The ZIMBABWE Situation | Our
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From The Wall Street Journal, 22 June
Zimbabwe opposition warns of economic collapse, seeks aid
London - A senior member of Zimbabwean opposition party Movement for Democratic Change Friday warned that the country's economy is on the brink of collapse, and called on foreign governments and aid organizations to help the country meet its food needs. Backed by labor, business and many of the country's academics, the MDC holds 56 of the 120 elected seats in the Parliament elected last June. The ruling party of President Robert Mugabe controlled all but three seats in the previous Parliament.
"In food and agriculture we have a crisis, which has triggered a wider collapse of the economy," said Eddie Cross, the MDC's secretary for economic affairs, in a speech at the Royal Institute of International Affairs in London. Agriculture accounts for 50% of Zimbabwe's gross domestic product, and has been severely disrupted by a campaign of land seizures by self-styled veterans of Zimbabwe's independence war. Cross said the country has almost run out of food, and doesn't have the resources to pay for imports. We're physically going to run out of food sometime between here and the time of the election," Cross said.
The MDC hopes that elections will be held early in 2002. Mugabe's term of office ends on March 31. Cross said the MDC is confident it can win the elections, despite its lack of access to the largely state- controlled media. But he warned that if Zimbabwe doesn't get international help to pay for food, the country may implode before elections can be held. "If we run out of food we will not be able to keep the country together," he said.
Zimbabwe's government has denied that the country needs food aid, a stance that Cross characterized as "pretending that there is no crisis." He said paying for food imports would cost international donors no more than $200 million, and urged potential donors to channel aid through Zimbabwe's private sector. But Zimbabwe will also have to rely on food imports for at least nine months after the elections are held and a new government is in place, Cross said. "Our food and fuel shortages will be critical," he said. "We'll have to feed the country from imports for at least nine months." In a turnaround, Mugabe Thursday accepted an offer by a group of former U.K. colonies to mediate between Zimbabwe and the U.K. over his decision to seize land owned by white farmers.
From The East African (Kenya), 23 June
Finally, Mbeki Takes Tough Stance On Mugabe
London - The crisis in Zimbabwe dominated last week's state visit by Thabo Mbeki to the United Kingdom, but British officials are said to be quietly pleased that the South African leader appeared to be taking a tougher line on President Robert Mugabe than was previously the case. Mr Mbeki is also likely to have returned to South Africa over the weekend pleased at British Prime Minister Tony Blair's pledge put the issue of African trade, investment and debt at the top of the UK government's priority list in terms of foreign affairs. With the economic crisis in Zimbabwe worsening, it was expected that Mr Mbeki and his ministers would be in for a tough round of talking with Mr Blair's new administration, but the two leaders instead went out of their way to smooth over any difficult issues. Such was the extent of the co-operation between the two leaders that they even penned a joint article for the Guardian, in which they stressed that "the fight against poverty in Africa is the most pressing moral challenge of our time." They said there was a need for "a new partnership" between Africa and the international community, which "is not merely an appeal for more aid, but for a new, changed relationship based on mutual interest and shared commitments."
While Mr Mbeki's comments on Zimbabwe were the most widely reported items of last week's talks, Mr Blair was also outspoken on the issue of continuing EU trade barriers against the developing world which he described as "scandalous." Mr Blair said that in terms of foreign affairs that tackling Africa's problems was "a second term priority" for his government and "something I care about deeply." He indicated that London was prepared to become more heavily involved in conflict resolving initiatives across Africa as it had in Sierra Leone.
Mr Mbeki in turn appeared to have listened more to London's concerns about Mr Mugabe than had previously been the case. While ruling out economic sanctions or the use of SA's considerable economic and military clout to force change in Harare, Mr Mbeki insisted that he had done everything he could to persuade Zimbabwe's leader to respect the rule of law, democratic principles and to resolve the question of land reform peacefully. "I have said this to President Mugabe," Mr Mbeki was reported as saying. "How much more can one take off the gloves? I would like to know what else we are supposed to do." Mr Mbeki was concerned that the situation in Zimbabwe is now affecting investment prospects for the whole region, but stopped short of admitting that his neighbour's problems were political rather than economic.
But SA's president clearly remains concerned at the possibility of economic collapse in Zimbabwe and it is unlikely that Pretoria will end its policy of providing energy and other vital infrastructure needs. He also spoke out against the issue of SA trying to force its way on its neighbour, or indeed, any other African country. "We would not want to have a situation that there is a new imperial power on the continent," he said.
Mr Blair last week appointed Britain's first black minister of state for Africa. Baroness Amos took over the brief from Brian Wilson. Born in Guyana, Baroness Amos was previously the government's spokeswoman for the Department for International Development in the House of Lords. Also back in the foreign office - this time as Minister of State for European affairs - is Peter Hain formerly the minister of state for Africa. Mr Hain took over from Labour's only Asian minister Keith Vaz who was the subject of intense media investigation over his business affairs. While Mr Vaz officially resigned on the grounds of ill-health, many political commentators felt he would have been sacked had he stayed. The new Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs in the UK is Jack Straw, previously the Home Secretary, and a man regarded as more Eurosceptic on the key issue of whether or not Britain should join the single European currency.
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