BBC
24 March 2007, 11:56 GMT
By Martin Plaut
BBC
News
As Zimbabwe slides into chaos and repression, there are
indications
President Robert Mugabe could be eased out of power by his own
old guard.
Leading members of the ruling Zanu-PF party and the
opposition are
reportedly mapping out an end to the Mugabe era.
Sources in the Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) say the former
security
and army chiefs have held talks with the MDC leader, Morgan
Tsvangirai.
Mr Tsvangirai was badly beaten in police custody
earlier this month.
The MDC leader is said to have met the former
security and army
chiefs, Emmerson Mnangagwa and Solomon
Mujuru.
Their talks took place before Friday's meeting in
Johannesburg between
the vice-president of Zimbabwe Joyce Mujuru, who is
Solomon Mujuru's wife,
and her South African counterpart, Phumuzile
Mlambo-Nguka.
The first indications that President Mugabe's iron
grip on his party
was slipping came at the Zanu-PF congress in December last
year.
He asked the party to endorse his proposal to extend his
presidency
until 2010. The party, for the first time, turned him
down.
Three major camps have emerged within
Zanu-PF:
a.. Emmerson Mnangagwa's faction - he is a key
Mugabe ally and one
of his closest confidantes. He was minister of state
security from 1982 to
1988 and has important links to the security
services
b.. Solomon Mujuru's faction - also known as Rex Nhongo,
he is the
former army chief, and leading member of Robert Mugabe's guerrilla
forces
during the independence war
c.. Mugabe loyalists'
faction
Both Mr Mnangagwa and Mrs Mujuru have presidential
ambitions.
Until very recently they were at daggers drawn, but the
economic
collapse has driven them to talk.
Opposition sources
report that they have met twice in the past 10
days, as well as holding
meetings with Morgan Tsvangirai.
Together a plan has emerged.
Essentially they are looking at the
following:
a.. An
interim period, leading up to free and fair presidential
elections in March
2008. Guarantees that there will be a level playing field
for all parties.
The opposition would, in return, call for economic support
from the
international community to stave off economic collapse
b.. A
dignified exit for Mr Mugabe, who would not be prosecuted and
would be
allowed to go into retirement, probably in South Africa after March
2008
This plan has been discussed with South Africa, which is
immensely
worried about the current state of affairs.
World Cup
fears
There are already between two and three million Zimbabweans
living in
South Africa and another two million are thought to be considering
fleeing
from the economic chaos and hunger.
With the price of
bread doubling in just one day, this exodus is
becoming a real
possibility.
The South African deputy foreign minister, Aziz
Pahad, has warned that
it is difficult to see how a total meltdown in
Zimbabwe could be avoided,
with annual inflation at 1,700% and
rising.
South Africa is also worried about the possible
implications of
further chaos and crisis on its borders with the 2010 World
Cup looming
large.
President Thabo Mbeki made this point in
no uncertain terms when he
met President Mugabe in Accra earlier this month
during the celebrations of
50 years of Ghana's independence.
The plan is due to be put to a meeting of the Zanu-PF central
committee due
to be held next week.
It could be the final showdown between the
president and his
opponents. But he is an immensely powerful orator, and has
dealt ruthlessly
with internal challenges in the past.
Critics
silenced
Josiah Tongogara, commander of the guerrilla army Zanla,
was with
Robert Mugabe at the Lancaster House conference that led to
Zimbabwe's
independence and the end of white minority rule.
Many expected him to play a leading role in his country's future. But
six
days after the Lancaster House agreement was signed, Mr Mugabe announced
"an
extremely sad message" to "all the fighting people of Zimbabwe".
Mr
Tongogara was dead, killed in a car accident in Mozambique. Few in
his party
accepted this version of events.
President Mugabe also cracked down
hard on opposition in Matabeleland
in the early 1980s. His notorious North
Korean-trained Fifth Brigade killed
around 20,000 Matabele in an effort to
stamp out resistance.
But President Mugabe will be cautious about
moving decisively against
his critics today.
Almost all the
senior figures in the security services have links to
Solomon Mujuru or come
from his home area - Chikomba. The next week could
not just be critical for
the future of Zimbabwe, but for southern Africa as
a whole.
International Herald Tribune
The Associated PressPublished: March 23,
2007
HARARE, Zimbabwe: Zimbabwe's ruling party leaders are to
consider abandoning
widely criticized proposals to delay presidential
elections until 2010, the
official Herald newspaper reported
Saturday.
President Robert Mugabe, 83, now under an intense international
spotlight
because of a brutal clampdown on opposition activists, had
previously
suggested delaying the 2008 presidential elections to coincide
with the 2010
parliamentary elections, which would effectively have extended
his
presidential term by two years unchallenged. Even ruling party members
questioned the delay.
The Herald, a government mouthpiece, said
Mugabe told a meeting of the
ruling ZANU-PF's Women's League on Friday that
there was growing consensus
in the party to hold both elections next year
and the issue would be
discussed at a meeting of the central committee next
week.
"I think the view is that 2008 is preferable. Some of our lawyers
are saying
this will not give problems," Mugabe was quoted as saying, in an
apparent
concession to party members. "If we are going to have an election
(next
year), we must start organizing and mobilizing support now, now,
now."
The central committee meeting could be a key test of the support
for Mugabe
amid growing signs of rifts within his party.
Rival
factions supporting the former parliamentary speaker Emmerson
Mnangagwa or
Vice President Joyce Muguru, whose husband is a powerful
ex-army commander,
are confident they can prevent another Mugabe term,
according to University
of Zimbabwe political analyst John Makumbe.
Muguru met with South Africa's
Deputy President Phumzile Mlambo-Ncguka at a
Johannesburg hotel on Friday,
according to footage screened by South African
television. South Africa is
spearheading the region's diplomatic efforts to
find a solution to the
Zimbabwe crisis. It was unclear whether Mugabe was
aware of the meeting,
which was described by the South African Foreign
Ministry as
private.
Mugabe says bringing the parliamentary election forward would
ease election
arrangements and save money, even if it means curtailing the
five-year life
of the current parliament.
There was no immediate
response Saturday to Mugabe's proposal for the
"harmonization" of the polls
from Morgan Tsvangirai's Movement for
Democratic Change, which had condemned
the previous plan to delay the
elections until 2010.
The opposition
holds 41 seats in the 150 seat parliament, where Mugabe
appoints 50 of the
lawmakers.
In a further sign of apparent party rifts, the Herald said
Mugabe "lashed
out at some party members who could not withstand criticisms
by some Western
countries and the international media." It did not name
names.
Zimbabwe has come in for international condemnation for attacks on
activists, including Tsvangirai, who was badly beaten after his arrest March
11. Several other leaders were also hospitalized.
Mugabe on Friday
blamed the opposition for the recent violence and dismissed
claims that his
rule was approaching an end.
He said a continued campaign of defiance or
protests by opponents and civic
and church groups would be met "very
vigorously" by security forces.
"We hope they have learned a lesson. If
they have not, then they will get
similar treatment," he said.
Police
reported a third gasoline attack on a police station in a month of
rising
unrest, blaming it on suspected opposition activists, the Herald
said.
No one was injured in the attack in the eastern provincial
capital of Mutare
on Friday, police spokesman Wayne Bvudzijena was quoted by
the Herald as
saying.
The opposition has routinely denied involvement
any such attacks.
Monsters and Critics
Mar 24, 2007, 17:43 GMT
Harare - Police in Zimbabwe have
unexpectedly lifted a ban on political
rallies in a dormitory town of the
capital Harare, a day before a rally
planned by a splinter opposition group,
it was reported on Sunday.
Police spokesman Wayne Bvudzijena told state
radio that while the ban still
stood in Harare it had been lifted in the
town of Chitungwiza.
He said the regulating authority had reviewed the
political situation in
Chitungwiza and decided to lift the ban on political
gatherings there.
However, political parties would be restricted to the
district.
The radio reports contradict earlier reports published by the
official
Herald newspaper that the ban on rallies had been extended in both
Harare
and Chitungwiza for another month.
A breakaway faction of the
main opposition Movement for Democratic Change
(MDC), led by Arthur
Mutambara, has scheduled a rally for the Chitungwiza on
Sunday.
Mutambara was arrested along with main MDC leader Morgan
Tsvangirai at a
prayer rally two weeks ago. Although Tsvangirai and several
others were
badly beaten by police, Mutambara was not.
Political
tensions have mounted in the ailing southern African country that
has
sparked a new wave of international criticism for the regime of
President
Robert Mugabe.
© 2007 dpa - Deutsche Presse-Agentur
Reuters
Sat 24 Mar
2007, 17:59 GMT
HARARE, March 24 (Reuters) - Zimbabwe President Robert
Mugabe's government
has partially lifted a ban on political rallies and
protests imposed on
Harare's volatile townships, a police spokesman said on
Saturday.
But a rally planned for Sunday by opposition Movement for
Democratic Change
(MDC) leader Morgan Tsvangrai in Harare's Mbare township
remained
prohibited, making fresh clashes between police and activists
possible
despite the easing of the ban.
Police banned political
rallies and protests across the capital in February
and last month armed
riot squads clashed with MDC activists, including
Tsvangrai, as they tried
to attend a prayer meeting.
Tsvangirai said he and party colleagues were
brutally assaulted in police
custody following their March 11 arrests over
the foiled meeting in
Highfield township called to protest against a
deepening crisis blamed on
Mugabe's government.
On Saturday police
spokesman Wayne Bvudzijena said police had lifted the ban
for all districts
in the capital, except Harare South -- which includes
mostly poor and
politically charged townships like Mbare -- and Harare
Central.
Areas
no longer affected by the ban include Chitungwiza, south of the
capital,
where a smaller MDC faction led by Arthur Mutambara has called a
rally for
Sunday.
The ban on political gatherings has been condemned by the
opposition and
rights groups, who charge that Mugabe's government has
imposed a virtual
state of emergency.
Images of a cut and bruised
Tsvangirai after this month's police crackdown
have drawn sharp criticism of
Mugabe's rule from the international
community, including rare voices of
concern from some African leaders.
On Saturday South African media said
Mugabe's deputy, Joyce Mujuru, had met
her South African counterpart
Phumzile Mlambo-Ngcuka in the commercial
capital Johannesburg, but officials
said the meeting was private.
Tensions are high in Zimbabwe over
skyrocketing inflation, the highest in
the world at over 1,700 percent,
shortages of foreign currency, fuel and
food and surging unemployment, which
critics blame on nearly 27 years of
Mugabe's mismanagement.
Mugabe in
turn blames western countries led by former colonial ruler Britain
which he
says want to dislodge him from power over his seizure of
white-owned
commercial farms for landless blacks.
New Zealand Herald
5:00AM Sunday
March 25, 2007
An increasingly defiant Robert Mugabe has vowed to
"defeat" what he calls a
Western agenda to remove him from power and to
never allow the opposition to
rule Zimbabwe as long as he
lives.
Mugabe spoke as his security forces and youth militia continue
unprecedented
violence on Zimbabwe's civilians. The orgy of violence has
seen attacks on
opposition activists in every township around the capital,
Harare, since the
latest crisis erupted almost a fortnight ago. The
technique used by the
ruling Zanu-PF party's thugs and security forces is to
beat the feet and
legs of their targets until they are unable to walk. After
carrying out
brutal attacks on the opposition leader Morgan Tsvangirai and
other senior
officials, the squads have been turning their attention to
political
organisers.
Doctors, who must operate "underground" when
treating members of the
opposition Movement for Democratic Change, revealed
the scale of the
beatings. One said they had treated more than 100 activists
in two-days last
week.
Despite continued international criticism,
he said he would survive despite
the machinations from within his party, and
efforts by the West and
opposition to dislodge him.
"You think if I
say I am 83 years you can push me ... It's solid 83 years of
the struggle,
of experience, of resilience and I know the tactics [to
survive]," he
said.
"Nothing frightens me, not even little fellows like Bush and Blair.
I have
seen it all, I don't fear any suffering or a struggle of any
kind.
"I make a stand and stand on principle here where I was born, here
where I
grew up, here where I fought and here where I shall die."
He
also said opposition leader Morgan Tsvangirai would "never rule Zimbabwe
for
as long as I live".
That means he is determined to keep rigging elections
which are run by his
cronies.
- INDEPENDENT
Dear Family and Friends,
An air of quiet anger has settled over Zimbabwe in
the past week as people
have come to terms with the reality of what happened
to opposition and
civic society leaders at the hands of police. Those
beatings followed by
the refusal to allow two victims to leave the country
for specialist
medical treatment and then the assault with iron bars of an
opposition
spokesman just increased the anger and disgust. Ordinary people
are bitter,
they say they shop in the same stores as the police, they live in
the same
neighbourhoods and streets as the police and find it
incomprehensible that
the upholders of law and order could have done such
things. For the last
seven years police have largely turned a bind eye to war
veterans and
government supporters inflicting bodily harm. They excused their
inaction
by saying: "it is political." That was one thing but this now is
a
different matter altogether. There is a distinct feeling of tension in
the
streets but also an air of expectation. People are waiting for something
to
happen knowing that things are very close to coming to a
head.
Yesterday Roman Catholic Archbishop Pius Ncube, clutching a brown
bible,
spoke
passionately about what has to happen next in Zimbabwe. "We
must be ready to
stand, even in front of blazing guns," he said, ''I am ready
to stand in
front."
The Archbishop described himself and the people of
Zimbabwe as cowards and
said:
'if we gather a crowd of 20,000, the
government will not use its guns.'' No
one
in their right minds would
describe Archbishop Ncube as a coward - for seven
years he has not been
silenced and has stood as a bright light in the
darkness -
for believers
and non believers, for mothers and children, for the beaten
and
brutalized and for the poor, desperate and hungry people who are
dying out
of
sight of the cameras and world headlines.
Even as we
Zimbabweans wait for the unknown, we pray that whatever happens
it will lead
to an election and not to bullets, bombs and bodies. We have
begun asking the
questions that so desperately need answering. How do we go
to a truly free
and fair election? What happens to the hundreds of
thousands of Zimbabweans
who have been stripped of their right to vote
because, not them, but their
parents were born outside of Zimbabwe? What
happens to the three or four
million Zimbabweans in political or economic
exile in a score of countries
around the world - how do they exercise their
right to vote? With 80% of the
population unemployed and hungry, how do we
stop vote buying, with sugar,
cooking oil, maize meal or just dirty bank
notes? What happens to the utterly
shambolic state of the voters roll, to
the government control over every
aspect of elections? What about the
hundreds of thousands of people who do
not have identity documents or
passports because the Registrar General
stopped work some months ago saying
there was no money? What about the
estimated 300 000 people displaced
during farm seizures and the 700 000
people internally displaced after
Operation Murambatsvina - most are no
longer in their home and voting
constituencies? How do we stop the
intimidation, threats and violence that
invariably shadows the campaign
rallies. And, even if all these issues
could be satisfactorily resolved - who
gets to count the votes, I mean to
really, honestly, truthfully count the
votes?
There are only eleven months until the scheduled March 2008
Presidential
elections. Zimbabweans at home and abroad should already be
working night
and
day for the path that will lead us to a truly free and
fair election. Out
here,
in the dusty villages, the Zanu PF meetings at
which attendance is
compulsory,
have already started. Propaganda and
rhetoric aside, the clock is ticking.
Until
next week, thanks for
reading, love cathy. Copyright cathy buckle 24 March
2007
http://africantears.netfirms.com
SABC
March 24, 2007, 18:00
The
United States government says it will continue to support opposition
parties
in Zimbabwe, with or without Robert Mugabe, Zimbabwe president's
approval.
A senior state department official said during
Congressional hearings on the
political situation in Zimbabwe, that what he
called the repressive regime
of President Mugabe is now intimidating
diplomats and journalists.
The government recently threatened to expel
diplomats who support opposition
and foreign journalists. Doctors who
treated Morgan Tsvangirai, the MDC
leader, and other opposition activists,
say the government is now using
thugs to torture its opponents. They brought
evidence before the United
States' congress. The doctors, like Douglas
Gwatidzo, now also fear for
their own lives.
Douglas Gwatidzo, the
Zimbabwe Association of Doctors for Human Rights,
says: "As I was preparing
to come here, everybody was concerned about my
life, 'what was going to
happen? why I choose to do that? did I have to do
i? are you going to
succeed?' All these questions were thrown at me and I
said look whatever the
outcome I'll continue to do it and from here I'm
going home to
Zimbabwe".
Allegations of hit squads were first made by Tsvangirai last
week. But the
government denies this. The US congress called for immediate
intervention
and supported added sunctions against the Zimbabwean
leadership. Members of
the congress described the situation in Zimbabwe as a
human rights crisis.
Next week they will draft a resolution to condemn
the actions of the
government Mugabe.
News24
24/03/2007 19:59 -
(SA)
Harare - Five people were injured when a passenger train was
petrol-bombed
in a Harare suburb, Zimbabwe police said on
Saturday.
Unknown assailants threw a tear-gas canister and then a petrol
bomb onto the
train, which was carrying 750 passengers on Friday night,
police
spokesperson Wayne Bvudzijena told state radio.
The train was
passing through the high-density suburb of Mufakose on its way
to the second
city of Bulawayo when the incident happened. Police then
escorted the train
to Bulawayo, according to state radio.
The five injured were taken to
Harare Central Hospital. A 34-year-old woman
who was two months pregnant is
believed to have miscarried as a result of
shock.
Political tensions
are high in Zimbabwe following the arrest and beating of
opposition leader
Morgan Tsvangirai and a number of his colleagues a
fortnight
ago.
There have been at least three revenge attacks on police stations,
including
one on Friday in the eastern city of Mutare.
The police
spokesperson warned that security forces would use firearms
against
perpetrators of political violence.
"Police have a duty to protect life
and property and when these are
threatened they will use any force necessary
including firearms," he was
quoted as saying. - Sapa-dpa
From ZWNEWS, 24 March
The
British government was yesterday asked to investigate allegations that
the
South African government has been providing a financial guarantee
through a
British-controlled bank to back fuel supplies to Zimbabwe. RAID, a
British
NGO, has requested a probe into reports that South African bank ABSA
has
been providing a credit line for the supply of up to 25 thousand metric
tonnes of fuel per month, including Jet A1 for the squadron of K-8 military
aircraft which Zimbabwe bought from China. RAID (Rights and Accountability
in Development) is an Oxford-based NGO that conducts research into corporate
ethics in third world development. The allegation is that there was
originally a deal whereby a South African Black Economic Empowerment (BEE)
company would supply the fuel. This company backed out of the deal when it
belatedly realised it had quoted too low a price, and it was at this point
that the South African government stepped in. The South Africans allegedly
guaranteed to the suppliers, based in the United Arab Emirates, that ABSA
would be able to provide a rolling credit line for up to US$35 million for
the one-year fuel deal. The EU, along with the US and other countries, has
imposed an embargo on armament sales to Zimbabwe. South Africa has no such
ban, and has openly supplied spare parts for Zimbabwe's ageing Allouette
military helicopters. ABSA, however, is majority owned by the British bank
Barclays, and its involvement in supplying fuel used by Zimbabwean military
aircraft may fall within the conditions of the EU arms embargo.
Yorkshire Post
Published Date: 23 March 2007
Tom Richmond:
THE Government's contempt for
Parliament has been exposed still further by
Foreign Secretary Margaret
Beckett's inept response to the Zimbabwe crisis.
When Labour was in
Opposition, Mrs Beckett was among those who frequently
demanded that Tory
Ministers be summoned to the despatch box to be held
accountable for their
decision-making on a huge range of issues, some of
which bordered upon the
trivial.
Did Mrs Beckett respond to requests from Tory MPs for a
statement after
Zimbabwe's opposition leader, Morgan Tsangirai, was tortured
by Robert
Mugabe's henchmen? Not a bit of it.
Instead, Mrs Beckett
wrote a mealy-mouthed letter to a national newspaper
pointing out that "a
statement expressing my horror and calling for action
to ramp up pressure on
the Zimbabwe government" had been posted on the
Foreign Office
website.
Furthermore, she stated that Lord Triesman, her junior minister,
had
undertaken a number of media interviews.
Lord Triesman? I didn't
think you had heard of him. I certainly had not
until Mrs Beckett mentioned
his name. For the record, he was a leading trade
unionist in the sphere of
higher and further education before he was made an
unelected life peer, a
background not ideally suited to his current role.
Yet what perturbs me
is that very few backbench MPs, or Opposition
spokesmen, seem perturbed by
the Government bypassing Parliament - and the
fact that Ministers, like Mrs
Beckett, are no longer being held accountable
for their abject lack of
decision-making and leadership. It's time that they
got their act together.
Websites will never be an adequate substitute for
sustained, and probing,
questioning on the floor of the House of Commons.
Mrs Beckett has much to
answer for when she finally deigns to appear before
backbenchers on Monday,
starting with whether she actually wants to be
Foreign Secretary or not.
My Joy Online, Ghana
Posted on:
24-Mar-2007
The Minority in Parliament has
criticized President Kufuor for
his seemingly soft stance on the Zimbabwean
government's use of brutal force
against the country's opposition
members.
According to the Minority Leader Alban Bagbin the
President as
African Union Chairman should be seen taking a tougher stance
against the
rogue state.
He said this in Parliament on
Friday after Foreign Affairs and
NEPAD Minister Nana Akufo-Addo delivered a
statement on the upcoming AU
Summit to be held in Accra in
July.
The Minority Leader's comments come in the wake of the
physical
assault of opposition figures by police in
Zimbabwe.
The country has received heavy criticism from the
international
community after police beat up the leader of Zimbabwe's main
opposition
leader, Morgan Tsvangirai and his supporters at a
rally.
Foreign Affairs Minister Nana Akufo-Addo admitted that
unresolved conflicts on the continent remain major challenges that the AU
Chairman would have to deal with.
He said the July AU
Summit would focus on the kind of governance
the continent would want to be
governed by.
Protesters gathered in Bradford today to condemn Robert Mugabe's regime in Zimbabwe and planned deportations of Zimbabwean asylum seekers from the UK.
The rally in Centenary Square was supported by the West Yorkshire branch of the Movement for Democratic Change and members of Bradford Council.
Recent news headlines about alleged atrocities in Zimbabwe are only the tip of the iceberg, and footage beamed round the world of Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) leader Morgan Tsvangerai with a fractured skull after being beaten by police was just one incident among many, it was claimed.
Priscilla Shiri, 42, left Zimbabwe in 2001 and has lived in Bradford since then. She, her husband and small daughter share a cramped flat in the Green Lane area.
She said that Zimbabweans were being dehumanised here, just as surely as in their homeland under the Mugabe regime.
"I phone home to Zimbabwe to try and find out what is happening," she said. "Prices are doubling every day and wages are decreasing, people there are destitute, homeless, but the Government doesn't care. Those who support Zanu-PF (Mugabe's ruling party) receive food rations, but they still get very little, the rest get nothing.
"When I phone home people are too scared to talk because the phones seem to be tapped. There is so much suffering there."
The British Government has called for renewed sanctions against Zimbabwe but this is a double-edged sword, said Mrs Shiri.
"Britain is pressing for more sanctions, and they are right to want to get rid of Mugabe, but who suffers? Not him and his Government, it is the ordinary people who suffer."
And the situation for Zimbabwean immigrants to Britain was just as uncertain.
"The Home Office is deporting people saying Zimbabwe is safe," said Mrs Shiri, an information and publicity officer for Cadafretz, the campaign for the defence of Africans returned to Zimbabwe.
"The judges tell them it isn't safe but John Reid ignores them, there are many of us here facing deportation.
"We have no security here, we are made to live in poverty. We can't get proper jobs and many people who have escaped Zimbabwe are very sick, many have mental illness which is made worse with the way they have to live here, never knowing if they will be sent back again.
"The Government must help those who are here as it is they who send money back to help their families in Zimbabwe, it is they who fund the MDC, they who give the money and support that will get rid of Mugabe. But the British Government treats us like this."
e-mail: paddy.mcguffin@bradford.newsquest.co.uk
IOL
March 24 2007 at 03:58PM
The SA Students Congress (Sasco) on
Saturday condemned the arrest of
the Zimbabwe National Students Union
president (ZINASU) Promise Mkhwanazi.
"We condemn the brutality of
police on Zimbabwe students who continue
to raise genuine grievances of
education. We condemn the arrest of the
President of ZINASU (comrade)
Promise Mkhwanazi," a Sasco statement said.
"We believe the current
low intensity political conflict ensuing in
Zimbabwe is precipitated by many
years of socio-economic decline resulting
from the impact of colonialism and
the developmental path taken by the new
independent state in that
country.
"We respect the sovereignty of Zimbabwe. We condemn human
rights
abuses and call for political freedoms for all. We urgently call for
the
fair dialogue process to be resumed as soon as
possible."
According to the ZINASU website, Mkhwanazi
and 40 students from the
Harare Polytechnic College were arrested on
February 13 while meeting to
discuss education standards and tuition fee
hikes and socio economic and
political problems in the country.
He was arrested again with a group of others on March 13 at a protest
outside a court in Harare.
They were released the following
day, according to the website.
Regarding Swaziland, Sasco said
political and student organisations
must be given space to operate
freely.
It said it is lobbying the governing African National
Congress on the
need for a special financial aid scheme for refugee students
resident in
South Africa and is initiating discussions on easing Department
of Home
Affairs regulations regarding study permits. - Sapa
The Record, Canada
HANY
BESADA
(Mar 24, 2007)
An era of increased democratization and
political accountability is sweeping
across the African
continent.
With deteriorating economic conditions, growing external
support, and
international pressure from Western governments and donors for
political
reform, Zimbabweans are following suit in finally heeding the call
for
democratic change in their beleaguered country.
There are
unprecedented signs of civil discontent and increasing agitation
and
frustration with the 27-year autocratic rule of Zimbabwe's President
Robert
Mugabe.
In Harare, Zimbabwe's beleaguered capital, the country's
opposition leader
Morgan Tsvangirai of the Movement of Democratic Change
(MDC) was taken to
hospital following his appearance in court with multiple
injuries to his
body. Last week he had been arrested with a number of his
colleagues while
attempting to hold an opposition rally.
Meanwhile,
scores of doctors, nurses, teachers and university lecturers have
gone on
strike across the country since last month to protest against
deteriorating
living conditions and appalling working conditions.
These events, among
many other events of the past few weeks, must be seen
against the backdrop
of increasing civil discontent with the country's
humanitarian crisis, which
threatens to have detrimental repercussions for
the rest of the southern
African region.
By all accounts, Zimbabwe is now finding itself on the
fringes of near total
state collapse, where it was once regarded as the
breadbasket of the region,
boasting an economy that was envied by the
majority of governments on the
continent at the time of the end of white
minority rule in 1980.
With spiralling inflation of nearly 1,700 per cent
in February, foreign
reserves depleted, an unemployment rate of over 80 per
cent, more than 3,300
AIDS-related deaths per week and chronic poverty
affecting more than 76 per
cent of the population, the economic prospects
for this southern African
state look exceptionally bleak for the foreseeable
future.
Meanwhile, the country faces a food deficit of about 850,000 tons
of maize,
the national staple food, which constitutes roughly one third of
its normal
requirements.
Critics have often blamed the seizure of
white-owned farms since 2000 for
much of the economic ills of the country.
However, many other factors, as
well as government policies dating back to
the mid-1990s, could offer a more
accurate and comprehensive assessment of
how the country has fallen prey to
the precarious situation that it finds
itself in today. The economic crisis,
starting in 1996, has been
characterized by the lack of comprehensive
support for the land reform
program which offered compensation to white
farmers for the loss of their
farms to landless peasants. Contributing to
the crisis, in addition to the
dismal failure of the Structural Adjustment
Programs (SAPs), are an
ever-increasing defence expenditure in the absence
of war, the unbridled,
huge government deficits caused by unbudgeted
payments to the 1970s war
veterans, the controversial government involvement
in the war in Congo, as
well as by rampant corruption.
The government's decision to forcibly
remove Zimbabwe's 4,500 white farmers
from 85 per cent of the most fertile
land in the country, only served to
exacerbate the already deteriorating
economic situation.
The resettlement of government cronies -- war
veterans who had fought in the
country's liberation struggle against white
British colonial and white
minority rule, all in the name of addressing the
injustices of the past --
has resulted in the collapse of the agriculture
sector, which constituted
the backbone of the country's economy and was a
major source of hard
currency for the government.
The International
Monetary Fund's withdrawal of crucial balance of payments
support following
Mugabe defaulting on loan obligations -- and the
imposition of sanctions by
the United States and the European Union because
of Harare's illegal removal
of white farmers -- were the last nails in the
coffin for the economy. The
government furthermore resorted to printing more
money, which it really did
not have in the first place while, and at the
same time devalued the
country's currency.
Government's mismanagement of the economy did not go
down well with the
country's increasingly impatient citizens, whose
frustrations often fall on
deaf ears where government is
concerned.
The MDC, the country's only credible opposition group,
consistently failed
to effectively challenge Mugabe's leadership which, in
part, was due to the
regime's relentless crushing of opposition groups and
the mass arrests of
opposition leaders. In addition, the seriously flawed
presidential and
parliamentary elections of the past, as well as deepening
divisions and
infighting that have plagued the MDC since October 2005, have
caused the
situation to deteriorate even further. The current division
within the MDC
began over differences in strategy regarding the party's
participation in
the November 2005 senate elections.
With a sick
economy, repressive governance and a fractured opposition, there
is growing
concern that the tension could escalate to uncontrollable
proportions in the
coming weeks.
Mugabe's recent announcement that he has no intention of
stepping down is an
unfortunate development that calls for fundamental
questions to be answered
by the international community, if it hopes to
avoid looming political
instability in the region.
Amid the political
impasse and Mugabe's attempts to manipulate the electoral
process and
prolong his party's grip on power well after 2010, the
international
community and the MDC are finding themselves having to answer
some
fundamental questions that could have a lasting impact on the future of
the
country. There are a growing number of party cadres who would like to
see
the MDC adopt a more confrontational and extra-parliamentary opposition,
which would represent a shift in tactics away from its peaceful engagement
with the government in the past.
Eventually, a stalemate situation in
Zimbabwe is not likely to be resolved
by domestic resistance in some form or
another. In the event of a national
revolt, such as the 1998 food riots, the
MDC would have to reunite in order
to play the role of a responsive and
stabilizing force, capable of managing
and containing the subsequent
violence.
A parallel response, aimed at securing a retirement plan for
Mugabe, while
engaging the moderate forces in the top leadership structures
aimed at the
drafting of a new constitution and the holding of free and fair
presidential
elections in 2008, would go a long way to ushering in a new era
of democracy
and civil liberties, while setting the stage for that
long-awaited economic
recovery.
Hany Besada is senior researcher on
fragile states at the Centre for
International Governance Innovation (CIGI)
in Waterloo.