International Herald Tribune
The Associated PressPublished: October 9,
2007
WELLINGTON, New Zealand: Zimbabwe's opposition parties will pull
out of
South African-brokered talks with the government of President Robert
Mugabe
if violence against them is not halted, an opposition leader said
Tuesday.
Zimbabweans are still being beaten and killed by President
Mugabe's militias
despite negotiations between his government and opposition
parties, a senior
member of the Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) said
here.
MDC secretary for international affairs Sekai Holland said the
talks
brokered by South Africa's President Thabo Mbeki would collapse if the
violence didn't stop.
"As I speak today, another 64-year-old was
beaten to death by the same squad
that beat me up," said Holland, a victim
of an attack on MDC members in
March who is visiting New Zealand at the
invitation of the minority Green
Party.
MDC leader Morgan Tsvangirai
was also brutally beaten during the March
attack in Zimbabwe's capital,
Harare.
That attack was widely publicized and led to other African states
calling on
President Mbeki to initiate talks in a bid to reach agreement on
free and
fair elections.
"We support the Mbeki initiative ... but if
Mugabe continues to beat our
people up we are pulling out of the talks,"
Holland said.
She said the MDC, Zimbabwe's main opposition party, is
calling on the
international community to intervene, stop the violence
against opposition
supporters and recognize the extent of the nation's
humanitarian crisis.
"Everybody knows Zimbabweans are starving to death,"
Holland told reporters.
"The situation is disgusting ... people suspected of
supporting us are being
kidnapped, beaten and killed."
International Herald Tribune
The Associated PressPublished: October 9,
2007
JOHANNESBURG, South Africa: Women activists in Zimbabwe have
been beaten and
forced to strip by police and detained while with their
babies, according to
a report alleging violations by security forces
released Tuesday by one of
Zimbabwe's leading civil rights
organizations.
Women of Zimbabwe Arise released results of a preliminary
report showing
that 73 percent of an initial sample of 397 members have been
arrested more
than once, 40 percent were tortured and 50 percent detained
longer than the
allowed 48 hours. About 26 percent were injured badly enough
to receive
medical treatment.
WOZA, formed in 2003, has become a
powerful voice in the deepening economic
and political crises in Zimbabwe.
It has held over 100 peaceful protests and
is known for its annual
Valentine's Day march in which red roses are
distributed in a call for love,
peace and harmony in the country.
"Women of WOZA have often been the
target of unprovoked attacks," said Jenni
Williams, one of the founders of
the organization. Williams has been
arrested about 30 times has been living
in safe houses for the last three
years.
International organizations
such as Amnesty International as well as human
rights bodies in Zimbabwe
have made similar assessments that human and
political rights are
increasingly under attack in the country.
"These types of violations have
become commonplace in Zimbabwe as the
government seeks to prevent
Zimbabweans from protesting against the
continuing devastating mismanagement
of the economy, extensive and malicious
corruption and a total disregard for
the well-being of Zimbabweans,"
Williams said.
Williams was accompanied
by a number of members and a few - including a
19-year-old woman - gave an
emotional account of their time at the hands of
police, often breaking down
into tears.
Comment from Zimbabwe police was not immediately available.
An official at
Zimbabwe's embassy in Pretoria, who would only give his name
as P.T.
Chigiji, said he could not comment as he had not seen the
report.
Williams said the report was done to highlight the violent
conditions that
still exist despite reports about progress being made in
talks between
Zimbabwean President Robert Mugabe's ruling ZANU-PF party and
the
opposition.
South African President Thabo Mbeki, appointed by the
Southern African
Development Community to lead the mediation efforts, said
last week that the
negotiations were going well that there had been
agreement that the
elections would be free and fair elections.
"This
can only occur if the process and the political climate in which it
takes
places are fully free and fair. An essential component of this climate
is
the absence of violence," Williams said.
Mbeki has been criticized for
advocating what he calls quiet diplomacy over
confronting Mugabe, who is
accused of overseeing his country's economic and
political
collapse.
Williams, who is part of a civil society group that is meeting
with the team
involved in the mediation efforts, said her organization was
giving Mbeki
"the benefit of the doubt." But she expressed concern the talks
focused too
much on political power and not enough on the social, economic
and political
rights of Zimbabweans.
"So we will continue to put
pressure of the South African government so that
they hear and can respond
to the call of ordinary South Africans," she said.
Williams also said her
organization rejected recent constitutional
amendments supported by the
opposition Movement for Democratic Change in
what was described as a show of
faith in the negotiations. Critics say the
changes further consolidate
ZANU-PF's power.
More support needed for Zimbabwean people |
Green MP Keith Locke supported calls from
visiting a Zimbabwean opposition politician, Sekai Holland, for greater
humanitarian assistance.
"At present we only give $1.04 million in aid to the Zimbabwe people, through NGOs and UNICEF. This is down from $1.7 million in 2005/06.
"Zimbabwe is a disaster zone. The economy and health system has collapsed, and a quarter of the population has migrated to neighbouring countries.
"Sekai Holland is a living example of why the world must keep pressing Mugabe to return to the rule of law. She was put in hospital last March when Mugabe's thugs attacked her with iron bar, breaking several bones.
"Helen Clark should press other Commonwealth leaders, when they meet in Uganda this November, to take a strong, united stand for a return to democracy. The scheduled talks between Mugabe's regime and the opposition Movement for Democratic Change will come to naught unless there is an end to the violence.
"The Greens support Ms Holland's call for New Zealand and other countries to step up their support to Zimbabweans who have fled the country, particularly in the area of job training - which will be particularly useful to help reconstruct Zimbabwe, post-Mugabe."
ENDS
Reuters
Tue 9 Oct
2007, 9:01 GMT
HARARE (Reuters) - Prosecutors in Zimbabwe have withdrawn
"terror" charges
against 22 opposition Movement for Democratic Change (MDC)
activists because
of insufficient evidence, defence lawyers said on
Tuesday.
The activists, including a member of parliament, were arrested
in March as
President Robert Mugabe's government launched a crackdown on the
opposition,
which saw MDC leader Morgan Tsvangirai severely beaten in police
custody.
State prosecutors had charged the men with undergoing
"terrorism" training
in South Africa and attempted murder. Prosecutors also
said they were
responsible for a spate of petrol bombings mainly targeting
police stations
this year.
Defence lawyer Alec Muchadehama said on
Tuesday the charges had been
dropped because of lack of evidence.
"They
withdrew the charges before plea. ... They are conceding that they
have no
evidence to convict although the police are suggesting that they are
tying
(up) a few loose ends," Muchadehama told Reuters.
There was no immediate
comment from prosecutors.
The men were rounded up after anti-riot police
stopped an opposition prayer
rally in Harare.
The crackdown drew
widespread condemnation of Mugabe's strong-arm tactics in
handling the
opposition and prompted regional heads of state to task South
Africa's
President Thabo Mbeki to mediate between the government and the
opposition.
Mugabe -- Zimbabwe's sole ruler since independence from
Britain in 1980 --
denies his controversial policies have ruined a once
promising economy and
accuses the MDC of plotting with Western governments
to unseat him.
africasia.com
HARARE, Oct 9 (AFP)
Eleven of Zimbabwe's last remaining white
farmers face a court battle
Thursday to remain on their properties in
defiance of a government eviction
order under the country's controversial
land reforms.
"The magistrate will make his ruling on Thursday whether
the case should be
referred to the supreme court or whether they should
stand trial," their
lawyer David Drury told AFP.
The farmers from the
northwestern Mashonaland West province were summoned to
a magistrate's court
in the farming town of Chegutu, 100 kilometres (60
miles) northwest of
Harare, to answer charges of breaching the Gazette Land
Consequential
Provisions Act after their land was earmarked for
expropriation.
"They were literally forced into court after police
made them sign
statements," Drury said.
"But they are all denying the
charges."
Under the law, a farmer is given an ultimatum to wrap up his
business and
vacate his property if it is designated for the resettlement of
black
farmers and faces a two-year jail term if found guilty of breaching
the law.
Lawyers protested that there was no case warranting putting the
farmers on
trial and applied for the case to be heard in the supreme
court.
"The farmers are making some constitutional points which have to
be
addressed by the supreme court which is the constitutional court," Drury
said.
"One of the points is that the law discriminates on the basis
of race
because only white farmers are targetted and also the issues of
compensation
and property rights.
One of the farmers, Ben Freeth,
said the case would disrupt production in a
country experiencing previously
unheard-of food shortages.
"We were busy at the farm trying to prepare
the land and organising
chemicals and fertilizers and suddenly we were
summoned to court," he told
AFP.
"Farming involves long-term
planning," Freeth says, lamenting the time lost
while the farmers await
their fate. "It's very difficult to plan when you
don't know what's going to
happen tomorrow."
He said the farmers last week appealed to the regional
Southern African
Development Community (SADC) Tribunal to stop the planned
evictions.
Zimbabwe, once the southern African region's breadbasket, is
facing a
critical shortage of wheat which has forced most bakers to close
temporarily
or scale down their production.
The staple cornmeal is
also scarce and at least 4.1 million people, nearly a
third of the
population, will require food aid during the lean spell
extending to the
country's next harvest, according to the UN's World Food
Programme.
Harare blames the shortfall on drought, but critics put
much of the blame on
its agricultural policy begun eight years
ago.
Often violent land reforms saw the seizures of at least 4,000
properties
formerly run by white farmers for redistribution to landless
blacks, the
majority of whom lacked the skills and means to
farm.
Some of the beneficiaries of the land reforms, launched ostensibly
to
resettle landless blacks, have been accused of holding on to fallow land
for
prestige or turning the farms into barbeque party venues.
Less
than 400 white farmers are still believed to be operating in Zimbabwe
as a
result of the land reform programme.
President Robert Mugabe has been
unapologetic about the expropriations,
saying criticism was inspired by
Western anger that the rulers of the former
British colony "for daring to
take our destiny into our own hands."
Reuters
Tue 9 Oct
2007, 9:39 GMT
HARARE, Oct 9 (Reuters) - An American citizen arrested by
police in Zimbabwe
on charges of smuggling and illegal possession of arms
and ammunition was
freed pending a court appearance later on Tuesday, a U.S.
embassy official
said.
Zimbabwe's state radio reported late on Monday
that the man, Leslie Francis
Howell Jr from Florida, was arrested at
Victoria Falls airport on Friday
when he tried to board a plane with two
pistols and 300 rounds of
ammunition.
Police could not immediately
comment but officials at the U.S. embassy in
Harare confirmed the
arrest.
"He was arrested but was released and his passport has been taken
so that he
will not leave the country," an embassy official told
Reuters.
"We understand he will appear in court sometime today," said the
official,
who would not confirm suggestions by diplomatic sources that the
man was on
a hunting trip in Zimbabwe.
The Zimbabwe Broadcasting
Corporation said the American was expected to be
charged in court in the
north-western town of Hwange.
The man arrived in Harare on Sept. 21 and
had been travelling around the
country armed until his arrest, ZBC
said.
He "is suspected to be part of a ploy by the United States to scare
off
tourists and to depict Zimbabwe as an unsafe destination," the radio
said.
Zimbabwe is grappling with a severe economic crisis which critics
blame on
President Robert Mugabe's policies and has left the country with
the world's
highest inflation rate and surging unemployment.
Mugabe,
83, and in power since independence from Britain says sabotage and
economic
sanctions by Western powers, including the United States, has hurt
the
economy.
IOL
October 09 2007
at 11:36AM
Maputo - The Mozambique Pipeline Company will on Tuesday
sign a new
contract with the Zimbabwean government for the transportation of
refined
petroleum products from the port of Beira to Feruka in
Zimbabwe.
O Pais, a weekly independent newspaper reported in its
online edition
that the negotiations that led to the signing of the new
contract had lasted
three years.
The signing of the new
contract follows the expiry of the first, which
was signed in January 1984
to facilitate the transportation of refined fuel
from Beira to Zimbabwe via
a pipeline.
The paper said the new contract would be signed by the
Zimbabwean
Energy minister, Michael Nyambuya and the representatives of the
Administrative board of the Mozambique Pipeline Company, Antonio Dias and
Antonio Fernando Laice.
Zimbabwe is among
hinterland countries such as Malawi and Zambia which
rely on the Beira port
for the importation of the fuel products. - Sapa
iafrica.com
Tue, 09 Oct
2007
South Africa would not attend a 'watered down' European
Union-African
summit, its ambassador to the European Union, Dr Anil Sooklal,
said on
Tuesday.
The planned summit scheduled to take place in
Lisbon, Portugal in December,
is being overshadowed by British Prime
Minister Gordon Brown's stand that if
Zimbabwean President Robert Mugabe
attends the summit, no British official
will participate.
"It is
unfortunate the UK has taken this decision, because our position has
been
all along that if you say it is a summit between equals; between the
African
continent and the European community, then let us meet on equal
grounds and
discuss all the issues including the difficult issues in the
relationship,"
Sooklal said.
He was speaking in Pretoria a day ahead of a South
Africa-EU Ministerial
Troika Meeting that would be attended by Foreign
Affairs Minister Nkosazana
Dlamini-Zuma and her counterpart from Portugal,
Luis Amado and several other
European representatives.
Portugal is
currently heading the EU and is arranging the December summit.
"We'll not
attend a watered down summit we want a summit of equals," Sooklal
said.
'The ball is in the court of the EU'
He however pointed
out that the general feeling from the European leadership
was that the
summit should take place, indicating that SA would wait for the
reaction
from other European leaders.
"The ball is in the court of the EU for them
to sort out their politics,
because from the side of the African continent
we are very eager," he said.
Several European leaders including German
Chancellor Angela Merkel said they
wanted the summit to go ahead,
notwithstanding Mugabe's possible attendance.
Sooklal said the summit
would be an opportunity for leaders to raise their
concerns with
Mugabe.
"If you do not agree with the policies of a certain leader or
country the
best way to address that is in the presence of that leader or in
the
presence of the leadership of that country.
"Let them be there
and directly speak to the parties concerned but don't lay
preconditions to
say if this leader attends the following countries are not
going to attend,"
he said.
Sapa
Accra Mail
(Accra)
OPINION
9 October 2007
Posted to the web 9 October
2007
E. Ablorh-Odjidja
Ghanadot
Well, it never changes when you
least expect it to. Leaders of the AU are
out again in support of Mugabe,
the octogenarian, in his latest tiff with
the EU. The appeal by EU to
dissuade the Zimbabwean president from attending
the Lisbon summit has
failed. The unanimity of the decision and the reasons
given for the support
are enough to make you pity Africa.
"The African Union wants all African
countries to take part in the summit in
Lisbon in December", said an
official from the AU.
"Zimbabwe, in spite of the crisis, is an
African country and we are
defending principles here. We have asked Mugabe
to talk to his opposition,
but the AU respects the principle of
non-interference. We resort to
interference only in extreme cases of
violence or genocide." The official
continued.
It is exactly
difficult to understand what principles this man is talking
about. Of
course, the EU is not seeking to bar Zimbabwe from the Lisbon
summit. It is
only seeking to block Mugabe from attendance. Any high ranking
official from
Zimbabwe can represent the country.
Clearly, the AU principles mentioned
have to be about the special rights
given only to dictators on the continent
- to the detriment of the
sensibilities of the rest of us. No wonder the
genocide in Darfur is at an
impasse and Sudan still remains a member of the
AU. When it comes to doing
the right thing for Africa, this organization, it
seems, constantly remains
flummoxed. This fealty or sympathy for Mugabe is a
perfect example.
Mugabe has for long stirred up anger within the
international community on
human rights issues. But most of the harm he has
caused to date, he has done
to his own people and neighbors. His land reform
effort, a complete fiasco
stemming from a bad policy, has broken the back of
the once healthy
Zimbabwean economy.
Zimbabwe now has the highest
inflation rate in the world, said to be about 1
million percent and rising,
and according to the United Nations Economic
Commission, the worst economic
performance in Africa.
British Prime Minister Gordon Brown, continuing
his country's policy on
Zimbabwe, is eager to push Mugabe out of office. His
effort concerning the
Lisbon summit is for this purpose. But it may fail
because of the unanimity
of Africa's support for Mugabe.
Granted that
Britain happens to be a former colonial master and is to a
great extent
responsible for much of the land trouble in Zimbabwe, it is
still not a good
reason for Africa to help Zimbabwe cut its nose to spite
its face. After
all, who is hurting now, the British or the Zimbabweans? It
will take a lot
of callousness on the part of AU officials to defend Mugabe,
but they
do.
"It (Zimbabwe) is not the only country not to respect democracy, look
at
Togo, Niger... Zimbabwe's problem is mainly with London, it's a bilateral
issue and is none of our business," said an official of the AU in defense of
Mugabe.
Funny the connection is made to Togo. The current regime
there, under Faure
Gnassingbe, is barely three years old. The AU declared as
fair the election
that brought Gnassigbe to power in 2005. Now this official
is comparing
"democracy" under Gnassigbe's baby regime to the 27 years old
grandfather
regime of Mugabe. What a shame!
Mugabe has been running
the government of Zimbabwe since independence in
1980. Is there any question
about the negative impact of his tenure on
development in his country and
those around Zimbabwe? Isn't this reason
enough for the AU to ask for a
change, knowing that the next ruler will be a
Zimbabwean and not a
British?
The summit Mugabe and the AU are adamant about attending in
concert was
originally planned for April 2003, but according to the BBC, it
has been
postponed several times; all in attempt to send a
message.
In August 2007, Human Rights Watch wrote a paper called "A Call
to Action:
The Crisis in Zimbabwe - SADC's Human Rights Credibility on the
Line." In
it, the group reported that:
"The continuing use of
arbitrary and excessive use of force by the police
and other agents of the
government of Zimbabwe calls into question its
commitment to ending the
political crisis in the country, and creates a huge
obstacle to finding a
viable solution to this crisis."
The message was for SADC (Southern
African Development Community) meeting
that month to act on the problems in
Zimbabwe. Regrettably, everything that
concerned Zimbabwe was mentioned in
the Summit's communiqué, including a
call on Britain to honor her land
settlement promise. Missing was the
response to human rights abuses in
Zimbabwe sought.
Thus human rights continue to be enigma in Africa: Is it
human rights abuse
when the perpetrator is a black man or the person at the
receiving end has a
black skin? The puzzle is yet to be resolved.
E.
Ablorh-Odjidja,Publsiher www.ghanadot.com,
Washington, DC, October 8,
2007
miningmx.com
David
McKay
Posted: Tue, 09 Oct 2007
[miningmx.com] -- A CONFIDENTIAL document
circulated in Zimbabwe last year
estimated its mining industry was worth
around US$20bn. Localisation of 51%
of total assets would mean the
Zimbabwean government would have to dish out
a collective
$10bn.
There's scepticism in the Zimbabwe Chamber of Mines that that
can be
achieved. It said: "It's the perception that neither government nor
historically disadvantaged persons can raise the amount."
Douglas
Verden, CEO of SA's Chamber of Mines, says: "We're extremely
concerned with
this issue."
"Zim is looking all right"
That's a sentiment echoed
by Zimplats, which is 87% owned by Impala
Platinum. In May 2006, Impala
struck a pact with Mugabe's government to swap
mineral resources in return
for 19,5% localisation "credits" and $51m in
cash. Alternatively, credits of
29,25% would be attributed to Zimplats if no
cash were
received.
Impala CEO David Brown says no cash was ever
paid.
Obviously, that underlines the problems it would have enforcing the
new
legislation.
Brown added that Impala is also due credits for
investment in Zimbabwe. "We
built a 77km road and invested in housing and
schools in Zimbabwe." He says
those efforts would provide Impala with extra
credits.
Meanwhile, Impala is sticking by its former agreement with
Zimbabwe's
government, which states it has security of tenure to support
production of
at least one million oz/year of platinum production from that
country.
Impala is potentially one of the largest investors in the
country.
A phase 1 expansion at Zimplats is under way, with combined full
production
of 160 000 oz/year of platinum expected by 2010 at a cost of
around R3bn.
Worryingly, Zimplats chairman Mike Houston expressed his
personal concern
last month that the draft Bill didn't appear to take
cognisance of an
agreement the Zimbabwean government had struck with the
company.
Stuart Murray, who is invested in Zimbabwe's platinum industry
through
Mimosa, a highly profitable mine, says the matter has become too
complex and
too delicate to warrant comment.
Though the Bill is final
in demanding 51% localisation, recent comments by
Zimbabwe Central Bank
governor Gideon Gono asked for a phasing in of the
legislation.
Says
Murray: "Anything I say at the moment could be wrong. This issue is in
the
hands of one man. It's a real moving target."
Andrew Mackenzie, CEO of
Rio Tinto's diamonds & minerals group, says R1,75bn
($250m) in future
investment in Zimbabwe turned on how "indigenous
empowerment" was phased
in.
Rio Tinto, which has been in Zimbabwe's mining sector for 50 years,
has
spent $100m expanding its Murowa Diamonds since the discovery of
diamonds 14
years ago.
The operation, which is 77,8% owned by Rio
Tinto, is capable of producing
300,000 carats/year of diamonds. The balance
of the mine is already owned by
Rio Zim, an independent local company listed
on the Zimbabwe Stock Exchange.
In a speech to the American Business
Association of Zimbabwe, Mackenzie
said: "I believe the best way forward
would be for the government to
consider indigenous empowerment at a similar
pace and scale to the South
African process."
It's a comment that
would no doubt amuse officials at South Africa's
Minerals and Energy
Department who have been fighting a perception war since
its mining
empowerment laws were promulgated in May 2004.
Not all are so
pessimistic. Greg Hunter, CEO of Central African Gold (CAG),
says the
company would effectively roll with the punches. "We haven't signed
anything
yet, so there's less risk for us in terms of indigenisation. In our
discussions we've heard a figure of 30%."
CAG is listed on the ZSE,
with 15% of the company owned by Zimbabwean retail
and institutional
investors. Says Hunter: "Zim is looking all right.
Concessions have been
announced for the mining industry. We can pay staff in
foreign currency,
there's compensation offered for boreholes and the fiscal
side of the
country is looking pretty smart."
The Telegraph
By Sebastien
Berger, Southern Africa Correspondent
Last Updated: 2:50am BST
09/10/2007
The malnutrition that afflicts millions
of Zimbabweans has reduced the
country to a "laughing stock", President
Robert Mugabe has admitted.
Distributing equipment to black farmers
resettled on land seized from
white owners, he said: "We have become the
laughing stock because of hunger.
We all need to eat, whether you are
Zanu-PF or MDC. Let's unite."
Since Mr Mugabe began confiscating
farms Zimbabwe has gone from being
an agricultural exporter to a country
where millions need food aid. He
blames supposed Western sabotage for the
situation, rather than his own
actions.
An international court
is to be asked to rule on the seizure
programme. Papers filed with the
Southern Africa Development Community
Tribunal accuse Mr Mugabe's regime of
illegal racial discrimination and
violations of human
rights.
The first case to be brought before the tribunal, based
in Windhoek,
the Namibian capital, since it was set up seven years ago, is
being
described as a test for the rule of law in the region.
The action is being brought by Michael Campbell, one of the few
hundred
white growers left in Zimbabwe, who has suffered multiple land
invasions and
threats of violence at his farm in Chegutu.
As well as an urgent
injunction, his representatives are seeking a
declaration that the
constitutional amendments behind the farm seizures are
illegal.
If the tribunal rules in favour of Mr Campbell it would open the way
for all
the farmers dispossessed since 2000 to mount challenges of their
own,
although whether the court's judgment could be enforced is another
matter.
One person with knowledge of the case said: "The
critical thing is who
gets to sit on the tribunal.
"The test
for the tribunal is whether it is prepared to hold Zimbabwe
to its treaty
obligations."
Business Day
09 October 2007
Sapa
PRESIDENT
Thabo Mbeki was confident that the talks between Zimbabwe's
political
parties to find a solution to the crisis in that country were
progressing
well.
His spokesman Mukoni Ratshitanga was reacting to questions about
threats
from Zimbabwe's opposition Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) that
it
would pull out of the South African-brokered talks if violence against it
was not halted.
"On Friday the president told (German) Chancellor
(Angela) Merkel that it
was going well - this has not changed," Ratshitanga
said.
He did not want to go into details as Mbeki and his team said
previously
that it would not discuss the facilitation process in
public.
"Those negotiations are going very well and indeed there is a
common
determination to conclude them as quickly as possible so as to allow
enough
time to implement all of the matters that they must implement," Mbeki
said
on Friday during a joint press conference with Merkel, who was on an
official visit to SA.
Associated Press reported today that a senior
member of the MDC had said
that Zimbabweans were still being beaten and
killed by President Robert
Mugabe's militias despite negotiations between
his government and opposition
parties.
MDC secretary for
international affairs Sekai Holland said the talks
brokered by Mbeki would
collapse if the violence did not stop.
"As I speak today, another
64-year-old was beaten to death by the same squad
that beat me up," said
Holland, a victim of an attack on MDC members in
March who is visiting New
Zealand at the invitation of the minority Green
Party.
"We support
the Mbeki initiative ... but if Mugabe continues to beat our
people up we
are pulling out of the talks," Holland said.
She said the MDC, Zimbabwe's
main opposition party, was calling on the
international community to
intervene, stop the violence against opposition
supporters and recognise the
extent of the nation's humanitarian crisis.
"Everybody knows Zimbabweans
are starving to death," Holland told reporters.
"The situation is disgusting
... people suspected of supporting us are being
kidnapped, beaten and
killed," she said.
The Zimbabwean
By Bayethe
Zitha
BULAWAYO - A new wave of price increases hit Zimbabweans this week,
following another heavy knock taken by the Zimbabwean dollar against other
major currencies at the weekend.
Foreign currency rates shot up in the
illegal but thriving street foreign
exchange beginning Friday last week,
after a brief lull during which dealers
had feared the likely introduction
of stringent measures to curtail their
trade by Reserve Bank governor Gideon
Gono in his monetary policy
announcement.
However,business went "back to
normal" soon after the announcement,and rates
began to surge further
upwards.
As if compensating for lost time, parallel market dealers began
buying the
South African Rand for Z$82 000, up from Z$70 000 and selling it
at Z$85
000,up from Z$75 000 in the country's second biggest city of
Bulawayo on
Saturday.
The Botswana Pula, which used to fetch Z$72 000
from the dealers,who in turn
sold it for Z$75 000, also went up to Z$90 000
and Z$95 000 respectively.
The dealers also began to buy the greenback for
Z$550 000 and selling it for
Z$580 000, up from Z$460 000 and Z$480 000
respectively.
"We had taken a backfoot in releasing or accepting foreign
currency fearing
that Gono might spring a surprise that would affect our
business.However,after we realised that nothing is likely to happen in the
near future, we have began trading normally and rates are likely to go
further up in the next few weeks up to November. remember civil servants
also got a salary hike and are now buying forex to go and buy goods in
neighbouring countries," said Nokuthula Moyo, one of the dealers on Tuesday
afternoon.
This new rate hike has in turn triggered yet another sudden
increase in the
price of fuel, which shot up from Z$550 000 to Z$660 000 a
litre in the
parallel market, the only place where it is always readily
available.
Zimbabwean fuel dealers,who buy the precious liquid mostly from
neighbouring
Botswana, said they were likely to raise their prices three
times between
this and next week,depending on the prevailing exchange
rate.
"We get our Pula on the parallel market and we are left with no choice
but
to raise our prices as well to remain in business," said Trust Dube, a
fuel
dealer who operates at Munyoro shopping centre in
Nkulumane.
Commuter fares also went up by between 50 and 100 per cent on
Monday, with
transport operators taking advantage of loss of interest in
manning
roadblocks by the police to charge between Z$150 000 and Z$200 000
per urban
trip.
Stirke Ndlovu,a spokesman for the Bulawayo Urban
Transporters' Association
(BUPTA) confirmed the latest fare and attributed
it to the new fuel prices.
"We are also being driven by market trends and
need to raise our fares in
line with those trends. However, the agreed fare
is Z$150 000 which although
not profitable, can make us remain afloat and
should be charged until other
developments that affect our business are
encountered," said Ndlovu to The
Zimbabwean.
The Star
Letters
October
09, 2007 Edition 1
At last Kader Asmal of the ANC has seen the light
on Zimbabwe!
Congratulations to the former minister on breaking away from
the current ANC
clap-trap on that beleaguered nation.
Perhaps a tad
ironic that the mea culpas should come from a promoter of an
education
system in his time as minister which encouraged independent
thinking and
freedom of speech - unlike the current ANC government's
"collective" line. A
line which seemed even to ignore early and correct
moral objections by
Nelson Mandela, Desmond Tutu and the well-informed
warnings of Eleanor
Sisulu.
This raises the question in my mind: To what extent are these two
approaches, collective versus the individual opinion, at variance with each
other at cabinet level? I think history will show the ANC collective has
failed dismally many times, as demonstrated by their Zimbabwe
policy.
The issue was never about South Africa invading the country, as
Trevor
Manuel recently tried to suggest.
It was about condemning
the tyranny and the brutalisation of the human
rights of Zimbabwe's people.
Something which the ANC leadership has failed
to address ethically and
unequivocally - as expected.
Instead, our so-called leaders enabled the
violations by not speaking out
early against the mounting vicious policies
of that regime. In truth, the
ANC under Thabo Mbeki has done little against
the triumph of an evil which
continues to decimate its people and blight
Southern African politics.
Kathy Wood
Sunninghill, Sandton
LostWeekend, UK
Zimbabwe, amazingly, is on a tourism drive. Despite
chronic food shortages,
the world's worst inflation and thousands of
Zimbabweans going for permanent
vacations over the South African border,
Robert Mugabe has decided now is
the time to showcase the country to the
world.
The government mouthpiece, 'The Herald" newspaper, had the
following to say
about tourists visiting the country.
"generally we
expect them to be reasonably impressed. They will find the
country peaceful,
almost free of violent crime, bustling economically and
eager to welcome
tourists. They will see some empty shelves in many
supermarkets but will
also find very few shortages in hotels and
restaurants."
Zimbabwe did use
to be the bread basket of Africa and also a major tourism
destination,
nowadays it's more like a basket case. Have a browse through
the government
press release at the Zimbabwe Herald for a trip into
wonderland.
Toronto Sun
Mon, October 8, 2007
Playing
cards mock Mugabe's Zimbabwe and give insight into the political
situation
in that country
By PETER WORTHINGTON, TORONTO
SUN
When Zimbabwe gained independence in 1980, its proud
boast was that along
with South Africa it was the only self-sustaining,
self-reliant economy in
black Africa.
President Robert Mugabe
generously gave credit to the Ian Smith regime
(Rhodesia) he'd replaced for
this fortuitous state of affairs.
Today, more than 25 years later,
Zimbabwe's curse is that at 7,600% it has
the highest inflation rate in the
world (its government's assessment). Its
currency has collapsed, and it is
has become the most repressive regime on
the continent. With no relief in
sight, Marxist President Robert Mugabe now
blames drought and Western
countries for all failings.
Even China says that apart from humanitarian
aid, it's dropping aid to
Zimbabwe (which means the humanitarian aid will be
diverted to sustain the
system rather than the people). To cope, Mugabe has
banned all pay
increases -- at a time when public workers, teachers and the
army are
demanding a pay boost.
He also banned price increases, when
there is virtually nothing to buy.
Zimbabwe and its citizens are
in bad shape. But a sense of humour prevails.
Satirical decks of playing
cards, origin uncertain, are mysteriously
circulating throughout Zimbabwe
that lampoon and mock corrupt politicians
and the brutal reality of the
police, army, justice system, the economy.
Since mocking Mugabe and
ridiculing the government can mean jail or worse,
possessing these playing
cards in Zimbabwe takes courage. The cartoon-like
drawings on the cards are
a political lesson on what is happening in the
country today.
Here's
a thumbnail assessment of some of the pictures on each card, based on
findings of Frontline/World, which works with U.S. Public Broadcasting and
journalism schools at Berkeley and Columbia, to send investigative reporters
to probe controversial issues the mainstream media often avoid:
ACE:
"Robber" Mugabe sits on a throne of money, much of which comes from the
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) to which Mugabe rents his soldiers (a
$200-million contract) for a war that has already claimed some 4 million
lives.
KING: Finance Minister Herbert Murerwa points to a graph
showing the economy
plunging off the chart and through the floor. Last year
the inflation rate
was 1,000%, this year it's over 7,000%. By comparison,
neighbouring Zambia's
inflation rate is under 10%.
QUEEN: This shows
Mugabe's second wife, Grace Marufu, 40 years younger than
her husband. She
started out as a junior secretary in his office and today
is known as "First
Shopper of Zimbabwe" and frequents the boutiques of Paris
and
London.
JACK: Shows Gideon Gono, governor of the Reserve Bank of
Zimbabwe, leading a
bunch of ministers depositing suitcases of money at a
Swiss bank. Gono was
responsible for changing Zimbabwe's currency and
drastically raising prices.
TEN: Depicts the Zimbabwe National Police
(ZNP) beating a man whose hands
are tied behind his back. Opposition offices
are regularly raided. Curtailed
police salaries has resulted in widespread
corruption and brutality.
NINE: This shows the dreaded ZNA (Zimbabwe
National Army) with smoking guns
and the bodies of civilians lying around,
all shot in the back.
EIGHT: Shows Air Zimbabwe -- boarding stairs with
no aircraft, which
symbolizes the airline's dysfunctional service with no
spare parts, chronic
fuel shortages and defaulting on bills. Periodically,
passengers have been
stranded when regular flights have been commandeered to
take the Mugabes on
holidays, or his wife shopping.
SEVEN: Shows wall
graffiti in prison that "Freedom is coming to Zimbabwe one
day." Political
prisoners fill jails -- 22,000 are crammed into space
designed for
16,000.
SIX: Zimbabwe Broadcasting Corporation (ZBC) is the country's
only TV outlet
and is a propaganda arm for the government. The picture shows
an emaciated
man posing as a fat man holding bags of food. Once an exporter
of food,
Zimbabwe now depends of food aid due to Mugabe confiscating
productive white
farms and wrecking them.
FIVE: Rural chiefs are
persuaded to join the ruling ZANU-PF government party
and prospering as fat
pigs with snouts in the feeding trough.
FOUR: Shows the Beit Bridge
Customs on the South African border at the
Limpopo river where the only sure
way to leave or bring in goods is to pay
bribes.
South Africa deports
some 450 illegals a day to Zimbabwe. Swimming the
Limpopo to escape ensures
crocodiles are well fed.
THREE: Mugabe's nephew Philip Chiyangwa is
reputed to be one of the
country's richest men even though he's spent time
in prison for selling
state secrets to South Africa.
TWO: Line-ups
are normal for shoppers. The "Queue Wait" is a pun on Kuwait,
which has
abundant consumer goods. Queuewait has "No fuel, No food, No
nothing."
JOKER: Prof. Jonathan Moyo was a scathing critic of
Mugabe's human rights
abuses until he was made Minister of Information. Then
he became an ardent
Mugabe advocate, introducing harsh media laws until he
was fired. He, then,
returned to criticizing the regime.
Some
"joker!" Many think he intends to be president if Mugabe agrees to
die.
Using wry humour to depict the oppressive nature of dictatorship is
nothing
new -- witness George Orwell's Animal Farm, which, arguably, is the
most
thorough (and effective) indictment of totalitarian horror ever
done.
Satirical decks of playing cards have been mysteriously circulating
throughout Robert Mugabe's Zimbabwe that lampoon and mock the corrupt
government.
zimbabwejournalists.com
8th Oct 2007 01:14 GMT
By MDC-UK
We have taken the unprecedented but
necessary step of writing this email to
dissociate ourselves from the
petition that we are alleged to have written
calling for the ouster of the
elected MDC-UK & Ireland External Assembly
Chairman and Secretary,
Messrs Ephraim Tapa and Julius Mutyambizi and their
subsequent replacement
by Mr Rodwell Mupungu and Ms Virginiah Ncube
currently the Deputy Chairman
and secretary respectively.
Ms Ncube has since issued a statement
refuting that that she is part of this
group of five former Executive
members with the support of some few branch
chairs including the four who
were suspended for holding illegal meetings.
We continue to recognise Mr
Ephraim Tapa as the leader of the External
Assembly and wish to re-affirm
our continued confidence in his leadership.
We also note with sadness
that some members of the Executive have chosen to
break away from the Party
and have proceeded to form their own structure, A
New Beginning, A New
Province.
We believe that they will see the error of the ways and rejoin
the others to
pursue the core business of the Party, to remove the
dictatorial government
of Robert Mugabe.
We also call upon our
erstwhile colleagues to realise that the enemy is
Robert Mugabe, not Tapa or
Julius and that they should refrain from using
inflammatory language as was
the case during the Northampton fundraising
last Saturday where the
sloganeering was in very bad taste and unbecoming of
people who purport to
be revolutionaries.
We deplore the unethical practice of including our
branches as having
attended un-procedural meetings whose agenda we were not,
are not and would
never be part of as this goes against the very democratic
tenets that we are
fighting against in Zimbabwe.
We strongly condemn
the practice by a member of the Executive who has since
joined hands with
others of his ilk, to give out our residential addresses
to his cronies so
that they can pay us visits to cajole, coerce and
blackmail us into
supporting their ill conceived project.
We gave this man our addresses in
good faith and to enable him to post to us
party cards. We would have
expected that this man would have had the decency
to ask us for our consent
before giving out our details to other people who
want to advance their
perverted agenda of destroying the Party from within.
Needless to say, this
man is violating the Data Protection Act.
We condemn strongly the
tendency by some people who have since decided to go
their own separate ways
to incessantly call us wanting to find out where are
our allegiance
lie.
We further express our revulsion at their practice of hyping up
their
perceived and/or actual relationships with some National Executive
members
in Harare and their implicit threats that by not supporting their
view
points we are going against the wishes of our esteemed leaders in
Harare.
We would want to reiterate our conviction that the fate of the
MDC-UK &
Ireland leaders lie in the hands of its general membership and
not in the
hands of a few power hungry branch chairs who are unwittingly
advancing the
cause of some dark forces lurking in the shadows.
It is
now apparent, why the former Provincial Vice Chairman was going to
branches
urging them to sign the petition, as he did at a fundraising in
Peterborough. We think that such an act, proves beyond reasonable doubt that
the illegal meetings that were being convened, were being done at his behest
and that there is no basis for the removal of the Chairman and the Secretary
other than to massage his ego and thirst for power.
We want to make
it be known that all branches in the UK are equal and that
Birmingham,
Sheffield/South Yorkshire, Northampton and Reading are not more
equal than
others and can not therefore determine who becomes the UK
Chairman,
Secretary or Youth Leader. We are for equality kwete zvehushefu.
We are
saddened by reports that are appearing on the Matthew
Nyashanu/Makusha
Mugabe website about some branches being fictitious. We
would like to remind
their jaded memories that the formation of branches
prior to the elections
in September 2006 fell under the direct supervision
of Ms Emily Madamombe,
now the Deputy Chief Representative of the MDC to the
UK and Mr Jaison
Matewu.
We remember that Mr Chawora and Nyashanu participated in the
formation of
the Northampton branch and therefore find it self serving on
the part of
Nyashanu and Makusha Mugabe to suggest that the branches were
formed by Tapa
and Julius.
Are the two gentlemen suggesting that Ms
Madamombe was forming the branches
at the behest of Tapa? In the same vein,
we want it to be known that we
support the Chairman in his quest to complete
the gap filling exercise and
are at a loss as to how he can be held
responsible for vacancies occurring
in branches?
We further, note
with concern the continued lambasting and negative coverage
that is being
given to Zimbabweans who are claiming asylum in this website
owned by
supposedly senior officials of the Party.
It is quite strange that people
who are themselves beneficiaries of the
asylum process that they acquired
through their membership of the MDC-UK and
Ireland, are now denigrating
others whose cases are still to be determined.
We note with exception
their attempts to introduce segregation and
discrimination in the Party on
the basis of one's immigration status and the
inherent insinuations in their
articles that asylum issues should not be
discussed in Party meetings or
that asylum seekers should not attend
meetings.
We would urge our
members to be vigilant and continue to concentrate on the
task at hand of
removing the Mugabe regime and to be wary of being
distracted by people who
are bent on perpetuating and prolonging Mugabe's
stay in power.
Yours
sincerely
Branch Chairmen and Representatives
Manchester,
Wolverhampton, Liverpool, Huddersfield, Stoke-on-Trent,
Newcastle, Hull,
Dublin, Wakefield, Peterborough, Harlow, Central London,
Kent, Crawley,
Derby, Coventry, Leicester, South Beds, Oxford, South East
London,
Hertfordshire, Bristol, Cambridge, Banbury, Milton Keynes, Reading,
Newcastle
Mail and Guardian
Trevor Ncube
08 October 2007 11:59
While
the Zimbabwean crisis is deepening, the continued focus on
the description
of the crisis at the expense of finding solutions to it has
been unhelpful.
That the main protagonists in the crisis have dug themselves
into entrenched
positions from which they are unwilling or incapable of
extricating
themselves also is unhelpful.
In an effort to deal with
President Robert Mugabe's misrule the
West has opted for a policy of
containment and isolation aimed at delivering
regime change. The strategy
has focused mainly on sanctions, demonising
Mugabe and condemning his
misrule at every opportunity. But clearly, in the
past seven years, this has
failed to achieve the goal of regime change.
I believe it's
time for those concerned about Zimbabwe to take a
leaf from the Chinese
language, which depicts the word "crisis" with two
characters: one denotes
danger and the other opportunity. Much as the
Zimbabwe situation is replete
with dangers arising from the political and
economic meltdown, the same
meltdown is creating opportunities for change.
Sadly, while the dangers are
common cause, the opportunities remain
unexamined.
First
opportunity
Since the beginning of the year Mugabe has made it
clear he
wants to seek re-election when his presidential term expires in
March 2008.
He will be 84. He has been mobilising Zanu-PF affiliated groups
--
especially youth, women and liberation war veterans -- to endorse his
controversial candidacy.
But how is Mugabe's
determination to seek re-election an
opportunity for change? His
determination to seek re-election, it seems, is
a ploy to find what his
supporters have defined a "dignified exit" -- an
exit guaranteeing Mugabe
immunity when he leaves.
So far those opposed to him have
responded merely by condemning
him as being power hungry and clinging to
power to remain in office for
life. While Mugabe's determination to remain
in office for life, and the
brutality associated with that determination, is
central to the crisis, it
is not enough merely to make this observation
without also critically
examining the reasons behind his
determination.
After 27 years of misrule, 10 of which were
under the extended
Rhodesian state of emergency that institutionalised
brutality and
unaccountability in governance between 1980 and 1990, Mugabe
has accumulated
too many human rights skeletons in his political
cupboard.
These relate mainly, but not only, to the skeletons
arising from
four tragedies that have stood out over the years: Gukurahundi;
the violent
land seizures between 2000 and 2005; murder and disappearance of
opposition
and civic society activists since 1985; and Operation
Murambatsvina in 2005.
There is no doubt these tragedies have
left Mugabe vulnerable
and liable to prosecution on allegations of crimes
against humanity. As such
it is obvious that a driving force behind Mugabe's
determination to cling to
power is his fear of losing immunity of and from
the office. His fear has
been made more real by the experiences of former
Liberian president Charles
Taylor and former Zambian president Frederick
Chiluba, both of whom face
prosecutions related to alleged abuses when they
were in office.
Without condoning his abuses, I believe
Mugabe's fears provide
an opportunity to structure and facilitate his exit
in a creative way to
minimise, if not eliminate, resistance from him and his
supporters in the
security forces.
A possibility, an
immense opportunity for reform, would be to
persuade Mugabe to drop his
re-election bid and to accept a constitutionally
backed guarantee of
immunity. Except for extremists on the fringes of the
opposition and civil
society, few Zimbabweans are interested in pursuing
vengeance against
Mugabe, the founding president, and many would happily
forgive him in
exchange for political and economic freedom.
Second
opportunity
The second opportunity could come in less than three
months at
the Zanu-PF special congress in December.
After
sustained opposition from the ruling party faction led by
retired Major
General Solomon Mujuru, Mugabe has been renewing his
relationship with his
former minister for national security, and now
minister of rural housing and
social amenities, Emmerson Mnangagwa, who
leads a competing
faction.
Although he was humiliated and sidelined ahead of
the last
Zanu-PF congress in 2004, losing the party's vice-presidency to
Joice
Mujuru -- wife to Solomon Mujuru Mnangagwa has been re-emerging as a
power
base, this time by lending his faction's support to Mugabe's
re-election
bid. Mugabe has been encouraging Mnangagwa by indicating he is
his chosen
successor. A reason for this is the presumption that, because he
was
security minister during the Gukurahundi massacres, Mnangagwa has common
prosecution fears over allegations of crimes against humanity and would
protect Mugabe as a matter of self-interest.
Growing talk
within the Mnangagwa camp -- and from intelligence
sources --is that Mugabe
called the special congress in December to anoint
Mnangagwa publicly as his
successor. The next congress was not due until
2009.
What
remains unclear is whether Mugabe would allow Mnangagwa to
take over party
leadership in December and move on to be the Zanu-PF
presidential candidate
should elections be held in 2008 or if Mugabe would
still insist on running
for re-election with a promise that Mnangagwa would
take over a year or two
after next year's elections, should Mugabe win.
However, what
is clear is that Mnangagwa's camp prefers the
former, not least because it
does not trust Mugabe to give up power after
the elections, should he win.
The fact that the Mnangagwa camp does not
trust Mugabe means he will go to
the congress without assured political
support.
This
creates an opportunity for change through a "soft surprise"
at the special
congress, as happened in December 2006 when delegates
"surprisingly"
rejected Mugabe's bid to postpone presidential elections to
2010 hoping to
remain in office as president until then, elected by
Parliament without
facing the electorate.
This means that in December Mugabe
will be opposed manifestly by
the Mujuru faction and latently by the
Mnangagwa faction. Such a political
climate could pave the way for a dark
horse to emerge as a compromise
candidate. It is hard to say who that
candidate might be, although Simba
Makoni's name keeps coming up.
Alternatively, the same political scenario
engendered by manifest opposition
to Mugabe from the Mujuru camp and latent
opposition from the Mnangagwa
faction could cause Mugabe to accept the first
opportunity.
But the possibility of a "soft surprise"
development at the
congress would need to be socially engineered to take
advantage of the
political dynamics on the ground ahead of the congress. I
think that
progressive forces in and outside Zimbabwe could play a pivotal
role to
encourage, if not engineer, that development by working with
strategic
Zanu-PF elements. That would be far better than simply mourning
the
deteriorating situation and denouncing Mugabe for wanting to remain in
office for life.
Third opportunity
A third
opportunity might come in the form of a "hard surprise"
through a palace
coup, led by the Mujuru camp, which recently has been
making it clear to
anyone who cares to listen that it wants Mugabe out.
Earlier
this year, when the Zanu-PF central committee was
reported to have endorsed
Mugabe's re-election bid, the Mujuru camp started
calling openly for a
special congress at year-end to settle the leadership
question.
The fact that Mugabe himself called for the
special congress can
be seen as a victory for the Mujuru camp because it has
wanted this since
March.
The Mujuru camp is busy on the
ground organising the 10 Zanu-PF
provinces and asking them to identify
individuals they think could be
presidential candidates to replace
Mugabe.
The plan appears to be to use the special congress to
achieve
two objectives:
a.. To challenge and
even humiliate Mugabe by making it clear
he is not the sole Zanu-PF
presidential candidate as several provinces would
come up with competing
names; and
b.. To force a nomination election by secret
or even open
ballot, which the Mujuru camp believes would be won either by
Mujuru or
Makoni.
c.. Strategists in Mujuru's camp
believe that, should it
become clear that such a nomination election is
imminent, Mugabe would not
want to be part of it because the writing would
then be on the wall about
his assured defeat.
Fourth opportunity
The above three opportunities are available to
and dependent on
the ruling party. However, the Zimbabwean crisis is
national in scope and
options to its resolution are not limited to
developments within the ruling
part.
Zanu-PF's continued
failure to resolve the crisis creates an
opportunity for the opposition.
Unfortunately, it has not been able to
exploit that opportunity because of a
range of structural and leadership
weaknesses.
The
Movement for Democratic Change (MDC), paralysed by the
suffocating and
uneven political playing field, has abandoned its strategy
of mass actions
and decided to engage in negotiations with its nemesis. For
now negotiations
appear to be the only tool for political self-preservation
for the divided
MDC. Confrontation as a strategy to dislodge the Zanu-PF
government simply
has not worked, largely because of repressive legislation
and a politically
immature leadership. In fact, now more than ever, I am
convinced an MDC
government would be a disaster for Zimbabwe.
What is notable
is that the opportunities available within
Zanu-PF are potent material for a
new, progressive opposition with
nationalist and democratic roots. I believe
progressive forces in Zimbabwe
have a historic opportunity to forge a third
way to bring together elements
from the ruling party, the two MDC
formations, other opposition groups,
civic society organisations, churches,
labour unions, student movements and
the business community to form a
broad-based party to dislodge Zanu-PF.
Mugabe and Zanu-PF
continue to define the opposition as the MDC.
A major -- if not the only --
reason Mugabe is so determined to stand for
re-election against all odds is
that he believes he cannot lose to the MDC.
He has not
factored in the possibility of facing a united front
of progressive forces
against which he and Zanu-PF cannot win. Based on the
unfolding developments
in Zimbabwe, a united front could emerge overnight
and take off like an
unstoppable train.
The major barriers to the actualisation of
a united front
include:
a.. The challenge of
identifying a unifying candidate with
leadership gravitas and mass appeal
across the political divide;
b.. Continued support of
factions within the MDC by sections
of the international community that
appear to be committed to particular
individual leaders in the opposition;
and
c.. Sweeping, indiscriminate and counterproductive
application
of sanctions against Zanu-PF politburo and central committee
members, as
well as parliamentarians.
Another
opportunity depends on Mugabe's willingness to take
charge of the transition
process and manage it to ensure there is no anarchy
post his rule. This
would require putting national interests ahead of
everything else and
managing the succession issue in a way that allows a
capable and visionary
person to serve Zimbabwe as soon as he steps down.
This could
necessitate a constitutional amendment to allow him
to move to a ceremonial
role and appoint a prime minister to run the
government on a day-to-day
basis. This would also protect him from
prosecution for human rights abuses
and it could be accommodated within the
dialogue taking place between
Zanu-PF and MDC.
To ensure the best skills are in place to
help turn around the
economy and build a new society, the prime minister
would not have to be an
active member of any party and he or she should have
access to skills
outside the two main political parties to serve in his
government. Names
that come to mind are Strive Masiyiwa, Gideon Gono,
Nkosana Moyo and Makoni.
Sanctions unwise
The
Zimbabwean government has maintained that targeted sanctions
imposed by some
Western countries since Mugabe's disputed victory in the
2002 presidential
elections are illegal because they do not have the
authority of the United
Nations.
While it is true the UN has not sanctioned the
sanctions, that
alone does not mean they are illegal. The countries that
have imposed the
sanctions have done so in accordance with their relevant
laws and there is
no international law, statute, convention or practice that
has been violated
by the sanctions.
Therefore the
illegality or legality of sanctions is a
non-issue.
I
believe the sanctions are not wise and have not achieved any
meaningful
objective given the crisis. They are not wise mainly because they
have led
to the diminishing capacity of the countries implementing them to
influence
events in Zimbabwe towards the much-needed resolution of the
crisis. Western
countries that have imposed declared or undeclared sanctions
on Zimbabwe
have done so less to deal with the deteriorating situation and
more to
appease political constituencies at home.
Almost all
countries that imposed sanctions have experienced a
dramatic erosion of
their diplomatic influence in and on Zimbabwe since
2002. Within the country
diplomats of these countries have lost access to
ruling party and government
officials, who have boycotted diplomatic
contact. Outside Zimbabwe the
countries that imposed sanctions are seen as
having vested interests and
therefore are not impartial when it comes to
resolving the
crisis.
At worst, many on the African continent regard the
sanctions as
a white racist response to land reform in Zimbabwe. These
considerations
demonstrate that the sanctions are not wise and have been
counterproductive.
Despite denials by the countries that have
imposed them, the
sanctions have affected ordinary people more than those
they were meant to
target. For example, the United States Zimbabwe Democracy
Recovery Act
specifically bars US representatives to the World Bank, the
International
Monetary Fund, the Africa Development Bank and other
multilateral
institutions from supporting any loan, grant or concession to
Zimbabwe.
This has exacerbated Zimbabwe's sovereign risk
status and
negatively affected a range of bilateral lending to Zimbabwe,
including from
the private sector. Zimbabwe has gone without balance of
payment support for
years. The consequence is felt by ordinary people across
the economy.
As a result Mugabe and Zanu-PF routinely present
the sanctions
as the root cause of the biting economic meltdown when, in
fact, the ruling
party's policies are largely to blame for the implosion and
political
paralysis. Opposition and civic society groups have found this
propaganda
difficult, if not impossible, to rebut.
Outside bodies such as the Southern African Development
Community and the
African Union have found it difficult to criticise Mugabe
and the
government's policies openly or publicly, because they fear being
seen as
supporting the Western sanctions that are undeniably affecting
ordinary
people or as puppets of the West.
The effect of these
sanctions has been to draw progressive
Zanu-PF politicians and officials
closer to Mugabe and away from reform
politics.
Role for
Western governments
An impression has been created that the only
desirable or
available options for the West involve taking tough action
against Mugabe
and his cronies through targeted
sanctions.
This strategy appears to be about isolating Mugabe
and his
regime from the international community. But, as the experiences of
Libya,
North Korea and Iran show, isolationist policies have limited, if
any,
success. Ultimately the best way to deal with rogue regimes is to
confront
them through diplomatic engagement. There is a world of difference
between
engagement and support.
I believe the best the
West can do now is to re-engage the
Zimbabwean government. While the content
of the diplomatic engagement I
propose would vary from country to country, a
leaf can be taken from the
much-maligned, so-called quiet diplomacy pursued
by South Africa.
I don't think there is any discerning
observer who can argue
that South Africa supports the policies of Mugabe and
his Zanu-PF government
uncritically. Far from it.
In 1979
when the UK abandoned its aloofness and decided to
engage the frontline
states, the liberation movement and the Rhodesian
government, the result was
the Lancaster agreement. This crisis calls for a
similar spirit of
engagement.
Unknown factors
Failure to
influence events towards the achievement of one of
the opportunities
mentioned means that we are resigned to fate.
I have two
recurring nightmares in this regard: a spontaneous
uprising by the
long-suffering Zimbabwean public or anarchy following the
sudden death of
Mugabe while in office.
The first relates to the fact that
Zimbabwe is fertile now for a
revolution. Life is unbearable in Zimbabwe. I
have no doubt the groundswell
of anger could burst into open revolt for the
smallest reason. This could
result in unimaginable
consequences.
The danger is that once it starts a spontaneous
uprising would
be difficult to contain. There is no knowing what the
underpaid and
disgruntled police and military would do in such
circumstances.
The second relates to Mugabe's health and age.
In the absence of
a managed transition I have nightmares about what the
effect of Mugabe's
sudden death in office, without a clear successor in
place, would be. While
this might sound alarmist, it is a possibility.
Mugabe is not a spring
chicken and intelligence sources indicate he is not
well.
The two factions within Zanu-PF would go for each other
hammer
and tongs, following Mugabe's sudden death, with a high possibility
of a
shooting war. The factionalism within Zanu-PF has reproduced itself in
the
police, army and the national intelligence. Factionalism is dangerous
and
emphasises the urgency for bold political leadership internally and for
the
international community to help bring about a peaceful
transition.
Conclusion
Zimbabwe is pregnant
with opportunities for change. For these to
be realised, politicians in
Zimbabwe and the West need to jettison their
entrenched positions. There is
a need to recognise that leadership is about
courage, boldness and taking
calculated risks to achieve a breakthrough.
Instead of
megaphone diplomacy and a fixation on Mugabe, the
international community
should work with Zanu-PF moderates and all
progressive forces to influence
change that is rooted in the historical
imperatives of the country's
liberation struggle.