International Herald Tribune
The Associated PressPublished: February 23,
2007
JOHANNESBURG, South Africa: Signs are mounting that
Zimbabwe is finally
reaching the end game, witnessing the last, desperate
throes of a regime
that has destroyed one of Africa's few successful
economies, forced a third
of its people into the diaspora and the rest into
poverty that is killing
hundreds of thousands.
It may not happen
Saturday, when President Robert Mugabe celebrates his 83rd
birthday with
bubbly and cake at a US$1.2 million party while hundreds of
thousands of
Zimbabweans struggle to survive on bread and water.
And it probably won't
happen in the weeks leading up to April 18, the 27th
anniversary of an end
to racist white rule and Mugabe's ascension to power.
But years of abuse
and neglect are culminating in untenable crises.
"People's anger is
mounting," said Zimbabwean political scientist John
Makumbe. "They're no
longer afraid to go into the streets and I think the
government is growing
very afraid of what may happen."
Hyperinflation that brings shortages of
food, fuel, medication, electricity,
is spiraling out of control. Soldiers
and police used to stamp out dissent
could result. Opposition from his
ruling party, which is divided over the
timing of his succession and his
successor, is mounting.
"Each and every individual on the upper echelons" is
jockeying for his
position, Mugabe complained in an interview on his actual
birthday,
Wednesday, broadcast over the country's sole and state-owned
television
station.
But, he announced categorically: "There are no
vacancies because I am still
there."
Mugabe blames sanctions, drought
and former colonizer Britain for the
collapse of an economy based on exports
of a wealth of agricultural and
mineral products.
Others blame land
grabs in which Mugabe encouraged blacks to violently force
out most of the
5,000 white commercial farmers who owned 40 percent of all
agricultural land
and produced 75 percent of agricultural output. White
farmers had employed
the country's largest work force and their ejection led
to the displacement
of 300,000 families.
Today, the farms, most given to Mugabe relatives,
allies and cronies, lie
fallow and Zimbabwe does not have the foreign
currency to import food.
On Mugabe's birthday, police announced a
three-month ban on protests,
following weekend clashes in which they fired
tear gas and turned water
cannon on opposition rallies.
The National
Constitutional Assembly, a coalition of human rights, church
and grass-roots
organizations, in a statement Friday said: "It's not a crime
to defend
oneself from an unlawful attack, and if need be (people) should
protect
themselves from a partisan, violent police force that aims at
perpetuating
dictatorship and increasing the suffering of the ordinary
masses."
Mugabe is "at war" with the people, opposition leader Morgan
Tsvangirai
declared this week.
Opposition supporters wanted to
protest the high cost of living and Mugabe's
plan to extend his term of
office to 2010.
A rate of hyperinflation - running at near 1,600 percent
- that economists
say soon will be represented by an upright line on a graph
has the country
in revolt. The number of Zimbabwe dollars that bought a
three-bedroom house
with a swimming pool and tennis court in 1990 today will
buy one sole brick.
A lifetime public worker's monthly pension can't buy
a loaf of bread.
Charities have reported depression, suicide and
malnutrition among
retirees - including a type of vitamin deficiency
affecting gums, bones and
hair loss.
Doctors and nurses have been on
strike since December and the rest of the
civil service is threatening to
join them.
The list of deserters on the walls of army barracks grows ever
longer
despite a 300 percent pay raise in January. The military want a 1,000
percent increase. The police chief in the capital, Harare, has said in a
confidential memo that he fears his constables will riot.
A
hairdresser paid the minimum monthly wage of $30,000 said her bus fare to
work cost more but she went anyway to get the tips from clients that keep
her and a daughter alive.
Political scientist Makumbe said a
16-year-old who broke his collar bone
falling out of a tree has lain at home
in pain for days because his widowed
mother does not have the million
Zimbabwe dollars needed to have the bone
set.
Makumbe said an
estimated 70,000 people have died this year not because of
the doctor's
strike but because there are no drugs and because medical
equipment like
dialysis machines doesn't work any more.
Bread disappeared off the
shelves this week after the government increased
the price of grain sold to
millers by 10,000 percent but did not increase
the controlled price for
bread.
Water shortages have brought a cholera epidemic that is killing
people.
Children are among the first to suffer, with one in four
Zimbabwean children
orphaned and more than 2 million vulnerable to
starvation, the U.N.
Children's Fund says.
The government tries to
control inflation by printing money and setting the
exchange rate. Last
year, when half a dozen eggs cost more than a million
Zimbabwe dollars and
the poorest Zimbabweans were millionaires, the
government simply knocked
three zeros off the currency. The minimum monthly
salary for a house cleaner
went from US$15 million to US$15,000. The
official exchange rate is set at
250 to the U.S. dollar, but the real
trading rate is 5,000 to the
dollar.
Some Zimbabweans are getting rich off the misery. Party and
government
officials with access to foreign currency buy it at the official
rate and
sell it at the real rate.
The World Bank estimates it would
take more than 20 years for Zimbabwe's
economy to return to 1980
levels.
The Australian
From
correspondents in Harare
February 24, 2007
POLICE in Zimbabwe
cancelled an opposition meeting overnight in the
country's second largest
city of Bulawayo, two days after banning political
rallies and protests in
the capital Harare, a party official said.
A spokesman for main opposition
Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) leader
Morgan Tsvangirai said scores of
riot police had sealed a town hall in the
city where the MDC president was
due to address a party provincial meeting.
"Police have cancelled our
meeting, saying they have orders from above not
to allow us to proceed,"
William Bango said.
Mr Bango said the police had initially approved the
meeting. Government and
police officials were not immediately available for
comment.
Police on Sunday fired teargas and water cannon to stop a rally
organised by
the MDC, which state media said authorities feared was an MDC
launchpad for
street protests against President Robert Mugabe's
government.
On Wednesday, the government imposed a 3-month ban on
political rallies and
protests in Harare's volatile townships following the
weekend clashes
between riot squads and opposition supporters.
The
MDC has condemned the ban as an attack on civic rights and likened the
move
to a "state of emergency," and says it will challenge the government in
the
courts.
The ban - which does not currently include Bulawayo - covers a
number of
Harare's poor working class districts, the bastion of the
opposition.
Political tension has been mounting in the southern African
country over an
economic crisis marked by spiralling inflation, which at
1600 per cent is
the highest in the world, shortages of foreign currency,
food and fuel and
rising unemployment.
The government on Wednesday
agreed to a wage rise for civil servants - the
second in as many months - to
avert more job boycotts by government workers,
after teachers went on
strike.
Analysts have warned the country faces a high risk of labour and
political
unrest over the deteriorating economy.
The Zimbabwean
( 23-02-07)
PRESIDENT TSVANGIRAI'S DISRUPTED ADDRESS TO THE RESIDENTS OF
BULAWAYO AT A
CONSULTATIVE MEETING AT THE LARGE CITY HALL
Mr.
Chairman
The MDC leadership
Ladies and Gentlemen:
I present
myself to the people of Bulawayo this evening with a firm
conviction that
open debate and discussion about national affairs is healthy
for democracy
and for our own humanity as Zimbabweans. I stand before you
guided by a
humble belief in a single nation and administered by a unitary
state; a
nation in which our differences and our diversity are celebrated as
a source
of national identity and national strength. I submit myself to all
of you as
a leader of the MDC, a symbol of a post-liberation alternative --
seeking
an epoch and aspirations of broad social movements motivated by the
pursuit
of the ideals of the liberation struggle. At a primary level, the
MDC
assumed the guardianship of the hopes and aspirations of the majority.
As an
inspirational platform, all of us see the MDC as a vehicle already in
motion
and whose driver and passengers are destined towards a new Zimbabwe.
Mr.
Chairman, ladies and gentlemen, the odds against us in this struggle may
be
daunting. But let me assure you that as long as we remain true to the
principle that led us to search and find an alternative, we shall triumph
and realise our goal of national integration and save Zimbabwe from a
rapacious clique that has pushed us to where we are today. It is common
cause that Robert Mugabe and Zanu PF have failed, during the past 27 years,
to establish a single nation in Zimbabwe. The high levels of
marginalisation, discrimination and retribution are clear to all, especially
in this region.
The people have been forsaken and abandoned to fate
by Mugabe and Zanu PF.
Major national projects including the Zambezi Water
Project and the Tokwe
Mukorsi Dam have been shelved. In rural Matabeleland,
as in other parts of
Zimbabwe, basic services like cattle dipping are no
longer available. There
is even a plan to take Bulawayo's little water and
hand it over to Zinwa,
when everybody knows that the city generates 40
percent of its revenue from
the sale of water.
After decades of
state-sponsored punishment - all because we were born
different - the task
before me, as President of the MDC, is to follow a
specific path that
resonates with the desires of a people seeking a total
change of past
practices of impunity and an uncaring status quo.
During the
nationalistic struggle, this region was home to a national
leadership whose
impact was felt throughout Zimbabwe. The late Joshua Nkomo
enjoyed the
respect of all. A national consensus was built way back in the
fifties on
the need for a single nation, with a leadership elected purely on
the basis
of a person's capacity to harness the national sentiment and
pursue a
nationalistic goal. Never at any stage during those years did the
people of
Zimbabwe worry about one's ancestry in the leadership of national
projects
like the liberation struggle.
The same culture prevailed in the trade
union movement. Unity of purpose and
a diverse leadership are a must for
Zimbabweans in order to succeed. Within
the Church and other arms of civil
society, diversity is celebrated.
People are always united by their
needs and ideas. It is important to note
that most Zimbabweans have always
been ready to cast aside their biological,
ethnic and racial differences and
be bound together by common
interests.Mugabe and Zanu PF sought to sabotage
that cardinal
understanding - initially by breaking away from ZAPU and later
following up
these differences with Gukurahundi.
In 1987, there was a
sigh of relief when the killings stopped and the
country's leadership
pronounced a certain measure of unity. Unfortunately,
Zimbabwe lost a golden
opportunity at the time. Zanu PF failed to address
the fundamental needs of
ordinary people; instead Mugabe marginalised the
people further through what
was to become an elite pact. The people
continued with their struggle for
the recognition of their humanity. Mugabe
extended his feudal system of
patronage to a few and ignored the traditional
concerns and historical
service backlogs of the people.
When the MDC came into the fray, we were
informed by the people's
aspirations which, to this day, desire a Zimbabwe
with equal opportunities,
a Zimbabwe with a human face and a Zimbabwe for
all. A school in Lupane, for
example, must never be seen as a mere cluster
of buildings: a school in
Lupane must be an institution cultivating precious
minds and breeding
national assets ready for deployment in Rutenga, Mutoko,
Kariba and indeed,
anywhere in Zimbabwe.
A clinic in Binga must be an
institution that provides similar services to
those available at a clinic in
Zvimba. A child born in Muzarabani must have
equal access to opportunities
as her counterpart in Mutare. I remain
committed to this goal. I remain
with the MDC as a party that shall see
through the process towards a new
Zimbabwe. I remain with the majority whose
focus is on the collapse of the
dictatorship and the emergence of a new and
inclusive political culture
whose signposts for progress include a new
Constitution, viable and
non-partisan public institutions and a tolerant
political ethic. The
Zimbabwe in my vision is one that defines and expresses
itself as a
functional democracy and recognises our diversity. That Zimbabwe
must be
guided by history and lessons from the past to a chart a destiny
respected
by one people in a single nation.The new Zimbabwe in my mind is
one which is
awash with opportunities for our young people: abundant food
and
jobs.
My heart bleeds each time I hear of a family having lost a loved on
in South
Africa or Botswana. Whole communities are receiving body bags
almost every
week, simply because of a serious lack of opportunities and
runaway
unemployment here in Zimbabwe. Our sons and daughters are dying in
South
Africa and Botswana struggling to sustain us here at home. The family,
as a
unit Zimbabweans have respected from time immemorial, is in trouble
because
of state-sponsored acts of irresponsibility.Equally disheartening is
the
total absence of state support for young people succumbing to HIV/Aids
throughout Zimbabwe. The little drug supplies available can only be accessed
by the elite. Corruption has become a way of life.
Mr Chairman,
ladies and gentlemen, the question upper most in your minds is
about the
future. Where are we going as a party? As Zimbabweans in this
struggle?
Interesting political developments have transpired over the past
few weeks
and a new political terrain shows signs of an emerging consensus
on the way
forward.
The coalition of disruptive forces that sustained Mugabe over
the past 27
years, once cemented by force and material inducements, has
virtually
crumpled. It is doubtful whether a cornered Mugabe will be able to
reconstruct an internal agreement, even if he tries to use the old carrot
and stick strategy. ZANU PF is split in the middle at a time when there is
nothing in the plate to sustain a patronage system. Instability in Zanu PF
poses a serious threat to Zimbabwe as we grapple with various strategies to
ensure a solution which achieves a soft-landing for the country from a long
crisis. Mugabe's primary concern now is simply to manage factions which no
longer share a common denominator of interests.
In turn the factions
themselves have abandoned any hope of achieving a
consensus or compromise.
They are now involved in a cock-fight as they seek
to destroy each other
politically. In the meantime, ordinary people are
being pushed physically by
the state apparatus of repression, their material
well being is daily eroded
by the deteriorating economy. There is now a
clear mood of rebellion among
Zimbabweans. We make no apologies for
organizing the people to express
themselves out of the national crisis. We
must exercise extreme care and
caution during this delicate period in our
struggle. We must refrain from
merely instigating a rebellion out of
careless, but to channel people's
frustrations and hardships into a
constructive force for change. And this,
we are doing in order for us to
save Zimbabwe. The events in this city two
weeks ago and in Harare over the
past few days are a clear demonstration of
the people's determination now,
to embark on an irreversible course to their
freedom.
By arbitrarily banning peaceful political protest and rallies in
Harare, the
regime has for all practical purposes declared a State of
Emergency. We are
aware that more is coming. We are ready to resist. We
remain undeterred by
these desperate acts to deny our people their basic
right to assemble and to
express themselves. We will go ahead and launch our
presidential campaign
for 2008. Our position is that presidential election
must be held as
scheduled in 2008. But this must be under a new
Constitution, ushering
enabling legislation to create an electoral framework
that guarantees free
and fair elections. There is ample time for
that.
We are opposed to the extension of the crisis of governance by
another day.
We are of the firm and unshakable opinion that there should be
no more
piece-meal constitutional amendments. Constitutional reform cannot
be a
technical process of voting in parliament where ZANU PF has an in-built
advantage through its contested majority. Constitutional reform must be a
broad and all-inclusive political process that incorporates a wide spectrum
of the views of the majority of Zimbabweans.
We shall
relentlessly fight until this objective is achieved. I urge you to
stay the
course. On my part, allow me Mr. Chairman, ladies and gentlemen, to
make a
solemn pledge to devote my entire political career to address the
fragmentation of our country from loose clans and tribes into a single
nation.
I thank you.
Morgan
Tsvangirai
President.
By Lance
Guma
23 February 2007
As if taking a cue from the political storm
clouds gathering around Mugabe's
regime tropical Cyclone Favio, which hit
central Mozambique and caused
widespread damage, is now heading towards
Zimbabwe. Experts say areas in
eastern Zimbabwe, especially the low lying
regions, should expect heavy
rains and strong winds over the weekend.
Mutare, Rusape, Mvuma, Chivhu,
Masvingo and Chiredzi all lie in its path
according to projections by
experts. The cyclone initially generated winds
of over 270 kilometres an
hour but the latest is that it has been downgraded
to a tropical storm with
winds of about 100 kilometres an
hour.
Cyclone Favio hit the Inhambane province of Mozambique before
heading
north-west towards the tourist town of Vilanculos. There it damaged
the town
court, the prison and destroyed thousands of homes. Large trees
were
uprooted and the town is described as flattened. There is no water or
power
and hundreds of people have been reported injured. Authorities in
Mozambique
went on high alert and moved thousands of people into tented
camps.
In Zimbabwe Fambai Ngirande, a spokesman for the National Association
of
Non-Governmental Organisations (NANGO), says they are worried because not
enough information is being given to members of the public.
Another
source of worry he says is the fact that the structures to deal with
storms
and floods, let alone cyclones, are non-existent. He said the Civil
Protection Unit has no clear response strategy and the way it operates did
not allow for the NGO community to fully participate in disaster responses.
Zimbabwe has strained relations with the international community over its
human rights record and this lack of goodwill could hamper aid efforts if
ever they were needed, Ngirande added.
So far though, people in the
eastern part of Zimbabwe and some close to the
midlands are reporting dark
clouds and strong winds in their areas. It
remains to be seen just how
strong Favio's impact will be. Meanwhile
authorities in Mozambique have been
praised for a much better response to
the cyclone than the floods which
decimated that country seven years ago.
Over 700 people lost their lives
during those floods.
SW Radio Africa Zimbabwe news
United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF)
Date: 23 Feb 2007
Major
Developments
Tropical Cyclone Favio made landfall in the province of Inhambane on 22 February as a category 3 cyclone, with winds of up to 230 km per hour. The cyclone, which has diminished in intensity as it heads further inland, and is now a tropical depression, is causing strong winds and heavy rains in some areas, which will also affect Zambia, Malawi and Zimbabwe, further swelling tributaries that feed the already-flooded Zambezi River.
The Cahora Bassa dam discharge rate decreased to 2,600 m3/s as of 22 February. In general, the water levels in flood affected areas are continuing to decrease. Intense showers are expected over the next 24 hours in Sofala and Manica as a result of Cyclone Favio.
As of 22 February, the National Institute of Disaster Management (INGC) estimates that approximately 139,944 people have been displaced due to the floods. An estimated 87,430 people are currently in the accommodation centres and 52,514 in the resettlement centres that were established after the 2001 floods.
Needs Assessment
Tropical Cyclone Favio
The INGC in Maputo has held two meetings to review the impact of Tropical Cyclone Favio with partners. Assessments are ongoing and information is currently limited, but initial reports from the INGC in Vilanculos indicate structural damage in the town of Vilanculo, including a large number of houses, a hospital and several schools, and in the district of Govuro.
A Central Operations Centre is being established in Vilanculos and there are currently 60 soldiers in Vilanculo, with additional troops being deployed. The Ministry of Health has sent 10 tents of 72m squared and medical supplies to Vilanculo and a generator is being sent to the area. Sites have been identified for the installation of the tents.
A multi-sectoral assessment will be undertaken in the affected areas on 23 February by representatives of the Ministry of Public Works and Housing, the Ministry of Health, the Ministry of Agriculture, WFP, WHO, UNICEF and the Mozambican Red Cross.
The airport in Vilanculos is currently closed. WFP is deploying a 10-seater Caravan plane to conduct assessment missions on 24/25th February.
Zambezi Floods
The UNICEF team based in Caia (Sofala province) has reported that sufficient supplies are available to address the immediate needs of locations in Sofala province, and is working with partners on assessing the supply needs for the coming few weeks both for Sofala and also for the other provinces that are receiving supplies from the base in Caia. Water and sanitation remain a priority in Sofala and Manica, although sanitation coverage has improved. The team is continuing to meet with Government and NGO partners to monitor the situation in relation to education, health and nutrition and protection.
The UNICEF team based in Mopeia (Zambezia province) is continuing to work with Government and non-governmental partners to assess the situation in relation to centres in Zambezia. On 22 February, the team visited two more centres in the Mopeia area - Bras and Noere - to assess the situation. Additional supplies have arrived from Caia and are being distributed in line with the immediate needs assessed to date.
The UNICEF team based in Mutarara (Tete province) is reporting that lack of access remains a significant barrier to ongoing assessments and response interventions in many areas, particularly in the administrative post of Inhangoma, which can only be reached by helicopter. Water, shelter and food are the priority concerns. UNICEF is working with Government and NGO partners to ensure that the needs are met in terms of supply and non-supply interventions.
Teams composed of governmental and non-governmental partners (including the Ministry of Health, SETSAN/VAC, UNICEF, WFP, FAO and USAID/FEWSNET) have completed the data collection stage of the multi-sectoral assessment to build upon initial assessments in flood affected areas. The assessment covered areas including education, food, nutrition, health, HIV/AIDS, water and sanitation, market access, shelter, protection, assistance received, status of basic infrastructure and security.
UNICEF Response
Tropical Cyclone Favio
A UNICEF team will participate in the multi-sectoral assessment of the cyclone affected areas to be conducted on 23 February.
UNICEF supplies are to be deployed to the cyclone affected areas, including 500 tarpaulin sheets and 50 rolls of plastic sheeting (50m each) to provide shelter. The need for additional supplies will be reviewed based on the outcomes of assessments over the coming days in affected areas.
The multimedia mobile units supported by UNICEF to work in flood affected areas disseminated information to raise awareness on the impending arrival of Tropical Cyclone Favio on 22 February.
The UNICEF team is also monitoring the progress of two more cyclones that have formed in the Indian Ocean: Tropical Cyclone Gamede and Tropical Cyclone 16S. Gamede is forecast to develop into a category 2 cyclone and is headed towards north-eastern Madagascar while 16S is forecast to develop into a category 1 cyclone and is moving west south-west towards Madagascar.
Zambezia Floods
WASH
In Caia, UNICEF support includes working with the Government and NGO partners on the construction of latrines. Soldiers are being deployed to the centres to support the construction, and community participation is being promoted.
In Mopeia, additional WASH supplies have been received from Caia and the UNICEF team is working with partners on the development and implementation of a distribution plan for the area. The Red Cross is scaling up its WASH interventions in the area, including the provision of 2 water purification plans.
Additional UNICEF supplies, together with supplies mobilised from the Mozambican Red Cross, have been sent to Mutarara from Caia. In coordination with UNICEF, MSF Luxembourg and Oxfam are scaling up their operations in Mutarara to ensure that all centres are covered with WASH interventions.
Health
The UNICEF Health and Nutrition Officers based in Caia, Mopeia and Mutarara are all continuing to support the local health authorities in assessing the situation in relation to health in the centres. UNICEF has been liaising with the Provincial Directorate of Health to ensure that sufficient medical supplies are sent to Mutarara, and with NGOs on the distribution of Insecticide Treated Nets (ITNs).
Nutrition
The UNICEF Health and Nutrition Officers based in Caia, Mopeia and Mutarara are also supporting the local health authorities in assessing the nutritional status of affected children. Supplementary feeding programmes have begun in Caia, Marromeu and Chembe and are expected to begin in the Mopeia area on 23 February. In Mutarara, the Provincial Directorate of Health conducted an active case finding assessment on 22 February on 405 children in 4 centres in the Mutarara area, which indicated 70 cases of moderate malnutrition. UNICEF is following up with the local health authorities to ensure that these children receive the appropriate treatment. Supplies of BP5 – a type of compact food – provided by UNICEF have been distributed to Mutarara and are expected to arrive on 23 February.
Education
The installation of large tents provided by UNICEF to be used as learning spaces in flood affected areas is ongoing. To date, 13 tents have been installed and are in use in Sofala province and 3 in the Mopeia area. One tent has been received in Mutarara and additional tents will be sent in the next 48 hours.
UNICEF is working with the education authorities in the affected districts to ensure that additional teachers are available to work in affected schools. Where relevant, children from centres are accessing neighbouring schools.
Protection
In light of the potential for mines and UXOs to have been dislodged by the
flood waters, mine risk education materials from Angola are being sent to Caia
for distribution.
By Macdonald Dzirutwe
REUTERS
3:38 a.m. February 23,
2007
HARARE - President Robert Mugabe's government bought some
relief with
a state workers' pay deal but Zimbabwe's economic woes could
spur more job
boycotts and unrest, analysts said on Friday.
A
deepening economic crisis has stoked political tension in Zimbabwe,
where
workers are wrestling with the world's highest inflation rate at 1,600
percent.
Political analysts say rising worker anger,
more than opposition
threats of protests, was the most immediate threat to
Mugabe's 27-year rule.
The largest teachers' union and government on
Thursday agreed a new
wage package that would apply to all civil servants
and teachers called off
their strike, which authorities had feared would
gain momentum and spill
onto the streets.
Teachers' union
leaders also head the top federation that represents
the rest of the
government workers.
Political analysts said by bowing to the
demands of the largest
workers' grouping, the government had bought itself
time and prevented, for
now, confrontation with government
employees.
'This is a huge political relief for Mugabe, he has
managed to remove
the sting from the bees for now,' Eldred Masunungure, a
leading political
commentator said.
But Mugabe, who has in the
past outwitted opponents, faced mounting
pressure from a sliding economy
seen in acute shortages of foreign currency,
food and fuel and rising
unemployment and poverty.
The International Monetary Fund sees
inflation hitting 4,000 percent
by the end of the year.
That
and opposition calls for a defiance campaign against the economic
crisis and
Mugabe's plans to hang on to power under a plan to merge
presidential and
parliamentary elections in 2010, would ratchet up pressure
on
Mugabe.
'BIGGER STING'
Mugabe's government on
Wednesday imposed a three-month ban on
political rallies and protests in
Harare's volatile townships which analysts
saw as a pre-emptive move against
the opposition, whose supporters clashed
with riot squads last
weekend.
The veteran leader, who turned 83 this week, also faced
growing
dissent within his ruling ZANU-PF party over the election plan and
has
accused some colleagues of seeking his early exit while vowing not to
bow to
pressure.
'For now Mugabe will breathe a huge sigh of
relief but the wider
economic crisis will haunt him. By mid-year the
skirmishes (between state
employees and the government) will resume with a
much bigger vengeance,'
said Masunungure.
'The bees will be
back with a bigger sting. There is more trouble
ahead,' he
added.
Economic commentators questioned the source of the money
used by the
government to award its workers a huge pay rise, which was not
budgeted in
2007.
The teachers had sought a Z$450,000 monthly
salary - $1,800 at the
official exchange rate but just $90 on the black
market - double what the
government had initially offered and about five
times their current
salaries.
Officials have not released
details of the final deal, but some
observers believe the government agreed
to a hike considerably more generous
than the union's original
request.
'This is a very costly move by the government because the
implications
for the national budget are horrendous,' private economic
commentator John
Robertson said.
'The government will not be
able to manage the consequences of its
political decisions which really make
nonsense of the anti-inflation
strategies it is pursuing,' he said.
As I sit at my desk and write, a force 4 cyclone is
on its way up the
Mozambique coast and I hear that the Eastern Highlands are
being blown
around by the winds associated with it. I am told that such a
cyclone is
quite a fierce animal with 200 kilometers per hour winds and heavy
rain. The
UN issued a warning yesterday that it was standing by for
emergency
assistance to Mozambique.
If you are watching television you
will have seen the pictures of the
Zambezi River spilling over its banks and
the 150 000 or so refugees now
housed in tents courtesy of the Mozambique
emergency services. Kariba is
still far from full - about 7 metres to go and
rising slowly, so these
floods on the lower Zambezi have nothing to do with
the Congo or Angolan wet
season. Here in the south of Zimbabwe we are on
severe water rationing and
do not have enough water in our dams for the rest
of the year - so we are
desperate for this particular cyclone and what it
might bring. So much so
that we have all been following it via satellite for
two days.
There are two other storm systems developing out at sea and
over Madagascar
and we might see another cyclone shortly. Some welcome such
an event, others
dread it and think that it will just make life even more
miserable than it
is at present.
Our politics is a bit like that -
last night it was clear skies, brilliant
stars, I have seldom seen Venus in
the evening sky showing such brilliance.
There was also a thin sliver of moon
just appearing. For those of you who
live in wetter climes, the evening sky
here is something to behold -
especially on a dark night after rain when the
air is washed clean of dust
and smoke. The Milky Way just blazes across the
sky. I put my three-year-old
grandson to bed the other night (the girls were
at a piano concert) and he
demanded to go outside and lie on the ground
looking up at the wonder of the
night sky. Kids know what is
important.
Right now the edge of the cyclone system is just beginning to
wash over us -
it is quite different to our normal sky and you can feel the
change in the
atmosphere.
You might also have been watching Zimbabwe
on the news this week. The street
activity has been slowly gathering momentum
and on Friday and then Sunday
there was some serious street rioting in
Harare. The crowd demonstrating or
just trying to attend a rally responded
fiercely when the Police waded in
using excessive and unwarranted force. Cars
were smashed and burnt, Herald
House had a few windows broken and a number of
Police were injured.
But this is only the tip of the iceberg when it
comes to political agitation
here at present and I think everyone senses that
a storm is coming. Like our
cyclone, some dread its arrival and others pray
for it to come quickly and
then wash the land with its aftermath.
Zanu
PF has broken into several pieces that simply can no longer be
reconciled.
Mugabe wants to extend his tern by two years and then run again
for another 6
years. But his Party - long just a rubber stamp for his
slightest whim, is
saying no. Both the Central Committee and the Politburo
have been unable to
reach consensus and the matter is now back in the
Provinces where the debate
rages. It seems to me that Mugabe may lose this
one - only his second major
political defeat in 27 years.
So the debate is on whether to hold both
Parliamentary and Presidential
polls next year in March or to simply go to
the Presidential poll as
required by the Constitution. Either option is
possible at this stage.
This particular storm is gathering strength from
its environment - just like
a cyclone. On the one hand the melt down in the
economy is still gathering
momentum. Inflation at 50 per cent a month (8 000
per cent per annum) and
shortages of just about everything that is essential
to life. Bread, cooking
oil, flour, sugar, fuel and maize meal are all
difficult to come by and only
at a price.
Then there is the diplomatic
sea we operate in - France at long last said
enough is enough and sent a
polite invitation to attend the annual
Franco/African summit in Paris, but on
condition that Mugabe stayed at home!
So no one went and the government
issued a sour note saying that it was time
that developed States stopped
inviting African Heads of State to attend
meetings in their capitals as if
they were all lackeys - I agree with that
sentiment. But when Mugabe was
invited, with all other African leaders to
China recently - he went and
dutifully stood in line to shake hands with the
Chinese President before
being wined and dined in aristocratic splendor.
When the Chinese
leadership toured Africa in recent weeks, the third such
tour in a year, they
studiously ignored Zimbabwe and visited nearly all our
neighbors - all except
those who do not have assets to plunder like Malawi.
As all who have worked
in the diplomatic sphere know - this was a massive
slight to Mugabe and Zanu
PF.
Today there is speculation that Namibia is about to offer Mr. Mugabe
- guess
what? Refugee status after he has retired because of the
understanding that
he simply will not be allowed to remain in Zimbabwe
without the threat of
some sort of legal action after he retires in March
2008! Apparently his old
friend Sam has a home in a National Park, and Mugabe
is invited to join him
there. Now there would be a tourist attraction if ever
there was one!
Add that all together and you might even feel a bit sorry
for the old man of
Zimbabwe politics. After all the adulation and respect
garnered over a
lifetime of struggle, to end his days in disgrace (with
Grace) and
isolation. Not even able to control the debate in his own Party.
As Wilf
Mbanga said today - there is time to redeem yourself, but to do so
you have
to do the unthinkable - apologize to your own people for what you
have done
and then step down with as much dignity as possible.
With
this particular storm on its way and building up its strength, time is
not on
his side anymore. For the rest of us - batten down the hatches and
get your
brollies and gumboots out. When we come out of our bunkers, the sun
will be
shining, our rivers running and our country clean. I cannot wait.
Eddie
Cross
Bulawayo, 22 February 2007
SABC
February 23,
2007, 08:45
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) Executive Board will be
discussing
Zimbabwe's debt to the institution and the political progress in
that
country. The Board will sit at its head office in Washington later
today.
According to sources at the IMF, the board will receive a full
report from
the delegation which visited Zimbabwe late last year. It will
also be
briefed by the IMF's country representative to Zimbabwe on the
latest
political situation.
Meanwhile the Zimbabwean embassy in
Washington expressed dismay that the IMF
did not invite them to the meeting.
The spokesperson says they met with the
IMF last week and were aware of
today's meeting; however they had hoped that
an invitation would be extended
to them.
Zimbabwe's situation worsening
Zimbabwe still owes the IMF a
substantial amount of money. The sky high
inflation rate - estimated at 1
600% - worsening food shortages,
unemployment and what the IMF officials
says is the country's deteriorating
political situation are all up for
in-depth discussion.
It's not clear whether the IMF will take immediate
action against Zimbabwe.
The fund will publicise the report's finding on
April 14 and 15.
United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF)
Date: 23 Feb
2007
HARARE, 23 February 2007 - The German
Government today donated a massive
17.9million Euro to the United Nations
Children's Fund (UNICEF) in Zimbabwe
as it rallied around Zimbabwe's
orphaned and vulnerable children.
The investment - the largest ever from
the German Government to UNICEF in
Zimbabwe - comes at a decisive moment.
While Zimbabwe's children are
suffering from an orphan crisis which risks
depriving them of the chance for
education and good health, the German
millions promise substantial relief
and assistance across all
sectors.
The US$23.5m is an enormous contribution to a Programme of
Support to
Zimbabwe's National Action Plan which enables more than 150
community-based
organizations to launch, scale-up and improve the lives of
the most
vulnerable children in Zimbabwe.
"Today children in Zimbabwe
are hardest hit by the socio-economic
challenges," said H.E. Mrs. Karin E.
Blumberger-Sauerteig, the German
Ambassador. "And yet they are the
architects of a Zimbabwe where all
children live a happy and healthy life -
free from hunger, disease and fear.
A life where each and every girl and boy
can go to school and has access to
medical care."
One in four
Zimbabwean children is orphaned and more than two million are
vulnerable.
Although Zimbabwe's HIV prevalence has dropped in recent years,
the number
of orphans and vulnerable children (OVC) continues to rise.
Furthermore, OVC
are more likely to be deprived basic goods, have
psychological problems and
be subjected to forced sex in adolescence.
"It's now essential to put
programmes in place to ensure these children have
somewhere to live, enough
to eat, healthcare, education and real
protection," said UNICEF's
Representative in Zimbabwe, Dr Festo Kavishe. "We
have programmes in place
and know what needs to be done. Today's funding
from the German Government
greatly helps UNICEF reach a growing population
of children left on their
own in Zimbabwe."
The funds from the German Government will go directly
to:
- Increase school enrolment of orphans and vulnerable
children
- Protect children from abuse, violence and
exploitation
- Boost school nutrition programmes
- Greatly improve
access to food, health services, water and sanitation
- Strengthen the
capacity of families to protect and care for orphans and
vulnerable
children
- Mobilise and support community-based responses;
Said
Ambassador Blumberger-Sauerteig: "Anyone who has seen the hardships of
these
orphans and the resolve and determination of struggling Zimbabweans to
assist them must be moved to help. In UNICEF we have a partner who is
reaching out to orphans across the country. I hope others will now join
us."
The NAP for orphans and vulnerable children now calls upon the
private
sector and international donors to provide resources, over
US$250million is
required for the five year programme; community-based
organizations and
traditional leaders to support child protection committees
at the village,
district and provincial level; and parents, teachers,
children and church
members to work to educate their peers, colleagues and
congregations about
the NAP, and then push for its success.
The
contribution from the Germans will add to funds from other key donors
such
as the UK's Department for International Development, Swedish
International
Development Agency (SIDA) and the New Zealand Government in
implementing
Zimbabwe's National Action Plan for OVC that will reach 350,000
children
this year.
For further information, please contact:
James
Elder
UNICEF Zimbabwe Communication Officer
Cell: 263-91 276 120
jelder@unicef.org
Marcus
Stadthaus
German Embassy
Phone: 30 86 55
v@hara.diplo.de
BBC
A South African court has
dismissed charges against eight suspected
mercenaries accused of planning a
coup in Equatorial Guinea in 2004.
The judge in Pretoria said the state had
not proved its case against the
defendants - all South
Africans.
Their lawyers had said South African officials had tacitly
backed the failed
plot. The government denies this.
The eight were
among a group of men arrested in 2004 in Zimbabwe, allegedly
on their way to
Equatorial Guinea.
They were said to be purchasing arms in preparation
ahead of a coup against
Teodoro Obiang Nguema, the president of the former
Spanish colony.
Sixty-one of the group returned to South Africa in 2005
after spending more
than a year in a Zimbabwean prison.
The alleged
coup leader, British former SAS officer Simon Mann, remained in
Zimbabwe,
where he was convicted.
He is serving a four-year prison term for buying
weapons without a licence.
Sir Mark Thatcher, son of former UK Prime
Minister Baroness Thatcher, was
fined and received a suspended sentence in
South Africa for his involvement
in the affair.
Twenty-three other
suspected mercenaries have been convicted in Equatorial
Guinea in connection
with the coup plot.
President Obiang Nguema seized power himself in a
coup in 1979.
fibre2fashion.com
February
23, 2007
Farmers of Muzarabani and Mt Darwin received warning from
Agriculture
Research Extension Services that they will be fined if cotton
ratooning is
continued in the district.
Recently, ratooning was
witnessed on about 2800 hectares of land in both the
districts.
As
per the law, cotton stems must be rooted from the fields by August 21,
every
year. If this practice is continued, it would result in ban of cotton
exports to international market.
If ban is imposed on the industry,
it will not be less than five years.
The cotton obtained after ratooning
is of poor quality and it is not
accepted in international
market.
These crops are feebler to pest and other diseases, especially to
pink
boll-worm.
The unavailability of seeds is major reason for
carrying out ratooning. By
doing so, large bolls will develop early as plant
has deep root system.
As precautionary measure, awareness meeting is held
in Muzarabani district
and literature on cotton legislation is distributed
to the involved
districts.
In ratooning, cotton farmers do not cut
cotton stems soon after harvesting
as prescribed in law, intentionally
leaving it to grow on its own at the
arrival of the next rainy season for a
second harvest.
New Zimbabwe
By Lebo
Nkatazo
Last updated: 02/24/2007 00:20:34
THE British embassy announced
Friday that all visa applications by
Zimbabweans would be handled in South
Africa with effect from July this
year.
In a notice, the embassy said
applications would be lodged in Harare and
sent by courier to Pretoria for
processing.
The notice did not give reasons for the changes except to say
"the embassy
will make a further announcement nearer the time about these
world-wide
changes and how they affect the service provided to visa
applicants in
Zimbabwe."
"From the end of July, the majority of visa
applications lodged in Zimbabwe
will be processed by UK visa officers based
in Pretoria. This will not
affect the way visa customers in Zimbabwe apply
for their visas," the notice
said.
Travelers from Zimbabwe will
continue to submit their visa applications as
they do now, to the embassy's
visa application centre (currently FedEx) in
Harare.
"The
applications would be sent by courier to Pretoria, where they will be
processed promptly and returned to the visa application centre in
Harare."
The embassy said there would be no extra charges for the
service.
It added that in the Southern Africa region applications from
Namibia,
Mozambique, Lesotho and Swaziland are already being processed in
South
Africa.
The embassy said there would be exemptions to the
changes.
"The British Embassy in Harare will still accept visa
applications which
need
to be processed quickly, such as urgent,
compassionate cases, Zimbabwean
diplomatic passport holders traveling on
official business, applications
from
diplomatic missions in Harare and
other applications meeting with visa
express
criteria," the embassy
said.
Zim Online
Saturday 24 February 2007
By
Regerai Marwezu
MASVINGO - Masvingo's city council on Wednesday clashed
with the Zimbabwe
National Water Authority (ZINWA) over the parastatal's
move to take over
water supplies in Zimbabwe's olderst city.
At a
tense public works and planning committee meeting at the council's
offices
on Wednesday, ZINWA indicated that it wanted to take over the city's
water
system triggering strong opposition from councilors.
Masvingo rejected
the decision arguing that it would be unfair to hand over
the water system
to ZINWA after residents had directly invested in the city's
water
augmentation project.
Last year, residents in working class suburbs were
levied about Z$2 000 per
household while those in affluent suburbs paid Z$10
000 for the water
project.
The council is currently looking for Z$5
billion to complete the second
phase of the project.
"We told them
that the water system does not belong to the local authority
since residents
invested in the project last year. What we want is for ZINWA
to meet
residents and explain its position.
"If we do not meet the residents then
it means that parastatal will never
take over the project," said Femias
Chakabuda, a member of the council's
public works and planning
committee.
Masvingo executive mayor Alois Chaimiti confirmed the impasse
on Friday
adding the council was expected to convene a meeting yesterday to
discuss
the matter.
"It is true that council is opposed to the idea
and we will convene a
special council meeting to chart the way forward,"
said Chaimiti, a senior
official of the main opposition Movement for
Democratic Change (MDC) party.
A senior ZINWA official identified as Mare
insisted yesterday that they will
go ahead with plans to take over the
city's water system as it was a
directive from Local Government Minister
Ignatius Chombo.
"We are not going to change the decision because this is
a ministerial
directive," said Mare when contacted for comment
yesterday.
Earlier this month, hundreds of residents in Zimbabwe's second
biggest city
of Bulawayo marched in the city to protest against plans by
ZINWA to take
over the city's water supplies.
Bulawayo residents
accused ZINWA of serious inefficiency in areas it has
been in charge such as
the capital Harare where residents have gone for
months on end without any
water supplies. - ZimOnline
Zim Online
Saturday 24 February 2007
By
Pfudzai Chibgowa
HARARE - The High Court has ordered the University of
Zimbabwe (UZ) to lift
a ban on male students from getting campus
accommodation.
Earlier this month the University of Zimbabwe published a
notice proscribing
male students from getting accommodation preferring to
accommodate female
students in formerly male hostels.
But the High
Court in judgment case No. 596/07, directed that "the
University of Zimbabwe
forthwith receive applications from all male students
for accommodation in
the halls of residence which have been reserved
exclusively for male
students.
"The University of Zimbabwe is hereby directed to consider all
applicants
for accommodation in a fair and transparent
manner."
Zimbabwe Lawyers for Human Rights, which represented the
students said the
court order meant that male students seeking accommodation
may immediately
proceed to apply for accommodation in the Halls of Residence
specifically
reserved for them.
Should the UZ fail to accept
applications from male students it shall be in
contempt of court, the
lawyers group said.
Student Representative Council vice-president
Clifford Hlatshwayo accused
authorities of wanting to bar male students from
campus residence in
desperate bid to pre-empt students from protests over
high fees and misrule
in the country.
"They think the university will
form the core of resistance to
mis-governance and demonstrate against
increased fees,' he said.
Political tensions are running high in Zimbabwe
as a steep economic crisis
takes its toll on a population grappling with
inflation of nearly 1 600
percent, the highest in the world and surging
unemployment and poverty.
President Robert Mugabe's government, which
controls the UZ, remains
suspicious that restive students could spark off
riots that could easily
turn into a mass revolt to topple it from power. -
ZimOnline
Institute for War and Peace Reporting
More and more people, including Presidential Guardsmen, are starting
to say
"enough is enough".
By George Tsuro in Harare (AR No. 96,
23-Feb-07)
In the aftermath of a mutiny by soldiers in President Robert
Mugabe's elite
Presidential Guard, Zimbabweans are asking: are the chickens
finally coming
home to roost for the head of state after seven years of
misrule that have
resulted in the total collapse of a once buoyant
economy?
Mugabe had to delay his return home from leave in the Far East
after police
confirmed reports that twenty-three young members of the
Presidential Guard
had sprayed the front of State House, Mugabe's official
residence, with
gunfire on the night of January 29. They were protesting
against their own
poor pay and conditions while their senior officer live
lavish lifestyles.
Among complaints is that their diet in barracks have been
reduced to a
beans-only meals.
A senior police source told IWPR that
the mutineers were arrested and are
being held at 1 Commando Battalion
Barracks in Hatfield, an upmarket suburb
between State House and Harare
International Airport. They are certain to be
court martialled and if tried
for treason could be executed.
He said the Presidential Guard has been
replaced by the crack Police Support
Unit as a precautionary measure to
ensure that Mugabe does not suffer a
"Kabila style"
assassination.
Laurent Kabila, a close ally of Mugabe, became president of
the Congo after
the toppling of the dictator Mobutu Sese Seko. Kabila was
shot dead at his
desk in State House, Kinshasa, the Congo capital, by a
member of his
presidential guard on January 16, 2001.
Mugabe's entire
Presidential Guard, meanwhile, has been disarmed and their
duties frozen in
order to nip any widespread revolt in the bud.
"We were worried about
that incident [the Kabila assassination] and at the
moment we can't trust
anyone," said the police source. "We don't know
whether the soldiers did it
on their own accord or whether there was someone
else powerful who
instigated it."
Mugabe was flying back to Zimbabwe from a holiday in the
Far East when the
attack on his official residence took place. Warned to
delay his arrival
home, his plane diverted to Addis Ababa where he was given
reports on what
was happening and how serious and widespread the mutiny
might be.
"It took the president a long time - many, many hours - after
he finally
arrived in Harare before he went back to State House after the
shooting,"
said the police source. "Ever since then, he has continued to
feel that his
security is threatened."
The president is understood to
have gone at first to his new
Chinese-designed, Serbian-built 25-bedroom
palace - three times the size of
State House - in the northern suburb of
Borrowdale.
Mugabe, who was 83 on February 21, knows now that 2007 is
going to be his
most difficult year in power as more and more people,
including Presidential
Guardsmen, are starting to say "enough is
enough".
Few Zimbabweans ever thought that they would see the day when
soldiers would
openly defy the iron-handed president, who has always boasted
about the
patriotism and unquestioned loyalty of his armed forces. Despite
the
mounting discontent and the increasing number of powerful enemies, since
Zimbabwe began its descent into economic oblivion seven years ago, Mugabe
always said he could rely on his armed forces, considered to be among the
best in Africa. He could at least sleep easy at night knowing that he was
fiercely protected and that what befell Kabila could never happen to
him.
In the weeks since the mutiny, Mugabe appears to have grown more
nervous.
The State House shooting was not an isolated incident. Elsewhere,
on the
same day, some fifty soldiers in another Presidential Guard Unit at
Inkomo
Barracks, in Harare outside State House, shot dead thirty horses and
fled
with an assortment of AK-47 and FN rifles.
Their complaints were
also about poor pay and conditions compared with the
profligacy of their
officers.
The two mutinies heightened Mugabe's growing mistrust of close
political
lieutenants who are pushing for his resignation at the end of his
current
term of office in 2008. Mugabe wants to extend his presidency until
2010, by
when he will have ruled his country for its entire thirty years of
independence.
Mugabe's ruling ZANU PF party is highly divided now
with two powerful men
vying to succeed him - Solomon Mujuru, the formidable
former army commander
and leader of Mugabe's guerrilla liberation army under
the war-name Rex
Nhongo, and former intelligence chief, now rural
development minister,
Emmerson Mnangagwa.
Mujuru is pushing his wife,
current Vice President Joice Mujuru, towards the
presidency with a view to
becoming the power behind the throne. "The fight
for the succession is now
very vicious," said one top member of the ZANU PF
politburo. Mujuru has
powerful connections in the army while Mnangagwa has
an intricate web of
connections in the Central Intelligence Organisation spy
agency.
As
well as wanting the next presidential election postponed until 2010,
Mugabe
hopes to remain in power as a largely ceremonial Life President, a
post that
would protect him against trial on charges of crimes against
humanity either
in an international or a domestic court.
At the same time, there have
been widespread reports of mass desertions and
resignations from ordinary
army units and police over poor pay and working
conditions. There have also
been reports of unrest and strikes at the
Zimbabwe Military Academy in
Gweru, in central Zimbabwe, over poor
conditions.
To try to deal with
this new threat, unique in Zimbabwe since independence
in 1980, the
government is increasing allowances for the security forces to
boost their
incomes. Among the offers is an "efficiency" allowance of
between 20 per
cent and 35 per cent backdated to January.
The lowest-ranked soldier, a
private, currently takes home around 140,000
Zimbabwe dollars (46 US dollars
at the realistic black market rate, rather
than the meaningless official
exchange rate) a month, comprising a salary of
84,000 Zimbabwe dollars plus
transport and housing allowances. This has to
be set against runaway
inflation that reached nearly 1,600 per cent in
January and which is
forecast to rise to 4,000 per cent before the end of
the
year.
Analysts say the mounting discontent among workers poses a serious
threat to
the government. Most workers have been reduced to paupers.
Doctors, nurses
and teachers are on strike and if threats of further
protests by civil
servants and students erupt into a nationwide campaign,
Mugabe will face a
major challenge.
A united civil service,
traditionally loyal to the government, has never
taken to the streets. But
because of mounting poverty, even among those
Zimbabweans lucky enough to
have jobs in an environment where more than 80
per cent of people of working
age are unemployed, the country's 180,000
civil servants seem to have
awakened from their slumber. They are bracing
for a bruising strike if the
government fails to award the least paid a
salary above the official poverty
line.
The latest monthly income required for a family of five to maintain
minimal
living standards is 458,000 Zimbabwe dollars (152 US dollars) a
month,
according to the Consumer Council of Zimbabwe, a welfare organisation
among
whose objectives is the protection of consumers. The lowest paid civil
servant gets 30,000 Zimbabwe dollars a month, barely enough for his or her
transport fare to and from work, let alone to pay for food, clothes, school
fees and accommodation.
The chairperson of the Civil Service Staff
Association Apex Council, Tendai
Chikowore, said civil servants are "very
agitated".
The Apex Council includes the Zimbabwe Teachers' Association
and the Public
Service Association. In meetings with the government, it has
issued an
ultimatum to respond to their demands by a set date or face a
national
strike. They want a 400 per cent pay rise, but its value will be
wiped out
in just over three months at the current rate of
inflation.
Zimbabwe, reeling from political and economic instability for
seven years
since Mugabe began his economically destructive and socially
destabilising
"land reform" programme in 2000, began the year with strikes
by doctors and
nurses. With prices escalating daily, it is inevitable that
the strikes will
expand and escalate as people's tolerance breaks down,
reaching some kind of
tipping point.
Various opposition groups staged
unexpected marches recently in Bulawayo,
the country's second city, against
Mugabe's attempt to extend his term of
office to 2010.
University of
Zimbabwe political science professor Eldred Masungure said the
economy has
become the "invisible opposition" to Mugabe's rule. "It's
driving the
current spate of strikes in the absence of real political
opposition," he
said. "Although there is no coherence in the protests, they
could degenerate
into political protests.
"The lack of morale in the army and police is
the most difficult challenge
the state will be facing in coming months ...
The hopelessness and anger of
ordinary people has created a sense of
militancy."
Economic analyst Elizabeth Marunda also warned of spontaneous
rioting
similar to food riots in the 1990s that were led by the then
Zimbabwe
Congress of Trade Unions chief Morgan Tsvangirai, now leader of the
opposition Movement for Democratic Change. "Revolutions have come about as a
result of discontent and we have a lot of discontent in the country today,"
she said.
Morgan Tsvangirai's MDC and a breakaway MDC faction led by
Arthur Mutambara
have begun holding nationwide rallies calling on people to
demonstrate for a
new constitution and against postponement of elections to
2010, worsening
hardships, poor salaries and the world's highest inflation
rate.
Mutambara told journalists that he and fellow MDC-Mutambara leaders
are
prepared to die for freedom, although such lofty pledges made in the
past by
opponents of Mugabe have come to nothing.
George Tsuro is the
pseudonym of an IWPR contributor in Zimbabwe.
VOA
By Patience Rusere
Washington
23 February
2007
The general council of the Zimbabwe Congress of Trade
Unions, the country's
largest labor organization, was set to meet Saturday
to consider its
response to a move by the government to strike a deal with
the
private-sector workers it represents.
The government of President
Robert Mugabe has been beset by labor unrest
since the turn of the year, and
reaching such an agreement considerably
relieve pressure on Harare - though
possibly not for long given the
country's 1,600%
inflation.
Government negotiators this week struck a deal with
representatives of state
workers for big salary increases to offset the
effects of inflation,
simultaneously making a deal with the Progressive
Teachers Union of Zimbabwe
to end a national teachers strike.
The
ZCTU had given the government until Friday to come up with an acceptable
wage offer for private-sector workers and to advance a credible economic
recovery plan.
Labor and Social Welfare Minister Nicholas Goche met
Thursday with ZCTU
President Lovemore Matombo, and asked him to to wait for
a technical
committee to establish an agenda for a substantive meeting on
wages before
deciding his next move.
But ZCTU Secretary General
Wellington Chibebe told reporter Patience Rusere
of VOA's Studio 7 for
Zimbabwe that Saturday's meeting of his general
council would determine the
union's course of action in view of
deteriorating living standards.
VOA
By Ndimyake Mwakalyelye
Washington, DC
23
February 2007
A Namibian human rights group plans to turn up
the heat on Zimbabwean
President Robert Mugabe when he arrives in Windhoek
on Wednesday for a state
visit.
The National Society for Human Rights
says it wants to show that some
Africans do not support Harare's policies.
The trip is Mr. Mugabe's first to
Namibia since President Hifikephunye
Pohamba succeeded former President Sam
Nujoma two years ago.
There is
speculation that President Mugabe is looking to Namibia, whose
government
praises his radical approach to land reform, as a potential
retirement
retreat.
Reporter Ndimyake Mwakalyelye of VOA's Studio 7 For Zimbabwe
spoke with
National Society for Human Rights Executive Director Phil Ya
Nangoloh, who
said his members want Mr. Mugabe to know he is not welcome by
some the
country.