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Deadlocked election talks to resume in Zimbabwe

Yahoo News

by Susan Njanji Thu May 1, 10:10 PM ET

HARARE (AFP) - Deadlocked all-party talks hosted by Zimbabwe's electoral
commission were due to resume on Friday in Harare with the opposition
claiming an outright victory over President Robert Mugabe in a March 29
poll.

Election officials told the closed-door meeting on Thursday that opposition
leader Morgan Tsvangirai had won 47.8 percent and Mugabe had won 43.2
percent, several sources present at the talks told AFP.

But the Movement for Democratic Change party presented its own figures
claiming Tsvangirai had won 50.3 percent, just scraping past the threshold
needed to avoid a second round run-off, the sources added.

The talks were due to restart at 0700 GMT but the disagreement paves the way
for further delays to the final results of a vote that took place nearly
five weeks ago as the opposition compares its own tally with the official
one.

Tsvangirai, who is currently in South Africa, insisted in an interview on
Thursday he saw no need for a run-off. But refusal to participate in a
second round would hand victory on a plate to his 84-year-old rival Mugabe.

Tsvangirai, whose party wrested control of parliament from Mugabe's ZANU-PF
party in legislative polls also held on March 29, said he won a "decisive"
victory and doubted the credibility of any official results given the
delays.

Based on results from individual polling stations, the MDC has "come up with
a result which we feel is credible. That result gives us a decisive victory
so there's no need for a run-off," Tsvangirai told the news channel France
24.

The former trade union leader also accused Mugabe of being a dictator and of
unleashing a wave of violence against the opposition, which he said made it
impossible for a second round of voting to be free and fair.

Zimbabwean and international rights groups say attacks by pro-government
militias are aimed at instilling fear in MDC ranks. The MDC says 20 of its
supporters have been killed by pro-government militias since the vote.

The United States Thursday urged Mugabe to "call off his dogs" who are
allegedly attacking opposition supporters and to release the presidential
election results.

State Department deputy spokesman Tom Casey said there had been "an
absolutely unconscionable and inexplicable delay in the process of releasing
votes."

Casey said he believed it would be "almost be impossible to hold" a fair
run-off election "given the current campaign of state-orchestrated violence
and intimidation" against the opposition in particular and Zimbabweans in
general.

"First of all, what we need to have happen is to have President Mugabe call
off his dogs and cease his security services and his supporters' attacks on
those who are simply trying to express their views peacefully," he said.

A first-round defeat would be a major blow to Mugabe, a former guerrilla
leader and hero of Africa's national liberation movements who has ruled the
former British colony since independence in 1980.

Already reeling from his party losing parliament for the first time in 28
years, it would leave him at his weakest point since coming to power amid a
spiralling economic crisis in Zimbabwe, where inflation is at 165,000
percent.

However, his control of the security apparatus has led the MDC to conclude
that he will intimidate voters into giving him a sixth term in office in a
run-off which should take place within three weeks of results being
announced.

Tsvangirai has been out of the country for most of the time since the
election, trying to drum up diplomatic support across southern Africa,
although he indicated he will return after the results became clear.

Former finance minister Simba Makoni, who is believed to have come a distant
third in the polls, is widely expected to back Tsvangirai in any second
round. A fourth candidate, Langton Towungana, is unlikely to get even one
percent.


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Wade sends enjoy to Mugabe to ask for results

Zimbabwe Metro

By Staff ⋅ May 1, 2008
Senegal President sent his foreign minister to Zimbabwe on Thursday to help
mediate the country’s growing political crisis. He met with Robert Mugabe
for two hours Thursday and urged the quick release of results more than a
month after the vote.

“Mugabe reassured President Wade that he will accept the results of the
second round without any hesitation and invited the opposition to pledge the
same,” Senegalese Foreign Minister Cheikh Tidiane Gadio said in the
statement.

Zimbabwe Electoral Commission has said the presidential election will be
forced into a second round, even though no official results have been
released from the March 29 poll.

The opposition Movement for Democratic Change has rejected a runoff,
insisting that their candidate won outright with more than 50 percent of the
vote and refusing to participate in a second round they say will be rigged
to ensure Mugabe’s victory.

“For President Mugabe, the opposition and its supporters must not only
accept the results proclaimed by the Zimbabwe Electoral Commission, they
must also enter into the second round in good faith and with the firm desire
to accept the verdict of the people delivered in an election that is
transparent, free and democratic, without the possibility of dispute,” Gadio
said in the statement.

Gadio said Mugabe “thanked President Wade for his counsel on the urgency of
releasing presidential results,” without giving details as to the Zimbabwean
president’s response.

The public pressure by Senegal stands in contrast to an earlier visit by
South African President Thabo Mbeki, who urged patience while results were
being verified.

Senegal’s foreign minister also met with Mbeki later Thursday in South
Africa. Mbeki said he welcomed Senegal’s help in the mediation, the
statement said.

Zimbabwe’s longtime ruler pledged Thursday to accept the verdict of any
runoff vote and called on the opposition to do the same, Senegalese
officials said.


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Did the weapons go through Angola?

Mail and Guardian

Mandy Rossouw, Nic Dawes and Jason Moyo

02 May 2008 06:00

For a massive ship that carries tons of ammunition and has its
own cranes on board, the controversial Chinese ship carrying arms for
Zimbabwe is about as easy to pin down as a cockroach in a dark, damp cellar.

The An Yue Jiang is carrying three million rounds of ammunition
for AK-47s, 1 500 rocket-propelled grenades and several thousand mortar
rounds. The cargo was destined for Zimbabwe, where the opposition Movement
for Democratic Change (MDC) says violence is at its worst since the country
became independent.

Maritime and arms-control experts could only speculate on the
whereabouts of the Chinese Ocean Shipping Company (Cosco) cargo ship this
week, which was meant to be heading back to China. It has managed to stay
under the radar after leaving South African waters, but was spotted near the
Angolan coast on April 25.

On Wednesday the International Transport Workers' Federation
(ITF) said the An Yue Jiang was still outside the port of Luanda but had
neither docked nor shown signs of returning to China.

"It appears that the ship slowed right down over the weekend,
probably while it awaited orders. The fact that it then made full speed for
Luanda suggests that it got them. We trust that they will be for it to take
on fuel and make their way home and that no attempt will be made to land any
of its cargo of arms.

Given the lack of any definitive promise from Cosco or the
Chinese government to this effect, we can promise that the world will be
watching what happens next," ITF general secretary David Cockroft said.

Lloyds Maritime Information Unit (Lloyds MIU), which monitors
shipping worldwide, told the Mail & Guardian on Wednesday that according to
its tracking records the vessel docked at Luanda airport, refuelled and then
set sail again.

This series of events is supported by the Angolan government,
which insists the ship docked in Luanda but was allowed only to offload
construction material destined for Angola.

The exact location of the ship could not be given by Lloyds MIU
as the captain repeatedly switches off the vessel's transponder, which can
be detected by maritime authorities.

There is some scepticism about a promise by Angolan President
Jose Eduardo dos Santos that the arms would not be offloaded in Angola.

Newspaper reports this week said that Malawian and Zimbabwean
intelligence officials and politicians made their way to Angola to meet Dos
Santos.

The M&G has learned that Mugabe's right-hand man, Cabinet
minister Emmerson Mnangagwa, was accompanied by the country's top spy,
Happyton Bonyongwe, and other security figures on his quest to deliver a
"special message" to Dos Santos this week.

"I think people also underestimate the basis of some of our
alliances in the region," a senior Zimbabwean diplomat who was involved in
the Mnangagwa mission said. He pointed to a decade-old "military pact"
between Zimbabwe with Angola and Namibia.

Many top government officials this week said they believed
Mnangagwa would lean on these old military alliances to persuade Angola to
allow the release of arms held aboard the An Yue Jiang. Meanwhile, other
sources said that a Chinese air cargo company, MK Air, might be involved in
transporting the An Yue Jiang's arms to Zimbabwe. The MK Air flight lodged a
suspicious flying plan from Luanda that might have allowed it time to divert
to Zimbabwe, said sources in the arms-control industry.

The flight last Saturday from Luanda to a European destination
was "lost" for at least 17 hours on its leg between Luanda and Entebbe in
Uganda. This gap would have given the aircraft time to make it to Zimbabwe
and then on to Entebbe.


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Let’s stop making excuses for Mugabe

The Zimbabwe Times

By Aneni Mada

AS FAR back as I can remember in my 28-year life, there have always been
questions about the policies and the governance of Zimbabwe.

Something else I can remember clearly is how these complaints have always
been accompanied or responded to by people who had a knack for blaming
everybody else but the man leading Zimbabwe, Robert Mugabe. It has always
been, “It’s the people around him”, or “It is the ‘yes men’ around him who
block anyone else from telling him the truth.”

Today is April 29 and it is now exactly a month after people voted in a
presidential election whose results have still to be announced. As Jonathan
Moyo rightly said, it has to be a world record.

I may not have any experience with how a presidential State House functions
but I do know how people think and also how they normally act. People
question things that do not happen according to simple logic and people are
often suspicious and are not always receptive of everything they are told,
especially when they are surrounded by evidence of things going wrong.

In the circumstances, anyone who claims that Mugabe does not know that he is
unpopular is peddling lies. Anyone who claims Mugabe does not know that he
lost the election on March 29 and is waiting to be told by some people who
are apparently trying to figure out how to tell him is shamefully deceiving
himself or herself. To continue to think like this is  to admit that Robert
Mugabe, the man the world has thought to be the revolutionary President of
Zimbabwe and the 'strong man' of pan-Africanism, has not been in charge and
is a pawn of the whims of army generals, police commissioners and Jabulani
Sibanda.

I have to admit I was sad to read an article saying Jabulani Sibanda and
Joseph Chinotimba are the reason why Mugabe lost the election because they
led him to think he was popular. If Mugabe truly believed the word of
Sibanda and Chinotimba then it is only Mugabe himself who deceived himself.
There was ample evidence for Mugabe to realise that he was taking a gamble
by standing as a candidate in this election.

His candidature was not the most popular in his own y and he had to hold two
congresses to push himself through. Even after those efforts, the fact that
he had to rely on Jabulani Sibanda, unconstitutionally bringing him back
into the party from suspension (or was it expulsion?), to do his bidding
should have signaled to him that he was gambling with his future There is
evidence to show Mugabe knew that he was in trouble.

There were many reports in the media before the elections about the reduced
numbers

of supporters attending Mugabe’s rallies. He spoke to large numbers of
non-voting school

kids, who were brought in to beef up the crowds. He urged them to vote for
Zanu-PF and

him, knowing that this audience would not help him on election day.

Now, if anyone tells me that Mugabe, a veteran politician who has been on
the campaign

trail for as far back as I can remember Zimbabwean politics, could not see
the difference,

then his 84 years of life have caught up with him. I am worried about being
led by such

a person as President.

Mugabe’s veteran politician status makes him very knowledgeable about the
normal

political situation in Zimbabwe. Zimbabweans are not used to waiting for
election

results for over 72hrs without knowing who won. If Mugabe did or does not
know the

results and has not asked why the results have not been announced following
the usual

pattern then Zimbabwe has been without leadership for a longer time than the
past 32

days.

Obvious questions that he as President should have asked are: what are the
results and

what is the cause of the delay in announcing them? Another important to ask
would be;

why are our people now bringing up “incriminating” documents about the MDC
after the

elections and why did they not present them before the elections?

Apparently Mugabe is not bothered by these pertinent and important questions
and is

listening only to a few people who are telling him what they think he wants
to hear.

My question now is: Are we talking about the very same person who is
supposed to be

highly educated and a cunning politician?

The worst headline I have seen on this same deceptive line has been that
Mugabe was

willing to leave but was blocked by the security chiefs. I have no problem
with the basic

line of argument here but I think this it presents Mugabe as an unwilling
player in

continuing to disregard democracy and the will of the people of Zimbabwe.
Simple

questions should have been asked. What did Mugabe mean when he said, “Voting
for

MDC is wasting votes. Why did Mugabe not attend the SADC summit in Lusaka as
he

did last year in Tanzania? Why has Mugabe not denounced violence but has
instead

implicitly endorsed the beating, maiming and killing of Zimbabweans for
exercising their

democratic right?

What did Mugabe mean by saying on April 18 2008, “Nothing, absolutely
nothing is

going to change?"

For me the answers to these questions present someone those who has been
blaming everything on people around Mugabe with a Mugabe they cannot relate
to but who in fact is the man who has ruled Zimbabwe for 28 years. While I
do not deny the influence of JOC and Zanu-PF partisans, I think it is an
injustice to the brutalized people of Zimbabwe to imply that Mugabe is an
unwilling and unknowing player in all this. Publishing articles that put the
blame on anybody else without making Mugabe also responsible is also an
injustice.

Finally, speaking of world records, Mugabe knows without a doubt that
Zimbabwe has an official 164 900 percent inflation, a world record, and that
the country is on its knees.

I believe Mugabe reads The Herald everyday. Even The Herald can no longer
hide the chaotic state of the economy and social services and any leader who
reads these realities daily and still does not see himself as being
responsible is deceiving himself.

Zimbabwe needs a realist at the helm yesterday. If anyone making an excuse
for Mugabe cannot see the damage on the country in such thinking then we
have the leadership we deserve! Let us stop pretending we can make Mugabe
the person we want him to be and focus on rebuilding the beautiful country
that is Zimbabwe


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Blood on Mugabe's and War Veterans' Hands

OhMyNews

[Opinion] Zimbabwe's Zanu (PF) President an antithesis of
freedom

Isaac Hlekisani Dziya

     Published 2008-05-02 10:26 (KST)

Zimbabwe's illegal President Robert Mugabe has exposed his and his
party's monstrous and decadence, more clearly in the month from the time of
the Presidential and Parliamentary Elections of March 29 to today, almost
four weeks later.

One can clearly observe how March 29 and subsequent events, including
the refusal to accept the verdict of the voters and beating them up, were a
manifestation of a Mugabe and the Zanu (PF) leadership's belief that they a
somehow superior to the rest of Zimbabweans.

The way Zimbabwean history has been presented by Mugabe and his mass
communication institutions tells us and has shaped the way Zimbabweans view
their country. Zimbabweans view their country and the world around them in
an doctrinaire manner, reducing their objective judgement and leading them
to a very narrow analysis of their current reality.

As Zimbabweans we have been left with a tendency to remain docile,
somehow believing that the crusades of the liberation war heroes have who
led us out of colonial bondage now deserve to hold us under their own
bondage -- we their own kinsmen who show a base understanding of kindness,
compassion, love and equality.

The liberation cortege seems itself on a higher plane of liberties and
rights and do not have to be bound by these universal values.

True commitment to ending this crisis in Zimbabwe now requires a
global human rights campaign which will make the illegal government realize
that the voice of the people does indeed matter, and cannot be ignored.

If we had the courage to do this, notwithstanding the pain it will
bring on the rest of the population, the power would shift automatically
from the politicians, to the majority of the population.

People in the West and the rest of the world are truly and generally
interested in the realisation of universal freedom, however a lot of people
in Zimbabwe are dying while putting their faith in this solidarity being
translated into action.

Indeed they have every right to expect it since the education system
has taught us that after World War Two world leaders made a pact to say
never again would any government be allowed deprive its people of
fundamental freedoms, like the right to choose their own leaders.

The reluctance to accept this responsibility, as expressed by the
Security Council's failure to agree, even to sending an envoy or a
fact-finding mission to an obvious cesspool of Robert Mugabe's cruelty to
other human beings, is indeed buffing to Zimbabweans.

The Zanu (PF) spokesperson George Charamba on April 28, 2008 through
The Herald (Harare) categorically stated that his party is alive of its
killing machinery: "... we know blood, indeed we easily tell the smell of
gunpowder, the sound of projectiles looking for targets. We have seen and
fought wars, including a long one which founded us as a sovereign people, a
sovereign nation."

One is bound to ask whose sovereignty Charamba is rattling on about
when the rest of the Zimbabwe population is held to ransom by those who
claim to have brought sovereignty.

The collective voice of the people wanting change has been massaged
through intelligent and criminal vote rigging. This has been exacerbated by
the beatings and the torture of opposition supporters into quite submission
as they do not hold any weapons with which to defend themselves.

The opposition Movement for Democratic Change accuses Mugabe of using
the delay to rig a second round run-off through fraud and intimidation.

And human rights groups, international media, and independent monitors
have also confirmed that Mugabe has launched a campaign of violence and
intimidation in an attempt to swing the second round, if ever there is going
to be one, in his favour.

There is no integrity or dignity left for the Zimbabwe populace that
continue to be assaulted on all fronts by this illegal government. The
situation gets worse each passing day. The Zanu (PF) government carries on
with reckless and dangerous abandon. These men have gotten carried away with
the taste of power, as they now know no other life.

The Zimbabwe Electrical Commission has proved its lack of independence
by delaying the announcing of the election results. It has proved by its
acquiescence that it has been working on the instructions of the illegal
Harare regime.

The now announced results have proved what we feared would happen. If
Mugabe had won, an announcement would have been made so quickly that it
would have defied any logic. In the past when Zanu (PF) won, the
announcements were always made within three days, not 30 days!

The illegal Zimbabwe government is slowly becoming the perpetrator of
genocide against its own people. True! The illegal Zimbabwe regime is arming
combatants under the pretext of fighting so-called western imperialism. What
a shame, when the people are crying out for their rights, Zanu (PF) has done
all these ugly things, unhindered by anyone in the neighbourhood.

Zimbabwe should not be allowed to slip into the kind of violence that
hit Kenya after disputed elections in December last year, notwithstanding
that Mugabe's security forces are likely to quickly crack down on any
unrest.

The propaganda machinery, The Herald, has already started whipping up
the atmosphere for a planned escalation, by reporting that opposition
activists, villagers with no weapons, are attacking armed soldiers! And the
custodians of world security a believing this!

God help us.


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Tsvangirai To Contest In Run-off

Zim Independent

Local
Thursday, 01 May 2008 21:52

MAIN opposition Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) leader Morgan
Tsvangirai will contest the looming presidential election run-off despite
his public remarks to the contrary.
This came as the presidential election candidates or their agents
yesterday met Zimbabwe Electoral Commission (ZEC) officials to tackle the
crisis triggered by the withholding of results — more than a month later —
due to a demand by President Robert Mugabe for a recount of the votes.

Yesterday’s emergency meeting took place against a backdrop of a fresh
problem sparked off by ZEC’s leakage of official results to defeated Zanu PF
leaders who in turn passed them on to the international media in a bid to
sustain their pursuit for a run-off.

ZEC and Zanu PF were anxious to ward off mounting pressure for results
to come out and build a case for a run-off, especially against a background
of MDC’s claims that Tsvangirai had won the election outright.

“The result gives us a decisive victory so there’s no need for a
run-off,” Tsvangirai told France 24 from Johannesburg yesterday. “How can
you have a run-off when Mugabe over the last month has been unleashing
violence, death squads and violence against our structures?”

The MDC says Zanu PF has deployed state security forces — the army,
police and intelligence units — across the country to campaign for Mugabe.

This, it says, has triggered a wave of violence nationwide, which has
claimed more than a dozen lives and left a climate of fear. A bruising
political campaign is expected in the run-up to the run-off.

Although Tsvangirai insisted he would not enter a run-off, information
gleaned from documents on the deal between the two MDC factions to work
together in parliament shows he will take on Mugabe in the second round.

“This agreement is premised on the underlying assumption that Morgan
Tsvangirai has either won the 2008 Zimbabwean presidential elections held on
29 March 2008, or will face a ‘run-off’ election,” the MDC agreement says.

“In the event of a ‘run-off’ election, the parties undertake to
campaign together to ensure that Tsvangirai wins the ‘run-off’ election.”

According to ZEC results, Tsvangirai got 47,8% and Mugabe 43,2% of the
vote. Simba Makoni and Langton Towungana shared the difference.

This means officially a run-off would now follow within 21 days after
the official announcement of the results.

The results leaked to the foreign media this week were the same as
those given to the candidates yesterday.

The MDC said it was shocked by the conduct of ZEC and Zanu PF
officials, who after failing to release figures for more than a month,
leaked the results to the ‘hostile media’.

Candidates, due to meet again today, were given results but had to
enter a secrecy pledge not to leak the already known figures.

Verification by the candidates would begin today and may last a number
of days.

The MDC accord shows that Tsvangirai — who indicated he would come
back home after announcement of results — will battle Mugabe in the run-off.

The MDC agreement — facilitated by exiled local tycoon Strive Masiyiwa
based in South Africa — was finalised this week.

The reunification of the MDC in parliament effectively relegated Zanu
PF to opposition benches, while ensuring Mugabe is in the meantime the
leader of the official opposition.

The two MDC formations reached the deal meant to secure control of the
House of Assembly in the aftermath of elections which produced a hung
parliament.

None of the parties was able to win an absolute  majority to be in
command of parliament on its own. This led to cooperation between MDC
factions.

The MDC factions have also agreed to reunify to revert to being a
single party within a year.

In terms of their agreement, titled Coalition and Cooperation
Agreement, the parties agreed to work together not just in parliament, but
also in other platforms, including during the anticipated presidential
election run-off.

“The parties acknowledge that they are two separate formations, but
for purposes of consummating this agreement, the parties irrevocably agree
and undertake to vote as one, in the legislature,” the document says.

The parties agreed to have one chief whip and caucus; to vote together
in parliament; to elect a Speaker of Parliament, nominated by the MDC
(Tsvangirai) and a deputy speaker from MDC (Mutambara).

Initially it was agreed that Mutambara’s faction would provide its
deputy leader Gibson Sibanda as the speaker, but it was later changed.

There had been suggestions that Welshman Ncube be the speaker but
officials in the Tsvangirai camp refused.

The Mutambara camp would now provide the deputy speaker and chief whip
of the united MDC.

However Sibanda could be appointed President of Senate, sources said
yesterday.

Arrangements in senate depend on whether Tsvangirai wins the run-off
or not.

The MDC factions also agreed not less than two parliamentary committee
chairpersons would be from the Mutambara group which would be fully
represented in all parliamentary committees.

“Tsvangirai in exercising his prerogative to form a new government in
Zimbabwe, and to make legislative appointments, undertakes and agrees to
include some elected legislators and leaders from MDC (Mutambara) into his
government,” it says.

The agreement says there would be two cabinet ministers from the MDC
(Mutambara) and four deputy ministers assigned by Tsvangirai in main
ministries “substantially involved in the transformation process”.

Tsvangirai, if he wins the run-off, would also appoint two senators
from the Mutambara camp to facilitate the agreement. Tsvangirai will have
powers to appoint five senators.

Mutambara’s group will also get not less than five ambassadors, two of
which are in Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development nations,
which are well-developed, and one in a significant developing country.

Tsvangirai has offered to appoint one governor of the three
Matabeleland provinces from the Mutambara formation.

“In the event of any vacancy arising in any of the positions for any
reason whatsoever, including but not limited to death, dismissal,
incapacity, resignation, promotion and/or demotion, Tsvangirai, as
president, shall be required to appoint a replacement from nominees of MDC
(Mutambara), within 30 days of such vacancy occurring,” the agreement says.

“The parties hereby agree that they will have an irrevocable right and
option to re-unify the two parties.

The re-unification may take place within a period of 12 months from
the effective date.”

By Dumisani Muleya


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Police Intensify NGO Raids

Zim Independent

Local
Thursday, 01 May 2008 21:46

POLICE this week intensified their crackdown on civil society by
arresting employees of a humanitarian organisation, Action Aid.
The non-governmental organisation’s acting director Anne Chipembere,
senior programmes officer Precious Shumba and three other employees were
arrested in Mayo, Manicaland, by police officers from the Law and Order
department.

Police spokesperson Wayne Bvudzijena confirmed the arrests, but said
the five Action Aid employees had since been released.

“Investigations are still underway,” said Bvudzijena. “We came across
these guys in Mayo and we are interested in finding out the nature of their
business.”

Earlier this week the police asked to see Zimbabwe Election Support
Network director (Zesn) Rindai Chipfunde-Vava following last week’s raid on
the organisation’s Harare offices.

The police seized election-related material from the offices.

Noel Kutukwa, the chairperson of Zesn, on Monday handed himself over
to the police and has since been requested to submit the organisation’s
financial and banking accounts and a written description of the network’s
operations.

He was also asked to give an explanation on the role of Zesn in the
March 29 elections.

The National Association for Non-Governmental Organisations yesterday
said in the last two weeks similar raids were carried out at Crisis
Coalition, Centre for Research and Development, and Plan International
offices in Mutoko.

More than 200 MDC activists were last Friday rounded up by armed riot
police at the party’s Harvest House headquarters in central Harare.

However, High Court Judge Anne-Mary Gowora on Monday ordered their
release after MDC lawyers successfully argued that the search warrant which
was used to carry out the raid was vague.

Jeremiah Bamu, who represented the MDC members, provided the Zimbabwe
Independent with a copy of the search warrant which says the police raided
the MDC offices in order to search for articles called “suspicious people”.

“It refers to such suspicious people as articles in the possession of
or under the control of the MDC or any unlawful occupiers in Harvest House
which are concerned or believed to be used in the commission or suspected
commission of an offence or contravening Section 36 of the Criminal law,”
Bamu said in his founding affidavit.

“It is inhuman and degrading to refer to any person as an article. It
is denigrating and demeaning to the human status and must be frowned upon
and condemned in the strongest censure possible. All human beings are born
equal in dignity and status .It is therefore quite offending to the virtue
of humanity to refer to any human as an object or article.”

Bamu added: “The phrase ‘suspicious’ is too broad and vague for
comfort. There is no criteria set to identify what constitutes suspicious.
It is not clear in whose eyes the suspiciousness or otherwise of the people
is to be measured. As a result, anyone can be indsciminately rounded up
depending on the caprious whims of whoever deems that person to be
suspicious for that moment.”

Meanwhile Human Rights Watch this week accused Zimbabwe’s army of
working with ruling party militants to unleash “terror and violence” against
dissent.

This comes amid claims by the Morgan Tsvangirai-led MDC that at least
20 of its supporters have been killed since the March 29 elections in
politically motivated violence.

In a statement, the New York-based group joined other international
rights watchdogs and the MDC in linking violence since a disputed
presidential vote to the security forces and “war veterans”.

The war veterans are loyal to President Robert Mugabe and have roots
in the nation’s Independence struggle.

“Mugabe’s regime has countered that the opposition groups are
responsible for the violence,” the statement read. “Authorities have even
arrested scores of people, including women and their nursing babies, who the
opposition says had taken shelter from violence in the countryside at its
headquarters in Harare.”

The High Court on Monday ordered everyone arrested at its headquarters
last week to be freed.

“The army and its allies — ‘war veterans’ and supporters of the ruling
party Zanu PF — are intensifying their brutal grip on wide swathes of rural
Zimbabwe to ensure that a possible second round of presidential elections
goes their way,” Georgette Gagnon, Africa director at Human Rights Watch,
said in the statement.

Neither the army chief nor a government spokesman could be reached for
immediate comment.

By Lucia Makamure


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Tsvangirai Rejects Makoni In GNU

Zim Independent

Local
Thursday, 01 May 2008 21:35
MDC leader Morgan Tsvangirai has rejected a proposal by Sadc and the
United States to form a government of national unity (GNU) with former
Finance minister Simba Makoni as one of its key members.

Impeccable sources told the Zimbabwe Independent that Tsvangirai last
Thursday told the US assistant secretary of state for African Affairs
Jendayi Frazer in Pretoria that the MDC did not want Makoni to be part of a
government of national unity or a transitional one.

The sources said Frazer had suggested that Tsvangirai should work with
Makoni and Zanu PF to come up with a GNU as a solution to the country’s
deepening political crisis heightened by the failure of the Zimbabwe
Electoral Commission to announce the results of the March 29 presidential
poll.

Apart from the US, Sadc is reportedly also pushing for a GNU, or a
transitional government, in Zimbabwe and want Makoni to play a crucial role
in its formation.

Sadc leaders think that a presidential election run-off would not
resolve the current situation but only worsen it.

This view is shared by some in Zimbabwe.

The MDC does not want the run-off because it says Tsvangirai won
outright in the first round.

“Tsvangirai rejected the idea of Makoni becoming part of his
government,” one of the sources said. “He accused Makoni of undermining him
in Sadc by suggesting that there should be a transitional government headed
by him instead of Tsvangirai who won the presidential election.”

Makoni reportedly told an extraordinary meeting of Sadc on the
Zimbabwe crisis on April 12 that he should lead a transitional government
made up of Zanu PF and the MDC.

However, Tsvangirai questioned his proposal, arguing that the
ex-finance minister came in a distant third in the presidential elections
and could not be a leader without a mandate from the people.

Speaking to journalists after meeting Tsvangirai, Frazer acknowledged
the possibility that negotiations between the ruling party, led by President
Robert Mugabe, and the opposition may be necessary.

However, the US ambassador to Zimbabwe James McGee this week denied
that Frazer had asked Tsvangirai to consider a government of national unity
or a transitional arrangement with Zanu PF and Makoni.

“It’s not true that my boss made that suggestion,” McGee said. “It’s
up to the parties involved to decide the way forward. The will of the
people, however, should be respected.”

Sources said top officials in the Makoni camp last week tried to meet
the MDC leadership to “clear the air” over various issues, but Tsvangirai
reportedly spurned the move.

The gap between Tsvangirai and Makoni widened this week when the
former finance minister told a South African television station, etv, that
the opposition leader and Mugabe should not be part of a transitional
government.

Instead, Makoni said someone else, apparently himself, should lead it.

Makoni had suggested before the elections that if he won he would
establish a transitional authority to run the country before fresh polls are
held. “The utterances by Makoni on etv have further offended Tsvangirai,” a
source said. “It will be very difficult for them to work together.”

Makoni and his group tried to force Tsvangirai to drop out of the
recent election, claiming that they had a better chance of winning but
failed.

A meeting between the two to resolve the issue failed to take place.

MDC spokesperson Nelson Chamisa said his party would not yield to
pressure from any quarter to have people imposed on it. “We are not going to
work with people simply because of pressure from whatever quarters. We will
determine our arrangement, programme and the course of events,” Chamisa
said.

“However, our lines of communication remain open to all progressive
Zimbabweans. If Makoni is one of those, we are open to communicate and even
work with him, but we will not be pressured to do so. It seems there are
some people who think we have an obligation to work with or be led by him.
Where does Makoni or his supporters get this notion that he is ordained to
rule?”

The sources said despite the Tsvangirai-Makoni stand off, Sadc –
through South African President Thabo Mbeki – was still pressing ahead with
its proposal for a GNU to avoid a presidential run-off between Mugabe and
Tsvangirai this month which they argue would deepen the Zimbabwe crisis.

Mbeki this week dispatched his envoy Kingsley Mamabolo to Harare to
push negotiations for a compromise solution.

Sources said Sadc wanted to avoid the presidential run-off saying its
outcome was likely to increase political tension, fuel violence and claims
lives.

Sadc and other African countries, the sources said, wanted a
transitional government to give the country a chance to reorganise itself
and come up with an effective government.

They argue that Tsvangirai and the MDC need time to learn the ropes of
government before they could take full control. “The thinking is that the
MDC needs help to be able to form an effective government,” a source said.
“A winner-takes-all solution won’t work.”

The MDC appears amenable to these proposals.

Tendai Biti, MDC secretary-general, last week said the MDC would
accept a transitional government provided Mugabe was not part of it.

“We have said that we have no problem with a transitional government
but our terms are as follows: Mugabe cannot be part of it, Mugabe belongs to
the past, he is a hyena,” Biti said in a radio interview.

“The new Zimbabwe belongs to cheetahs, so that is our answer. You
cannot afford a winner-take-all situation. It cannot be a transitional
government in which Mugabe is at the helm. Quite clearly Tsvangirai won this
election so he has to be the dominant player, but everyone must play a role
in it.”


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Security Agents 're-orient' Police

Zim Independent

Local
Thursday, 01 May 2008 21:32
SENIOR state security agents in Mashonaland West have started
re-orientation lectures in preparation for a presidential election run-off
later this month.

Sources told the Zimbabwe Independent that the lectures kicked-off
last Friday.

“The lectures started on Friday and are being attended by senior
police officers from the rank of assistant inspector and other senior
security agents,” one of the sources said.

The source added that most of the agents are former freedom fighters
and have been in the police, army and prison service for long.

“The programme is being run by a retired assistant commissioner who
has been on a roadshow carrying out the same re-orientation programme
throughout the province,” the sources added.

The retired assistant commissioner reportedly told the security agents
that if the MDC leader Morgan Tsvangirai wins the election run-off against
President Robert Mugabe they would lose their jobs and luxury cars.

“The assistant commissioner told them that they are going to lose
their jobs if Tsvangirai wins and they will have to re-apply and wait for
the new government to invite them back into the force,” the sources added.

As part of the re-orientation exercise, the retired police officer is
reportedly using a document purportedly authored by the MDC
secretary-general, Tendai Biti, and published in the public media to claim
that the opposition party wanted to surrender control of the security forces
to white people.

The state media was last week forced to retract the article after
Biti, through his lawyers, threatened to take legal action against them. —
Staff Writer.


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Bakare Says Govt Is Intimidating Anglicans

Zim Independent

Local
Thursday, 01 May 2008 21:30
BISHOP Sebastian Bakare of the fractious Anglican Diocese of Harare
has accused the government of persecuting “Anglican Christians” to protect
fired Bishop Nolbert Kunonga.

Kunonga, a Zanu PF apologist and a beneficiary of the chaotic 2000
land reform programme, was expelled from the church last year.

Bakare’s accusations against the government came after riot police
allegedly intimidated and dispersed over 3 200 women from all over the
country who were commemorating Mary’s Day in Mbare.

“The events of the past weekend have led me to believe that there is a
deliberate attempt to persecute Anglican Christians in this diocese,” Bakare
alleged. “Three thousand two hundred members of Mothers’ Union had gathered
at St Michael’s Church Mbare to commemorate Mary’s Day and were chased away
by riot police under a so-called directive from above, are a case in point.”

He added: “Why do the police enforcement agents keep on telling us
that they are getting “orders from above” when they come to interfere with
our services? After all Kunonga has no followers except a few clergy and
their families.”

“As a bishop of this diocese I was reminded of Christian churches who
were persecuted in communist countries before the fall of the iron curtain,”
he said.

By Bernard Mpofu


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International Community Must Intervene: US

Zim Independent

Local
Thursday, 01 May 2008 21:25
THE United States says the international community should intervene in
Zimbabwe to end state-sponsored political violence that has sparked a human
rights crisis.

US ambassador to Zimbabwe James McGee, in an interview with
independent media journalists in the capital on Tuesday, said the post-March
29 election violence had resulted in a humanitarian crisis.

“The primary issue in Zimbabwe now is the political violence,” McGee
said. “Besides the political crisis, we now have a human rights crisis and
in some instances a humanitarian issue…The international community should
intervene to stop the animal-type brutality.”

The ambassador declined to specify the type of intervention the US
wanted in Zimbabwe.

“It is not the business of the US to intervene, it is up to the UN,
but at the moment indications are nothing is happening at the UN,” he said.
“We believe in continuing with diplomacy to find a solution to the crisis.
We agree that the Zimbabwe case requires African involvement and
international involvement.”

McGee said the US had empirical evidence that the government was
behind the political violence in the country and warned that perpetrators
would one day face justice.

He said the government embarked on violence after the electorate
“voted for change”.

The ambassador said there was no doubt that MDC leader Morgan
Tsvangirai won the election against President Robert Mugabe, but was quick
to point out that the US was not sure whether he garnered the 50% plus votes
for him to assume power.

“The will of the people should prevail,” McGee said. “The people of
Zimbabwe have spoken. They have spoken through their votes and the Zimbabwe
Electoral Commission should announce the results of the presidential
election.”

He said the US had forwarded a dossier to the government containing
pictures of assaulted villagers and their affidavits on how they were
brutalised by state security agents, Zanu PF militia and war veterans.

“We have handed over evidence of violence to the government. There are
pictures of assaulted people and there are affidavits from the victims
narrating what happened to them,” McGee said.

He said the dossier was given to the government after it claimed that
there was no violence in rural areas.

“We have given them the evidence. It is up to the government to give
us evidence that there is no violence against the opposition,” he said. “Out
of the over 500 cases recorded, only one was allegedly perpetrated by the
opposition.

We are watching and one day justice will prevail,” McGee added.

The career diplomat said the US — which has maintained visa and
financial sanctions against Mugabe and his top lieutenants since 2002 —
could widen and tighten the punitive measures to force the Harare
administration to uphold human rights.

He denied categorically that Zimbabwe’s economic meltdown was a result
of economic sanctions imposed on the country by Britain, the US and
international community.

McGee said Zimbabwe was failing to get lines of credit from
multilateral organisations because of its track record of failing to service
debts.

“The country cannot access lines of credit because it does not repay
debts. It owes the World Bank US$600 million,” he explained. “The country
also owes the African Development Bank — where the US has one vote — US$400
million.

How then can you access credit lines if you don’t service debts? Are
these sanctions?”

By Constantine Chimakure


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Zimbabwe Journalists Under Assault

Zim Independent

Local
Thursday, 01 May 2008 19:13
ZIMBABWE joins the rest of the world in marking World Press Freedom
Day, May 3 still carrying the infamous crown of being one of the worst
violators of media and freedom of expression rights in the world.

Despite attempts to cover up this distinction thorough amendments to
repressive legislation in December 2007, the reality on the ground indicates
that the Zanu PF government, still holding on to power, has not changed its
spots.

Zimbabwe is probably one of the few countries that are unashamed of
not only arresting but detaining journalists on cooked up charges ranging
from the criminalisation of the profession itself to charges of political
violence.

As a result of this two journalists are in state detention awaiting
trial at the time of writing.

From experience, we are in no doubt that these cases will not stand
the scrutiny of any competent court but those arrested will have served
their “sentence”.

The levels of harassment, fear and anxiety that pervert the journalism
profession is so far reaching that many are afraid of even being seen
carrying out interviews or taking pictures in public.

In fact this madness has reached such levels that the apparatuses of
repression can no longer distinguish between their “own journalists”,
meaning those tasked with fuelling the propaganda machinery of the party and
their “real enemies”, the journalists working for the independent media.

Hence the thorough beating of journalists and media workers from the
state broadcaster, the ZBC, a few weeks ago.

We sympathise with our colleagues at the ZBC, and indeed feel for them
and hope that this incident serves as a practical example and reality check
on how Zanu PF and security agents are perpetrating violence.

Next time ZBC reporters such as Reuben Barwe report that violence
against innocent civilians is non-existent, at least they can lift their
heads across the newsroom and see living examples of such violence.

That should sober up our overzealous colleagues at the state media who
are too fond of falling for the official line without the slightest attempt
at objectivity.

This abuse has even taken the form of the state media being used as an
official propaganda channel by the CIO.

Many of the letters to the editor appearing in state newspapers appear
to be originating from Red Bricks.

More chilling for journalists is the behaviour of the police and
militia groups who are showing a frightening distaste for the word
journalist.

I know that from a war veteran uncle who thinks that journalists work
for the British and Americans.

Following this line of thinking, a fellow journalist was arrested
while filming at the Fourth Street bust terminus.

His alleged crime was that he had filmed the hive of activity at
Zimbabwe’s foreign currency exchange market.

Professing his innocence and his right to work by producing the
MIC-issued accreditation card did not help matters.

The journalist ran the tape backwards to show that, in fact, he had
not filmed the police, again this did not help.

The police, he was told, are under instructions to arrest journalists.
This sounds like something from Stalin’s Soviet Union or Pol Pot’s Cambodia,
but it is Zimbabwe.

The journalist and his camera were duly dragged throughout the city
centre on their way to Harare Police Station.

Along the way a call was made that a journalist had been arrested and
the chefs at the central station were already preparing a place for him.

The police officers confessed that they had been told to arrest
journalists, anyone who claims to be a journalist and seen in public doing
their work.

Zanu PF through its apparatchiks such as George Charamba and Tafataona
Mahoso have poisoned the media profession so badly over the years that it
will take a lot of work to restore sanity.

In the true sense of the word, it is difficult to talk of any serious
media business or journalism in Zimbabwe as a result of the environment of
fear that Zanu PF has created.

The remaining independent media voices are under so much pressure
economically and from state security agents to the extent that some cannot
even trust their own staff.

In an environment where the intelligence is able to read independent
newspapers before they are published, one really wonders what else the CIO
is capable of doing.

The media and the profession of journalism are much worse when you
have individuals such as Charamba and Mahoso who find pleasure in the
collapse of an industry they should have helped grow.

By Rashweat Mukundu:Media monitoring and research programme specialist
based in Windhoek, Namibia.


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'Inflation Will Soon Erode $5b limit'

Zim Independent

Business
Thursday, 01 May 2008 20:30
THE Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ) governor Gideon this week increased
withdrawal limits for both individuals and corporates barely.

Gono increased the withdrawal limits for individuals and corporates
from $1 billion to $5 billion a day.

“As advised to financial institutions on the 3rd of April 2008, the
daily cash withdrawal limit for both individuals and corporates was reviewed
to $1 billion,” Gono said.

“In order to provide further relief to depositors, the daily cash
withdrawal limit to both individuals and corporates has been increased to $5
billion dollars with immediate effect.”

The immediate problem for the banking public is what it can buy. The
$5 billion limit will buy fewer commodities next week because of galloping
inflation.

Soon the public will be asking for more as inflation continues to
erode the limit.

Even at the current prices $5 billion does not buy much.

Economic analyst John Robertson said the $5 billion would barely cover
basic expenses  and that it was too little for corporates, resulting in
multiple accounts.

“We’ve got evidence in the inflation rate, what appeared to be a good
figure a month ago has now turned out to be worthless.

Likewise what may appear to be a good figure may not turn out to be so
sometime from now,” he said.

Gono increased the amount of local currency that can be exported or
imported on a person or his baggage to pay for various travel related
expenses at the border posts to $5 billion from $500 million.

Gono admitted that inflation had proven difficult to tame. For this he
blamed the failure of the social contract to take off.

He said the RBZ would continue maintaining tight monetary conditions
by increasing interest rates.

Unsecured accommodation rate went to 5 000%, up from 4 500% while
secured accommodation rates are now pegged at 4 500% from 4 000%.

“It is imperative to note that the Reserve Bank continues to have no
appetite for lending money to the banking system, and banking institutions
are called upon to mobilise deposits through their normal banking business
processes and programmes,” Gono said.

Economic analysts said the interest rates unveiled by Gono were too
little considering that inflation is fast approaching the 200 000% mark.

Robertson said the rates are too low as they are quickly eroded by
inflation. The move according to him is likely to result in pensioners
losing their money.

“These interest rates are damaging the relationship between borrowers
and lenders as the latter is likely to watch their money disappear,” said
Robertson.

Gono delivered his monetary policy as the inflation rate continued to
gallop due to increased money supply.

Broad money supply has been on an upward trend, shooting from 1638,4%
in January 2007 to 51 768,8% in November of the same year.

Domestic debt grew by 96 233,6% in November 2007 largely driven by
growth in credit to the private sector, 125 348,4%, government credit which
was 53 796,1% and claims on public enterprises which amounted to 28 757,2%.

“Gono mentioned the domestic debt but he didn’t comment on where the
money came from. He also did not mention the consequences of the domestic
debt and how it will move the country further into hyper inflation,” said
Robertson.

“There was little information on how the government will fund its
operations and requirements in the future.

There was no revelation on what the plans are with the currency as the
zeros have become too many resulting in people and companies failing to
 cope”

Credit to the private sector continues to dominate domestic debt
rising to $307,9 billion in November 2006 and $386.3 trillion in November
2007.

“The increase in lending to the private sector is mainly driven by
loans and advances against a background of limited offshore financing,” said
Gono.

“The bulk of the funding is used for working capital requirements,
impacting adversely on capital developments.”

The RBZ governor blamed the absence of external support as the reason
for the continuous reliance of government on domestic bank sources to
finance its operations.

In April government debt was at $6,480 quadrillion of which Treasury
bills amounted to $2,986 quadrillion.

Credit supplies which were largely restricted to Agricultural
Parastatals recorded an annual growth of 28 757,2% from $16,9 billion in
November 2006 to $4,9  trillion in November 2007.

Gono blamed sanctions for the economic crisis but his explanations
found few takers in the market.

Economic analyst Tony Hawkins said there was no point pretending that
the problems being experienced were as a result of external factors.

“The problem is government expenditure,” Hawkins said.

He said the government had created a crisis and were now coming up
with artificial ideas to control the crisis.

Though admitting that some beneficiaries of the Basic Commodities
Supply Side Intervention (Bacossi) were diverting funds, Gono said the
facility will be extended.

He also extended the Agricultural Sector Productivity Enhancement
Facility (Aspef).

“On application, each company shall commit to producing and delivering
specific output levels, over explicit timeframes and the Bacossi support
will be extended on a reimbursement basis, based on actual output produced,”
Gono said.

Hawkins said the Bacossi was not the answer to the current problems in
the industry. “What is required is an open market that is driven by interest
rates and other appropriate market forces,” Hawkins said.

An economist with a local commercial bank said although the Bacossi
had been essential in saving some companies from collapse, it was
essentially a bad idea supporting other bad ideas.

“As a country we are paying the price, the country has lost its pool
savings by availing these cheap funds, we cannot build anything because no
savings means no investments,” he said.

“We need people from other countries to bring in their savings to
sustain the Bacossi, by that we are continuing to destroy our savings.”

By Jeslyn Dendere


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Export Receipts Down 8% in Q1

Zim Independent

Business
Thursday, 01 May 2008 20:26
A DRASTIC decline in mining exports and delays in opening the tobacco
auction floors saw the country’s foreign currency-starved economy recording
an 8% decline in net export receipts for the first quarter of this year
compared to last year.

This decline in export trade comes at a time when the country is
facing a severe economic crisis on the back of reduced productivity levels
in industry and a weakening local currency.

The Reserve Bank governor, Gideon Gono, in his first quarter Monetary
Policy Statement (MPS) on Wednesday, said export proceeds recorded from the
first quarter this year were US$250 271 354 compared to US$273 307 948
recorded during the same period last year.

An increase in inflows from the diaspora pushed foreign currency
receipts from Money Transfer Agencies (MTAs) to US$22 210 118 from about
US$3 102 994 recorded in the same period in 2007.

This increase represented a 616% change.

Income receipts dropped to US$2 620 461 this year down from US$7 830
282 earned last year.

Capital investments, however improved significantly to over a US$1,8
million from about US$4 500 recorded last year.

This means that people continue to send money to their relatives in
Zimbabwe.

Loan proceeds also declined by 63% as the country’s isolation from the
financial world continue.

For the period under review Zimbabwe only managed to get US$13 625 424
in foreign loans  compared to US$36 779 223 achieved during the same period
last year.

Free funds increased by 15% to achieve US$113 701 452 from US$98 445
116 recorded during the first quarter of last year.

Gono said there was also a decline in total monthly export shipments
in the period under review.

Although the mining sector continued to top the export contributors
this year dropped to about US$182 million in the period from January to
March compared to US$850 recorded last year.

The total foreign currency receipts from the gold sector slumped by
49%. The main reason for this downturn was the decline in gold production.

Most mines have been struggling to remain viable because of foreign
currency shortages and power outages.

A low support price and delays by the central bank in paying for gold
deliveries also affected the production.

Zimbabwe is now expected to produce 3,6 tonnes of gold this year down
from 6,7 tonnes recorded last year.

At its peak Zimbabwe produced 27 tonnes in 2000.

University professor Anthony Hawkins said the decline in exports was a
reflection of an ailing economy.

“This is just part of a collapsing economy characterised by a
completely screwed up and distorted policy framework,” Hawkins said.

He said the “overvalued” local currency on the official market,
frequent power cuts and erratic supplies had led to the decline in exports.

He said that only a change in government could transform the pattern
of this country.

“This trend can only change when there is a change in government,” he
said.

Gono’s monetary policy came as tobacco farmers continued to withhold
their crop from the auction floors as they protest depressed prices.

Tobacco was once among the country’s top foreign currency earners
before the sector was destroyed by government’s land reform.

Despite slow trading at the auction floors, the central bank is
expecting deliveries at the floors to surge.
“Owing to the support the sector has received from the Reserve Bank,
production in the 2007/2008 season is expected to surpass the 63 million kgs
realized in 2007,” Gono said.

Agriculture, the erstwhile mainstay of Zimbabwe’s agro-based economy,
failed to generate sufficient foreign currency that could match last year’s
earnings.

Despite being dubbed the “Mother of all agricultural seasons”,
earnings in the first quarter of the 2007/2008 season significantly dropped
to US$38 million against US$224 million in 2007.

Although manufacturers are now exporting in order to keep afloat
against a backdrop of government -imposed price controls, the sector
continues to reel from suppressed capacity utilisation reported to be around
10%.

Export earnings from the sector took a nosedive recoding almost a
quarter of the US$283 million recorded in 2007.

“The exporting sector is being affected by foreign currency shortages
for procure raw materials, low capacity utitlisation, hyperinflation and
massive skilled labour flight,” Economic analyst Luxon Zembe said.

Zembe also blamed the Reserve Bank for expansionary policies, which he
said were counterproductive to business growth.

He said there was need for a major foreign currency injection of $5
billion to kickstart the economy.


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African Mines Remain Theatres For Foreign Operators

Zim Independent

Business
Thursday, 01 May 2008 20:21
AFRICA is and for a long time will remain one of the major mining
areas of the world and its position in the geography of global mining in
terms of resources, production and trade appears quite strong.

However, this apparent strong position fails to adequately reflect the
underlying reality.

Africa is the birthplace of mining activity with the oldest ever
discovered mine that was operated more than 45 000 years ago located on an
iron site in Swaziland.

Even at the beginning of European adventures into Africa there was
evidence of fairly developed iron metallurgy.

Notwithstanding Africa’s undisputed pioneering mining and
metallurgical tradition, its modern mineral story commenced with the diamond
rush in Southern Africa at the end of the 19th century.

The decolonisation of Africa was partly motivated by a shared vision
to democratise access to the continent’s vast resources by all its peoples
and yet after more than 50 years of uhuru, attempts to challenge the
hegemony of Western capital’s dominance of Africa’s resources have not
succeeded.

The mining industry we see today in Africa is not a consequence of an
accident of history but a direct result of the interplay between European
state and non-state actors who in their wisdom decided to appropriate to
themselves and their successors the continent’s rich heritage to the extent
that we still have no significant indigenous challenge to the
colonially-inherited positions and interests of international mining
capital.

Unlike European colonisation of South America which was from the
beginning linked to the exploitation of precious metals, gold and silver,
Africa’s mercantilist capitalism was for centuries based on plundering human
resources through the slave trade and mineral wealth was largely neglected.

Early in the 20th century, the whole continent of Africa with the
exception of Ethiopia, was under colonial domination and, therefore, its
mineral resources were franchised to private companies based on banking and
industrial monopolies underpinned by capital conquests and in some instances
on violent conquest by the European powers.

The independent adventurers who participated in the diamond rush of
the 1870s in Southern Africa were supported and manipulated by British
imperialism.

At this time, the main mining companies which were to dominate the
African mining scene for the last 120 years were established — mainly Rio
Tinto-Zinc, De Beers, Consolidated Gold Fields — with people like Rhodes
playing a leading role as one of the founding fathers of African mining.

Rhodes, as his fellow Rand Lords, made huge profits from Africa’s rich
mineral resources and there is no evidence of either any indigenous person
ever being allowed by the colonial state to acquire wealth from mineral
resources or such class of individuals faring any better in the
post-colonial state.

In post-colonial Africa, the competition for exploiting Africa’s
mineral wealth is now between European/American/Canadian/Australian and
Chinese/Indian capital with indigenous Africans continually playing a
marginal role.

Although cronyism is often frowned upon in post-colonial Africa, the
colonial experience was characterised by close ties between Britain and
European financial centres and the Rand Lords who gained power and prestige
that has been seamlessly transmitted to their successors at the exclusion of
indigenous people.

By the end of the 19th century, Rhodes who owned both De Beers and
Gold Fields had founded the British South Africa Company (BSAC), a company
that was to play a leading role in the colonisation of central Africa.

Until the mid-1920s when the British administration took over, BSAC
ruled the territories of Zimbabwe and Zambia.

Truncated agreements with the local chiefs granted mining concessions
to the BSAC in all the territories it ruled and such arrangements were
readily confirmed by the British government.

Later, BSAC granted an exclusive licence to two mining enterprises
owned by British, American and South African interests.

It was only in 1964 that the post-colonial Zambian government acquired
the concession rights of BSAC against a compensation of Ł2 million.

However, the government of Zambia had nothing to show for its
ownership of the copper mines suggesting a faulty line in the construction
of a post-colonial mining strategy.

The pattern of granting mining rights whereby colonialism was
organised by private mining companies with the support and on behalf of the
imperial state was not limited to British Central and Southern Africa but
was also applied to the Belgian Congo where the Katanga Mining Company was
the ruler.

As we negotiate Africa’s future, it is important that we attempt to
locate the role of indigenous monopolies in the quest to broaden and deepen
empowerment.

Would it be harmful to Africa’s future if we created our own New Rand
Lords to take the lead? What should be the role of the post-colonial state?
What should also be the role of African citizens in the reconfiguration of
the politics of African mining?

The political balkanisation of the continent inherited from the
colonial state presents one of the major challenges that post-colonial
Africa faces especially in the contemporary era marked by the setting up of
great politico-economic entities like the EU and the modernisation of China
and India.

The fortunes of African geology and history located the main deposits
in countries of limited economic and demographic size raising the question
of the significance of a fragmented Africa on the global stage in the face
of homogenous consuming zones such as India, Brazil, EU, China, USA, Canada
or Australia.

It must and should be accepted that for the foreseeable future, Africa
will probably remain a strategic theatre for external operators and many
conditions must be realised before it can become an autonomous actor with
its own strategies.

A large share of African mineral resources are located in South Africa
which was a colonial and racist regional power block prior to 1994 and,
therefore, any meaningful change to the character and content of an
inclusive mineral development strategy will necessarily have to start by
creating new Rand Lords supported by the new republic just as colonial
capital was supported by imperialism.

It can be argued that as long there are no serious internal political
and economic changes in Africa towards homogenisation, the prospect of any
attempt to challenge the historically acquired hegemony over African mineral
resources by a few South Africa-based oligopolies and the newly
industrialising countries like China succeeding is remote.

By Mutumwa Mawere: A Zimbabwean born businessman based in South
Africa.


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Negotiations Best Way Forward For Zim

Zim Independent

Opinion
Thursday, 01 May 2008 22:50
AS the post-March 29 electoral standoff begins to gather even more
dangerous momentum with growing reports of electoral intimidation, political
violence, murders and the destruction of homes across the country

 at a time when the battered economy is exacting a new deadly toll on
helpless Zimbabweans, three scenarios are emerging as the only possible ways
out.  These are:

*The holding of a presidential run-off between Morgan Tsvangirai and
Robert Mugabe towards the end of this month to break the March 29 electoral
deadlock and facilitate a winner-takes-all outcome with the winner almost
guaranteed to be Tsvangirai as Mugabe can no longer win any election whether
free or not.

*A boycott of the run-off by Tsvangirai under the claim that he won
the first round on March 29. The consequence would be to hand the presidency
to the embattled Mugabe on a silver electoral platter.

*A negotiated 24-month transitional government to break not just the
March 29 electoral stalemate but also to resolve the deep-seated political,
economic and constitutional crisis that has dogged Zimbabwe generally since
Independence and particularly over the last nine years.

The first scenario of a run-off is the most straightforward as it is a
necessary step in terms of the Electoral Act.

If there are two or more candidates in a presidential election and
none of them gets an absolute majority of at least 50% plus one vote in the
poll, there should be a run-off between the candidates with the first and
second highest votes within 21 days of the election results.

The official position, which has been by and large corroborated by
independent sources which may differ on the actual figures, is that no
presidential candidate on March 29 received the required legal threshold to
win outright.

Objectively, all indications are that Tsvangirai would trounce Mugabe
in the run-off.  The reasons for this are not difficult to understand.

Mugabe has become widely and deeply unpopular with a majority of
voters who see him not just as too old to remain in office after 28 years of
his failed rule but who also see him as the personification of the biting
economic crisis about which he clearly has no solution.

The feeling now among voters is no longer about electing the right
person or the right party with the right policy but about choosing a
different person and different party with a different policy. Tsvangirai and
the MDC fit that bill.

The mind of the electorate is now so fixed against Mugabe that if he
were to contest against a donkey in the run-off, the donkey would win by a
landslide not because anyone would vote for it but simply because people
would vote against Mugabe and thus benefit the donkey.

What makes the task even more impossible for Mugabe is that Zanu PF is
no longer united behind him.  It is now split in the middle with one half
decidedly against Mugabe’s continued rule and is ready to work with the
opposition while the other half supports him during the day only to spend
the night scheming ways about how to replace him internally.

The results of the March 29 election clearly show that the biggest
loser was Mugabe as he lost big not only to Tsvangirai but also to the MDC
and Zanu PF!

Therefore, there is no doubt that Tsvangirai would win the run-off as
he would be supported by a de facto united front of opposition and ruling
party forces.

Mugabe would be haunted by the very problem that he sought to avoid by
having “harmonised” elections: namely that his party would play “bhora
musango” against him.

While there is no doubt that Tsvangirai would win the run-off, there
is every doubt that he would be able to govern the day after when prospects
of instability would emerge and threaten his regime in very destabilising
ways.

This is because the present constitutional, legal, institutional,
bureaucratic and policy environment in Zimbabwe is deeply underwritten by
Mugabe’s 28 year legacy which is run by his associates who would be prone to
playing dirty games to undermine and sabotage the new dispensation after the
run-off.

It is a matter of the public record that some of Mugabe’s key
associates in the security forces have said that they would neither salute
Tsvangirai nor support his MDC government should he win the presidential
election.

These include but are not limited to General Constantine Chiwenga,
Retired Major General Paradzayi Zimondi, Commissioner-General Augustine
Chihuri, Brigadier-General David Sigauke and Major-General Martin Chetondo.

Their public position is inherently destabilising and is cause for
serious reflection about the dangers of Tsvangirai’s certain success in a
winner-takes-all run-off.

The MDC itself has added fuel to the fires of this potential
instability by failing to provide security guarantees to Mugabe and his
associates beyond worthless rhetorical promises that keep changing by the
day.

Eyebrows were raised a few weeks ago when the MDC publicly called on
the International Criminal Court to start investigating Mugabe and his
associates with a view to prosecuting them now.

The call hardened attitudes inside Mugabe’s crumbling powerhouse which
nevertheless still has an institutional capacity to cause mayhem against a
Tsvangirai victory in the run-off.

If Tsvangirai boycotts the run-off as posited in the second scenario,
then Mugabe and his cronies would smile all the way back to State House.

This is in fact the scenario they are praying for because it would
enable them to claim victory, however empty, on the back of a constitutional
and legalistic position that they would use to paint Tsvangirai as an
electoral coward.

But even if Mugabe were to win by the backdoor through an unfortunate
Tsvangirai boycott of the run-off, the sobering reality is that the already
catastrophic economic situation in the country would deteriorate to levels
never before imagined and Zimbabwe would truly become hell on earth.

The very real and most likely yet utterly destabilising effects of the
first and second scenarios have given rise to a third post-March 29
scenario: a negotiated transitional government.

What fundamentally drives the third scenario is the realisation that,
after 28 years of de facto one-party and one-man rule which sums up the
Mugabe legacy, Zimbabwe does not have the means of changing its government
or national leadership while also conserving the soul of the nation in
constitutional, legal and institutional terms.

A nation with a system of a de facto one-party and one-man rule cannot
move forward and be democratically-transformed through an election.

In such a system, elections are used to keep and not change the
government and its leader. Indeed, it is critical for Zimbabweans and others
with good intentions of helping out to understand that an election is not a
conflict resolution mechanism.

Resolving the Zimbabwean crisis necessarily requires a transition from
Mugabe’s legacy of a de facto one-party and one-man rule to an
institutionally based and a constitutionally defined dispensation whose
pillars would not be threatened by any change of government or leadership
through a democratic election.

It is for this reason that the third scenario has a lot of appeal
among nationalist and patriotic elements who recognise and accept the
electoral victory of the MDC and Tsvangirai but also fear that the victory
might be subverted and rendered meaningless by the unreformed constitutional
and institutional legacy of Mugabe’s 28-year one-man and one-party rule.

By Professor Moyo:The independent MP-elect for Tsholotsho North.


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Mbeki Still Key In Zimbabwe Crisis

Zim Independent

Opinion
Thursday, 01 May 2008 18:47
POLITICAL analyst and Tsholotsho North MP Professor Jonathan Moyo
spoke to South Africa’s City Press newspaper on Sunday on the unfolding
Zimbabwe crisis.

Here is what he had to say:

Q: What is going to happen in the next couple of weeks in your view?

A: WE have to come to some closure on the March 29 election and that
specific process should be wrapped up by the end of this week.

By this time next week we should know what officialdom says was the
final outcome of both the presidential election, the results of which have
not been announced, and the parliamentary election which has been going
through a recount in 23 constituencies.

However, that will not assist much because it’s the official position,
which will not have many takers given that it has been compromised by the
inexplicable delay surrounding the presidential poll results and also the
inexplicable decision to order a recount of 23 constituencies whose results
had been declared as final.

It is unusual, in fact unheard of, that an authority declares the
final result, turns around and reopens the same results. In terms of due
process, when an authority has made a final declaration, it stands. It can
only be overturned by another authority, in this case the Electoral Court.

Even if that authority discovers something wrong, when they do that,
their discovery should form part of an affidavit that is submitted to
somebody else to  look at.

So we have this background in which the first public reaction will be
to question the official declaration that must be made this week.

We are about to move to the real problem which is a political
stand-off in Zimbabwe.

And that stand-off will not be resolved by the official declaration of
the results, whatever is declared.

It is also important to remember that the political stand-off is in
fact the real issue that has remained unresolved.

We are back to square one.

Before March 29 there was a political stalemate in Zimbabwe and there
had been attempts earlier, throughout much of 2007, to resolve the political
stalemate through mediation.

But we know that mediation by South Africa mandated by Sadc didn’t
resolve the political stalemate.

In fact, that mediation, like this election, ended in a stalemate.

It was inconclusive.

So the Zimbabwean story is a story of stalemates, even though we must
observe that the mediation assisted the levelling of the political field
ahead of the March 29 election.

We have to note, however, that it was unsuccessful in two respects.

One, levelling the field to ensure that Zimbabwe has an election whose
outcome will not be disputed. Well we know that this election has produced
an outcome that is disputed.

The mediation had also come up with a new draft constitution and
transitional mechanisms for Morgan Tsvangirai.

The new draft constitution was drafted and signed by the various
parties but unimplemented.

There were various calls, especially from the MDC, to have the
elections under that new draft constitution.

Mugabe and Zanu PF resisted that.

The mediators accommodated that resistance, unfortunately.

But what has happened now takes us back to that time when there was an
agreement on a new constitution and disagreement over when it should be
implemented.

Now that the election has failed to resolve the political stand-off,
the mediation must take over from the election and deal with the political
stand-off, taking into account both the progress made after the election and
also the new situation created by the election.

The new situation that has been created by the election is that MDC
Tsvangirai got the most votes in parliament.

The mediation must now take into account that the MDC which had 41
seats combined with the other MDC in a 150-member chamber now has 109 in a
210 seat chamber.

Zanu PF, which before the election, during the mediation, commanded
two thirds majority now finds itself not only having lost the two thirds
majority which empowered it to change the constitution, but without even a
simple majority.

That is an important reality that must be taken into account moving
forward with the mediation.

Q: What are the factors at play in this stand-off?

A: Well the political stand-off in Zimbabwe has been unfolding over
the past nine years.

It is an all encompassing stand off precipitated by a combination of
two things.

One, the collapse of the Zimbabwean formal economy which started in
1997 when the Zanu PF government gave and sanctioned an unjustified
compensation to war veterans which severely tainted the economy, thereafter
continued with the military campaign in the DRC and with devastating effects
on the economy.

It could not sustain that and it worsened in February 2000 after the
rejection of the draft constitution followed by massive land invasions which
then became the basis of a new land reform programme.

It had dire consequences on the economy.

We saw unprecedented flight of capital and loss of confidence in the
economy, which coincided with the emergence of the MDC as a very serious
political opposition to Zanu PF and the beginning of Mugabe’s unpopularity
and the increasing resort to force and other coercive means to retain power.

Now the stand-off is characterised by a complete shutdown of Zimbabwe’s
economy.

Now factories in Zimbabwe are not working.

There is no production and the Zimbabwean treasury coffers have no
forex because there are no exports going through formal channels and massive
unemployment and massive food shortages.

The economic meltdown, probably could have put Zimbabwe where Somalia
and other countries like that are, but for the Diaspora population which is
subsidising the country through remittances and so forth.

That economic meltdown has exposed the failure of the government in
the sense that Mugabe and Zanu PF have not come up with any policy response
to the Zimbabwean currency collapse.

We have no currency to speak of.

Rural people, even for a hair cut, are now asking for payments in
rands because not only has the Zimbabwean dollar collapsed, no-one, not even
the peasants have confidence in it.

Mugabe has no solution besides saying the mess is because of sanctions
by the Americans and British who disagree with the land reform programme.

The survival of the ruling party is at risk each day Mugabe remains in
power. He personifies the crisis. He represents it.

That’s why in terms of the political stand-off it’s not a matter of
who is better than Mugabe, and what policy is better than Zanu PF policies.
But now it has become who is different from Mugabe.

The difference is what people are looking for now. Mugabe is no longer
able to implement any policy — good or bad.

Q:Where does the military and civil service fit in this crisis?

A: I think that it is fair to say that this is their experience.

Definitely that is how everybody else, including the military and the
securocrats around Mugabe are experiencing the conditions.

But of course, the government’s explanation is that the suffering is
due to the sanctions.

This has been the mantra. The generals around Mugabe experience this
in ways that are different.

They have access to subsidised fuel. They have state vehicles; they
even get subsidised foreign currency.

So they are able to live in a fantasy world within hell for everyone
else.

However, the one thing that has connected them to the problem is that
whereas generals have access to this subsidised lifestyles, their forces don’t.

They now are finding it difficult to provide the ordinary forces with
their constitutional rations.

They are finding it difficult to provide even uniforms.

You see some of them say this is not how a soldier should look like.

The police are not able to attend to their normal duties because they
have no transport.

It’s no longer possible for the civil service to function in a normal
way.

So you have generals who may have subsidised lifestyles leading
impoverished forces.

These people who are led by the generals have connections with other
ordinary people.

The reason Mugabe did not win the election and the reason Mugabe
cannot win any election whatsoever in Zimbabwe is precisely because in
reality this understanding is broadly shared in Zimbabwe, save for the fact
that there are some generals who have a different understanding of this
situation.

Their understanding would not be to say Mugabe personifies this
crisis.

Their understanding would be to say Mugabe is a victim of Tony Blair
and now Gordon Brown, George Bush and the European Union that conspired
behind former Rhodies who had their farms repossessed.

However, I must add that the generals have a close working
relationship with Mugabe since Independence.

They have been playing the role of safeguarding national security
while Mugabe has been useful because of his hegemonic influence, his
political capital which he was bringing to the table.

Now things are falling apart because while the generals bring guns to
the table, Mugabe does not bring cohesion to the table.

He no longer has the support of the ruling party, he is presiding over
a divided ruling party, which division was dramatised by the Simba Makoni
project and apart from losing support from the ruling party, he has lost
support in the nation.

It is embarrassing for those generals to sit with Mugabe, look at him
and start to explain why he did not get the votes and if you are a
politician and you lose the political support that you bring to the table,
then they will start asking what use are you because now you are a source of
insecurity whereas when you were commanding, you were a source of control,
cohesion and so forth.

Mugabe’s problem right now is that he stands humiliated before his
generals.

He is no longer able to say to them “look, these multitudes behind me,
they support what we are doing, they support me” and that is a very
dangerous situation in the context of the political stand-off.

The lip service of the generals might be that this is due to the
sanctions but they know better.

They can see that the political ship is sinking, they can see that it
is sinking because it no longer has a captain.

Q: Why has Sadc failed to put pressure on Mugabe to reform?

A: When I wear my political hat as an activist, I sometimes find
myself on the political bandwagon of people who say Sadc has failed.

But when I wear my hat as a political observer, I don’t share that
view.

I don’t think the evidence supports a conclusion that says Sadc has
failed.

The impatience of people on the ground invites that conclusion.

The reality is different.

I think if you look very closely at how this Zimbabwean crisis has
unfolded over the past nine years, you will see a dramatic shift by Sadc,
especially if you look at it against the background of what we all know to
be the Sadc essence.

The essence of Sadc is a solidarity organisation, it starts with the
premise that we are all the same, we share the same values, we are here to
stand for one another.

We are victims of a common colonial history and so forth.

But we have seen Sadc shifting gradually from a reflexive expression
of solidarity with Zimbabwe to an inquisitive and now proactive disposition.

The 2007 Sadc summit on Zimbabwe in Dar es Salaam was the turning
point when that mediation was put in place.

It became specific, focused.

While continuing the solidarity rhetoric, there was a new acceptance
that Zimbabwe was facing a crisis and that to get out of that crisis the
principal political players had to dialogue and for that dialogue to take
place Sadc had to facilitate through the good office of the president of
South Africa.

That was a new ball game. Has that new ball game failed? I think it
would be premature to say so because as I indicated earlier we must
acknowledge that the dialogue led to a set of constitutional reforms and
legal reforms that were accepted by Zanu PF and the MDC and adopted by all
members of parliament.

That’s a first.

To imagine Mugabe, who likes to say we are our own masters and
sovereignty is the beginning and end of everything allowing a constitutional
amendment influenced by the Sadc process, supervised by President Thabo
Mbeki, I think if we balance our observation and review the record with what
we know about Mugabe, and what we have seen happening, we have to conclude
that it’s not fair to say that they have failed.

In fact right now, when things seem to be getting worse, wheels
falling off, the consolation is that there is an inconclusive Sadc mediation
that must come in to conclude.

Thanks to that involvement I think there is a need for people to shift
their appreciation of the dynamics and to stop this automatic, uncritical
conclusion that Sadc has failed simply because Sadc refuses to do its
diplomacy publicly.

Zimbabwe would not have had as free, as peaceful, as fair an election
as happened on March 29 had it not been for the Sadc mediation.

Along with that, I want to say that the MDC would not have performed
as well as it did in Zanu PF strongholds as happened in this election.

Q: Morgan Tsvangirai says Mbeki should be asked to step down from the
mediation. Is that helpful?

A: The opposition must, especially Tsvangirai and the MDC, move away
from continuing behaving as opposition and start behaving as a government in
waiting.

It is very easy for an opposition politician to shout from a press
conference and say president so and so must be removed.

The only people who can do that and get away with it are opposition
politicians.

Real people with obligations to govern, people who are ready to
govern, can’t do things like that.

They should know better.

You will not get President Mbeki removed because an opposition
politician has said so.

The immediate response to that call was for Sadc to say President
Mbeki is going nowhere and for Sadc to reaffirm its confidence in President
Mbeki.

I think the opposition MDC should start behaving like a government in
waiting. They have the numbers in parliament.

They have opposed and succeeded.

Q: What is the best approach for the opposition to circumvent this
obduracy by key institutions like the security forces?

A: They need to allow for a reform of key institutions which are a
problem right now. This includes the army, the air force the police the
Reserve Bank, the public service and so on.

The pockets of resistance which threaten conflict come from these
institutions. So the transfer of power from an election is impossible,
certainly difficult where you have institutional resistance.

We need to democratise these institutions so that we remove
unjustified fears, anxiety and insecurity… to allow key institutional
players, heads of some of these institutions who right now fear that an
electoral handover will result in retribution against them, to allow them
time to retire and to allow a process of providing guarantees for their
security so that they do not feel secure because one politician says so at a
press conference: “don’t worry nothing will happen to you”. Nobody believes
that.

But because nobody allowed the transition that could have happened
under the President Thabo Mbeki mediation to take its course, where those
issues would have been taken into account, they said no let’s just have the
elections.

Well one impact of an election is that you wake up and find that your
job is up for grabs and you start becoming insecure.

This transition must see that it provides key legal, institutional
guarantees for that.

Q: Does that include guaranteeing Mugabe immunity from prosecution?

A: Well the facilitation of his exit ... should include that.

Q: But does the MDC have the capacity to govern Zimbabwe?

A: Not alone. That’s why we are talking about a transition.

If we have an election, we will be talking about an MDC government and
then you ask that question.

But a transitional government will bring the best talent in the
country.

And a key aspect of a transitional government that people are talking
about is that it should have a Prime Minister who will supervise these
processes and these functions.

Ideally, that Prime Minister should be somebody who did not
participate in the election. And so, to address precisely this question,
clearly the MDC alone does not have that capacity.

In fact if the MDC were to do this alone, we would not need a
transitional government; that would have been a hand-over of power
completely. But that is not possible due to the stand off.

The fact that we have a stand-off means that we do not have the
possibility of a hand-over of power.

So, now, we need a transition between this and the next step.

During the transitional process, which is proposed to be around 24 to
36 months, one hopes that the MDC will be learning the ropes of power so
that when there are elections, comes the new constitution down the line, the
MDC can rule on its own.

You then have a democratic hand-over.

That’s what the MDC were telling Mbeki before the election. But having
tasted the pudding, now that the election results tell a different story,
they are saying “no give us the whole pot” because of the election results
which is why there is a need for sensitive negotiations and maturity,
responsible politics and statesmanship.

That’s what is really needed because we are treading on dangerous
ground.

But it’s very important to know, that’s why I thought this business of
trashing Mbeki is very irresponsible in my view.

The Mbeki team knows too well that Tsvangirai was putting to them
proposals for this kind of a transition two months ago, before the election.

They did not even want the election.

They wanted the election delayed and held under a new constitution
which made tremendous sense.

The only stumbling block was Mugabe who thought he would win the
election and then call the shots and then author his own transitional
arrangements and his own succession.

It’s one of those strange situations. Yesterday it was Mugabe blocking
the transition, today it is the MDC.

Q: You worked with Mugabe as Information Minister for five years. Do
you think he will leave voluntarily?

A: I think he has no choice but to agree to go.

I think the issue is a sensitive one and nothing much will be achieved
by addressing it with specific details in public because that’s what riles
him.

But it’s not that people should be so continuously afraid of Mugabe
that they don’t discuss useful things even in public.

The bottom-line is that he has come to the end of the road and that is
a bottom-line which he can do absolutely nothing about other than accepting
that fate, accommodating it in order to secure his interest and safeguard
his legacy as an African liberation icon.

He would be immensely respected even by people with a lot of issues
with him if he plays a statesman role now to exit graciously in the same way
he entered.

What is he thinking right now?

He obviously is a very, very shocked man because he had become like a
typical African leader who thinks that when there is an election, their
people love them so much that they are guaranteed 99,9% of the vote.

And you know taking into account that this is an 84 year old and he is
not immune to the vagaries of biology.

He is not at his best in terms of his thinking capacity, even if he
tells us or those around him tell us that he is. We ought to know better
that he can’t be.

He is as human as anybody else. He can be pumped with all sorts of new
medicine but he is at the end of the day a creature of God and he has come
not just to the end of his political life, he is very close to the end of
his own life and he probably would spend his last days far better with his
family and I’m sure his family needs him.

If Mugabe was of Tsvangirai’s age, we would be facing a serious
problem, a very, very serious problem, but no we are dealing with an old
man.

That is why we are saying, “look let’s be reasonable dealing with this
old man, let’s try and be as dignified as possible”.

But otherwise he is terrified. He is afraid. He can’t imagine life
without the trappings of high office, the sirens of his motorcade. He can’t
imagine that.

That’s the life he had known since he came out of the bush.

Here is a guy who was in prison for 10 or more years, goes to the bush
and then comes back and gets into this lifestyle.

He cannot imagine living without that.

Mugabe cannot continue as president of Zimbabwe.

The time for a new leader in Zimbabwe has decidedly come, irrevocably
so.

We have not had a platform where everybody is sitting around the
table — Morgan (Tsvangirai), Arthur (Mutambara), Welshman Ncube.

The run off was going to create that strategy, but now that it looks
unlikely that there will be a run off, the thinking now is to have a
transitional arrangement.

The discussions for that should start taking place, especially after
this week when the results are announced.

Going forward, the choices are simple.

If the army carries the day, then we are going to have a run-off which
would be difficult, or which the MDC will refuse to participate in, in which
case Mugabe would be declared the president, which would be catastrophic in
the sense that the crisis will be prolonged for a while.

That’s a scenario you should expect.

Otherwise the most likely one is that a result is finalised and the
result does not create any new situation that brings any confidence in
anybody, it makes the situation worse and mediation kicks in and that
mediation should within a month or so conclude.

So it’s either a run-off and the MDC participates with guarantees or a
run-off and the MDC refuses to participate and Mugabe is declared a winner
or mediation where there is a negotiated settlement.

The one I would like to carry the day is a negotiated settlement.

I will put my money on that one.

The sooner the better. Mugabe should be history within six months.

Q: You have taken various and maybe contradictory positions in your
political career. Is that a strength or weakness?

A: One of the beautiful words of wisdom from the late Mahatma Gandhi
when some little boy approached him and asked why he had changed his
position and it appeared like he contradicted himself, was “young man,
consistency is the virtue of a donkey”.

I think in politics consistency is linear.


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Is A Govt Of National Unity Possible?

Zim Independent

Opinion
Thursday, 01 May 2008 18:41
A GOVERNMENT of national unity (GNU) in Zimbabwe can only succeed if
the ruling Zanu PF and the MDC resolve their differences on the ideological
front, political analysts have said.

Sadc is reportedly pushing for a GNU as a solution to the country’s
multiple crises after the March 29 presidential election which the MDC’s
Morgan Tsvangirai claimed to have won against President Robert Mugabe.

The crises are characterised by plummeting GDP, inflation of above 165
000%, 80% unemployment, growing poverty, and deteriorating health and
education standards, among other ills. It is feared another election will
simply compound political divisions.

It is against this background that Sadc is understood to have tasked
South African President Thabo Mbeki to open negotiations between Zanu PF,
the MDC and other opposition forces to form a GNU.

Political analysts said the Zimbabwe crisis should be treated as an
emergency and the proposal by Sadc for a GNU was the only way the country
can come out of the morass.

The analysts argued that political parties should set aside their
ideological differences to champion national interests.

They said a GNU was compelling given that legislative election results
showed there was no clear winner between the ruling Zanu PF and the
opposition MDC.

The Tsvangirai-led MDC garnered 99 seats, Zanu PF 97 and the Arthur
Mutambara-headed MDC won 10.

On Monday the MDC leaders announced they had decided to reunify the
party.In the Senate poll, Zanu PF won 30 seats, MDC-Tsvangirai 26 and
MDC-Mutambara 6.

Chris Maroleng, a political analyst with the Institute for Security
Studies in Pretoria, said a GNU was the only solution to the current crisis
in Zimbabwe. He argued that parliamentary and senatorial results revealed a
society that was politically torn down the middle.

This polarisation has been evident since the general election in 2000.

“The divisions coalesce around two dominant crisis narratives,” wrote
Maroleng. “One focused around regime security concerns and an alleged
neo-colonial imperialist conspiracy epitomised by the campaigning slogan,
sovereignty, land and empowerment.”

The other narrative, the analyst said, was championed by civil society
and opposition parties emphasising the need for a post-nationalist
liberation discourse centred around good governance, democratisation and
human rights that finds expression in the broad notions of political choice
and societal renewal.

“It is clear that if a solution is to be found to this protracted
crisis a middle ground has to be reached. The winner-takes-all rule that
presides heavily in the political culture of the elite, on both sides, has
to begin to give way to compromise,” Maroleng suggested.

Another political analyst, Michael Mhike, said while a GNU was the
solution to the Zimbabwean crisis, achieving it would be a tall order.

“The crisis in Zimbabwe can be defined in two ways — imperialism and
governance,” Mhike said.

“Zanu PF sees the MDC as an agency of Western imperialism bent on
reversing the gains of Independence.

On the other hand, the MDC accuses Zanu PF of being antithetical to
democratic ethos and good governance.”

In that case, argued Mhike, it would take a great deal of negotiations
to strike a compromise between protagonists that will culminate in the
formation of a GNU.

“I am not suggesting that it is impossible for a GNU given the main
parties’ differences; I am simply saying there will be need for thorough
negotiations to reach a settlement,” he added.

He said the negotiations were likely to be hamstrung by who would lead
the GNU between President Robert Mugabe and Tsvangirai if the anticipated
presidential run-off is called off to make room for the unity government.

“The best is to have the run-off and whoever emerges the winner will
form and lead the GNU,” Mhike suggested.

“This is the way it was done in South Africa.”

South Africa constituted a successful unity government to end
apartheid. Between April 1994 and February 1997, South Africa was governed
under the terms of an interim constitution that required that any party
holding 20 or more seats in the National Assembly could claim one or more
cabinet positions and enter the government.

Despite the African National Council winning the majority of seats in
the assembly, the National Party and Inkatha Freedom Party obtained cabinet
posts.

The then president Nelson Mandela also invited other parties to join
the cabinet, even though they did not obtain the minimum 20 seats in the
assembly.

The requirement for the GNU lapsed at the end of the first parliament
in 1999. Even so, Inkatha Freedom Party and the Azanian People’s
Organisation continued to hold seats in the government, as minority
partners, until the elections of 2004.

The South African GNU was a result of a series of negotiations between
1990 and 1993 aimed at ending apartheid and was between the NP, ANC and a
wide variety of other political organisations.

It was the Multiparty Negotiating Forum that resulted in the GNU,
after the Convention for a Democratic South Africa (Codesa) 1 and 11 failed
to end the political crisis in South Africa.

The negotiations took place against a backdrop of political violence
in the country, including allegations of a state-sponsored third force
destabilising the country.

In Zimbabwe, the same accusations of state-sponsored violence have
surfaced after the polls, with the MDC claiming that 15 of its supporters
have been killed,  3 000 families displaced and 800 huts burnt in the
countryside by security agents, Zanu PF militia and war veterans.

Tsvangirai and independent presidential hopeful in the March 29
election Simba Makoni have since endorsed the idea of a GNU.

Unconfirmed reports said Makoni expressed his willingness to head a
GNU during Sadc’s extraordinary meeting in Lusaka, Zambia, on April 12
despite coming a distant third in the presidential race.

Zanu PF is yet to make an announcement on the GNU proposal even though
Tsvangirai claimed that the party approached him in pursuit of a unity
government soon after the poll, but later backed off.

Deputy Information minister Bright Matonga has poured cold water on
the suggestion.

South Africa’s ANC president Jacob Zuma last week leant his support to
a unity government to end the Zimbabwe crisis.

Speaking in London, Zuma said the call for a unity government “is not
premature, it is actually appropriate at this time”.

Zuma said the presidential election appeared to have produced a very
narrow margin between Mugabe and Tsvangirai, meaning that both men commanded
significant support among Zimbabweans.

But he was keen to avoid the impression that he was initiating the
call for a unity government, which was a model used to resolve Kenya’s
bloodstained post-election crisis earlier this year.

It therefore remains to be seen if Zimbabwe will have a GNU in the
next few weeks.

Its proponents in the diplomatic community say voters have lost faith
in electoral politics because of the behaviour of the Zimbabwe Electoral
Commission in withholding the results and the violence that has been
unleashed against opposition supporters.

Many on the other hand believe Mugabe would stand no chance in a
second round and they would welcome the chance to prove it.

The MDC should not run away from a challenge it will win, they say.

By Constantine Chimakure


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The Hot Potato From China

Zim Independent

Opinion
Thursday, 01 May 2008 17:54
THE turning away of the arms shipment from China last week after loud
resistance by neighbouring countries for it to pass through their borders is
a victory for all the democratic forces in Zimbabwe in many ways.

For a small African country like Zimbabwe, whose people have been
facing the hardest living conditions in the region under an increasingly
brutal establishment, there’s no reason why arms should take priority over
other necessities such as food.

For Zimbabweans fed up with a worthless currency, endless queues,
shortages of food, fuel and cash, collapsing social services in health and
education, there’s all the reason to celebrate, even as thousands continue
to face political intimidation and cringe under the shadow of President
Mugabe’s illegitimate government.

For the people of Zimbabwe, who have been denied their democratic
right to know the outcome of a presidential election that took place a month
ago, the turning away of the arms ship shows how global opinion is beginning
to turn in their favour.

For the MDC it comes as a boost to its sleepless campaign of knocking
on the doors of regional leaders, of Sadc, of the UN, of labour unions, the
clergy, and the ordinary man all over the world to spare a moment for
Zimbabwe.

For Zanu PF the turning away of the arms cache spells doom for a proud
party that refused to embrace change long ago.

Two weeks ago the Sadc emergency meeting held in Lusaka gave a
lukewarm response to the crisis in Zimbabwe, a response that no doubt failed
to satisfy Zimbabweans.

But the arms shipment allowed the Sadc region to bring out their true
sentiments regarding the political situation in Zimbabwe that has been
prolonged for nearly 10 years.

No port from Mozambique, South Africa, Namibia and finally even
Angola — all of them governed by liberation movements that have had cosy
relations with Zanu PF for so long — could accept the package from China.

For the people of Zimbabwe the forced u-turn of the arms shipment is
proof that change is much more imminent now than ever before.

By Givemore Nyanhi :freelance journalist based in Harare.


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Erich Bloch: Eliminating The Parallel Market

Zim Independent

Comment
Thursday, 01 May 2008 18:31
RECENTLY, the Retailers Association of Bulawayo urged consumers to
boycott products which were imported through parallel market funding.

The motivation for this appeal to Zimbabwean consumers was undoubtedly
in recognition that one of the greatest contributants to Zimbabwe’s
crippling hyperinflation is the ever-rising cost to the importers of the
goods, in consequence of constantly soaring premiums.

Concurrently, the retailers association was in all probability also
motivated by a desire that its members should be law compliant.

This was not the first time that consumers were advised to refrain
from purchasing parallel market funded goods, for similar advice has been
forthcoming from the National Incomes and Pricing Commission (NIPC), by the
Minister of Industry and International Trade, Obert Mpofu and by many of his
colleagues.

In principle, the advice given is well founded, for the magnitude of
inflation in Zimbabwe is of gargantuan proportions.

Current unofficial estimates place inflation for the year to April
2008 at higher than 400 000%! So intense is that inflation that millions are
struggling to survive, with the overwhelming majority of the population
generating incomes far below the Poverty Datum Line (PDL).

Undernourished, malnutrition  and ill health, with associated misery
and distress, is the lot of most Zimbabweans.

Hence, it is desperately necessary, for Zimbabwean hyperinflation to
be very urgently contained and reversed, and although a variety of very
important and decisive actions are necessary to achieve this, one of the
greatest ones is to eliminate inflation driven by parallel market foreign
currency funding of imports.

However, it is unrealistic in the extreme to expect to achieve this by
consumer action of withholding custom in respect of goods financed through
parallel market operations.

First and foremost is that when, in an economy characterised by
extreme shortages and pronounced scarcities, consumers are desperate to
source essential, critically needed requirements, they will inevitably give
greater prioritisation to their immediate, perceived to be vital, needs,
than to the downstream inflationary consequences.

When there is little or no maize meal, flour, soap, candles,
medications, paraffin or petrol, and so forth available, other than as may
have been imported via parallel market foreign exchange funding, the source
of the funding is of little or no consequence to the embattled consumer.

Consumers desperate for survival of themselves and their families will
continue to purchase anything that they consider to be survival essential,
irrespective of subsequent negative downstream effects of their so doing.

Secondly, in most instances, the overwhelming majority of the
population are completely unaware as to when their needs have been funded
through the parallel market, and when funding has been effected with
legitimately possessed foreign exchange.

The rank and file of the populace does not have the business
operational expertise, or depth of knowledge of economic intricacies, to
make that judgment.

Moreover, whilst some parallel market funding is indisputably applied
to importation of finished goods for sale by wholesalers and retailers, a
far greater proportion of total such funding is destined to the importation
of operational inputs of the manufacturing sector, and there is no credible
basis whereby consumers, or the wholesalers and retailers, can determine
which goods manufactured in Zimbabwe have been substantially produced with
direct or indirect imported inputs which are purchased through  the parallel
market.

Furthermore, albeit probably only a minority of consumers, some are
very aware that much parallel market trafficking is engaged in by the state,
directly or indirectly, and by political hierarchy and others of that ilk,
and therefore cannot perceive that there is anything unlawful in the
operations of that market!

Nevertheless, if inflation is to be meaningfully contained, one of the
most critical measures necessary is the elimination of both the parallel and
black markets.

The harsh fact is that, although consistently unpalatable to, and
rejected by, government, the parallel market will only cease to exist once
there is a constant sufficiency of foreign currency in official markets to
service all the needs, wants and desires of commerce and industry, mining,
agriculture, tourism, other economic sectors, and the population in general.

Were that to be the case, the only parallel market traffic would, for
so long as exchange controls prevail, be the sale to, and purchase by, those
wishing unlawfully to externalise assets.

However, much is needed to be done by government if a surfeit of
foreign currency is to be constantly available in official markets.

Unfortunately, for many years has government not only demonstrated a
pronounced reluctance and unwillingness to take necessary actions, but it
has also repeatedly rejected all well-founded and well-intentioned advices
thereon by both international and domestic expertise in general, and by the
affected economic sectors in particular.

If Zimbabwe is to become foreign exchange sell-sufficient, some of the
very necessary, “ must do” actions are:

*Agriculture must be restored to its former glory, whereby it produced
the totality of Zimbabwe’s needs for agricultural products, and much in
excess thereof which could be, and was exported, thereby yielding
substantial foreign exchange. In contradistinction, for most of the last 10
years, Zimbabwe has to find foreign exchange to import agricultural products
in order to feed its people.

*Currency exchange rates must, until such time as they can be, and
are, market-force determined, be very substantially adjusted to recognise
the extent that Zimbabwean inflation has exceeded that of its principal
trading partners, and must thereafter continue to be so adjusted, in order
to achieve Purchasing Power Parity with competitor export countries.

Only by so doing can potential foreign exchange-generating economic
sector enterprises be viable, and thereby generate the much needed foreign
exchange.

Manufacturers, the mining sector, and tourism operators, cannot export
their products or services in the absence of continuously viable foreign
currency exchange rates.

*Zimbabwe desperately needs to attract Foreign Direct Investment
(FDI), and that requires an investment conducive environment. Prerequisites
of such an environment include political and economic stability, respect for
property and human rights and law, minimal bureaucracy, unhindered economic
operations (free of excessive state controls), a taxation friendly regime,
and good and sound, cooperative and collaborative international relations.

*Constructive, harmonious interaction with international monetary
bodies, and with first world, developed countries, so as to attain access to
Balance of Payments Support until Zimbabwe is self-sustaining.
Clearly, therefore, the burden of eliminating the parallel market does
not lie with the consumer, and should not, but fairly and squarely upon the
shoulders of government.


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Muckraker: From One Loser To Another

Zim Independent

Comment
Thursday, 01 May 2008 18:19
A PERUSAL of the state press can be a demanding business nowadays.

 Like Isvestia in the Soviet era, much can be concluded by reading
between the lines.

The big news issue for most people on Monday was the vote recount in
which Zanu PF had placed so much faith.

A pattern of systematic fraud, the ruling party hoped, would
demonstrate that President Mugabe had victory snatched from him by
unscrupulous polling officers.

Alas, it was not to be.

Whatever the shortcomings of the electoral process — and there were
many — the number of ballot papers in the boxes remained largely the same.
An occasional miscount here or there but nothing systematic and certainly no
grounds for the politically-inspired arrest of polling officers.

Zanu PF lost the contest for the lower house but the Herald declined
to report such grim tidings.

Instead it led with an interview with Kenneth Kaunda taken from Zambia’s
The Post saying Gordon Brown wasn’t qualified to comment on the “challenges”
facing Zimbabwe.

It was a trite little story which, given the outcome of the recount,
should have been headed “from one loser to another”.

The Herald beefed it up by including the remarks of some little-known
Zambian boxer who appeared to think we would benefit from his views on Iraq.

But there was an even funnier story on Page 3 of Monday’s Herald
headed “President a living legend”.

This was a pathetic paean of praise from Obert Mpofu at the opening of
the Zimbabwe International Flea Market last Friday.

For the third row in a year there was no head of state willing to open
it except Mugabe. Mpofu obviously saw an opportunity to ingratiate himself
with some fawning remarks.

Mugabe has worked tirelessly for the economic empowerment of the
majority of Zimbabweans who had been marginalised during the colonial era,
Mpofu grovelled.

He didn’t explain why then they were worse off today than they were in
1980. In fact worse off than they were in 1960 when the trade fair first
opened.

And every time Mugabe opens his mouth everyone gets a little bit
poorer as investors stay away!

He used the platform provided last Friday to claim that his land
reform programme was “the final solution to the land question”.

His speech writers failed to warn him that Adolph Hitler was the last
person to speak of the “final solution”, only on that occasion the German
fuhrer was referring to the elimination of Jews, not productive farmers.

And who is Mugabe to decide whether his corrupt and deeply flawed land
programme will be accepted by Zimbabweans as the last word on the subject?
Mugabe lost the election.

His views on land reform were rejected by the voters. So it really
doesn’t matter what he says any more.

A land audit will soon establish which criminals got which farms.

There will certainly be a “going back” on land when it comes to
multiple holdings.

No wonder some people have been begging Mugabe to stay on whatever the
result.

Despite the obvious fact that Mugabe and his party lost the election,
Zimpapers’ publications have continued to believe this is an occasion they
don’t have to rise to.

Instead they persist in the view that there has been no material
change in the politics of the country — that voters didn’t really know what
they were doing — and comfort themselves with the delusion that Zanu PF won
control of the senate and can block things there.

That remained true until Monday when the two MDCs agreed to link up.

But you would have thought a public press would have woken up to the
new realities: the people voted overwhelmingly to rid themselves of the
criminal gang in their midst, and the fact that the government media
continue to betray the public who rejected all their fatuous and dishonest
claims shows just how deep the roots of misrule go.

Letter-writers, columnists and cartoonists continue to live in a world
of self-deception, a world the people unambiguously rejected.

The Herald seriously tried to tell us on Wednesday that Tendai Biti’s
team had gone to New York to address the Security Council and were “snubbed”.

And who was the newspaper’s source? Zimbabwe’s ambassador to the UN
Boniface Chidyausiku who occupies no position of authority whatsoever. He
told the Herald that the MDC team were “told off”.

Only governments could address the Security Council, they were told.

All nonsense of course. Nobody was “told off”.

Biti’s team was happy to brief the UN secretariat on what was
happening in Zimbabwe.

And they had an opportunity to speak to Security Council member-states
on the margins of the meeting.

Chidyausiku should try and be more professional in his briefings to
the gullible state media.

Or is he determined not to survive the advent of a democratic
government?

“Zimbabwe will never be a colony again,” the nation’s threadbare
rulers chant.

It’s all rather pathetic.

The country has moved on dumping the empty rhetoric, yet Zimpapers
continue to parrot its mantras as if nothing has happened.

What happened to the “mother of all seasons”? Is that the situation on
the ground? And did a 300% increase in its cover price not wake the Herald
up to the chaotic economic policies that have proved ruinous to the country?

Why is the public media so intent upon misleading the nation when it
should at least be trying to reflect the diversity of views reflected in the
election?

Last week we referred to the manufacture of a whole raft of stories
attributed to Tendai Biti.

These turned out to be clumsy lies designed to assist Mugabe’s run-off
campaign and Biti’s lawyers wrote to the editor of the Herald to warn him he
was circulating defamatory statements.

They included stories about thousands of white farmers returning to
reclaim their land in league with the MDC.

The curious thing about this particular story is that nobody ever
actually saw the white farmers in question.

But that didn’t stop ministers repeating the lie.

We asked last week which fool would open his mouth next to claim white
farmers were reoccupying farms.

Tafataona Mahoso obliged on Sunday with the claim that “former
Rhodesians” had organised a convoy from Chimanimani to Mutare which was
“intended to announce to Manicaland province that Tsvangirai had won the
2008 election”.

They moved from farm to farm, Mahoso said, “telling resettled farmers
to prepare to vacate the farms…”

The whites were “instigating MDC thugs and former farm workers to
attack some resettled farmers and burn their crops”, he claimed.

Our question to Mahoso: Did you personally see this convoy of farmers?
What evidence do you have of “750 to 1 000 former white Rhodesian farmers”
returning to the country? We know you wouldn’t want to circulate unverified
reports.

As for the “provocative behaviour” of these farmers, we once again had
only vague second-hand reports.

That is until Thursday night when ZTV filled our screens with the
ample form of Reuben Barwe — a land beneficiary — who claimed eight
homesteads of resettled farmers in Headlands had been torched by MDC
members.

The Herald repeated the story the next day.

Among those injured were a Zanu PF district chairman and a war
veteran. Police spokesman Wayne Bvudzijena was helpfully on hand to say
police were hunting suspects still on the run.

Two have appeared in court.

But our question is: Why did it take a week for this story to emerge?
Barwe tried to link it to the story of returning white farmers. “Did you see
them?” he asked a Zanu PF supporter, “because some people say they are a
product of our imagination?”

“No they are there,” the supporter dutifully replied. But Barwe
certainly didn’t see them. And nor, we can safely say, did anybody else!

The Zimbabwe Tourism Authority is still in denial about what ails the
nation.

The recent “spate of negative publicity” has begun to take its toll on
the industry, the Sunday Mail said, reporting remarks by ZTA CEO Karikoga
Kaseke.

“It is believed that the resurgent onslaught on the country will most
likely put a serious dent in the perception management programme that is
being implemented by the ZTA,” the Sunday Mail reported.

Kaseke said the recent development was “a real concern”.

The perception management programme was initiated “to reverse the
adverse effects of the same negative publicity but the negative impact
caused by the current onslaught is a real concern to us,” Kaseke
convolutedly said.

Seventy-eight percent cancellations have been recorded to date.

What was particularly galling, we are told, is the fact that Japan and
South Korea have joined the US and UK in issuing travel warnings to their
citizens regarding Zimbabwe.

The ZTA needs a wake up call.

Nobody from their prime markets wants to visit a country in political
turmoil and where there have been reports of beatings, even killings, of
opposition supporters.

So long as Zanu PF believes it has the right to punish people for
voting against President Mugabe, the international stayaway will persist.

No amount of “perception management programmes” will change that.

It is not perceptions that need to change but realities on the ground.
Kaseke doesn’t seem able to grasp that.

There will be no turnaround in tourism or in any other part of the
economy until the rot at the top has been cleaned out.

As for the Look East policy which is taking a beating at present,
Eastern tourists follow their Western counterparts in deciding where to go.

They don’t shout “we want to express our solidarity with President
Mugabe and Zimbabwe” and book a holiday at Vic Falls.

They see where the Western tourists are going and follow them. And
Western tourists won’t come here so long as state brutality is the order of
the day.

This has been an object lesson in how not to win friends and influence
people.

The ZTA needs to be targeted by a democratic government.

It is a parasite that clings to the tourism sector sucking its life
blood but offers nothing useful in return except for delusional schemes to
“manage perceptions”. Please, let’s get real.

Still with winning friends and influencing people, last week Muckraker
looked at two cases of where official hostility (to Cosatu and Levy
Mwanawasa) has had serious consequences for Zimbabwe.

We can now add another case.

Archbishop Desmond Tutu, the target of frequent abuse in the official
press, has lent his considerable prestige to the campaign for an arms ban
against Zimbabwe.

We reproduce here his comments last week when he spoke out, together
with other Anglican leaders, on the Zimbabwe issue.

“Zimbabwe is staring into the abyss,” he said. “Violence is growing
and the people are suffering greatly as a result. It is now vital that we
all do what we can to calm the situation.

“In particular I join the worldwide calls to stop the supply of
weapons to the country — by land, sea or air — until the political crisis is
resolved.

It is obvious that supplying large quantities of arms at this stage
would risk escalating the violence, perhaps resulting in the large-scale
loss of life.

“We should be proud of the African trade unions and governments who
refused to let the most recent Chinese shipment off-load in their ports but
China must now agree not to try and send these arms by air instead.

“I join the South African church leaders in urging all governments to
immediately start work at the UN level to agree a binding UN arms embargo as
quickly as possible.

“In the meantime I hope that every country will agree to a moratorium
on the supply of any arms to the country.

If violence flares further in Zimbabwe, those supplying the weapons
will be left with blood on their hands. It is up to every country in the
region and beyond to take a stand.”

Priscilla Misihairabwi Mushonga made a useful point last week.

In her capacity as Mutambara MDC deputy secretary-general she pointed
out that those rounded up in last Friday’s police raid on Harvest House
included youths, staff members and displaced people from rural areas who had
sought refuge in the building.

“Some of these people have had the misfortune of having their homes,
food, clothes and other personal belongings either burnt or destroyed by
Zanu PF agents and thugs,” she said.

“The further assault on their right to seek refuge smacks of sheer
cruelty and unabated brutality.

“The further raids on Zesn offices by the ZRP speaks volumes of Zanu
PF’s intention to silence voices and subvert the will of the people
expressed so loudly in the March 2008 elections.

“The MDC calls upon the ZRP to behave in a manner consistent with a
professional police force and desist from allowing it to be used as an
instrument of oppression and terror by the regime of Robert Mugabe.”

That message should have been read out at this week’s passing out
parade where Commissioner Augustine Chihuri claimed electoral fraud was a
new phenomenon in the country’s history.

He also laid emphasis upon the need for people to obey the laws of the
land.

That of course involves obeying court orders and respecting the right
of citizens to freedom of association and expression as set out in the
amended Posa.

Journalists found themselves after the election prosecuted under
provisions of Aippa on accreditation which had been repealed following
inter-party talks.

Regarding poll fraud, Chihuri should ask for a briefing from
government law officers on events in Sunningdale in 1995 when Margaraet
Dongo found her constituency stuffed with ruling-party transplants. The
courts upheld her protest.

Finally, did you know that candidates for employment with the Civil
Aviation Authority of Zimbabwe need a diploma in agriculture and four years
post-training experience in poultry production?

That is if they want to be a manager on the CAAZ’s farm.

Surprised to hear the CAAZ, which should be concentrating on airports
management, is engaged in farming? So were we.

But a large advert in the Sunday Mail alerted us to this questionable
activity on the side.

We presume that wherever chefs are involved there is an inclination to
go farming.

Let’s hope they won’t be using their empty hangars to house their
chickens.


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Editor's Memo: Magician's Tricks Exposed

Zim Independent

Comment
Thursday, 01 May 2008 18:07
I HAD a good chuckle after reading a Herald article previewing central
bank governor Gideon Gono’s monetary policy statement which was delivered on
Wednesday.

The Herald told us that in response to the biting challenges facing
the country, Gono was “widely anticipated to wave his magic wand once more
and bring relief to the majority of Zimbabweans experiencing varied economic
challenges…”

I attended many magicians’ shows during my primary school days where
one Linos Chamatunhu left us agape with his ability to juggle half a dozen
balls and make them disappear into thin air. At one show, he even “stole” a
bra from one lady teacher and deposited it in a groundsman’s pocket!

This was not only entertaining to our naďve souls but also scary.

If the man could steal the teacher’s underclothing, then he could do
the same with our essentials.

Linos became a larger-than-life character because he had this ability
to distort your perceptions.

He got us to perceive things that never happened, just like a visual
illusion.

In reality the balls never disappeared, but he simply kept them in his
hand while mimicking the gesture of throwing them into the air. The thing
that fooled us was to follow with our eyes the non-existent balls fly into
the air.

If we had looked at the magician’s hands instead, we were less likely
to be fooled.

Last week we ran a story of mob violence in the Congo after certain
medicine men were accused of stealing men’s private parts or making then
shrink to embarrassing sizes.

There were people who believed that the supposed magic men could do
this.

Magic is not a break from reality or a surreal adventure into the
unknown -- it is a planned sequence of unlikely events which appear
fantastic when seen from the outside.

And that is all.

It would therefore be a surreal adventure to hire a magician to solve
a problem, especially one as grave as our own.

Our government tried it with the diesel n’anga and the results were
not only embarrassing but predictable.

It was just a trick.

I do not expect Gono to fall in this realm of tricksters because the
country is not crying out for magic but a clear policy which deals with the
reality on the ground instead of a juggling act in which the nation is
tricked into believing that problems can just melt into thin air.

Gono this week made a bold move to liberalise the exchange rate after
years of resistance in which he had declared: “No amount of devaluation will
lead to planeloads, truckloads of foreign exchange flowing into Zimbabwe in
a sustainable way.” So what has changed Mr Governor?

Perhaps that was the stroke of magic but the perils bedevilling this
country have not left the hands of the juggler.

Shortages of food and foreign currency, low capacity utilisation in
industry, price distortions, lack of clear fiscal policy, political
intolerance, human rights abuses and so on have continued to weigh down this
economy.

The tragedy with Gono’s policy is that it attempts to provide
solutions to the national crisis albeit using solutions which have failed
before.

He has found a convenient excuse for the failure of his “mother of all
agricultural seasons” project by situating the national predicament in the
current global food crisis.

His solution to conquer this formidable foe: more free money for
farmers through Aspef, dam construction, on-farm infrastructure
rehabilitation programmes, farm mechanisation and providing support prices
to farmers.

We have heard this before and we have always argued that it is not the
wherewithal to solving the current low productivity in agriculture.

An agricultural plan premised on cronyism and patronage produces very
rich farmers who do not need to grow any crops as long as the central bank
oils this benefaction through quasi-fiscal activities, a key ingredient in
fueling inflation.

By the way, when are farmers getting their maize deliveries? Are the
miners going to be paid at last?

Gono’s plan on agriculture almost sums up the fate of the whole
policy. It is headed for more failure because the magician has failed to
manipulate his environment to achieve any measure of success.

This is a plan that has been designed for a regime which has lost all
legitimacy to govern because of failure.

It is a template for more disappointments for the nation as long as
there is no real policy change in the way the country has been governed. But
Gono has defended his plan.

“That is precisely the path that we began over four years ago in
pursuit of our own national interest and we have not wavered on that
critical path despite the untold misunderstanding, vilification and
demonisation we have endured from across the political divide,” he said on
Wednesday.

But what does he have to show for this consistency? Hyperinflation, a
worthless currency and the fastest shrinking economy in the world.

He now sounds like an old record, the needle stuck in a groove,
stumbling over the same discordant riffs, battering ears that have grown
weary of the jingle.

When is he going to get real?


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Comment: Morgan - Come Home

Zim Independent

Comment
Thursday, 01 May 2008 17:44
‘WE know what Zimbabweans are facing,” MDC leader Morgan Tsvangirai
wrote in anticipation of World Press Freedom Day tomorrow.

“Your new government has the solutions to move us from despair to
destiny…Prepare for a new media generation.”

That is good news.

And we welcome his assurance the new government will give priority to
repealing such pernicious laws as Aippa. That is our priority as well.

Democracy means a free media, Tsvangirai reminds us. “It means we
shall never again celebrate lies as truth, and pretence as principle.”

This comes in a month that has witnessed a whole raft of lies aimed at
discrediting the opposition ahead of a possible run-off in which President
Mugabe will be fighting for his political life.

While MDC secretary-general Tendai Biti has denounced the lies, which
carry all the hallmarks of a state-manufactured disinformation campaign,
Tsvangirai has said very little on this or on other matters of policy.

He has for instance told us very little about the coalition he will be
forming with the Arthur Mutambara-led MDC.

It is essential that the press has a full briefing on these issues.

A steady and reliable line of communication with the media is an
essential component of any modern government’s best practice.

It is to be hoped an MDC government will quickly distance itself from
the malevolent vituperations that have characterised the present government’s
approach to press relations.

Government doesn’t have to like the newspapers it deals with. It just
has to keep them accurately informed.

Hitherto the MDC has seen the independent media as duty-bound to
support its cause.

It has sulked when we have not performed to expectations, excluding us
from access to information. That in turn has rebounded on the party.

Meanwhile, Tsvangirai needs to return home. He is needed here.

His supporters are taking a beating from the thugs who have been
unleashed across the country.

It is time for him to identify with their suffering and give a lead to
his followers.

He has been the victim of some remarkably poor advice on staying
outside the country. This is our next president.

He cannot be based in Johannesburg or Gaborone. He should be here with
his people where he belongs.

Before the election Tsvangirai’s MDC failed to reconcile with
Mutambara’s party because the hawks around Tsvangirai wanted a second
vice-president in the form of Thokozani Khupe.

They also believed that the Bulawayo constituencies were ripe for the
picking.

The result was a split vote in Matabeleland which enabled Zanu PF to
sneak in through the back door in many seats.

A unified MDC could have picked up at least 10 more seats and valuable
votes for Tsvangirai as president which instead went to Simba Makoni.

In the process the MDC lost some of its best talents such as Paul
Themba Nyathi and Welshman Ncube.

This “triumph” has led to a run-off which nobody wants when it could,
had more sober views prevailed, have handed Tsvangirai the presidency on a
silver platter thus sparing us the current ordeal.

Will the MDC go on getting it wrong on decisions such as these where
statesmanship is required over narrow partisan and exclusive interests?

Tsvangirai appears to be in two minds about the big issues of the day.
At first he appeared to favour a run-off; now he has set his face against it
even though all the evidence suggests that despite state intimidation he
would win a crushing victory over an incumbent that the nation is heartily
sick of.

We certainly hope he is not hiding from Patrick Chinamasa’s treason
charges based on a document which the British Embassy has described as a
patent forgery.

Any leader of the opposition worth his salt would have held that
document up at a press conference and heaped contempt upon it. Not
Tsvangirai. He didn’t say a thing! The same goes for all the other
state-manufactured lies that have been doing the rounds.

It was left to Biti to deal with those.

Tsvangirai needs to be both visible and audible. The MDC arguably won
the March election. But it behaves as if it lost.

It needs to deal firmly with partisan public statements from the
police chief and other unreconstructed elements who think they can get away
with threatening to abuse the law to deal with the winning party.

A weekly press conference would be a useful forum to deal with a
number of contentious issues in line with Tsvangirai’s promise to open up
media space. Has he thanked the people of Zimbabwe for their support yet?

What lead has he given to his people?

And what are the “solutions” that will lead us from “despair to
destiny”?

Isn’t it about time that we had some idea of what a Tsvangirai
government would do as its first steps to restoring sanity?


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Zim Independent Letters

Herald Contributing To Our Demise
Letters
Thursday, 01 May 2008 18:04
THIS letter is directed to the Herald newspaper.

I know my letter will not see the light of day at that paper.

But the idea that those at the Herald read it somewhere is good enough
for me.

I have been following Herald stories since it is the only daily
newspaper I can get.

I wonder if there is any professional journalism at Herald House. I
also wonder whether its reporters are reporting from Zimbabwe or from some
place in wonderland.

Whilst I may appreciate that they should know who butters their bread,
they should also not compromise their individual CVs.

Really this paper has peddled so many lies that reading it is now
nauseating.

Instead of telling us as it is the newspaper has decided to hide so
much truth and let the country down by that.

Because of how it reports, the paper is now also an accessory to
violence.

Now it has become a crime for a white man to stop at a lay-bye on our
roads because the Herald will say he is checking on farms.

The Herald has become a rabid racist publication which does not have
any place in a civilised society.

A normal paper with normal reporters would really think twice before
coming up with interviews with men accused of rape such as Obadiah Musindo,
give coverage to the violent bragging of Joseph Chinotimba, or let people
like Jabulani Sibanda insult the intelligence of the people of Zimbabwe.

As a paper the Herald should instead of lauding someone who says “so
and so will never rule this country” be asking questions like why are we
holding elections in the first place.

Why if sanctions are hurting everybody do we have those who cry
sanctions but are filthy rich, drive very expensive cars, yet they tell
others “rambayi makashinga” and the paper does not question them on that.

At one  time the Herald revelled at John Nkomo labelling Dumiso
Dabengwa a sellout just because Dabengwa has refused to endorse the
candidature of President Robert Mugabe.

I thought it is his right, a right which the Chimurenga was fought
for. As a paper you should question some of these comments.

Who does not know Dabengwa in this country and what role he played?

The Herald happily reported that Makoni has been labelled a frog.

Really, is it great to label another a frog just because you have
failed to agree? Your crime is failing to question that sort of thinking.

Mr Herald editor you will soon be a prisoner of your own conscience.

I am not saying you should not support your preferred side.

That is your democratic right. But do it somewhere else, not on the
pages.

You have to look at your news headlines, painting a rosy picture of a
sinking economy.

For the sake of Zimbabwe moving forward, we have lost a lot of time
and you are a contributor to that.

Let us self-criticise and see what we have done to this country with
our type of reporting.

I do not think you will be happy to see this country remain as
stagnant as it is now even for another hour.

Your paper is doomed if civilisation revisits this country.

Trevor Mashayamombe,
By e-mail.

-------------

Will The True Patriots Please Stand Up And Be Counted
Letters
Thursday, 01 May 2008 18:01
THE penning of this letter comes at a time when Zimbabwe faces a
formidable challenge of a stalemate between the competing political
formations whose effects are unavoidable in charting the course for her
future.

It is obvious for all to see that daggers have been drawn and no one
side is keen on relenting an inch in engaging in dialogue or compromising
which will be perceived as a sign of weakness or vulnerability.

The bold proclamations by government spokesperson that a government of
national unity with Morgan Tsvangirai at the helm is an impossibility along
with careless statements by the opposition which serve to alienate rather
than unite, make it even more difficult for dialogue to take place.

It is at this juncture then, in such circumstances where a thick cloud
of uncertainty looms large that patriotic Zimbabweans from across the
socio-political fray must avail themselves for the sake of national survival
and actively work to find a solution to the impasse we find ourselves in.

This entails progressive elements from within the ruling party and
opposition forsaking their parties’ official line if need be and saying to
the eventual winner of the presidential election that they are willing to
work together if a climate of  goodwill is created.

It entails the acknowledgement of the wrongs done by perpetrators of
callous acts of brutality and some form of accountability for such acts for
true reconciliation to be a reality.

It also entails the accommodating of the “losers” and making an effort
not to disenfranchise them, particularly by not making inflammatory comments
which have not gotten us anywhere.

Concerned Zimbabwean,
Harare.

----------
Upsurge In Violence Worrying
Letters
Thursday, 01 May 2008 18:12
THE Zimbabwe Congress of Trade Unions (ZCTU) notes with concern the
upsurge in political violence in the aftermath of the March 29 elections
especially in rural areas where thousands of people have fled their homes.

Urban dwellers have also not been spared as gratuitous assaults are
the order of the day in the high density areas.

This is the price that Zimbabweans are now paying for voting
overwhelmingly for the opposition both in the rural and urban areas.

The ZCTU deplores this backlash from Zanu PF agents as it is uncalled
for.

More worrying is the fact that the Zanu PF leadership is quiet about
the violence on innocent citizens with the police pretending that nothing of
that sort is happening.

The levels of paranoia that are being shown by Zanu PF, the army and
the police are very alarming.

It is senseless that violence is being unleashed on innocent people
while the results of the presidential poll have not been made public.

The ZCTU in inclined to believe that this kind of retaliation can only
mean one thing, that Zanu PF dismally lost the election because why else
would they be torturing innocent people?

The ZCTU also notes with concern that the rural populace who bore the
brunt of the liberation struggle where some lost their entire belongings are
the same people now being exposed to the same brutality which is reminiscent
of the colonial era.

The ZCTU therefore demands that Zanu PF stops the violence forthwith.

The ZCTU would like to urge those who have been brutalised to remain
strong and resolute and not be apologetic for voting for the party of their
choice.

ZCTU,
Harare.

------------
Theindependent Sms
Letters
Thursday, 01 May 2008 18:14
IN the proposed presidential run-off, Zimbabweans are invited to vote
either for change or for no change to their miserable socio-political
situation.

I personally don’t see the need for a run-off except as a means to
waste time and resources.
Pythagoras.

MUGABE, I urge you not to confuse our patience and peaceful nature for
docility.

Concerned.

MUGABE and Zanu PF have failed to win a rigged election! Clearly God
has not forgotten Zimbabwe and I’m now convinced that miracles do happen.

Voter.

WHEN Zanu PF came to power in 1980 was that not regime change? What is
now wrong with the MDC also wanting to effect another regime change in
Zimbabwe?

T M K, Harare

WHEN the inevitable happens and an MDC government is elected into
office, March 29 should be declared our new Independence day.

Gutsa Ruzhinji.

GWYNNE Dyer notes but fails to explain British obsession with
Zimbabwe. Can somebody explain this unprecedented obsession.

Puzzled Zimbo.

WHY is it so much easier to make calls using a NetOne line once the
tariffs increase? Coincidentally when inflation erodes the increases it
becomes much harder to call.

Congested, Gweru.

ZIMBABWEANS must not despair! Mugabe’s time to go is nigh, nothing
lasts forever.

G7 Tronic.

ISSUES to do with government should be solved via the ballot. The
ballot is the only route that should be taken. Be wary of dubious
“negotiations” that are likely to set a bad precedent.

Nhamo wekuMasukwe.

WE, the residents of Caruthers Avenue in Orange Grove, Chinhoyi have
been without water for 15 months. Council please do something.

Concerned, Chinhoyi.

THE MDC must do its part to help protect the people who voted for them
from Zanu PF supporters. The people gave their vote of confidence to the MDC
and it must reciprocate by doing something to protect the people from Zanu
PF militias.

Worried Voter, Harare.

IT’S consoling to see that Mbeki’s “mute” diplomacy is being
overshadowed by Zuma’s stance. The writing is on the wall for the regime.

Nhamo Nanyanya.

NIPC please leave the trust schools alone and concentrate on real
concerns such as bus fares, the cost of basic goods and rentals which affect
the majority. No parent is forced to send their child to a trust school and
anyway it affects less than 0,5% of the population. The rest of us are
languishing in abject poverty.

Mai Vemwana.

THE people in Zanu PF have a myopic view of politics because they
cannot see past their present leadership. They have no organised
handover/takeover structure. Zanu PF will inevitably be a free-for-all which
will bring about its demise.

Svinurai.

REUBEN Barwe and ZTV showed us the “victims” of opposition violence as
a counter to international media footage of victims of Zanu PF’s violence.
One question though: How come the so-called victims of opposition violence
do not bear any scars of the “brutality” they supposedly endured?

Amused Observer.

THERE comes a time when you feel like no one loves you, people don’t
want to be associated with you and nobody is concerned about you. Then you
start to ask yourself the question… Am I Zanu PF?

Hardie Gwenzi.

BY raiding the MDC headquarters, Zanu PF has clearly demonstrated
that it is ready for war and not a poll run-off.

Concerned.

I WAS shocked to learn that Mugabe would officially open this year’s
edition of  the Zimbabwe International Trade Fair. Does it mean that he
could not find a head of state to grace the occasion? Then he must have been
looking too far! Surely the recently elected president (Tsvangirai) could
have found the time to do the job.

Voter.

I JUST want to thank the people of Zaka East for voting MDC.

Excited Voter.

MANDIGORA should not play Sadomba as a central striker when the likes
of Dzukamanja, Tsipa, Ngonjo and Maroto are there. We don’t like that type
of selection.

DeMbare Fan.

THE truth must be told. Soldiers and the police are victimising people
in urban and rural areas. Violence is rife and we are told to ignore it when
our relatives are being brutalised.

Concerned, Harare.

WE do not condone violence. But if it is true that ZBC staff were
beaten by police, they will have a more enlightened reportage than hitherto
where they denied the occurence of police brutality in their news reports.

Llodza, Wedza

WHAT does ZEC mean that presidential candidates will ‘argue’ out the
results and bring their own collations. Are they not the authorized body to
announce results without fear or favour even if the candidates fail to
concur with their view?

Perplexed

WE the people of Zimbabwe condemn and reject any efforts by the so
called ‘military junta’ to undermine the democratic process. Such ill
advised efforts should not go unnoticed and the day of reckoning will slowly
but surely come.

Hailie

THE higher you go, the harder you shall fall! Those with the ears to
hear, let them hear.

Albert Mataga

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