as Obama gave his address at UCT, it becomes part
of the inspirational process that speaks truth to power.

As our election approaches we should remember that. Already there are signs
that the electoral process faces formidable challenges. Of particular
concern to those of us in the media is the way in which the public media has
been unashamedly abused by the former ruling party to advance its
exclusivist agenda. Radio and television transmission have been usurped to
serve Zanu PF’s narrow electoral needs. Daily, a torrent of poisonous
propaganda emanates from Pockets Hill which offers no space to other
contending parties and views.

This is not only unprofessional, it runs contrary to the agreement between
the parties signed in 2008. If Zimbabwe is to have a resemblance of
democratic order it needs to have media diversity so voters can make an
informed choice at the polls. At present the only voice heard across the
land is that of President Mugabe’s party.

While the new constitution outlaws hate speech, Zimpapers’ publications
promote Zanu PF’s sclerotic cause while relentlessly excoriating the MDC-T.

Obama’s warnings on the need for incumbent regimes to maintain power through
consent, not coercion came at exactly the right moment. That is a message
all should hear.


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Polls’ credibility already damaged

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

July 12, 2013 in Comment, Opinion

NOW that all political parties are geared for the general elections
scheduled for July 31, it is time to assess the credibility and legitimacy
of the polls Zimbabweans will be participating in as they seek to break an
over-a-decade political stalemate triggered by disputed results since 2000.

The Zimbabwe Independent Editorial.

Following the bloody June 2008 presidential election run-off and the
rejection of President Robert Mugabe’s fake victory, the Global Political
Agreement (GPA), which led to the formation of the current coalition
government, was signed to provide the country with a respite to prepare for
fresh free and fair elections.

The GPA was basically a roadmap to elections, with necessary reforms and
signposts showing what needed to be done before peaceful and credible polls
were held.

Throughout the four-year tenure of the inclusive government, parties,
principals and Sadc leaders, via their facilitator South African President
Jacob Zuma and their summits, battled to implement the GPA reforms and the
attendant roadmap, although Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai lost the plot
and allowed Mugabe to defy demands for reform while regrouping to subvert
the people’s will.

Sadc leaders, guided by the GPA roadmap, Zuma and the regional body’s
principles and guidelines governing democratic elections, did their best
until the very last minute as shown by their recent Maputo summit where the
two MDC parties tried to close the stable door after the horse had bolted.

Despite that some reforms, particularly the new constitution, were delivered
by the wrangling coalition government, some key issues were not addressed to
ensure free and fair elections. The state machinery which organises or has a
bearing on the electoral process, including the Zimbabwe Electoral
Commission, Registrar-General’s office, military, judiciary and public
media, remain intact, meaning the people accused of manipulating and rigging
elections remain in place.

Having been allowed off the hook, the recidivist Mugabe started acting
unilaterally to force through elections on his own terms. Thus on June 13 he
proclaimed July 31 as the election date after a controversial Constitutional
Court (Concourt) ruling which demanded polls be held by that date.

Events have shown clearly Zanu PF was behind the dubious application which
led to the flawed ruling that will have a far-reaching impact on the
electoral process and election outcome.

Even though Concourt judges, who always rule in favour of Mugabe before
every election, claimed his proclamation and amendments to the Electoral Act
were proper, lawyers maintain they were unconstitutional and illegal.

These aberrations, coupled with voter registration chaos and
disenfranchisement of thousands who were not registered, means this election
is fraught with illegalities that seriously threaten citizens’ rights to
freely and fairly participate in the democratic process.

Given how messy the electoral process has been, it is clear the credibility
and legitimacy –– naturally including the possible outcome –– of the
elections has been badly damaged.


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