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Zimbabwe Opposition Asks UN to Intervene

Associated Press

1 hour ago

HARARE, Zimbabwe (AP) — Zimbabwe's opposition party is appealing to the
United Nations to intervene before "there is blood in the street."

Spokesman Nelson Chamisa asked the U.N. on Saturday to help the country
prepare for a presidential runoff, saying he fears the "vampire instincts"
of President Robert Mugabe and his ruling party.

Chamisa said Zimbabweans "need the international community to help us." He
added that the U.N. should not wait to "come when there is blood in the
street, blood in the villages."

While official results from the March 29 presidential election have not been
released, independent observers projected the opposition had won most of the
votes but not enough to avoid a runoff.


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Mugabe planning revenge: Zimbabwe opposition

africasia

HARARE, April 5 (AFP)

Zimbabwe's opposition said Saturday it feared Robert Mugabe was pushing for
a presidential election run-off as part of a ploy to exact revenge and
called for international intervention to avert bloodshed.

"For Mugabe, a run-off is a strategy for retribution," the Movement for
Democratic Change's (MDC) chief spokesman Nelson Chamisa told AFP.

"He is defeated, he wants a chance of retribution."

The MDC has proclaimed its leader Morgan Tsvangirai as the winner of last
Saturday's election although there has been no official word on the outcome.

Chamisa said international intervention would avoid a repeat of the violence
which followed Mugabe's defeat in a referendum eight years ago when he
failed to get approval for changes to the constitution.

"He was beaten at the referendum in 2000 and we all know the violence which
followed.

"This is what we want to avoid, rather than have the international community
intervene after there has been bloodshed."

Mugabe's ZANU-PF party gave its backing on Friday for the veteran president
to stand against Tsvangirai in a run-off.


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Mugabe defiant as poll battle goes to court

Reuters

By Nelson Banya 16 minutes ago

HARARE (Reuters) - Zimbabwe's main opposition party goes to court on
Saturday to force the release of results from the presidential poll one week
ago and President Robert Mugabe signaled he planned to fight to extend his
28-year rule.

Lawyers representing Morgan Tsvangirai's Movement for Democratic Change will
ask a high court in Harare for an order compelling election officials to
issue the results immediately, ending a delay that has raised suspicions of
a tainted vote.

The MDC claims Tsvangirai defeated Mugabe and should be declared president
of the economically devastated African nation, but independent observers say
the MDC leader did not win an outright majority and faces a run-off against
Mugabe.

The court case will begin at 4:00 a.m. EDT, according to MDC spokesman
Nelson Chamisa.

"We want an urgent release of the results, within four hours of the court
order," he said. "We're fighting the anxiety, disappointment, speculation
and rumors as a result of this delay."

Senior officials of Mugabe's ruling ZANU-PF party said on Friday that they
would back the 84-year-old veteran in the second round of voting, ending
speculation earlier in the week that they might ask him to step down.

ZANU-PF said it would challenge some of the results of the parliamentary
election, which showed it lost control of the lower house. Preliminary
results from the upper chamber show Mugabe's party ahead by three seats.

The government-run Herald newspaper reported on Saturday that a provincial
elections officer had been arrested in Zimbabwe's Midlands over charges that
some polling stations under him had inflated vote tallies for the MDC and
recorded lower votes for Mugabe and parliamentary ZANU-PF candidates.

"ZANU-PF in the province say they are checking every ward as they suspect a
wider conspiracy," it said.

Mugabe's officials said on Friday his party would go to court over what it
alleged was bribery of electoral officials in some places, but was already
preparing for a run-off.

OPTIMISM WANES

It is not clear when the run-off would occur. Zimbabwean law requires that
it be held within three weeks, but the ruling party hinted on Friday that
the timing might be changed.

The hardening of the ruling party's position has punctured the guarded
optimism that had emerged among the opposition and Mugabe's critics in the
West, who hoped the ex-liberation war fighter would concede defeat.

The MDC said in advertisements placed in South African newspapers on
Saturday that it wanted peace.

"At this stage we offer the hand of peace to the current regime, and will
recognize and respect their rights if the transition is expedited without
further ado, but this offer will not remain open indefinitely," the MDC
said.

Former colonial ruler Britain and the United States, both of whom have
applied sanctions on Mugabe and his top officials, have criticized the
election delay and suggested it could be the precursor to a rigged result.

Mugabe's government is widely accused in the West of stealing previous
presidential and parliamentary elections, and his removal is seen by
Washington and London as necessary to rebuilding Zimbabwe's shattered
economy.

Zimbabweans are struggling with the world's highest inflation of more than
100,000 percent, mass unemployment and chronic shortages of meat, bread,
fuel and other basic goods.

Worries that tensions could explode rose on Friday when liberation war
veterans, a pro-Mugabe group that has in the past intimidated government
opponents and violently occupied white-owned farms, attacked the MDC for
claiming victory.

"These are all provocations against us freedom fighters," veterans' leader
Jabulani Sibanda told a news conference.

He said the veterans would repel any attempt by white farmers to reclaim
properties seized by Mugabe. "It now looks like these elections were a way
to open for the re-invasion of this country (by the British)," he said.

The farm seizures, part of a government policy of redistributing land to
poor blacks, are often blamed for the devastation of Zimbabwe's farm sector.

Food output has fallen sharply since the seizures began in 2000 and
Zimbabwe, once an exporter, now relies on food imports and handouts to feed
its people.

(Additional reporting by Stella Mapenzauswa, Cris Chinaka, Muchena Zigomo,
MacDonald Dzirutwe; Editing by Marius Bosch and Tim Pearce)


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Zimbabweans fear return of violence

Boston Globe

Tensions rise as Mugabe's party fights back
By Craig Timberg
Washington Post / April 5, 2008
HARARE, Zimbabwe - President Robert Mugabe's party acknowledged yesterday
that it lost last weekend's historic election, but vowed to fight back in a
second round of voting that many Zimbabweans fear will be much less peaceful
than the first.

The announcement came on a day of sharply rising tensions in Harare, the
capital, as signs mounted that Mugabe was preparing to use extraordinary
measures to regain control amid the biggest challenge to his rule since
Zimbabwe gained independence in 1980.
Riot police and trucks mounted with water cannons appeared on city streets.
The country's feared association of liberation war veterans, who long have
served as Mugabe's enforcers, threatened to deploy.

A top ruling party official, Didymus Mutasa, said party officials were
planning to "purge" the electoral commission of alleged opposition
supporters and would challenge the results of 16 seats in the lower house of
Parliament, enough to let them retake control of the chamber they lost in
results announced this week.

Diplomats and opposition officials also said Mugabe, 84, was considering
whether to invoke emergency powers to delay the presidential runoff election
for 90 days in a bid to improve his chances of winning.

Mutasa did not say when the runoff would occur, but said a second round was
necessary. "This time we will be more vigilant, and I'm sure we will win by
a wide margin," he said.

Mutasa said Mugabe got 43 percent of the vote in last Saturday's election,
compared with 47 percent for opposition leader Morgan Tsvangirai. The
numbers are close to those reported by independent observers. The opposition
party says Tsvangirai narrowly topped 50 percent, which would allow him to
avoid the second round of voting automatically required when no candidate
wins a clear majority. Official results remain unannounced.

After days of reports that Mugabe's closest associates were split over
whether to participate in a runoff or step down, the 49-member ruling body
of his Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front met for five
boisterous hours yesterday. It voted unanimously to fight on in a second
round, Mutasa said.

The announcements came after days of rumors and reports that Mugabe, who has
led Zimbabwe into a devastating economic morass with chronic shortages and
100,000 percent inflation, was considering stepping down at the urging of
some family members and friends. Instead, Zimbabweans braced for a return to
the violent politics common in earlier elections but largely absent in the
run-up to Saturday's vote.

"Mugabe, after a defeat he did not expect, surely cannot want to face
another election without a bag of dirty tricks," said Nomore Mutizwa, 32,
who runs a cellphone shop in Harare. "I'm sure people will be beaten up and
intimidated, especially in the rural areas. When ZANU-PF is desperate, they
can be very dangerous."

Others prepared to meet any violence with resistance.

"We need to fight for our country," said Calisto Sibanda, 23, a black-market
fuel trader.

Adding to the heightened tensions was the reemergence of an association of
veterans from Zimbabwe's liberation war in the 1970s. The veterans long have
been enforcers of Mugabe's policies and, in 2000, were the leaders of
chaotic and often violent invasions of white-owned commercial farms, which
gave many landless black peasants farms but also devastated the nation's
vital agricultural sector.

Hundreds of veterans marched silently through Harare's streets yesterday,
according to news reports. Afterward, leaders announced they accused
Tsvangirai of seeking to help white farmers reclaim their land and said they
were prepared to fight back.

"What I know is we will be compelled to repel the invasions," said Jabulani
Sibanda, head of the war veterans' association.

Police crackdowns on foreign journalists covering the elections and at least
one democracy activist group also fueled anxiety in the capital. Two
correspondents, including Barry Bearak of The New York Times, were charged
yesterday with violating Zimbabwe's strict journalism laws. He was among a
group of four foreigners arrested at a Harare hotel Thursday. Zimbabwe has
barred most foreign journalists from legally reporting on the election.

The newspaper said Bearak "is being held in a frigid cell without shoes,
warm clothing or blankets."

His lawyer "informs us that the top legal officials in the office of the
attorney general agreed that the case . . . should be thrown because the
police could produce no witnesses or other evidence against him. But somehow
the state's lawyers were overruled," the newspaper's statement said.


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Getting away with murder

National Post, Canada

Steven Edwards, National Post  Published: Saturday, April 05, 2008

NEW YORK -For all the claims these days that the age of impunity has ended
for the world's despots, Robert Mugabe will prove that international justice
has its limits -- and he's beyond them.

Despite the horrors of his regime since it began targeting Zimbabwe's white
farmers in 2000, Mugabe's greatest crime against humanity occurred two
decades earlier -- against black Zimbabweans.

In the early 1980s, his North Korean-trained henchmen massacred up to 30,000
opposition supporters, a crime that should be sufficient to land him in jail
someplace for the rest of his life.

But the 84-year-old leader can continue to sleep easy, even though
international justice has notched up some remarkable successes in recent
years, including the arrest of former Liberian president Charles Taylor.

Somehow the fine print in what Taylor thought was an ironclad deal to
exchange power for asylum in Nigeria allowed his extradition. He is now in
The Hague, facing multiple charges of war crimes and crimes against humanity
in front of a UN/Sierra Leone tribunal.

This hybrid court was set up to prosecute crimes committed during the civil
war in Sierra Leone. The charges were laid even before Taylor stepped down
as leader of neighbouring Liberia, a position he is accused of having used
to funnel arms to Sierra Leone rebels in exchange for diamonds.

There is no special UN court

for Zimbabwe, even though Mugabe's misrule has led to more of his people
dying than in Iraq, Afghanistan and even Darfur.

Also count out the UN's International Criminal Court (ICC), launched in 2002
to prosecute war crimes suspects who might escape punishment in their home
countries. Its jurisdiction is not retroactive and in any case Zimbabwe is
not a signatory.

A few countries have laws that apply the principle of "universal
jurisdiction." Some argue Canadian legislation paving the way for the ICC
puts Canada in that group.

But Mugabe need only stay away from them to avoid arrest. That leaves
Zimbabwe itself, but there he has leverage as long as he hangs on to or can
influence the levers of power.

"Inside Zimbabwe, he can make any deal he wants with the Zimbabwean
authorities

-- and they can give him immunity," says Georgette Gagnon, Africa director
at U.S.-based Human Rights Watch.

Which explains all the closed-door talks in Harare since the election
results did not go all Mugabe's way.

Another possibility is a body modelled on South Africa's post-apartheid
Truth & Reconciliation Commission, which aimed to bring together whites and
blacks.

Although black-ruled South Africa long turned a blind eye to Mugabe's
misrule out of solidarity with a fellow African "freedom fighter," the West
also failed to move against him when his true murderous character emerged.

The same month he became prime minister in April, 1980, he launched secret
talks with Communist dictator Kim Il Sung to have the North Korean military
create a Zimbabwean brigade to "combat malcontents."

The Fifth Brigade also carried the name Gukurahundi from Mugabe's Shona
language -- meaning "early rain that washes away the chaff before the spring
rains."

Mugabe unleashed his new force on the mainly Ndebele supporters of his chief
rival Joshua Nkomo, who had headed a separate army against the former white
minority regime.

One of the brigade's most horrific acts occurred in 1983 in Nkomo's
Matabeleland homeland, where soldiers shot people in public executions after
forcing them to dig their own graves.

Not only did Western aid continue to flow to the former British colony after
that atrocity, Britain even knighted Mugabe in 1994.

Having been effectively rewarded for committing genocide, Mugabe's ruling
Zimbabwean African National Unity Patriotic Front (ZANU-PF) regime acquired
a sense of impunity.

The West sought sanctions only after Mugabe launched his violent land
reforms, aimed mainly at evicting white farmers.

To this extent, it brought some of Mugabe's accusations of racism on itself.

"As the ZANU-PF apparatchiks see it, the West ignored the massacre of
thousands of black Zimbabweans in the 1980s, but imposed sanctions on
Zimbabwe following the killing of a handful of white farmers and a few
hundred opposition activists since 2000," argues the Cato Institute's David
Colbert in a recent essay.

Mugabe went on to target his country's poorest people in another operation
to which he applied another Shona word: murambatsvina (drive out trash). It
resulted in his security forces evicting about 2.4 million slum dwellers
from their homes and livelihoods.

Whether Mugabe is prosecuted or not, it would seem any deal is worth
relieving this man of the ability to impose more pain and suffering.


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Why justice can't touch Mugabe


National Post, Canada

Dictator has a long record of human rights' abuses

Peter Goodspeed, Canwest News Service  Published: Friday, April 04, 2008

For all the claims these days that the age of impunity has ended for the
world's despots, Robert Mugabe will prove that international justice has its
limits - and he's beyond them.

Despite the horrors of his regime since it began targeting Zimbabwe's white
farmers in 2000, Mugabe's greatest crime against humanity occurred two
decades earlier -- against black Zimbabweans.

In the early 1980s, his North Korean-trained henchmen massacred up to 30,000
opposition supporters, a crime that should be sufficient to land him in jail
someplace for the rest of his life.

But the 84-year-old leader can continue to sleep easy, even though
international justice has notched up some remarkable successes in recent
years, including the arrest of former Liberian president Charles Taylor.

Somehow the fine print in what Taylor thought was an ironclad deal to
exchange power for asylum in Nigeria allowed his extradition. He is now in
The Hague, facing multiple charges of war crimes and crimes against humanity
in front of a UN/Sierra Leone tribunal.

This hybrid court was set up to prosecute crimes committed during the civil
war in Sierra Leone. The charges were laid even before Taylor stepped down
as leader of neighbouring Liberia, a position he is accused of having used
to funnel arms to Sierra Leone rebels in exchange for diamonds.

There is no special UN court for Zimbabwe, even though Mugabe's misrule has
led to more of his people dying than in Iraq, Afghanistan and even Darfur.

Also count out the UN's International Criminal Court (ICC), launched in 2002
to prosecute war crimes suspects who might escape punishment in their home
countries. Its jurisdiction is not retroactive and in any case Zimbabwe is
not a signatory.

A few countries have laws that apply the principle of "universal
jurisdiction." Some argue Canadian legislation paving the way for the ICC
puts Canada in that group.

But Mugabe need only stay away from them to avoid arrest. That leaves
Zimbabwe itself, but there he has leverage as long as he hangs on to or can
influence the levers of power.

"Inside Zimbabwe, he can make any deal he wants with the Zimbabwean
authorities - and they can give him immunity," says Georgette Gagnon, Africa
director at U.S.-based Human Rights Watch.

Which explains all the closed-door talks in Harare since the election
results did not go all Mugabe's way.

Another possibility is a body modelled on South Africa's post-apartheid
Truth & Reconciliation Commission, which aimed to bring together whites and
blacks.

Although black-ruled South Africa long turned a blind eye to Mugabe's
misrule out of solidarity with a fellow African "freedom fighter," the West
also failed to move against him when his true murderous character emerged.

The same month he became prime minister in April, 1980, he launched secret
talks with Communist dictator Kim Il Sung to have the North Korean military
create a Zimbabwean brigade to "combat malcontents."

The Fifth Brigade also carried the name Gukurahundi from Mugabe's Shona
language - meaning "early rain that washes away the chaff before the spring
rains."

Mugabe unleashed his new force on the mainly Ndebele supporters of his chief
rival Joshua Nkomo, who had headed a separate army against the former white
minority regime.

One of the brigade's most horrific acts occurred in 1983 in Nkomo's
Matabeleland homeland, where soldiers shot people in public executions after
forcing them to dig their own graves.

Not only did Western aid continue to flow to the former British colony after
that atrocity, Britain even knighted Mugabe in 1994.

Having been effectively rewarded for committing genocide, Mugabe's ruling
Zimbabwean African National Unity Patriotic Front (ZANU-PF) regime acquired
a sense of impunity.

The West sought sanctions only after Mugabe launched his violent land
reforms, aimed mainly at evicting white farmers.

To this extent, it brought some of Mugabe's accusations of racism on itself.

"As the ZANU-PF apparatchiks see it, the West ignored the massacre of
thousands of black Zimbabweans in the 1980s, but imposed sanctions on
Zimbabwe following the killing of a handful of white farmers and a few
hundred opposition activists since 2000," argues the Cato Institute's David
Colbert in a recent essay.

Mugabe went on to target his country's poorest people in another operation
to which he applied another Shona word: murambatsvina (drive out trash). It
resulted in his security forces evicting about 2.4 million slum dwellers
from their homes and livelihoods.

Whether Mugabe is prosecuted or not, it would seem any deal is worth
relieving this man of the ability to impose more pain and suffering.


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Times Journalist Still in Zimbabwe Jail

New York Times

By DANIEL J. WAKIN
Published: April 5, 2008
A journalist for The New York Times detained by the police in Zimbabwe spent
a second night in a jail cell on Friday, after government authorities
overruled the attorney general’s decision to set him free.

The journalist, Barry Bearak, and a British citizen who was also arrested,
were swept up at a small hotel in the suburbs of the capital, Harare, on
Thursday afternoon. The action appeared to be part of a crackdown by
government forces after an election that seemed to be turning against
President Robert Mugabe and his 28-year grip on the country.
Offices of the main opposition party were also raided, while an American
democracy advocate helping local groups monitor the elections was arrested
at the airport.

Mr. Bearak has been caught up in shifting legal machinations by the
authorities. He was first arrested on a charge of working as a journalist
without accreditation, but when the police realized that the press law had
been changed, he was recharged with falsely presenting himself as a
journalist, according to his lawyer, Beatrice Mtetwa.

She said her colleagues, with police officers present, had gone to the
attorney general’s office and argued that there was no evidence to support
the charge. Officials there agreed, and said Mr. Bearak should be released.

Back at the police station, after several hours of waiting, Ms. Mtetwa asked
about the delay.

“The police advised that they had received orders from above not to release
him,” she said. “Obviously they got political instructions from elsewhere to
hold them.”

She said officers had given conflicting reasons about why Mr. Bearak was
being held, including that preparations were in the works for his
deportation and that his computer was being searched for evidence that could
lead to other charges. Ms. Mtetwa said she would apply to the nation’s High
Court, and fight any deportation order.

The Committee to Protect Journalists said Zimbabwe long used accreditation
laws to keep foreign journalists from shedding light on the country’s
turbulence. “It is a backdoor form of censorship,” said the committee’s
executive director, Joel Simon.

Very few foreign journalists received accreditation, though there were some
300 requests to cover last weekend’s election, a government spokesman told
the pro-government newspaper The Sunday Mail, according to the committee.

Mr. Simon said, “We call on the police to heed the attorney general’s
recommendation.”

With nighttime temperatures in the 50s, Mr. Bearak’s cell is unheated and he
sleeps on a concrete slab without a blanket, Ms. Mtetwa said.

The executive editor of The Times, Bill Keller, said Mr. Bearak was being
held on charges “that even the government’s own lawyers recognize as
baseless.” Mr. Keller called the charge that Mr. Bearak had misrepresented
himself as an accredited journalist a “ludicrous assertion.”

The American worker for a pro-democracy group — the National Democratic
Institute, based in Washington — was released Friday, Ms. Mtetwa said. The
American, Dileepan Sivapathasundaram, was placed into the hands of United
States representatives, the institute said, but his passport was still being
held and he was ordered to report back to the police on Saturday.

The institute said it hoped that he would be free to leave the country, but
was unsure of what would happen to him.

Tom Casey, a State Department spokesman, said, “We want to see these people
released as soon as possible, and we’re going to continue to make sure that
our consular officials, through our embassy in Harare, do everything they
can to see that this issue is resolved and resolved successfully.” At least
two other Americans were detained, but were released and had left the
country, he said.

In the elections last Saturday, Mr. Mugabe’s party, known as ZANU-PF, lost
control of Parliament’s lower house, but the government has yet to release
results in the presidential race. The opposition said its candidate, Morgan
Tsvangirai, had won.

Mr. Mugabe, who led the struggle against minority white rule, has grown
increasingly unpopular in Zimbabwe and is a pariah elsewhere, as he has
ruthlessly suppressed dissent and overseen the dissolution of the economy.

Mr. Casey criticized the Zimbabwean Electoral Commission for delaying the
results. “The longer they delay in this process, the more suspicious it
becomes,” he said. He said there was no place for “acts of intimidation or
of violence” in Zimbabwe’s political system, and called on all parties to
“act peacefully.”


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Two SA journos expelled at Zim border

iafrica.com

 

Sat, 05 Apr 2008
Two 702 Eyewitness News journalists were expelled from Zimbabwe after they
tried to enter the country at the Beit Bridge border post on Friday
afternoon, the station said.

Journalists Jean Jacques Cornish and Sheldon Morais were detained and
questioned but were released after more than three and a half hours.

Their passports and other personal belongings were also confiscated but
later returned.

Eyewitness News Johannesburg editor Katy Katopodis said she was disappointed
that the pair were not allowed into the country to cover the outcome of the
country's historic election but was relieved they were not jailed.
Sapa


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MDC: 90-day extension against law

Dispatch, SA

2008/04/05

ANY attempt by Zimbabwean President Robert Mugabe to extend a second round
of presidential elections to 90 days would be “illegal”, the opposition MDC
said yesterday.

In an interview with South African radio, MDC secretary-general Tendai Biti
charged Mugabe of ruling illegally because his term expired on March 28, the
day before elections.

The Zimbabwe Independent newspaper yesterday quoted “impeccable sources” as
saying Mugabe wanted to use his presidential powers to amend the Electoral
Act to extend the run-off period to 90 days and rule by decree in the
interim.

Biti also accused Mugabe of plotting a crackdown on the opposition during
the run-off period. “They are preparing for a war,” Biti said.

Zimbabweans were hoping to know the outcome of the presidential results
yesterday after the Zimbabwe Electoral Commission said it would issue
results within six days of voting, but that looked increasingly unlikely.

ZEC instead was issuing results from the 60-seat Senate election at the same
snail’s pace as the parliamentary vote. With 10 seats announced, Mugabe’s
Zanu-PF party and the MDC were neck and neck with five seats each. —
Sapa-DPA


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MDC take the legal road

Zimbabwe Today

Can an emergency move in the High Court force Mugabe's hand?

Harare, Zimbabwe, Friday, April 4, 3.30 pm

After another morning with no sign of the Presidential election results,
Morgan Tsvangirai's MDC has gone to court in an attempt to force the
Zimbabwe Electoral Commission to release the figures.

An emergency application has been lodged at the High Court for immediate
publication of the results, although technically the ZEC has until midnight
tonight to do so. At the same time the EC has added its voice to internation
pressure, urging the Zimbabwe authorities to act as swiftly as possible.

One threat to the MDC has been removed today. It concerns Simba Makoni, the
rebel Zanu-PF ex-minister standing as the third candidate in the election.
There is, I'm informed, absolutely no prospect of him making things up with
his old boss, Mugabe.

Makoni's spokesman, Ibbo Mandaze, confirmed to me today that despite
attempts earlier this week to lure the candidate back into the Zanu-PF fold,
Makoni will definitely back Tsvangirai in any runoff vote. "We have made our
position clear, that we will come together as the opposition and fight
against Mugabe." he said. And there was more good news for Tsvangirai's MDC.

The breakaway MDC faction will also campaign vigorously to support
Tsvangirai. Leader Mutambara's spokesman Gabriel Chaibva, told me: "It is
known that we are still brothers with the other MDC and we will fight
together to dispose of Mugabe in the event of a run-off."

I have also learned that there was a blow for Tsvangirai yesterday afternoon
when a planned secret meeting between him and seven of the country's top
generals was called off at the last minute. Tsvangirai had hoped to reassure
the service chiefs of their futures, which would include generous retirement
packages for those who would not wish to serve under him.

It is not clear who ordered the generals not to attend the meeting, but the
fact that some were prepared to come in the first place indicates that the
rumours of rifts in the upper echelons of the Zimbabwe high command are
true.

Normal life in Zimbabwe meanwhile goes on as before - that is, it gets
tougher by the day. Latest indication of our financial melt-down comes in
the shape of the new Z$50m note. Get hold of one of these, and you can go
shopping with confidence, knowing that you have just enough to buy two small
loaves of bread.

If you can find any bread.


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Aid Agencies Say Fear, Tension Rising in Zimbabwe

tradingmarkets.com

Saturday, April 05, 2008; Posted: 02:48 AM
(Voice of America News/ContentWorks via COMTEX) -- -- DATELINE: Washington

Aid agencies in Zimbabwe say they"re deeply concerned about the rising
tensions and fears following last weekend"s elections. They say the slow
release of election results this week and accusations of vote rigging are
the main reasons for the heightened tensions.

 Karen Beattie, a Zimbabwean, is a disaster management officer for the NGO
Tearfund. From London, she spoke to VOA English to Africa Service Joe De
Capua about the situation in Zimbabwe.

We had a call from one of our partner organizations, the Zimbabwe Christian
Alliance, actually on Monday night, saying that they were very concerned
about the tension that was mounting with the delay of the announcement of
the results. As you can imagine, the Zimbabweans have been watching these
results and with a lot of expectation and hope, but I think with a lot of
fear as well. The Kenyan situation is fresh in everybody"s mind and so the
delays are just increasing that tension. So we"ve been worried about it, she
says.

Beattie is calling upon prominent African organizations to take action.
There is obviously international pressure on the Zimbabwe Electoral
Commission to actually get the results out. I think that"s very important.
But I think that another thing that would be good to see would be the
re-involvement or the reengagement of the SADC, the Southern African
Development Community, observers, as well as the African Union observers,
that they ensure that whatever the results are that we hear today and in the
coming days, that they reengage in the process to ensure that the rule of
law is upheld, she says.

She says Tearfund has received reports of increased militia and police
presence in some areas.

Tearfund has been operating in Zimbabwe for about 20 years. Its work
includes teaching conservation farming, helping those with HIV/AIDS and food
aid for AIDS orphans. However, the collapsed Zimbabwe economy has taken its
toll.

Beattie says, We"ve seen an incredible decrease in people"s ability to cope
from, I would say, in the last couple of years. It"s been exponential. So
where people were poor in the past, they"re absolutely not coping at all
because of the combination of factors and primarily the economy.


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Living on rumour in Harare

BBC

00:41 GMT, Saturday, 5 April 2008 01:41 UK

      By Farai Sevenzo
       Harare

Harare's quiet was burst today, but there was no loud bang. It was a
bit like a flat party balloon finally finding the flame of a candle.

Friday was Zanu-PF Politburo day and the rumours which have persisted
about the state of the nation, the future of politics and, of course, those
long-awaited results, did not go away.
With a police escort, independence war veterans marched through town
towards the Zanu-PF headquarters to show their support.

Support for what exactly, was not made clear. But these marches are
nothing new. They are a morale-booster for the ruling party, and the
marchers are peaceful and sing in tune.

Questions pile up

To the ears of bystanders, though, the questions were piling up. When
will the Zimbabwe Electoral Commission (ZEC) announce the remaining results
of the Senate and presidential elections?

The local newspapers have been widely reporting 48% for Morgan
Tsvangirai, the leader of the opposition Movement for Democratic Change
(MDC), and 43% for Zanu-PF leader President Robert Mugabe.

And then there is the small matter of the constitution which,
according to some, says results should be known by midnight on Friday, six
days after the poll. Fluid as the situation is, there is no guarantee that
the deadline will prompt results.

But the issue of the moment is what Mr Mugabe would say at his
politburo meeting.

Did he have the energy to contest a run-off with an opposition that
has already gone to the High Court in an attempt to force the ZEC to reveal
last Saturday's election results? Should he stay or should he go?

The pictures on state television showed the president seemingly
relaxed, and the AU observers said as much.

Show of force

Meanwhile the massive international interest in the elections has seen
a mini-invasion of the media - they are dotted here and there, trying to
understand what is happening.

On Thursday evening, two foreign journalists were arrested for taking
pictures, and possibly also because their accreditation was in doubt.

An MDC office in a hotel was also said to have been raided and
ransacked by the security forces. And a drive out of town shows the massive
police presence which kept its distance last Saturday.

So what is going on? Why the sudden show of muscle?

Many have said a run-off in the presidential election would be a
chance to put things right. It has, according to some, galvanised the
Zanu-PF.

The fear for the common citizens is that the old tricks of former
Zimbabwean elections may resurface - bloody clashes between rival parties in
an effort to win a photo-finish vote.

Meanwhile, the rumours keep hitting the streets thick and fast.

Some say the president is not going anywhere, that naturally the
opposition were over-enthusiastic in their celebrations and claims of
victory, that the game is one of two halves - the next half being the widely
expected second-round vote.

But will it play like that?

Economic pressures

The MDC, for their part, have adopted the kind of strategy befitting a
savvy student union. They have anticipated every move - from the
overprinting of ballot papers to the possibility of stuffed ballot-boxes.

They ran a campaign which ordinary Zimbabweans, unused to dissenting
voices on television and the press, lapped up. Once the playing-field began
to open up and the spectre of violence did not to rear its head, the party
began demanding the electorate's attention.

So what happened? For almost a decade, the opposition has been seen as
hopelessly inept. Mr Mugabe could run rings around them politically.

A treason trial also hung over Mr Tsvangirai, his supporters
frequently crossed the floor to the Zanu-PF benches in parliament, and there
were often scenes of the beaten leaders showing off their broken limbs
outside court and in hospital.

There were also seismic splits within the MDC's ranks, accusations of
dictatorship against its leadership, and multiple arrest warrants issued for
their supporters for alleged crimes ranging from "political nuisance" to
murder.

The Zanu-PF believed it had done enough to ensure victory last week.

"Our Land, Our Sovereignty", one of the slogans on the portraits of
the president of the Republic, rang true to the convictions of the
converted, but not to those feeling the enormous pressure of 100,000%
inflation.

The border-jumpers, the closed schools, the dire statistics - as much
as they could be blamed on Western media and a real unwillingness to extend
lines of credit to Zimbabwean manufacturers and farmers, they could not be
understood by the electorate.

Too many questions

"We have taught you the meaning of self-sacrifice," the people heard
Mr Mugabe say a day or so before the polls opened.

But they found it difficult to believe that the same lesson had been
swallowed by his cabinet. And the big scalps that fell as the results came
through - from the justice minister downwards - showed their cynicism.

It is now almost impossible to reach Mr Mugabe's talkative and
approachable spokespersons.

Is the opposition a government-in-waiting, or is it now painfully
aware of the dangers of triumphalism? Have its leaders gone into hiding,
watching the re-clenching of a fist they have been all too familiar with?
There are too many questions.

The president, a proud man, is said to be asking over whom he will
preside, now that many of his ministers have lost their seats.

It must also be said that very few leaders in post-independence Africa
have so dominated the story of one nation by the sheer force of their
personality.

Mr Mugabe is a living myth to friend and foe alike, and Zanu-PF has
not yet found a way to emerge from his immense shadow.

What if he has had enough but his followers, lacking his convictions
and afraid of life after him, decide to keep him firmly enthroned for their
own reasons?

Until he says something and until the people know the election result,
Harare will fill itself on rumour and 40m-dollar beers.


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Mugabe Faces an Uphill Battle in Zimbabwe's Presidential Runoff



By Antony Sguazzin and Brian Latham

April 5 (Bloomberg) -- President Robert Mugabe of Zimbabwe faces an uphill
battle to win a runoff campaign after most voters supported opposition
candidates in the March 29 election's House of Assembly races. Analysts said
he may resort to violent intimidation to prevail.

Government backers have said results from the election's presidential
ballot, which haven't been released yet, will show that none of the four
candidates won a majority, an outcome that requires a runoff between the top
two.

Opposition parliamentary candidates won control of the House with 54 percent
of the vote. The Movement for Democratic Change, an MDC splinter group and
independent politicians won 1.31 million votes in House races, compared with
1.11 million for Mugabe's Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front,
according to official results tallied on a Web site for Sokwanele, a
Harare-based human rights group.

Zanu-PF officials ``underestimated the opposition to Mugabe,'' Marian Tupy,
an analyst at the Washington-based Cato Institute, said in an interview
yesterday. ``He doesn't have majority support. They have overcome their
shock, and they will try and hang on to power.''

Mugabe's opponent likely will be the MDC's leader, Morgan Tsvangirai, 56,
the most popular of the three opposition presidential candidates.

Support for Mugabe, Zimbabwe's leader since independence from the U.K. in
1980, has been sapped by a decade of recession and the world's highest
inflation rate, 164,900 percent.

State-Backed Violence

Observers from the European Union and other governments have said that
Mugabe used violence and election law violations to win Zimbabwe's last
three campaigns. There is concern that a runoff would incite a new round of
state-backed violence.

``He could unleash his thugs on the opposition,'' Tupy added. ``Don't count
Mugabe out.''

``The fear Zimbabweans have is that it could lead to three weeks of
intensive violence and even deaths,'' added Michael Davies, an analyst at
Sokwanele, the human rights group.

The opposition alleged that Zanu-PF already tried to rig last month's poll.

``There is a well thought out and premeditated plan to steal the election,''
Simba Makoni, a former finance minister who ran for president as an
independent, said in an interview. Makoni will endorse Tsvangirai in a
runoff, said Nkosana Moyo, his campaign manager, in an interview in Cape
Town.

Court Hearing

A Zimbabwe court will hold a hearing today on an application by the MDC to
force the government to release the presidential election results, said
Irene Petras, head of Zimbabwe Lawyers for Human Rights in Harare, the
capital.

After family members and some underlings urged Mugabe, 84, to resign, the
Zanu-PF's politburo decided yesterday that he would compete in a runoff if,
as expected, results show that none of the four candidates won a majority,
party officials said.

The MDC claims Tsvangirai won the presidential election with 50.3 percent. A
sampling of polling stations by the independent Zimbabwe Electoral Support
Network indicated Tsvangirai received 49 percent, Mugabe 41 percent, Makoni
8 percent and Langton Towungana, the other candidate, 0.6 percent. The study
has a 2.4 percent margin of error.

``We've suffered a blow, but we're not out for the count,'' said Didymus
Mutasa, a Zanu-PF official, disclosing yesterday's decision that Mugabe
would compete if there's a runoff. ``Of course Robert Mugabe will stand. Who
else would it be?''

Possible Delay

Mutasa ended the telephone interview without taking additional questions, so
it is unclear if the government will delay the runoff beyond the three-week
deadline that is required by law.

Earlier, two top Zanu-PF officials had said that the politburo, or executive
committee, discussed either delaying the runoff and giving the government
time to shore up support for Mugabe or forming a temporary coalition
government with the opposition. The two officials are members of the
politburo and declined to be identified because the talks are supposed to be
confidential.

Under the first option, Mugabe would use his decree powers to extend the
election law's three-week deadline for a runoff to three months and then
deploy party militias across the country to ensure support, the officials
said. Under the other option, he would have asked the opposition to form a
six-month transitional government and then hold new elections, they said.

Three Month Delay

Military chief Constantine Chiwenga and rural housing minister Emmerson
Mnangagwa pushed for the three-month delay, the officials said. Chiwenga,
along with Commissioner General of Police Augustine Chihuri, urged Mugabe to
fight a runoff because they are concerned that an opposition-run government
may charge security officials with human rights abuses and corruption, the
politburo members said.

A group led by Lieutenant-General Solomon Mujuru, the former head of the
guerilla army that helped Zimbabwe win independence in 1980, favored opening
talks with the MDC on forming a transitional government, the politburo
members said. Central Intelligence Organization Director Happyton Bonyongwe,
family members and personal aides urged Mugabe to resign, the party
officials said.

Mnangagwa didn't answer a call made to his mobile phone, and both he and
Chiwenga were said to be out when their offices in Harare were called.
Workers at the CIO declined to put Bloomberg calls through to Bonyongwe. No
one answered the phone at Chihuri's police headquarters.

Unquestioned Rule

Mugabe's era of unquestioned rule ended after opposition politicians won 111
of the 210 seats in the House, according to official results released April
2. The MDC secured 99 seats, Mugabe's Zanu-PF won 96, and a MDC splinter
group led by Arthur Mutambara got 11. An independent candidate also won a
seat. The three remaining seats will be decided in later by-elections.

Zanu-PF has demanded a recount in 16 House of Assembly races, Agence
France-Presse reported, citing an unidentified party spokesman.

Before losing the House, Mugabe had controlled all levels of Zimbabwe's
government since his guerrilla army ousted white- minority rulers 28 years
ago.

If he manages to retain the presidency, he will be a weaker but not
powerless leader. Mugabe has used nearly three decades of absolute control
to push through constitutional amendments to strengthen the presidency. He
can pass laws by decree that stay in force for 90 days, after which they
expire unless the House and Senate approve them.

Check on House

The Senate, created in 2005 as a separate parliamentary chamber, can block
legislative proposals, so it would be another check on the House's ambitions
if Mugabe partisans control that chamber.

State television reported that partial official results from the Senate
races showed that Zanu-PF won 20 seats, the MDC 19 seats and MDC splinter
group four, said Petras, the Zimbabwe Lawyers for Human Rights leader.
Results for 17 Senate seats haven't been disclosed yet.

Tsvangirai's MDC has released no details of how it would tackle the
country's economic crisis, apart from saying it plans to allow the Zimbabwe
dollar to trade freely against other currencies. Officially, the Zimbabwe
dollar is pegged at 30,000 against the U.S. currency. It trades at 55
million to one U.S. dollar on the black market, where most foreign exchange
trades take place.

The MDC split in 2005 after some of its members, led by Mutambara, a
university professor, decided to compete in the country's first senatorial
elections. The move was criticized by the larger Tsvangirai-led faction,
which boycotted that poll. Repeated talks since 2006 had failed by early
this year to re- unite the party.

To contact the reporters on this story: Brian Latham in Durban via
Johannesburg at pmrichardson@bloomberg.net; Antony Sguazzin in Johannesburg
at asguazzin@bloomberg.net.

Last Updated: April 4, 2008 19:46 EDT


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Exiles who dare not hope

Mirror, UK

Victoria Ward In Johannesburg   5/04/2008

As desperate Zimbabwean refugees pile off the buses in downtown
Johannesburg, they do not dare to dream that change is on its way.

Teppina Ntombela, 32, who left three children behind to come looking for
work in South Africa, said: "We are scared. Mugabe will not go easily. But
unless I am here earning money my children will not eat. I send them cooking
oil and rice because there is nothing there. Shelves are bare."

For the thousands of Zimbabweans fleeing every day - dodging patrols,
cutting through game parks, hiding under canvas in trucks - South Africa at
least offers a chance to earn cash and send food back home.

But life across the border for the illegal immigrants, now estimated at up
to three million, remains a humiliating struggle. Some say they are at the
mercy of corrupt local police and many among the South African population
resent their presence.

Oscar Machapaza, 34, was a teacher in Harare. As he lay on a Johannesburg
church floor with 1,500 others, he said: "I've lost my honour. I work on a
building site and sleep on a dirty floor. There are no blankets but disease
and lice.
We feel like animals."

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