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by Godfrey Marawanyika Sun Aug 26, 12:50 AM ET
HARARE (AFP) -
A drop in the monthly inflation rate may have been greeted
with sighs of
relief by the Zimbabwean government, but analysts and
consumers have seen
little evidence that the economy has turned a corner.
After suppressing
inflation data since May, the central statistics office
announced last week
that while the annual rate had hit a new high of 7,634.8
percent,
month-on-month inflation in July was 31.6 percent, a fall of 54.6
percentage
points on the June rate.
Finance Minister Samuel Mumbengegwi said the figure
vindicated the
government's imposition of price cuts in late June which
effectively forced
businesses and retailers to halve their
tariffs.
But with shelves bare of everyday commodities such as cooking
oil and sugar,
most Zimbabweans find themselves paying well above the
official rate on the
black market where the decline in the official
inflation rate is irrelevant.
"The ordinary consumer is paying more than
the actual price. This is the
real inflation, not the inflation they show on
graphs," said Daniel Ndlela,
an economist with Zimconsult.
"The said
deceleration is only good for those who want to believe their own
lies."
Ndlela said there was evidence of crisis everywhere, citing an
example of
people who were lined up at a hardware store to buy cement at the
government
price of 150,000 dollars (0.75 US dollars) per 50
kilogrammes.
"The queue resembled a desperate situation of people trying
to enter Rufaro
(in Harare) stadium to watch a popular soccer match," he
said.
The prospective buyers were not "building homes or anything, but
they will
just re-sell the same bag at 1.5 million around the corner. That
is real
inflation, not what we hear."
Lucky Mapfumo, a 23-year-old
University of Zimbabwe medical student, said a
slowdown of the inflation
juggernaut meant little if there was nothing to
buy.
"I have plenty
of money on me, but I can not buy anything because there is
nothing in the
shops," said Mapfumo.
"We heard the government reduced prices, but I
don't remember the last time
I had bread and now we hear that inflation is
slowing down."
Conscious of the widespread shortages, the government
announced on Wednesday
the prices of some goods such as cooking oil and
sugar could be increased
but most shops in the capital Harare remained
bereft of such items.
While the price crackdown was initially welcomed as
it enabled Zimbabweans
to stock up on goods which had been out of their
price range, the subsequent
shortages as a result of manufacturers being
unable to cover their costs has
stoked resentment towards the
government.
Witness Chinyama, a Harare-based independent economist said
the suppressed
inflation and price cuts were never going to
work.
"The way forward for government is to now try and stabilise the
macroeconomic environment," he told AFP.
"What was announced is
simply suppressed inflation, which is not helpful
because they are
suppressing the symptoms and not the underlying causes."
Tapiwa
Mashakada, secretary for economic affairs for the opposition Movement
for
Democratic Change, forecast the slowdown of inflation was
temporary.
"People have become professionals queueing for basic
commodities and there
is untold suffering as result of government actions,"
Mashakada said.
Deputy industry minister Phineas Chihota said although
inflation was
decelerating, more still needed to be done.
"As
government, we have a distressed funding scheme for companies which we
avail
funds to firms at very low interest," he told AFP.
"By availing funds
cheaply, this will result in goods being available in the
shops and this
will benefit the ordinary men in the street."
Zimbabwe was previously
regarded as a regional bread basket but the economy
first ran into trouble
in 2000 when President Robert Mugabe ordered the
seizure of white-owned
farms which had been a major source of revenue.
The situation has
worsened in the intervening years to such an extent that
more than three
million Zimbabweans have fled the country and four out of
five people are
now unemployed.
Mugabe, in power since independence in 1980, has blamed
the former British
colony's economic woes on targeted sanctions imposed by
the West over
allegations he rigged his re-election in 2002.
BBC
Saturday, 25 August 2007, 11:06 GMT 12:06
UK
Despite an economy in
turmoil, four-figure inflation and the exodus of
millions to neighbouring
countries, Zimbabwe's president can rely on the
support of his African
peers. Peter Biles spoke to one of them in a bid to
discover Robert Mugabe's
secret.
The photographers and cameramen had been waiting patiently
outside the
Mulungushi conference centre in Lusaka.
Southern
African leaders were arriving thick and fast but the man
everyone was
waiting to see was Mr Mugabe.
He may be a pariah in the capital
cities of the European Union but
here in the heart of southern Africa he
knows he can count on a fair degree
of undying loyalty.
When
the Mugabe motorcade eventually swept in there was a noticeable
tightening
of security.
A small pick-up truck bore three heavily armed
soldiers in the back,
and bodyguards surrounded the black limousine as the
83-year-old president
emerged.
He smiled and stepped forward
with his wife, Grace, to meet his
Zambian hosts.
There was
certainly no hint that this was a head of state under
intense domestic
pressure.
Liberation generation
Zambia is a place that
all the southern African leaders know pretty
well.
On this
occasion, they had come for a routine summit but, for some,
Lusaka is like a
home from home.
President Thabo Mbeki of South Africa lived here
for years when he was
an exiled member of the ANC.
Zambia has
always offered a hand of friendship to refugees, especially
during the days
of the liberation struggle in South Africa and what was
Rhodesia, now
Zimbabwe.
Robert Mugabe spent his time in Mozambique during the
bush war but a
warm welcome is still assured when he meets his fellow
leaders.
He is the longest-serving head of state in the region -
bar one - and
he clearly relishes his position as one of the elder
statesmen.
You have to appreciate the bonds of loyalty that defined
the struggle
for independence in post-colonial Africa to understand why it
is that Robert
Mugabe is still treated with so much respect, even when his
country is
collapsing around him and he is largely to blame.
African tradition dictates that he should not be criticised in public
whatever private thoughts his peers might harbour.
Kenneth and
Robert
In Lusaka, I ran across Kenneth Kaunda - independent
Zambia's first
president. We first met 20 years ago when he occupied State
House. Having
been the nation's founding father, he had led the country
since 1964.
Not unlike Zimbabwe, Zambia's post-colonial era was
characterised by
optimism to begin with, but then came economic
mismanagement, social unrest,
and the emergence of political
opposition.
But Kenneth Kaunda did something unusual. He fought an
election in
1991, lost and stepped aside gracefully after 27 years in
power.
That is exactly how long Robert Mugabe has been
around.
Mr Kaunda was never the greatest leader but he was - and
still is - a
well-meaning man with real charisma.
As we sat
talking the other afternoon, there seemed to be no better
person to shed
light on Robert Mugabe. Kenneth Kaunda is near enough the
same age, just two
months younger. They were both born in 1924.
These days, KK - as he
has always been known - enjoys his retirement
with dignity and seems to
command genuine respect.
As we chatted a stream of passers-by -
most of them young enough to be
his grandchildren - lined up to greet him
and shake his hand.
I tried to picture Robert Mugabe in a similar
situation but, to my
mind, he and Kenneth Kaunda were poles apart - the
despot clinging to power
and the happily retired politician, once renowned
for his national ideology
of humanism.
An improved
spirit?
So I asked Dr Kaunda if he could help explain Robert
Mugabe's
popularity in the region.
"I'm glad you noticed
it," he replied.
He was referring to the huge round of applause for
President Mugabe
during the opening session of the leaders'
summit.
"People see him as a hero," he said.
"Not just
in Zimbabwe or here in Zambia but across the whole of
southern
Africa."
And Kenneth Kaunda speaks for many in the region in
blaming not Mugabe
for Zimbabwe's troubles but successive British
governments.
"It's no good demonising Robert Mugabe," he
says.
"We should all put our heads together, talk to him, and work
with him
on a solution."
But that is not to say that even those
closest to the Zimbabwean
president want him to seek another term in office
in his 84th year. Because
by all accounts they do not.
My last
glimpse of President Mugabe during his brief visit to Lusaka
was on a
wind-swept parade ground at the city's military airport.
He and the
other southern African leaders had come to inaugurate a
regional brigade - a
key component in a new African standby peacekeeping
force.
As
the presidents stood shoulder to shoulder they released a bunch of
green,
blue, and white balloons.
It was a symbol of what this region
aspires to - an improved spirit of
togetherness and closer integration
designed to stimulate economic growth
and development.
But
because of Zimbabwe, southern Africa is facing its most serious
crisis in
years. And love him or loath him, it is Robert Mugabe who holds
centre
stage.
By Allan
Savory
Introduction
Zimbabwe is in trouble having
repeated the pattern of other
post-independence African states. But
consider this: The great castles of
Britain were built only after the end
of Roman colonization, when English
war lords battled for supremacy, and
kings murdered brothers, wives and
others over the centuries to achieve the
same end. Only painfully and slowly
did the British people bridge the gap
between tyrannical leaders and
democratic ones to enjoy the democratic
freedoms they and millions of
immigrants from former colonies enjoy today.
In Africa we are trying to
bridge this gap in a few decades, and at a time
when flaws in Western
democracies are leading increasingly to environmental
degradation that few
would associate with their political systems. And yet
they are closely
linked.
Until all people feel free, secure
and well governed none are. Poor land
leads inevitably to poor people,
poverty, violence, political instability
and genocide. These two beliefs
have dominated my adult life as a
fourth-generation African scientist born
in Zimbabwe. Such beliefs led me
into political life briefly and then into
exile. While the connection
between the health of the land and political,
social and economic stability
was for years denied by most nations, it is
now increasingly acknowledged.
For Africa it is important to acknowledge
that the health, stability and
productivity of our land is as fundamental to
stable government as is social
justice.
As a former political
ally of Mugabe, Nkomo, Tongogara, Zvobo, Edson
Sithole, Dabengwa, Chinamano
and many other leading Zimbabweans of all
colours and tribes in our struggle
for democracy and independence, I know
our dreams have gone astray. I also
know that when we worked together in
Switzerland toward the final stages of
our long war we were simply
Zimbabweans regardless of colour or tribe with a
common aim of gaining our
independence as a proud and democratic nation. We
have run our ship onto the
rocks for many reasons, some of the major ones
beyond our control as I
explain in this paper. Now once more we have a
common aim in working
together to get our ship of state off the rocks,
upright and proudly afloat.
We are not a nation of beggars and we can
provide leadership for Africa and
beyond.
Although rich in
resources, many African nations are so financially run down
and dependent on
foreign aid that they are hardly independent. While the
political leaders
and parties that led their nations to independence have
generally been
blamed I believe that blame is misplaced. When a similar fate
has befallen
most fledgling African democracies, and when changing the party
in power
has, at best, resulted in marginal improvement in people's lives
with
continued dependence on foreign aid, it suggests there might be a
deeper
cause for democracy's dismal performance in Africa. The fact that so
many
countries have experienced the same problems, and that even the
economic
powerhouse of South Africa is heading down Zimbabwe's path,
suggests there
might be something wrong with the democratic system inherited
by African
nations. Blaming individuals or parties in power, rather than
looking at the
deeper causes is neither constructive nor likely to lead to
good
governance.
The views I express have been gestating over fifty
years and especially in
the last thirty years following my service in
Parliament. I am apolitical
and entered Parliament in desperation to fight
racism,
environmentally-destructive policies, and to try to end an insane
war. To
the opposition party that I subsequently led, I consistently
stressed that I
was only a wartime leader and would withdraw from politics
as soon as we
could end the war and gain our independence. The reason for my
refusal,
despite requests, to continue in politics was simply that I knew
that
ensuring good governance was beyond my capacity or understanding. It
has
taken the last thirty years for me to understand what prevents good
governance in any nation and thus what could be done to achieve
it.
In this paper, I outline new scientific insights that explain
why it has
proven so difficult for any government of any form to provide
good
governance. And I explain the shortcomings of Zimbabwe's inherited
political
belief system as well as the parliamentary and civil service
structures that
flow from it. These shortcomings made the troubles
experienced in Africa's
fledgling democracies inevitable - no matter who was
leading them. Zimbabwe
cannot extricate itself from its troubles, no matter
how well intentioned
its present or future political leaders might be,
unless Zimbabweans think
afresh.
I sincerely believe that the
suggestions I offer have the potential, in
Zimbabwe's case, to quickly
produce governance superior to that of older
democracies, and from which
they might learn. These suggestions could lead
to a Zimbabwean internal
solution in which there are mostly winners and few
losers and that can be
embraced by most of my countrymen and women. While
focusing on my own
country I am aware that other nations, such as South
Africa and Namibia,
which are moving down the same path as Zimbabwe, could
also produce similar
results.
The ideas I express are not intended to offend any
individuals in any
political party but are offered in the hope of
encouraging open and fresh
discussion to help lead us to a better future and
to do so quickly.
While concerned with Africa, and in particular
Zimbabwe, I draw parallels
with the U.S. and other nations for the lessons
we can learn. What is it
that prevents even the best of well meaning
politicians from providing
consistently good governance in any nation and
not just my own?
The level of environmental destruction evidenced
in world wide
desertification and now global climate change, combined with
rising
populations and aspirations will demand a greater need for good
governance
than any time in history. I hope the ideas put forward here will
encourage
discussion and fresh thinking in countries other than Zimbabwe and
among
people other than politicians. Just as the finest candle makers could
never
have thought of, or developed, electric lighting, so too politicians
are
unlikely to see the solutions that ordinary people see with
clarity.
Section I. Key Scientific Insights
Had
I, as founder and leader of a political party, not been forced to
develop
policies in articulating a party platform, I never would have
understood
that the single greatest role of government is the formulation of
policies.
While these policies impact all areas of our lives
- citizenship, taxation,
education, etc. - it is environmental policies that
impact us most
profoundly in the long term. Environmental policies directly
affect the
quality of life people experience, which in turn influences
whether they
live in peace or ultimately chaos and
genocide.
Many policies lead to various kinds of development
projects. Both policies
and projects deal with addressing a problem in some
manner and both need to
be sound.
I-A. Government policies
and projects fail to deal simultaneously with
social, environmental and
economic concerns
Governments form policies for one
of two reasons - either to
address a problem or to prevent a foreseeable
problem. To successfully
achieve its objective, any policy (or project)
needs to not only address the
cause of the problem but also to address its
social, environmental and
economic aspects
simultaneously.
The massive rise in populations and degradation
of land underlies most of
the poverty and increasing violence being
experienced in Africa. Land
degradation (desertification) inevitably leads
to increased frequency and
severity of floods and droughts, with no change
in the weather. And
desertification leads to poverty, social breakdown,
violence, political
instability, and genocide. In fact, desertification
leads to most of the
symptoms African governments, and development agencies
assisting them,
grapple with, and from which millions of people suffer and
die.
I-B. Learning what caused desertification led to
understanding why
government policies cannot deal with
complexity as needed.
My life's work as a scientist
has been devoted to unraveling the
mystery of desertification. This process
of land degradation, beginning
thousands of years ago, has defied our
efforts to reverse it and has
destroyed many societies and civilizations.
What I discovered is that,
contrary to mainstream views, desertification is
not caused by the many
things often blamed, such as overpopulation,
overstocking and overgrazing,
communal tenure of land and so on. The fact
that entire states in the U.S.,
with low populations, no overstocking, and
with privately owned land, are
desertifying as badly as any parts of Africa,
led me to the realization that
we needed to look elsewhere. I believe I
found that underlying cause in the
way people through the ages have made
decisions about the land that supports
them. Although humans make millions
of decisions in many ways, if stripped
to the core, like peeling the layers
off an onion, underlying even the most
sophisticated decision making lies a
basic framework. Discovering the
existence of this framework led me to
understand that all governments,
development agencies and NGO's use exactly
this same framework when
formulating policies and projects. For simplicity,
I call this the
universal framework.
I-C. Universal
framework used by all governments to formulate
policies
Although there are today in business and
academic institutions
many sophisticated decision making processes, all
these processes have the
same universal framework underlying
them.
Conscious, as opposed to instinctive, decisions, that deal
with any problem
in policy formation are made toward the achievement of an
objective. The
only tools with which to manage the environment at large
considered in any
government's (or development agency's) policies or
projects fall under the
categories of technology, fire or rest. (of the
environment). And all
actions to achieve the objective are based on one or
more of many factors,
such as past experience, expert opinion, research
results, public opinion,
cost, compromise, expediency, cultural beliefs,
intuition, peer pressure,
fear, propaganda, cost, cash flow, profitability,
and so on.
There is no exception to the use of this simple
framework in conscious
decision making; it's what a simple pastoralist
family uses every day, and
it's what the most sophisticated scientific team
also uses to address
desertification, global climate change or space
exploration. All governments
unwittingly use this framework when formulating
resource management
policies, and other policies as
well.
I-D. Areas where the universal framework is
successful.
The universal framework has proven successful in the
development of
technology-from Stone Age implements to the sophisticated
machinery used for
space travel. The staggering success of technology is
overwhelming in
improving people's lives through commercial industrial food
production,
health services, transport, many labour saving devices, and
entertaining
distractions like television.
While our
technological successes are generally improving the lives of
wealthy people
this is not true for most people. Our remarkable
technological successes are
only successful in reality as long as we ignore
their longer term effects on
our environment and society. These effects are
becoming increasingly serious
and threaten the future well-being of all
nations.
In systems
science all the areas of success with technology are described as
hard
systems. Briefly, this means they are designed by humans (a watch,
cell
phone or a computer are good examples) and they possess these
features:
· They are complicated
· They do not work
if parts are missing
· They possess emergent properties (meaning
all the parts put
together can do some planned thing like enable you to
tell the time or
phone someone)
· They do not exhibit
unplanned emergent properties (they only do
what they are designed to
do)
· When problems arise, they are relatively easy to
solve.
I-E. Areas where the universal framework is less
successful.
To better grasp the areas of our lives
where the universal
framework is less successful we need to look again to
systems science, which
also recognizes soft systems (e.g., human
organizations) and natural systems
(e.g., plants, animals, soils our
environment). Soft systems are designed
by humans. Natural systems are
not. Apart from this one difference soft and
natural systems have the same
features:
· They can be complicated, but are always complex, in
that they have
emergent properties but also unplanned or unexpected
properties (e.g.,
an organization will do what it was planned to do
but will also do
unplanned or expected things).
· They are
self-renewing
· They work with missing parts
· When
problems arise, they are exceedingly difficult to solve.
It is in
those areas of our lives that involve the complexity of soft and
natural
systems that, using as all do, the universal framework we are
running into
ever escalating problems and conflicts world wide. Many are
the apparent
minor successes, but if looked at on the large scale and with
honesty we are
losing ground as populations rise and desertification and
global climate
change accelerate. When whole nations, including the U.S.,
are exporting
more eroding soil than all grain, meat, timber, commercial and
military
products, they are degrading rapidly. The recent estimate of 4 tons
of
eroding soil annually going down the world's rivers for every human alive
tells us about the global scale of the problem of unsound resource
management.
This digression into systems science, brief as it
was, is essential to
understanding the unplanned/unexpected emergent
properties of civil service
bureaucracies inherited by Zimbabwe and other
African countries that render
good governance impossible, as I explain in
Section III.
I-F. Why current resource management policies are
unsound.
For brevity, I mention only the two main flaws in the
universal framework
that generally lead to unsound policies and projects
that attempt to address
societal or natural resource
problems.
1.. Shortcomings of objectives and goals. Objectives
and goals (and
through them the attainment of missions and visions) do not,
and generally
cannot, address the social, environmental and economic aspects
of a
situation simultaneously and both short and long term. While very
often the
objectives and goals of policies or projects are achieved, due to
this
inability to cater for complex systems we often encounter unexpected
consequences and the need for ever escalating fixes of fixes. Whole books
have been written on this problem, which I need not belabour.
2.. No tool with which to reverse desertification over most of the world.
When looking at the three "tools" available to humans to manage our
environment at large we note there are two (fire and rest) that promote
desertification over the two thirds of the world's land surface subject to
seasonal and or erratic rainfall. And we note there is no tool that can
reverse desertification (even technology, on the scale required). Thus, it
would have been a miracle if land had not been degrading over much of the
world and deserts advancing throughout history. The general belief is that
there are thousands of "tools" available to scientists and governments to
deal with environmental problems. In reality, train in any profession in
any university in the world and unwittingly you will only be trained to use
technology, fire or rest (of land) to deal with our environment at large.
Consequently, most actions and policies involve the use of technology or
fire (a major contributor to global climate change).
Thus for
scientific reasons it is now understandable why no government, or
development agency for that matter, has to date been able to produce what I
would call holistically sound policies that are simultaneously economically,
socially and environmentally sound short and long term.
Note:
There are minor cases in perennially humid environments where it is
theoretically possible for governments to create holistically sound
policies but in practice it is rare.
I-G. Holistic decision
making framework.
My quest to understand the
desertification occurring in Zimbabwe
beginning in the 1950's led me to
develop a number of ideas that I was able
to test in practice with land
managers on four continents. That quest also
caused me to look at the work
of other scientists in Zimbabwe, South Africa,
France and the U.S. mainly,
and to gradually develop a slightly improved
decision making framework.
That new framework is described in Holistic
Management: A New Framework for
Decision Making, Second Edition (Island
Press) 1999.
Briefly,
the holistic framework enhances the universal one with three main
additions:
· A holisticgoal that ties what people value most
deeply in life to
their life-supporting environment.
· The
addition of two tools that make reversal of desertification
possible in the
world's seasonal rainfall environments - grazing and animal
impact from
large herbivores such as livestock.
· A set of filtering questions
that ensure all decisions, policies,
projects or actions are leading toward
the future people desire.
Like all new innovations, Holistic
Management has not been accepted or
adopted rapidly, but today the book
referenced above is in use in more than
20 universities, and land managers
are beginning to reverse desertification
on over 30 million acres in the
U.S., Africa, Mexico, Australia, Canada,
New Zealand and
elsewhere.
I-H. The holisticgoal
The
holistic framework, which is essential to sound policy and
project
development, requires a holisticgoal to serve as a constant toward
which to
test objectives, and the actions to achieve them. While objectives,
goals,
and through their achievement, missions and visions are essential and
desirable they have the flaws mentioned earlier: Objectives do not enable
governments to address the complexity inherent in either society, our
environment or any economy; and, differing objectives and goals, without
reference to a holisticgoal, are one of the main catalysts for conflict at
many levels of society and between societies. It is difficult for people
with different objectives not to come into conflict at some level at some
stage. The holisticgoal provides a constant reference point for all
objectives. It lays out how people want their lives to be, based upon what
they value most in life, tied to their life supporting environment. It works
somewhat like magnetic north, guiding your life so that no matter what
twists and deviations you have to make you remain generally on course to
your desired destination.
The holistic framework can be used
in any situation, from a single person
his/her life, to a household,
business or nation - just as the universal
framework is used in any
situation. While the holisticgoal is generally
formed by the decision makers
involved in management, at the national or
international level this is not
practical. A generic holisticgoal is used
in these cases to guide policies
or projects. A national generic
holisticgoal would reflect what 99% of the
people want and serves as the
lighthouse guiding all policy objectives to
safe harbour.
To enable me to make sure all the suggestions I
make in this appeal for
national discussion are holistically sound, I needed
to work toward a
national holisticgoal. Achieving good governance, is
afterall, an objective.
Many have tried and failed simply because an
objective alone cannot deal
with the complexity involved. The holisticgoal
that I have used is shown in
Annexure A and should be read at this point so
that readers know what
reference point guides my
suggestions.
I-I. Extent of unsound policy exposed by holistic
framework.
As mentioned, the holistic framework was
developed specifically
to understand and reverse desertification practically
and inexpensively.
Only after its development was it discovered that the
holistic framework
could be used in areas other than management. In
particular the holistic
framework could be used to analyse policies and
projects before
implementation, or to design holistically sound policies and
projects more
likely to succeed. To do such an analysis is almost impossible
using the
universal framework.
For example, in the early
1980's some 2,000 scientists and land managers
from U.S. government land
management agencies and land grant universities
were put through training in
the use of the holistic framework, and they
analyzed many of their own
policies. All those policies, without exception,
were found to be faulty
with no chance of success. One such group in
training made the unanimous
statement that "they could now recognize that
unsound resource management
was universal in the United States." Similar
training in India, Lesotho and
Zimbabwe has resulted in similar findings.
Despite the good intent of
Environmental Impact Statements required by many
authorities prior to policy
or project acceptance, no EIS, because all use
the universal framework,
could detect the policy flaws. The problem is, I
believe, universal but
could be addressed by any government very rapidly and
inexpensively through
training, as both the American and Mexican governments
are beginning to
do.
Only when governments are capable of formulating or
developing holistically
sound policies or projects will good governance
become more than simply an
ideal or idea. However, other requirements must
still be met before all
feel secure and well
governed.
Section II. The Trouble with Political
Parties
Knowing that one-party systems inevitably end in abuse of power,
dictatorship (military or otherwise) and violence, the widespread belief in
multi-party democracy is understandable, as is the desire of the Western
world to thrust such beliefs on fledgling democracies in Africa. However,
the belief that political parties themselves are essential to democratic
government blocks creative thinking and I believe prevents the achievement
of good governance. I am not the first to see the dangers of political
parties to the stability of nations. George Washington, who declined to run
for another term as President of the United States, in his Farewell Address
to his nation in September 1796 conveyed this warning about political
parties:
" Without looking forward to an extremity of
this kind, (which
nevertheless ought not to be entirely out of sight,) the
common and
continual mischiefs of the spirit of party are
sufficient to
make it the interest and duty of a wise people to
discourage and
restrain it.
It [the party
system] serves always to distract the Public
Councils, and
enfeeble the Public Administration. It agitates
the Community
with ill-founded jealousies and false alarms;
kindles the
animosity of one part against another, foments
occasionally riot and
insurrection. It opens the door to foreign influence
and
corruption, which find a facilitated access to the
government itself through
the channels of party passions. Thus
the policy and the will of
one country are subjected to the
policy and will of
another."
Although the English is of another age the message is clear.
African leaders
would be wise to heed this warning from George Washington,
who led his
nation to independence from Britain.
Based on my
participation in political parties as candidate and/or leader,
and based on
my observations of the political scene in many countries, I
have concluded
that the existence of political parties leads to poor
governance.
In many countries today people demonstrate their
disgust, frustration and
sense of hopelessness by not taking the trouble to
vote. Commonly I hear
people say "What is the point of voting, it makes no
difference."
Personally, I feel this way, too. Deprived of my vote in my
own nation, I
am eligible to vote in the U.S. but often see little point
other than to try
to minimize the damage done to Americans by voting for
their least damaging
party, in terms of the policies that party
promotes.
For reasons explained below, the party system is simply
not working,
especially in Africa, and probably never can provide good
governance in any
nation. In Section III, I outline suggestions for how a
non-party democracy
could form a government in a more genuinely democratic
manner.
II-A. Fundamental belief required for party system to
operate.
Essential to peaceful, civilized behaviour
in party politics
during elections is the need for both voters and
candidates to believe
deeply in the idea of a "loyal opposition." This
concept, which only arose
after centuries of struggle and conflict in
Europe, is an idea people in
Africa and elsewhere simply do not believe. The
belief is rather that
whichever party gets into power will enjoy the spoils,
and had better remain
in power at all cost because they will never again
enjoy such easy access to
wealth.
Commonly the party gaining
power in the first post-independence African
elections will not
democratically relinquish power. When African nationalist
parties fought for
independence under the banner of democracy with the chant
"One man, one
vote," many people like myself, supported their aspirations in
our hearts.
However, in our minds we knew that what this probably meant was
"one man,
one vote, one time." And history showed this to generally be the
case.
Once the people had enjoyed their first and only vote, which brought
the
party of choice to power, that was the end of any semblance of democracy
for
years to come.
Only after much suffering generally is the party
in power replaced with
another and the cycle continues with successive
parties doing all they can
to remain in power by denying citizens any
further democratic choice. All
political parties when seeking power will
profess to support democracy.
However, parties like people should be judged
not by their words but by
their behaviour.
This political
party behaviour should elicit no surprise where people do not
believe in a
loyal opposition. It would frankly be abnormal behaviour if
there was no
manipulation and violence to varying degrees by any incumbent
political
party.
Some democratic multi-party states, like Britain, exhibit
their cultural
belief in a loyal opposition through the behaviour of both
government and
electorate. Each contending party knows that if it does not
win it will not
be banned and its members beaten, killed or tortured. It
will form an
effective opposition and have a fair chance of winning at the
next election.
In such countries the party in power allows other parties to
stand for
election and the electorate to determine the outcome, as the
British
government did when the Communist Party sought election. Other
countries
such as the U.S. pay lip service to the concept of a loyal
opposition as
evidenced when they banned the Communist Party that emerged in
the 1950s.
In America, unlike Britain, the electorate was not allowed to
determine the
outcome. The government banned the Communist Party and engaged
in appalling
witch hunts, destroying the lives of many
citizens.
II-B. Parties put their nation first only in times of
tragedy or war
Governments based on any party system
only come close to
national unity when political parties collaborate in the
national interest
under external threat, as in war. Wartime collaboration,
however, still
falls short of what is required for good governance, and the
moment the war
is over inevitably the parties are once more locked in power
struggles to
the detriment of the nation.
II-C. Loyalty of
armed forces to party
In Africa, and elsewhere,
parties in power regularly manipulate
their nation's armed forces
encouraging, even enforcing, loyalty to party
above nation. As a soldier and
politician, I lived and fought through
Zimbabwe's long war for
independence. I and a handful of army officers
were fully aware that the
war could have been avoided had our generals
abided by the oath of
allegiance we swore on being commissioned. Our Oath of
Allegiance was to our
nation and not to a political party. On assuming
power, the Rhodesian Front
party led by Ian Smith soon replaced
non-compliant generals. The newly
appointed generals, supportive of RF
racial policies, soon aligned the armed
forces with Smith's racist political
party. Almost immediately the party
took control of media and the judiciary
and overnight any criticism of
Smith, or his party, was construed as
disloyalty to the nation. Smith did
not take long to change the
constitution, creating 50 whites-only seats and
16 black "side bench" seats,
effectively disenfranchising most Zimbabweans.
When, using commonsense, I
said publicly that Smith should talk to Nkomo and
Mugabe, Smith and a rabble
of party stalwarts called for me to be tried for
treason. The subsequent
protracted war and loss of life was inevitable as
was my eventual exile.
That the armed forces of Zimbabwe after
independence aligned themselves with
Mugabe's party rather than the nation
of Zimbabwe was in no manner unusual
in Africa. Nor was it unusual for
officers showing blind allegiance to party
above nation to be handsomely
rewarded. These practices would not occur in
any truly democratic
nation.
II-D. Predetermined party policies cannot provide good
governance
Had I not crossed the floor in Parliament and formed a
political party from
scratch once Smith had effectively destroyed all
semblance of democracy in
our country, I would never have grasped how party
platforms infuse policy
positions.
Parties seek election on
the basis of their stated platform, which expresses
the general beliefs of
the people supporting that party and generally at
least the broad outline of
policies the party will pursue if elected.
However, as explained in Section
I, predetermined policies generally do not
cater for the full complexity
inherent in any country's social,
environmental and economic complexity.
More so when party electioneering
platforms cater to short term emotional
and economic voter appeal and are
commonly reduced to emotive slogans. Thus
it is no surprise that the winning
party, representing the beliefs of its
supporters, leaves those who backed
other parties unhappy and doing their
best to oppose such policies.
When later the inevitable policy
complications and shortcomings cause anger
and frustration, citizens start
counting the days to the next election.
Should another party assume power,
the cycle repeats itself as it has over
centuries of party power
seeking.
II-E. Parties with policies based on ".. isms" fail to
provide good
governance.
Political parties world wide have as
their fundamental policy foundation
tried all manner of ".isms": capitalism,
communism, socialism, racialism,
tribalism, cronyism with corporatism
emerging currently. No party based on
any such ".ism" can provide good
governance, for the reasons outlined in
Section I, and also because there
will always be a proportion of the
electorate that does not share the
beliefs, ideology or dogma of such
parties and thus feels neither secure nor
well governed.
II-F. Parties based on personalities or religion
cannot provide good
governance.
Parties based on
personalities or religion tend to lead toward dictatorship
or tyranny ending
in violent overthrow at some stage either internally, or
through invasion
when their policies threaten neighbours of another
persuasion. It is common
for high profile leaders, or parties clinging to
power, to create conflicts,
even wars or other distractions in order to
avoid dealing with problems at
home. Although a land policy was long overdue
in Zimbabwe, the sudden
redistribution of land was undoubtedly such a
distraction tactic at a time
when unemployment, demand for jobs and other
dissatisfaction had led to the
formation of a meaningful opposition party.
Like most political party
distraction tactics this one has proven costly. I
will return to the still
much needed land policy that still does not exist.
Parties based
on religious beliefs if they cause such distractions against
others pose a
great danger to not only themselves but also to others. Any
party
representing a religious group presents a further problem in that
today's
organized religions are themselves divided and often in conflict.
For
example 1,000 branches of Christianity alone, poses a problem with any
party
based on Christianity. Whichever branch should assume power,
inevitably
other branches resist as years of Catholic-Protestant conflict in
Ireland
have demonstrated.
Generally, all organized religions present the
same problem as theoretically
even if any one faith was absolutely united
not all citizens of any nation
are of one faith. An example is Bhutan which
is striving for a democratic
system and the measurement of progress by Gross
National Happiness for most
Bhutanese, who are Buddhists, while the
Christian minority is reportedly
suppressed.
II-G. Political
parties prone to corruption.
Corruption takes many forms, one of
which is undue influence on a government
to follow policies more in the
interest of special interest groups or
corporations than of the people who
elected the party to power. How else can
one possibly explain governments
going to war to protect corporate interests
in direct conflict with the
interests of their citizens?
I often pondered why Americans who are so
kind and generous (probably the
most generous nation ever) not loved and
appreciated world wide? To answer
this question and how it is aligned to the
ease with which political parties
succumb to corruption we need to recall
George Washington's warning about
the dangers of political parties given to
his people on gaining their
independence.
Although I here use
the example of the United States, Americans do not have
a monopoly on bad
governance. International anger against Americans is not
hard to understand
if one looks at America's foreign policy under either
political party.
General Smedley Butler one of the most celebrated Marine
expeditionary
leaders on retiring from the US Army had this to say "I spent
33 years and 4
months in active military service. And during that period I
spent most of my
time as a high class muscle man for the Big Business, for
Wall Street and
the bankers. In short I was a racketeer, a gangster for
capitalism. Thus I
helped make Mexico and especially Tampico safe for
American oil interests in
1914. I helped make Haiti and Cuba a decent place
for the National City Bank
boys to collect revenues in. I helped in the
raping of half a dozen Central
American Republics for the benefit of Wall
Street. I helped purify
Nicaragua for the International Banking house of
Brown Brothers in 1902
-1912. I brought light to the Dominican Republic for
American sugar
interests in 1916. I helped make Honduras right for American
fruit companies
in 1903. In China in 1927 I helped see to it that Standard
Oil went on its
way unmolested."
Governments forming foreign policy to serve
corporate interests rather than
their citizens interests has become more,
not less, pervasive since General
Butler's time and again I stress this is
not an American monopoly.
Thus, good and friendly people in many
nations are prone to end in conflict
and war based, not on the interests or
wishes of their people but, on
corporate interests corrupting party politics
and foreign policy. Britain
had eventually to rein in the East India Company
but not until the company's
army was larger than Britain's and the company
had its own judges and was
even passing death sentences. The Boston Tea
Party, where people threw the
East India Company's tea from their ships into
the harbour, was one of the
early steps leading to the American Revolution
and independence.
The Founding Fathers of America attempted to
ensure citizen interests would
prevail in an independent people's republic.
Remember Washington's warning
about political parties "the common and
continual mischiefs of the spirit of
party are sufficient to make it the
interest and duty of a wise people to
discourage and restrain it." Ignoring
his advice, the party system was
adopted by Americans and corporate
manipulation, with willing compliance by
political parties and the American
judiciary, over the years has led to
corporate power virtually running
America, regardless of which party is in
power.
Many
corporations operate legitimately in the public interest as intended,
but as
with political power, too much wealth and power corrupts. There is a
justifiable fear today that transnational corporations, with budgets greater
than many nations and answerable to no electorate, are taking over where
colonialism left off. What's more, these corporations are assisted by the
governments of powerful nations and international agencies formed by them,
such as the World Bank, IMF and others. The threat to African nations from
this new form of colonialism is grave indeed as China and other nations
serve their own interests through African political party leaders. African
nations, just like the U.S., have not heeded George Washington's warning
about the political party system: "It opens the door to foreign influence
and corruption, which find a facilitated access to the government itself
through the channels of party passions. Thus the policy and the will of one
country are subjected to the policy and will of
another."
Much evidence suggests that political parties are so
prone to corruption in
many forms that they do little to prevent it. While
this is not always so,
it is common enough to believe that governments would
be less corrupt
without political parties.
If governments
genuinely wanted to prevent corruption, particularly at a
government level,
they could do so. A poll of citizens in the U.S., Britain,
France, Italy and
Russia would almost certainly indicate the majority are
not in favour of the
international arms trade. Despite this lack of citizen
support, the
international arms trade is one of the largest businesses in
the world,
dominated by the U.S., Britain, France, Italy and Russia and
sustaining
endless conflicts, suffering and slaughter of people and
wildlife. As I
write, the British government is embroiled in a massive high
profile scandal
over arms dealing with the Saudi royal family.
That political
parties have generally been at the forefront of corruption in
Africa should
elicit no surprise. The main difference between our African
party corruption
and that of the countries mentioned lies only in the level
of blatant
official corruption and the lack of sophistication. It is hardly
secret
that many African politicians and officials have since independence
become
obscenely wealthy while their people have been forced to emigrate or
fallen
into poverty and hopelessness. Only through good governance can such
abuse
be prevented.
II-H. Political parties focus more on staying in
power than governance.
Rather than maintaining a
long-term focus on governance,
political parties inevitably exhibit a short
term obsession with retaining
power at the next election. Good governance
demands long term planning and
continuity, which is not the forte of parties
facing elections every few
years. Neither is long term thinking the forte of
the corporations that
control or influence political parties. Afterall, CEOs
of public
corporations are legally bound to provide quarterly reports and
profits for
shareholders and are not answerable to any nation's
electorate.
II-I. Party manipulation and control of
Judiciary and the media
All too often parties in power appoint
judges sympathetic to their beliefs,
making a mockery of the idea of a truly
impartial and independent judiciary,
which is essential to good governance
and justice.
Seldom do parties obsessed with retaining power stop
at influencing the
judiciary. All too often they also manipulate the media
and commonly ban
independent media organizations. Even in nations where
politicians cannot
get away with control of the media, collusion with
corporations controlling
the media is barely disguised. I grew up during the
Second World War
believing in the independence and impartiality of the BBC,
but then
witnessed Margaret Thatcher's attempts to control the BBC during
the
Falklands War. Fortunately, British democracy was mature enough that she
did
not get away with it. The judiciary and the media are especial targets
because any party controlling or influencing them both sufficiently is
almost guaranteed success at the poles. This so because the evenness or
unevenness of the playing field at elections is not determined on election
day but over the months and years before elections where the people's
interests are only protected by these institutions.
We
Zimbabweans should have learned this lesson. So unobservant are most
people
of the daily effects of party control of media that to this day most
former
white Zimbabweans are unaware that Ian Smith never even risked facing
a
democratic election as party leader. Most people had never heard of Smith
when he assumed the leadership of a legitimately elected party through an
internal party coup. Overnight Smith was Prime Minister, but before ever
facing endorsement by the electorate as party leader, he had taken control
of the newspapers, radio, television, army and judiciary making a mockery of
democracy and fools of most whites. Both black and white Zimbabweans
opposed to racialism were left no alternative but war to remove Smith and
his party. Having trampled on any semblance of democracy, Smith never lost
a single seat in any elections as the success of his party was guaranteed by
media control long before elections. The only seat he did not control in a
50-seat Parliament was the seat for a time held by myself because,
understanding what Smith had done, I secretly penetrated his party to gain a
seat and then crossed the floor to form an opposition. So secret had my move
to be that only Pat Bashford, leader of the destroyed multi-racial Centre
Party knew of it beforehand.
In summary, I believe I have
given sufficient reason to show that the very
existence of the political
party system inherited by Zimbabwe and other
African nations precludes good
governance. Further, it is leading to
needless violence at elections and
opening our nations to corruption and the
possibility of a new and sinister
form of colonialism. Already textile
workers are idle and without jobs in
neighbouring Zambia and South Africa as
Chinese corporatism moves in
supported by the parties in power. That being
the case, let me suggest how
Zimbabwe or other countries could form a more
honestly democratic non-party
democracy in which all Zimbabweans could feel
free, secure and well
governed.
Section III. A Non-Party Democracy and Good
Governance
My observations and experience have convinced me that
political parties need
to give way to non-party democracy if people are ever
to experience good
governance. Until non-party democracy comes about good
governance will
remain an idea only and never a reality people can
enjoy.
III-A. Electing Members of
Parliament.
In a non-party democracy there would
obviously be a need to
elect Members of Parliament from amongst whom a
government would be formed.
Below I outline one way the people could elect
their representatives to
Parliament. It is only a suggestion to encourage
discussion. It is certainly
not the only way, nor likely the best way to
organize such elections.
The country would be divided into
electoral districts or constituencies much
as today but with the district
boundaries determined by the Judiciary and
not politicians. The aim would be
to prevent manipulation of the voter's
roles, constituency boundaries and
more by the political parties in power.
Any individuals could stand for
election if their application to do so was
supported by a certain number of
signatures of people resident in that
constituency (assume 2,000 for
illustrative purposes). These individuals
would appeal for the vote in
their area on the basis of their character,
reputation and record in the
community and their desire to serve their
community and nation in this
capacity. They would raise their own funds
from supporters and stand on
their merit. Any candidate for Parliament
found to be financially supported
by any corporation or special interest
group would be disqualified and never
again allowed to stand for public
office.
Given an election
in which individuals stand on their merit rather than
political party dogma
on issues or prefabricated policies, renders it hard
for the armed forces to
support anything but the state as they are
constitutionally sworn to do.
There is a world of difference between a
candidate standing for a party,
regurgitating party policy, deriving support
from a party leader who vouches
for his/her character, enjoying an expense
account covered by corporations
or party funds, and a candidate who funds
him or herself while appealing
for support on the basis of his/her ability,
reputation and standing in the
community.
The funds required to seek election by an individual
in his or her
constituency are miniscule compared with the funds required
for political
parties facing elections. This alone removes a major source of
corruption,
one form of which is special interest groups that fund political
parties to
influence elections in their favour. Having people face election
on their
merits in their own constituencies would also discourage the trend
toward
fighting elections through television advertising, which tends to
favour
appearance over substance. There is no known link between wealth and
the
wisdom, experience, balanced personalities and intelligence required to
run
for political office.
Such a non-party system of
elections in Africa removes the emotional mayhem
that results when large
masses wearing party T shirts, mouthing emotive
slogans, and supported by
the police and army, demand destruction of the
opposition and victory at any
cost. The present need for vote rigging, vote
buying, manipulation of
constituency boundaries, character assassination,
intimidation, murder and
torture disappears with the lack of any party to
support or condone such
actions. And of course such political party
behaviour severely discourages
confidence in public capital investment
resulting in later financial loss of
independence and vulnerability to the
emerging danger of the new corporate
colonialism.
A further benefit of such non-party elections is
that they do away with the
damaging delays and violence that occur when
defeated political parties
demand recounts and recourse to the courts. If
there were to be a request
from an individual for a vote recount in his or
her constituency there would
be no emotionally charged delay in forming a
government. Because the
government is not being formed from any one party
there is no need for a
majority in Parliament - the cause of so much
violence at elections.
An election of individuals of character in
this manner makes it hard for
special interest groups or corporations to
bribe, fund parties or otherwise
tamper with elections. While this is true
in principle, superpower
corporations and special interest groups are not
going to disappear
overnight. Like tobacco companies have done, and oil and
coal companies as
well as agri-chemical companies continue to do, they will
persist in their
drive for short term profit while leaving society to bear
the true
environmental, economic and social costs. Owing to the desire of
powerful
transnational corporations to control the resources of undeveloped
countries
in the new form of colonialism, we can expect continued massive
campaigns of
disinformation from such companies. Power hungry corporations,
like the
leopard that does not change its spots, will simply change tactics.
Thus,
there is a need for a living constitution to respond to changing
special
interest tactics.
III-B. Forming a
government
I use arbitrary numbers for ease and
illustration only. Assume a
state like Zimbabwe was divided into 200
constituencies based on population
distribution, with the boundaries
determined by the judiciary. At elections,
held every five years, there
would be 200 Members of Parliament elected as
representatives of the
people in their constituencies. These Members of
Parliament would then form
an "electoral college" to elect a Prime Minister
to form a government. The
members aspiring to lead and form a government
would speak to all MP's and,
after discussion, the members would vote for
the person they felt most
capable and suitable to assume the position. The
person so elected as Prime
Minister would then proceed to nominate the
people he or she selected as
cabinet ministers from amongst the remaining
199 MPs. Each of the Prime
Minister's cabinet choices are discussed and
approved by a 90% vote of all
Members of Parliament and thus a government is
formed. Requiring a high
percentage of support from MPs is suggested in
cases such as Zimbabwe
because it would make it difficult for any Prime
Minister to form a tribal
cabinet.
The remaining people's representatives in Parliament
constitute back
benchers who can be drawn upon for the many committees
required and who will
naturally participate in debates and approval or
rejection of government
policies. Unlike party selections, this serves to
prevent committees of
Parliament being selected on any pre-determined party
basis, which can lead
to conflict and result in people being selected for
reasons other than
competence.
Human nature being as it is we
can always anticipate people trying to
manipulate the process and to form
cliques of supporters both inside and
outside Parliament, but in a system
such as outlined this does not take on
the proportions or dangers inherent
in the political party system.
Term limits would be applied to
any Prime Minister, with terms only extended
with some
constitutionally-specified very high approval; for example, 80% of
sitting
Members of Parliament.
III-C. Removal of an incompetent
government
In the event that a particular government
should prove
incompetent all that would be required for its removal would be
a simple
vote of no confidence carried by the majority of Members of
Parliament. The
incompetent government would have no ability to undertake
any of the
controlling and manipulative actions that governments routinely
do today to
remain in power at any cost.
If an incompetent
government was removed there would be no need to return to
nation-wide
elections following lengthy delay. The people's representatives
in
Parliament would elect a new Prime Minister to form a new government from
amongst their ranks, avoiding high cost and damage to the nation that
changing any government results in today.
III-D. Removal of
an incompetent Member of Parliament.
With the party
system many a Member of Parliament draws a high
salary despite
non-performance and obvious disinterest in the people of
their
constituencies (other than when appealing for votes). Commonly, many
MPs
simply follow the party whip, and when not required to rubberstamp party
policy can be found in the Parliamentary bar. In a non-party democracy all
MPs would have to perform and pay attention to their constituents because
they could be removed at any time by a petition signed by a significant
number of people in the constituency (5,000 for example - high number so
that such action is not frivolous). That worthless MP would then be removed
and free, if he or she desired, to face others in a fresh election in that
constituency.
III-E. Preventing issues being decided
in secret without open debate.
A non-party democracy
as suggested removes another evil of the
party system. That is deciding on
important issues in the dark of secret
party caucus meetings with fear of
losing party position and privileges
foremost in many minds. Only when
decisions have been made in this manner,
which kills any intelligent debate,
are such matters put to the floor of
Parliament for a sham debate followed
by rubberstamping by party MPs. Having
sat through many such weekly secret
meetings after penetrating the party in
power as I did, I am very aware of
just how antagonistic and counter to
democratic principle such party
behaviour is. There is no substitute for
debate in the open light of day to
preserve people's interests and ensure
good governance.
Now
let me turn to other structural adjustments that would need to become
entrenched in a non-party democracy's constitution to address the current
failings of party states.
III-F. Independent
judiciary
The need for an independent judiciary is
widely recognized,
although often violated either subtly or brazenly by many
a political party
in power. Anyone doubting the ability of the party system
to defeat the best
of plans has only to read Gangs of America, by Ted Nace
(Berrett-Koehler,
2005), in which he outlines how, despite the best efforts
of America's
Founding Fathers to ensure the survival of a people's republic,
the will of
powerful corporations ultimately prevailed through using the
political
parties and Supreme Court appointees over time. Had the Founding
Fathers
constitutionally banned political parties instead of trying to curb
their
excesses through three arms of government, perhaps many of America's
invasions of neighbouring countries could have been
avoided.
Again, the U.S. is not alone, because human nature is
somewhat predictable.
Examples of political parties coming to power and soon
thereafter
controlling the judiciary abound in Africa. In my life I have
experienced
such behaviour twice in Zimbabwe, under two entirely different
parties, one
pre- and the other post-independence. Various mechanisms could
ensure an
independent judiciary but without parties to manipulate the
selection of
judicial representatives there is more chance of sustaining
this ideal.
Likewise, with no party to confuse loyalty between
party and state, the
armed forces could more readily be relied upon to
defend the constitution
and the independence of judiciary and
press.
III-G. Dealing with corruption in a non-party
democracy
Corruption comes in many forms from minor
bribes to low-level
officials through to major bribes paid by corporations
in the form of
kickbacks to high-level officials who can influence
government policy or
award contracts. Corruption at some level will
unfortunately be around for
years to come in any society. However, major
corruption by special interest
groups, corporations and governments that is
not reined in poses danger to
entire economies, can lead to war and causes
mass suffering that runs
counter to good governance. Argentina, once ranked
amongst the wealthiest
countries, was reduced to almost so-called third
world status by appalling
official corruption. U.S. government policies,
polluted by special interest
groups, are fueling war in the volatile Middle
East. Zimbabwe's economy will
continue to slide downward as long as Zimbabwe
remains one of the most
corrupt countries in the world. The measures that
follow could help ensure
strict controls on the most damaging official
corruption.
A non-party democracy's constitution would provide
for a permanent
Ombudsman's Office under judicial control. Such office would
provide for the
concerns of any citizen suffering unjust treatment to be
legally and
affordably addressed. This office would also be charged with
investigation
and prosecution in all cases of possible corruption with
severe mandatory
penalties. Harsh penalties would be imposed on foreign
corporations
convicted of corruption, lobbying or funding of parliamentary
candidates.
They might, for instance, automatically having their license to
operate in
the country withdrawn, and the local officials involved would
serve jail
terms. Local corporations so convicted would automatically have
their
corporate license revoked and officials jailed until all money
involved in
the corruption is recovered. Any citizen convicted of corruption
would
automatically be barred for life from holding public office and also
jailed
until all money involved is recovered, returned to rightful owners or
forfeited to the state. To deal with corruption is not difficult if
political parties benefiting from corruption are themselves rendered
constitutionally illegal in a non-party
democracy.
Unfortunately most African countries moving to a
non-party democracy would
carry with them a backlog of government and
corporate corruption, which the
new government would have to address. The
key to dealing with this backlog
lies in the fact that it always takes at
least two people to engage in any
corrupt act. Knowing that, a way to
initiate the change is to allow a six
month grace period in which either
party to any corrupt act can report to
the Ombudsman and provide details in
confidence. Following the grace period,
during which no one would be aware
of who had reported corruption,
prosecutions would follow. Those reporting
the corruption and providing
evidence would be free from prosecution,
although required to return the
money gained through their involvement. If
the other party to the corruption
did not make a report, that party would
face full penalties. In this manner
many a confession would be made, easing
investigation, prosecution, clearing
the backlog and recovery of stolen
funds. In any country where current
corruption is both official and rampant
and few businesses or families can
keep afloat without at least minor acts
of bribery, the initial reporting
requirement in the grace period would have
to be pegged at a high enough
level to avoid clogging the system with petty
acts of corruption.
Having grown up in an amazingly crime- and
corruption-free country and then
watched it become one of the most
officially corrupt nations in the world, I
do understand how devastating it
is for most citizens. In Zimbabwe,
corruption and inflation has siphoned
wealth to a few, while destroying the
wealth, including pensions, of most of
the people. I also learned that the
party system, combined with civil
service incompetence, virtually forced
corporations and entrepreneurs to
engage in corruption as the only way in
which they could get any business
done at all. Doing away with the party
system as well as providing good
governance, through the civil service
mechanisms to be described in Section
IV, would go far toward removing much
of the reason for people to engage in
corruption. An adequately paid and
professional police force loyal to the
nation and constitution rather than a
political party would also go far to
address corruption. As long as party
government persists the will to
prevent official corruption is simply
lacking as political parties and
corporations both have much to gain from
supporting one another under the
table. That's why when a new party is voted
into office the corruption is
generally sustained. I see little difference
in the prevailing corruption in
Western nations and African nations under
the party system, other than the
degree of sophistication.
III-H. Local
Government
In a non-party democracy it would be
necessary to ensure that
what applied at the national level also applied at
local government level.
In many African countries this would not only apply
to local government in
cities and towns but also to rural traditional
governments headed by Chiefs.
Currently in all African countries I am aware
of the party system, post
independence, has continued the colonial practice
of disempowering the
chiefs in favour of central government and political
party control. This
practice, combined with the natural resource policies
implemented by
governments and development agencies, is helping to destroy
the culture and
livelihoods of rural populations, encouraging further
migration to
overcrowded city slums.
While some African
chiefs struggle to sustain order and culture through
their traditional
courts, the party system and the degree of centralized
control have helped
to corrupt many chiefs as seriously as it has
politicians. Thus, chiefs
should not be immune from prosecution through the
Ombudsman's
Office.
III-I. Position of President.
Many
African countries want to include position of president, even if it is
only
ceremonial, and there is no reason why it couldn't be maintained in a
non-party democracy. However, the person holding the office would be
subject to all the laws applying to any citizen. Any such President could
be appointed jointly by Parliament, the judiciary and heads of the armed
forces for life (or until retirement) and could perform many useful
functions, making this a worthwhile position.
III-J.
Honouring political parties that gained independence.
Following a
long war to gain independence, as in the case of Zimbabwe,
Namibia or South
Africa, it is understandable that people should feel
loyalty to any party
that played a major role in winning independence. For
such a party to lose
the support of the people through the inevitable
inability to provide good
governance, and to then face losing an election,
seems to many to show a
lack of loyalty to the party.
Fortunately any country forming a
non-party democracy, and thus ending the
life of all political parties,
never need face the possibility of defeat at
the polls of the party that
gained independence. Even better is the
situation that would emerge if the
party in power itself played a major role
in drawing up a non-party
democracy constitution with other parties and
civil society organizations.
In such a situation the party that gained
independence would historically be
honoured and never subjected to defeat.
The party having served its purpose
in the eyes of the people could be
honourably retired, much like retiring a
battleship that has served well at
war after the need for it is no longer
present. I believe the greatest
service to my nation that those of my
vintage who were leaders in our long
and bitter war for independence could
perform, would be to lead a movement
ushering in a non-party democracy for
the genuine freedom, democracy and
independence for which so many
Zimbabweans gave their lives.
Assuming that we had fully
understood the requirement for good governance to
have a government capable
of dealing with social, environmental and economic
complexity in forming
policies. Assuming that a non-party democracy was to
be formed somewhat
along the lines described in this section, could we then
expect good
governance? A country in which all people feel free, secure and
well
governed. The answer in No.
There is another sector of
government that currently precludes good
governance: the civil service
created to support a government.
Section IV. The Civil
Service
Shortly after assuming power, President Mugabe made an
astute appeal in one
of his public addresses, in which he appealed to
scientists to come up with
solutions to the many problems his government
faced because as he said, the
politicians could only act on the advice of
their scientific advisors. And
when things went wrong it was the politicians
and not their advisors who
took the blame. What Mugabe did not realize is
that while this is true of
scientists, it is likewise true of the civil
service.
Section I outlined the new scientific insights that
explain why scientists,
including myself, could not advise or assist policy
makers to deal with the
complexity involved in any policy dealing with
resource management. Due to
the universal decision making framework we were
using, we could only advise
government on how to deal with the many symptoms
of desertification in
Africa - increasing droughts, floods, poverty, social
breakdown and
violence - but never with the root cause of desertification
itself.
Now let me go back to systems science to show what it
tells us about how any
civil service functions. Section I talked about soft
systems (human
organizations) being complex and self-renewing. Unplanned and
unexpected
properties also emerge that lead to problems that are extremely
difficult to
solve. Years of experience, backed by research, has taught us
much about the
unexpected emergent properties of civil service bureaucracies
that prevent
us from achieving good governance.
Most
countries today have a permanent civil service running their day-to-day
affairs. In some countries the entire civil service remains intact following
elections. In others, senior members of the civil service are automatically
replaced by the incoming party, which appoints people based on their party
loyalty, financial support, or simply nepotism, rather than
competence.
President Mugabe, on assuming power, was served by a
reasonably competent
civil service composed of both black and white
Zimbabweans, and for a while
all went well. The bulk of these civil servants
had served the previous
government with enough efficiency to have the
Zimbabwean dollar equal in
value to the US dollar after many years of world
economic sanctions.
People's memories are short but Zimbabwe was hailed as
an African success
story due to the efforts of Mugabe's government in
education and other
fields. Then his party took the step so many African
countries do, and
South Africa is doing, of "Africanizing" the civil
service. This means
appointing people to civil service positions on the
basis of race, tribe,
family and party loyalty. Good people in Zimbabwe,
commonly with no
training, experience or culture of service, took over
positions replacing,
or superseding, experienced civil servants. Lacking
competence in the civil
service the ripples soon flowed throughout the
economy leading to a loss of
investor confidence (it could take over a year
to get an answer to a
business letter) and severe job losses, followed by
the inevitable rise of
an opposition party. Not holding the belief in the
concept of a loyal
opposition all the tragedy that has followed and that I
need not outline was
almost inevitable.
While publicly we
blame individuals at the helm, this downhill progression
was inevitable
given the rapid lowering of quality and efficiency within the
civil
service. We risk repeating this cycle if political parties continue
to
reward supporters with civil service positions.
IV-A. Ensuring
efficiency and effectiveness in the Civil Service to
sustain
good governance.
The ideal of a predominantly permanent civil
service arose for good reason
and it should remain. Bureaucracies such as
the civil service were developed
in Napoleon's time to ensure efficiency.
They aimed to enhance efficiency by
engaging suitably qualified and educated
professional people to fill
positions. The intent was to end past practices
that had led to massive
blunders where people, rather than earning their
positions, inherited or
bought them.
It is the unplanned
emergent properties of human organizations (soft
systems), including
government bureaucracies, that constitute a serious
problem for all nations.
While such bureaucracies do achieve efficiency as
intended, their unplanned
emergent properties commonly lead to the downfall
of the government they are
supposed to serve, as in the case of Zimbabwe.
In Voltaire's
Bastards, John Ralston Saul, who studied bureaucracies
throughout history,
notes that no matter how qualified, brilliant or well
intended the
individuals in any bureaucracy, they will produce outcomes that
lack common
sense and humanity, and they will be watertight to new
knowledge.
· Emergent properties: lack of common
sense and humanity. It
follows that the policies developed and implemented
by the civil service
will likewise lack humanity and commonsense, and this
in turn ensures poor
governance. Inevitably the party in power, rather than
the civil service, is
blamed.
The examples of civil service
policies lacking common sense and humanity are
many. For instance, from a
civil service full of highly educated competent
caring people, immediately
after planes were flown into the Twin Towers on
September11th, the U.S
Federal Aviation Administration issued a rule that
private pilots in America
could not fly within 10 miles of any nuclear
facility. This is a reasonable
and understandable action. What lacked
commonsense was that the FAA refused,
despite requests, to tell pilots where
such facilities were because that was
secret information involving national
security. This lack of commonsense
was compounded when the pilot's
association located all sites on the
internet. Again, the U.S. civil service
is not alone. Books could be written
filled with examples from Zimbabwe and
other countries of rules and
regulations that lack both humanity and common
sense.
· Emergent properties: watertight to new
knowledge. When new
knowledge conflicts with prevailing beliefs,
bureaucracies will resist it.
Individuals within any bureaucracy
(university, government agency,
non-profit organization) can no more change
this emergent property than can
any outsider. An oft-quoted case is that of
the Royal Navy taking almost 200
years, after it was first demonstrated, to
accept that lemon juice would
prevent and even cure scurvy despite the fact
that Britain lost hundreds of
sailors to the disease every year. The
Merchant Navy, also headed by
brilliant and dedicated officers, took a
further 70 years to accept this
vital knowledge.
A more
devastating example is overgrazing by livestock. Fifty years ago a
French
researcher, published in five major languages, established that
overgrazing
was a function of timing and not animal numbers. Vital to
reversing
desertification, and the lives of thousands of people dying in
desperate
wars and genocide, this new knowledge has yet to be
institutionally accepted
by any bureaucracy (government, university, NGO or
international agency).
Thousands of individuals in such bureaucracies have
accepted that
overgrazing is not due to animal numbers, but they are
powerless to change
the resistance to new knowledge of their bureaucracies.
On the
other hand, bureaucracies, including the civil service, can be
amongst the
first to adopt new thinking when it does not conflict with
prevailing
beliefs. They're very quick to adopt the latest computers or
electronic
gadgets.
Because unplanned emergent properties are almost
impossible to foresee,
those discussed here have not been overcome by any
nation's civil service.
However, good governance requires that, while we may
not be able to solve
such problems, we should and can develop structures to
minimize them in
otherwise efficient organizations. Below I suggest
structural changes that,
if implemented, might do just that. However, before
continuing with
remedies, there are a couple of additional challenges to
address within the
civil service.
IV-B. Negative
selection process in a permanent civil service.
A
major problem is the process of negative selection as people
rise in the
service. I come from a civil service family and also spent time
serving in
both the Colonial Office in Northern Rhodesian and later the Game
Department
of Southern Rhodesian. In my father's time and mine, opinions
that dissented
from a superior's were not encouraged. Some brilliant and
very committed
people did rise to head departments, but this was the
exception rather than
the rule. Generally people who did not rock the boat
rose, while those who
did were forced out or departed in frustration.
Working with a number of
departments and agencies over subsequent years in
America, Australia, India,
Canada, Pakistan, South Africa and other
countries I have come to understand
that what I experienced in the Colonial
Office and Zimbabwe is too common to
ignore if any civil service is to serve
as it should.
IV-C.
Laws giving power to regulations obstructing good
governance.
When politicians pass new laws it is
common to empower the
appropriate Minister to have the civil service draw up
the regulations that
will guide its enforcement. While the law is rightly
debated in Parliament,
the regulations drawn up by the civil service seldom
face such public
scrutiny. With the civil service, no matter how brilliant
the individuals
within it, incapable of avoiding outcomes lacking common
sense and
humanity, it is no surprise that the plethora of regulations
issued in
Zimbabwe today have led to human suffering.
Once
more the politicians shoulder the blame for subsequent bad governance
and
not the civil service.
IV-D. Who develops policy - politicians
or civil servants?
Politicians come and go while the
civil service provides
continuity. Theoretically, politicians form policies
and the civil service
carries out those policies. In reality the politician
heading a portfolio
relies on the professionals in that department or agency
for technical
advice. Even in cases where public input or outside expertise
is sought, it
is all handled through the civil service. In this way it is
common for the
Cabinet member in charge of say education, health or
agriculture to have as
his or her principal advisor the head of the civil
service in that
department. This person has generally risen to the position
through negative
selection - offending anyone or rocking the boat, etc. And
that person
heads an advisory and implementing bureaucracy that can lag
anywhere from a
fifty to a hundred years behind new knowledge available in
that field. The
consequences to any policy developed by that Minister are
inevitable, and
the subsequent anger of the electorate is once again vented
on the
politicians and not the civil service. In multi-party states with
democratic elections this pattern results in constantly changing parties in
the belief that next time it will be better. It rarely
is.
Some years ago I ran a ten day training in Holistic
Management for the
senior civil servants in the Ministry of Agriculture of
Lesotho. Once they
understood how to analyse policy with the holistic
framework I had them work
on the soil conservation policy of Lesotho. They
concluded their policy
would increase soil erosion and thus endanger the
rivers and dams in nearby
South Africa. I then posed the question "Who was
responsible for producing
this policy?" After blaming politicians, media
and the public one woman
finally made a telling statement. She said to the
group "The politicians
come and go. Look around the room. We have all the
senior people here. We
are the government. It is we who produce such
policies for the politicians
to approve, and so we are responsible."
Because of the unplanned emergent
properties mentioned, Lesotho continues to
erode at an alarming level,
endangering South African dams and
more.
I believe we could minimize these emergent properties
through structuring
government in a manner different from that inherited at
independence, and we
must, because the role of the civil service is so
crucial to good
governance.
One way to achieve what is
required is to constitutionally entrench the
structure required to maintain
the efficient roles of the civil service,
while overcoming those aspects I
have outlined that present problems. The
structure I would suggest follows
and is guided by the national holisticgoal
for Zimbabwe in Annexure
A.
IV-E. Ministerial Advisory
Councils
Each government portfolio is headed by the
Cabinet Minister
appointed by the Prime Minister. Each Minister, on assuming
office, will
form a Ministerial Advisory Council. The Advisory Council is
chaired by the
Minister who is required to appoint no less than 3 and no
more than 5 (for
example) advisors from outside the civil service to his or
her council.
Three Council members are to be selected for their knowledge
and experience
in that field and two without specialized knowledge in that
field but with
good liberal arts education. And appointments can be made
from outside the
country if needed. As mentioned earlier, the finest candle
makers could
never have thought up or developed electric lights, hence the
need to have
at least two people with a broad and good liberal arts
education on any
technical Ministerial Advisory
Council.
Without party platforms to bias selection of people,
from whatever source,
merit alone qualifies such ministerial advisors. The
senior civil servant of
the department serving that portfolio participates
as an equal in the
council as it is his or her role to subsequently
implement any policies or
projects emanating from the ministry. In this way
the civil service is
represented in an advisory capacity but cannot block
new knowledge being
made available to the Minister, nor dominate the
Minister. The latter is
fairly common because the Minister is a lay person
and the civil servants
are generally professionals.
IV-F.
Policy and project coordination.
Because policy formulation and
project development are such an important
government role, all policies and
projects need to be holistically
coordinated by government. What does this
mean? Holistic coordination means
that policies and projects are
coordinated economically, socially and
environmentally. Such coordination
does not exist in any nation today.
Currently governments using, as all do,
the universal framework for policy
formulation coordinate policies and
projects at two levels - political
coordination in line with party dogma and
beliefs, and economic coordination
through the budgetary process. Most, if
not all, debate concerns the cost
and objective of any policy or project
while in party caucus sessions the
policy is aligned with the party's
political ideology.
The examples abound from any nation of
policies and projects achieving their
objective but causing endless
additional problems because the complexity
involved was not addressed.
American Farm Policy is a well known case
leading unintentionally to
destroying the livelihoods of thousands of
farmers not only in the U.S. but
in other countries. Zimbabwe's land policy
aimed at the objective of
redistributing land contributing greatly to the
collapse of many urban
businesses and the national economy which clearly
those designing the policy
did not intend.
Ideally any government should want not only to
know the cost, but also that
all policies and projects were simultaneously
economically, socially and
environmentally sound short and long term, and
thus likely to deal with the
complexity of intertwined social, environmental
and economic reality,
leading toward the national holisticgoal. One way
this necessary
coordination could be achieved is through forming a
coordinating council as
follows.
IV-G. National Holistic
Policy Coordinating Council.
In a non-party
democracy, policy and project coordination would
be holistically more
comprehensive through a constitutionally entrenched
system. Coordination of
all prospective government policies or projects
would be the responsibility
of a specific minister supported by
constitutionally mandated Holistic
Policy Coordinating Council formed like a
Ministerial Advisory Council but
staffed with a team of people trained in
the full functioning of the
holistic framework. This Ministry would be
responsible for analyzing any
policy or project drafts using the holistic
framework and national
holisticgoal. No budgetary debate would go forward
without a supporting
report to ensure MPs were fully aware of likely social,
environmental and
economic consequences.
Developing a Sound Policy or
Project
Because sound policies and projects are so vital to
good
governance, I'd like to give an example of project proposed for
Zimbabwe and
show how it would be analyzed conventionally and holistically.
While forming
holistically sound policy or projects is almost impossible
today, using the
holistic framework it becomes relatively simple. African,
Indian and
American government officials have been able to do so with as
little as ten
days training.
Remember the common
characteristic or both policy and projects is that they
always have an
objective designed to deal with a problem or address a
foreseeable
problem.
How the policy or project would be formulated/developed
conventionally
In Zimbabwe the second largest city, Bulawayo, is
running out of water.
Government has become aware of the problem and
officials in the civil
service tasked to respond with a policy or project
proposal. The project
that emerged has an objective, which in this instance
is to provide water to
the city. In a difficult situation such as this, it
is generally practice
for governments to engage consultants (the World Bank
commonly becomes
involved) to work with the Ministry concerned Between
consultants and
civil servants the proposal is to build a large holding dam
as the first
stage at a cost of over £500 million. Subsequently they propose
that water
be piped to the dam from the distant Zambezi River, requiring
considerable
energy and expense to pump the water. The project, as always,
will clearly
meet the objective by providing more water. Debate now focuses
mainly on
the budgetary aspects and ability to borrow the necessary funds.
Contractors and suppliers circle like vultures over a carcass and bribes
flow to influence officials and politicians and the dam is eventually built,
providing the city with additional water. Objective
accomplished.
Because we are dealing with complexity, inevitably
further problems are
thrown up - social disruption, loss of agricultural
land, increase in
disease (schistosomiasis and malaria), disruption of river
flow, silting,
increased urban migration and demand for water, loss of
scenic assets and
species for example and later the problems associated with
interference of
the water flow of an international river. Subsequent
policies will be
developed endlessly to deal with problems arising as they
will surely do in
a pattern by now familiar to the world. This outline is
not oversimplified
or exaggerated as the analysis of hundreds of policies
and projects of
governments, World Bank and other international agencies and
NGOs has shown,
and whole books have been written about such unintended
consequences. Thus
deserts continue to advance, international aid all too
often does more
damage than good, biodiversity continues to decrease, weeds
continue to
invade, floods and droughts increase without climate change,
soil erosion
increases while poverty, violence and disappointment in those
governing
continues.
How the policy or project would be
formulated/developed in a non party state
governing toward a national
holisticgoal
In this case, when the government becomes aware of
the problem that Bulawayo
is running out of water, the Minister of Water
Development (or current
portfolio name) tasks his or her Ministerial
Advisory Council with advising
on possible solutions. The Ministerial
Advisory Council using the holistic
framework first determines the cause of
the problem.
No problem can be permanently resolved by any
policy or project without
addressing its root cause. Diagnosing the cause of
the problem is always the
first step when using the holistic framework. In
this case the Ministerial
Advisory Council realizes the city is running out
of water because of the
extent and rate of desertification in this region of
Zimbabwe.
Desertification leads to very high losses of water through two
ways: massive
flash flooding as a result of bare ground (the water simply
runs off); and
evaporation (up to 80% on bare, as exposed to covered,
ground.)
Annual losses of the rainfall received in this region of
Zimbabwe, depending
on season, can exceed 80 or 90%, which reflects
trillions of liters more
than the city could ever use. That the city is
running out of water is thus
neither surprising nor a problem - it is simply
a symptom of serious
desertification.
As a result of this
diagnosis the Ministerial Advisory Council realize that
building the dam
will not solve the problem. Not only will it not solve the
problem but it
will lead to further problems as all the present dams fill
with silt. The
Council understands that building the dams would be a short
term costly
Bandaid, aggravating an already serious situation and further
endangering
the city while loading the nation with unnecessary debt.
Building the dam
will leave the country and city with added debt and an
unsolved problem as
well as problems associated with tampering with an
international river. They
also realize from this analysis that there will be
other adverse social and
environmental costs associated with the dam that is
neither necessary nor
required.
With this knowledge the Ministerial Advisory Council
would work out a policy
that would reverse desertification and improve the
effectiveness of the
water cycle over the entire region of the country in
which the catchment of
the city lies. Reversing desertification and
improving the effectiveness of
the water cycle on this vast area would not
only save the present dams from
continued silting, it would also ensure
replenished underground aquifers and
more permanent flow in the rivers.
Together this would amount to new water
every year exceeding many dams the
size of the proposed dam with no need to
interfere with the flow of the
international Zambezi River. Further it
would improve the welfare and
prosperity of all the people in the entire
catchment and the city while
providing a permanent solution because the
problem, rather than a symptom,
has been dealt with. The cost of reversing
the desertification/improving the
water cycle would be a small fraction of
the cost of the proposed project,
and it would not require borrowing, debt
servicing, or additional taxation
of the people to eventually pay for the
folly.
At this point
the Ministerial Advisory Council would switch to a policy to
deal with
reversing the desertification. Everything that the country
requires to
reverse desertification is already available in the country. The
knowledge
to do this was not only developed in the country but has been
available for
over thirty years although blocked from ever becoming policy
by the civil
service adhering to old beliefs not supported by advancing
science. The
policy to outline the actions required from the current
educational and
extension services would require no more than a week. This
is a very
straightforward case involving curbing the use of fire and
training people
to run increasing numbers of livestock in a manner that
minimizes
overgrazing of plants while covering soil and thus reversing
desertification. As I write, figures have come in from one piece of land in
North Dakota following such practices where water infiltration on the upper
catchment soils has increased by 775% (from 20.32 mm per hour to 157.48 mm
per hour rate of rainfall infiltration).
The policy framework
developed would now be passed to the Holistic
Coordinating Council for an
independent assessment and report before moving
to government to present to
Parliament for debate prior to implementation.
Both Ministerial Advisory
Council and Holistic Coordinating Council have
ensured that the policy and
all actions it embodies are in line with the
national holisticgoal and thus
simultaneously economically, socially and
environmentally sound short and
long term. Subsequent debate would focus on
the merits, costs and benefits
of the policy without any influence from
party politics or corporate
contractors having bribed officials. Such a
policy would be above party
politics and long term as all should be but
today few
are.
While what I am describing may seem drawn out, in reality
analyzing and
forming policies or projects using the holistic framework is
faster than the
conventional way using the universal framework. In India,
Forestry
officials after one week of training were able to analyse 12 of
their
present and planned policies and projects in less than thirty minutes
and
conclude all would damage India's forests and thus increase social,
economic
and political problems. Nothing changed in the Indian Forest
Service because
of the emergent properties that characterize such
bureaucracies.
IV-H. Land policy
Until any nation
has a holistically sound land policy, long term good
governance is
unachievable because of the connection of the health of the
land to the
economy, frequency and severity of both droughts and floods,
poverty, social
stability, violence and ultimate fate of the nation.
Zimbabwe has
redistributed land and other nearby African nations are being
adversely
influenced by this action so it would be wise to look at it
briefly.
At the time that the Zimbabwe government moved to
redistribute land (in
response to massive unemployment and the rise of a
political opposition)
everyone, including the commercial farmers and British
government supported
the need. Like the Bulawayo water problem described,
Zimbabwe's land
redistribution policy was directed toward an objective -
redistributing
land. Few would not recognize that the result has been
catastrophic
economically, socially, politically and environmentally. This
result was
inevitable simply because such complexity cannot be dealt with
successfully
by any government toward the achievement of an objective. Had
the displaced
commercial farmers or the British, or any other government,
formed the
policy toward the objective of redistributing land the result,
although less
immediate and violent, would in the end have been essentially
the same.
In September 1996 I wrote to President Mugabe urging
him to move forward
with our land policy and when finally the Zimbabwe
government announced it
was going ahead a group of Zimbabweans in Harare
participated in workshops
which civil servants declined to attend. In these
workshops we first sought
to see what sort of land policy would emerge from
redistributing land as an
objective. It was quickly clear to all that this
would lead to ever
mounting disaster. Next we used the national
holisticgoal appearing in
Annexure A to see whether the framework of a
policy could be developed.
What emerged was enlightening in that is showed
us that a policy could be
developed that had different results, and how
civil society should and could
be quickly involved to gain broad national
support in implementing the
policy. Policy formed in this manner would have
resulted in greatly
increased employment, the settling of two or three
million people on the
land, not losing a single farmer, increasing the tax
base of government and
the reversal of desertification on the farms and
ranches (which is serious
on even the best) as well as increased food
production.
Seldom is anything genuinely too late. Even now,
although much damage has
been done to Zimbabwean agriculture and society
through the land
redistribution policy, one of the immediate things that any
non-party
government would have to attend to would be the land policy. And
African
governments generally would be wise to consider forming such
policies
holistically because violence induced by land degradation and
rising
populations is on the increase throughout
Africa.
IV-I. Policies damaging African
nations
For brevity I have not dealt with other
policies but mention
that Zimbabwe and other countries have current policies
involving such
things as not allowing citizens outside the country to vote
and not allowing
dual citizenship. While such policies are clearly designed
to achieve the
political objectives of the parties in power, viewed
holistically with a
national holisticgoal as the guide, they are soon seen
to lack common sense
and humanity. Such policies can only be detrimental to
capital investment
and to retaining skilled people and thus detrimental to
the economy. Every
skilled person retained tends to create jobs and expand
an economy while,
conversely, loss of skilled people leads to job losses and
greater poverty
for all.
IV-J. International Aid
assessment
African countries receiving assistance
from the many development
agencies, church groups and major environmental
organizations, need to
ensure such aid does not interfere with good
governance. Having analyzed
many aid projects I recognize that although
well-meant and often meeting
immediate humanitarian needs, the overall
result long term is disappointing
to donors and recipients. For this no one
is to blame as all such aid
projects are designed using the universal
framework that we have known for
some years is faulty when dealing with such
complexity. The overall unsound
nature of aid is no different than the
American professionals concluding
that unsound resource management is
universal in the U.S., as mentioned
earlier.
Increasingly
people are beginning to realize that despite many projects and
millions of
dollars things are not getting better. In fact evidence
suggests aid is
currently doing more harm than good which clearly was never
the intent. As
soon as any non-party government has a cabinet level
Holistic Coordinating
Council one of its functions should be the assessment
of all foreign
assistance to ensure it is holistically sound and in line
with the national
holisticgoal. Rather than rejecting foreign aid this
would result in
modifications to meet the desired intent of both
parties.
Surveillance of aid in the manner suggested, combined
with the measures
suggested to curb official corruption, would go far to
avoid millions of
dollars of Western aid finding its way into private Swiss
accounts of
African officials, as is occurring
currently.
Conclusion
I believe most people,
including politicians of high motive in my country,
aspire to lives as
expressed in the national holisticgoal and would support
the ideal of better
governance through a non-party democracy. Inevitably, a
minority in power,
or aspiring to power and easy wealth through the party
system, will oppose
constitutionally forming a non-party democracy.
As I write only
those involved in political parties in Zimbabwe are vying
for position and
power through various means including the likely
negotiation of a new
constitution based on the party system. Civil society
that has an equal if
not greater moral right to be deeply involved in the
drawing up of any new
constitution, is being sidelined as in the past. With
swords drawn and many
past hurts still palpable, intelligent debate is
difficult and many are
calling for international intervention, headed by
South Africa. But is a
country that is itself clearly going down the same
path as post independent
Zimbabwe, a wise choice?
No solution imposed from outside will
last and I firmly believe we
Zimbabweans of all races, tribes, genders,
cultures and beliefs should
fashion our own salvation. I hope that what I
have written and suggested
here brings about more open discussion and does
not cause offence to any
individual or party, which has not been my
intent.
As a non-political person, but a passionately patriotic
and loyal
Zimbabwean, I can only wish my people success in the years ahead,
which I
will not live to see. And I sincerely hope discussion emanating
from these
ideas helps other nations seeking good
governance.
Annexure A.
National
Holisticgoal for Zimbabwe.
Quality of Life: (What we want
our lives to be based on what we value most
in life)
We want
to live in peace and harmony with ourselves and neighbouring
countries. We
want prosperity, physical and financial security. Good
education for our
children at all levels. Freedom to pursue our own
cultural, religious and
spiritual beliefs. Good housing and amenities in our
towns and cities.
Stable families with adequate food security, safe and
healthy food and
abundant clean water. To live in balance with our resources
with balance
between urban and rural populations so that all can live in
peace and
prosperity. Fair and equitable access to resources. Freedom from
racial,
tribal, sexual or any other bigotry with justice available and
affordable by
all. Pride in ourselves our country and its achievements.
International
respect. Playing our part as a nation in international
affairs as respected
equals.
Forms of Production: (what has to be produced for our
citizens to live such
lives)
Open society with freedom of
expression.
Affordable high quality education opportunity at all
levels.
Armed services loyal to our constitution and holisticgoal ideals
for their
families.
Independent professional judiciary media and
press.
Stable economy measured in social and environmental as well as
economic ways
encouraging entrepreneurship and investment.
Access to
justice for all in an inexpensive and speedy manner.
Policies that always
address social, economic and environmental aspects.
Abundant internally
produced clean & healthy food and water.
City populations in balance
with our environment and rural population.
Modern amenities throughout
our small towns and rural environment.
A corruption and crime free
society led by government example.
A society that is free from racialism,
tribalism and gender inequality.
Education and empowerment of women
throughout society.
Level playing field for all
Zimbabweans.
Future resource base: (How we have to behave and
what our land has to be
like a thousand years from now to sustain successive
generations living such
lives)
Behaviour: As a nation we have to be
honest, fair, friendly and open with a
good attitude to outsiders and other
nations.
Land: Our soils on croplands and rangelands have to permanently
covered and
building, retaining water and converting solar energy to wealth
and life.
Rivers have to be running perennially.
KansasCity.com
By CHARLES
GUSEWELLE
The Kansas City Star
Some calamities seem almost beyond remedy.
Some tyrants are incapable of
shame.
I will comment one more time -
once only - on the destruction of a formerly
productive land by the
malevolent and unscrupulous thug who rules it.
The place is the African
nation of Zimbabwe. Its people are desperately
hungry. Their life expectancy
is the shortest of any population anywhere on
earth - 37 years for men, 34
for women.
The economy is a ruin. Unemployment is 80 percent. The
currency is
worthless, and it has been estimated that inflation could reach
1.5 million
percent by the end of this year.
The author of the
catastrophe, and the individual who presides over it,
maintains his hold on
power by a combination of intimidation, patronage,
election-rigging and
outright, savage brutality.
Much of Africa is in some degree of distress.
Often there's a complex mix of
explanations. Corrupt leadership, bad faith
and bad judgments are part of
the reason. In some cases, disease, a paucity
of resources, a punishing
climate and endless internal conflict share the
blame.
But in Zimbabwe - which once boasted a thriving and food-exporting
agricultural economy - the cause of the disaster has a name. Its name is
Robert Mugabe. He is the one who destroyed that economy and propelled his
subjects to the brink of famine.
His wickedness is as well known in
Africa as it is the world over. But
African leaders are loath to act against
him, or even to denounce him, some
because of fear it might draw attention
to their own abuses.
The U.S. and other developed countries are reluctant
to intervene out of
concern it might be construed as racist.
That is
arrant nonsense. Yes, Mugabe is African. But so are the more than 3
million
who suffer by his hand, and who deserve deliverance.
Which is worse: a
false accusation of racism or a charge of indifference
that is, on its face,
supported by inaction?
Where the U.S. is concerned, we are witnessing in
Zimbabwe, just as we have
in the western Sudan, the price we've paid in lost
moral standing, in
diminished capacity to lead and in real inability to act
because of more
than four years of failed policy in Iraq.
When
history is written of the last decades of the 20th century and the
first
years of this one, it is not what we have done in Africa that will
invite
the charge of U.S. racism, but rather what we haven't done - in
Sudan,
Zimbabwe, Rwanda, Ethiopia, Congo, Sierra Leone and other bloody and
broken
places.
Another country is dying. It's just a headline in the news.
cathybuckle.com
Saturday 25th August 2007
Dear
Family and Friends,
The view from Zimbabwe's window is absolutely gorgeous
this week. Evidence
of spring and renewal is all around us. The sky is
cloudless and blue, the
temperatures are rising and the blue headed lizards
are out basking in the
sun again. The indigenous woodlands that have
survived the army of winter
woodcutters are breathtaking as the Msasa trees
go from red and burgundy to
caramel and a shiny butterscotch colour before
finally preparing to shade
our land for another year. After nearly two
months of government price
controls and the ugly mess they have created, the
beauty and warmth around
us is the only thing keeping many people sane in
this seventh spring of
Zimbabwe's turmoil. This week, after a long silence,
government inflation
figures were announced and, as expected, the price
controls have not helped
at all - exactly the opposite in fact. Inflation
which stood at 4530% in
May, soared to 7634% in July.
I went to visit
an elderly couple this week and we exchanged delights about
the season and
the climate and then they showed me the letter which had just
arrived. I
didn't know whether to laugh or cry at the news about their
pension. The
letter was from a senior executive in one of the largest
pension fund
companies in the country and read as follows:
"We confirm that you are
entitled to a monthly pension of $0.85 cents. This
pension is currently
suspended. As the monthly pension has now been eroded
by inflation, the
company has now decided to pay out the balance of your
pension as a lump
sum. The lump sum payable to you is: $2.9 million
dollars."
I can't
think of words that adequately describe the outrage of this. A
monthly
pension representing a person's working life and the result of years
of
payments being now worth just 85 Zimbabwe cents. There is not a single
thing
you can buy for eighty five cents in Zimbabwe, not even one match
stick; in
fact there aren't any coins in circulation in the country anymore.
The
couple told me they had agreed to accept the lump sum payment because
they
really had no other option but they knew that even this amount would
only
pay for 4 days of their board and lodge.
Young or old there is just one
way to survive these bleak times in Zimbabwe
and that is one day at a time.
We have all been forced into short term
thinking and even shorter term
planning as we try and keep food on the table
in these days of government
induced famine. There is still almost no food to
buy in our shops - no oil,
margarine, flour, rice, pasta, maize meal,
biscuits, cold drinks or sugar.
No soap, washing powder, candles or matches.
No meat, eggs, dairy products
or confectionary.
In a weeks time our children go back to school but even
this fact does not
seem to inspire our government into action. How do they
think schools are
going to feed the children who stay for lunch or are
boarders? How do they
think that parents who have been forced to run their
businesses at a loss
for the last two months are going to be able to even
pay school fees? How do
they think pensioners can survive on eighty five
cents a month? There are no
answers to the questions at any
level.
Even more worrying is that glorious as the weather is, it is
almost planting
time again and yet there is no seed to buy in our empty
shops and our day at
a time thinking caused by our governments day at a time
planning is
condemning us to even harder times ahead. It hardly bears
thinking about and
so we try not to and hope and pray that there may be an
end to this, just an
end.
Until next week, thanks for reading , love
cathy.
cathybuckle.com
Friday 24th August
2007
Dear Friends. If there is one message that has come out of the
events of the
last two weeks for ordinary Zimbabwean people, it is this: You
are on your
own! There is no one who is going to going to rescue Zimbabwe.
Some of us
have been saying that for a very long time and now maybe it has
finally sunk
in. Certainly none of the southern African countries are going
to lift a
finger; the Americans have their hands full in Iraq and anyway it
was Bush
who nominated Mbeki as the 'pointman' on Zimbabwe; the EU appears
divided
and indecisive on the issue and the Brits apart from plans to
evacuate their
own nationals in the event the situation further deteriorates
are unwilling
to provoke Mugabe's rage and hysterical sloganeering of
'Zimbabwe will never
be a colony again' Ironically, colonial mastery is
precisely what the Brits
do not want! They cannot yet face up to their
colonial past. They're very
good at the guilt and wringing of hands but not
so good at accepting their
moral responsibility to the inhabitants of their
former colony.
Even if it is true, as reported in some UK and South
African papers this
week, that behind the scenes the SADC leaders spoke very
sternly to Mugabe
about the economic collapse in his country, anyone who
still believes - as
the MDC appears to - that SADC has done enough to
justify our hope for a
just solution to the current impasse is, in my view,
guilty of dangerous
self-delusion. It is dangerous because it is based on
the false premise that
the other side, ie. Zanu PF and, by extension Thabo
Mbeki are sincerely
committed to honest negotiation. The likely result of
such false and
unsubstantiated optimism is that it raises the hopes of
millions of
Zimbabweans that maybe there is the possibility that their lives
will get
better. Those hopes are bound to be dashed again on the rock of
Mugabe's
intransigence and a desperate starving people with nothing else to
hope for
may resort to violent change which no one can control.
It is
naivety that has been the downfall of the opposition parties in
Zimbabwe;
they continue to believe that they are dealing with a man and a
party who
can be trusted to keep their word. The problem I believe is that
the MDC in
calling for democratic change through the ballot box has failed
to see that
in addition to the ballot box there are other non-violent ways
to bring
about change. The civic organizations such as WOZA, the NCA and the
churches
have demonstrated time and again that it is possible to get
ordinary men and
women out on the street peacefully demonstrating their
anger and displeasure
at the continuing misery of their lives. Without that
public display of
disaffection Zimbabwean ministers and their South African
counterparts will
continue to claim that all is well in the country. There
is no evidence they
can claim that the mass of Zimbabweans are dissatisfied
with their lives
under the Mugabe regime because, they say, we do not see
the people out on
the streets. But Zimbabweans and the leadership of the
opposition parties
would do well to remember that 'one little brown man in a
dhoti' as
Churchill described Mahatma Ghandi, brought the entire might of
the British
empire to a standstill when he led millions of Indians on the
great salt
march and then on to Indian independence. In America, Martin
Luther King got
thousands of African Americans out on the streets in the
Civil Rights
Movement. Nearer to home, the children of Soweto were
instrumental in
bringing an end to apartheid when they took to the streets
in June 16th
1976. In all of these struggles against tyranny it was the
people, armed
only with their courage and longing for freedom who initiated
change.
My question to the opposition parties in Zimbabwe is why have
you so little
faith in your own people? They have shown that they are
capable of
courageous resistance but what they desperately need now is
leadership,
someone who will organize and lead them from the front. Then the
whole world
will see Zimbabweans in their thousands demonstrate their
longing for
freedom and a new beginning. I believe that Africa and the west
would then
be forced to come to the aid of the people, not just with words
and gestures
but with a UN resolution and action to follow. I can hear the
cynics asking,
'What did the UN ever do about Rwanda, Dafur or the DRC?' and
their cynicism
is justified. My point is that until Zimbabweans stand up and
demonstrate
publicly how desperately they want change, the rest of the world
has every
excuse for continuing to turn a blind eye. For surely even the
opposition
must by now see that the ballot box alone will not bring about
change
because Mugabe has already rigged the result. MDC can never win while
Mugabe
sets the rules.
Until the opposition parties in Zimbabwe
harness the strength of people's
power, Mugabe and his cronies in SADC will
continue to claim that all is
well in the country and no change is needed.
By their continued failure to
provide leadership for a genuine people's
revolt the opposition makes it
possible for Mugabe and his ministers to go
on telling their nonsensical
lies about the state of the country; they will
be believed because there is
no evidence to the contrary. The sight of
determined people peacefully
demonstrating on the streets might waken Africa
and the world to the tragedy
that is Zimbabwe. To quote Robert Nesta Marley:
None but ourselves can free
ourselves.
Ndini shamwari yenyu.
PH
BosNewLife
Friday, 24 August 2007
By
BosNewsLife News Center
HARARE, ZIMBABWE (BosNewsLife)-- The
fate of at least 15
Christian leaders in Zimbabwe remained uncertain Friday,
August 24, after
they were detained for attending a prayer meeting near the
capital Harare
without permission from police, opposition sources
confirmed.
They were part of a group that attended a prayer
gathering at the
Nyamutamba Hotel in Chitungwiza town, south of Harare, on
Saturday, August
18, representatives of the opposition Movement for
Democratic Change (MDC)
said in a statement monitored by
BosNewsLife.
The detentions came after several pastors were
initially briefly held
and fined Saturday, August 18, before being arrested
again late Monday,
August 20, MDC sources added. MDC members of parliament
Job Sikhala and
Goodwich Chimbaira reportedly also attended the prayer
meeting, but were
apparently not arrested.
Lawyer James Tabora
told reporters that those detained Saturday were
temporary released after
paying 40,000 Zimbabwe Dollars ($164) in fines.
Among those
detained are Bishop Samuel Pasula, and Pastors Mabhena,
Patrick Thole,
Gordon Chinogurei and a preacher who was only identified as
Pastor White,
BosNewsLife learned.
GOVERNMENT "PARANOID"
Police
officials were not immediately available for comment. MDC said
"the
suggestion that pastors have to ask permission for a prayer meeting
shows
that the government has become so paranoid that even an opposition
member of
parliament attending a prayer gathering provides her delirium."
The
situation also underscored growing pressure on churches in
Zimbabwe to
participate in the political process of the troubled African
nation, said
Christian rights group Open Doors. "There are several reports
about church
leaders and church members facing difficulties," the group said
in a
statement to BosNewsLife.
The latest round of arrests came on the
heels of a report by a
grouping of Zimbabwean human rights organizations,
who declared 2007 the
country's worst year for rights violations since 2000,
when that year's
general election resulted in a surge of political-related
violence.
The report by the Human Rights NGO Forum, entitled "At
Best a
Falsehood, At Worst A Lie," takes to task two reports issued by the
Zimbabwe
Republic Police accusing the political opposition and civil society
groups
of perpetrating violence.
POLICE
COMMISSIONER
Forum Chairman Noel Kututwa told the Voice Of America
(VOA) network in
Zimbabwe that a copy of the report went to the Commissioner
of Police
Augustine Chihuri and Home Affairs Minister Kembo Mohadi, but he
neither
attended or sent a representative to the launch of the
report.
ZRP spokesman Wayne Bvudzijena declined to comment on the
report.
Besides Christian leaders, dissidents are also persecuted,
opposition groups
say. This week some 15 plainclothes policemen in five
vehicles raided the
Harare home of Women's Coalition Chairwoman Betty Makoni
taking her and two
American women filmmakers making a documentary on her
activism into custody.
Sources close to the situation reportedly
said police seized the film
equipment and detained the three women all day
Tuesday, August 21, before
releasing them at the end of the day with
instructions to return the
following morning.
Rights watchers
and Western observers say a crackdown on civilians
also show desperation of
President Robert Mugabe, the pro-independence
campaigner who wrested control
from a small white community and became the
country's first black
leader.
Commentators say he now leads a nation whose economy is in
tatters,
where poverty and unemployment are endemic and political strife and
repression commonplace. (With BosNewsife Senior Special Correspondent Eric
Leijenaar and BosNewsLife Research and reporting from Zimbabwe).
Sunday, August 26th 2007, 4:00 AM
Desperate to escape Zimbabwe, poor women - including this expecting mother - brave barbed wire to cross the border into South Africa.
Upward of 500 Zimbabweans flee daily.
HARARE, Zimbabwe - Starving on the streets of his native Zimbabwe, Tatenda Khosa had few choices.
The 13-year-old homeless boy could remain in the town of Chiredzi and beg for food amid this country's worst economic crisis in decades. Or he could try to sneak across the border to South Africa, risking attack from bandits and the threat of imprisonment along the way.
His decision did not take long.
"I said, 'If I die, it's God's will. I want to go there to get food,'" Tatenda told the Daily News outside a gas station along the border of South Africa where he arrived last week.
"In Zimbabwe, even in the dustbin, you can't get food now."
Once considered the "breadbasket of Africa," Zimbabwe is a country in tatters.
Empty shelves line grocery stores that only months ago were well-stocked with the commodities people rely on most: sugar, cooking oil and cornmeal.
A severe fuel shortage has forced commuter buses off the roads, leaving Zimbabweans living in the townships with little access to what little remains in the city center.
In some parts of the country, even water is being sold on the thriving black market to desperate residents who have gone days without it.
"If you don't have somebody who's outside the country supplying you with things, you're finished," said Shephard Lunga, 32, a truck driver from Bulawayo, Zimbabwe's second largest city.
Experts say the African nation's downfall is the result of the half-baked policies of a president intent on holding onto power at all costs.
Two months ago, Robert Mugabe, Zimbabwe's 83-year-old leader, ordered stores to slash the rising prices of basic commodities to such levels that manufacturers could no longer turn a profit.
The result: They stopped producing their goods, leaving supermarket shelves barren and the populace hungry.
Two weeks ago, a 29-year-old security guard from the town of Mutare reportedly stabbed a colleague to death because he thought the man stole his 22-pound bag of cornmeal.
The country's inflation rate - the world's highest - topped the 7,000% mark in July.
When delivery trucks do arrive at shops, droves of people appear instantly, forming lines that wrap around streetcorners.
"We must queue two hours for bread," said a 25-year-old security guard, waiting on a line outside one of the city's major supermarkets. "Two hours for bread! This country has big problems, my friend."
That the man was too fearful of government retaliation to give his name was not unexpected.
Many Zimbabweans have stories to tell about friends and family members simply vanishing after discussing their frustration with the ruling party, Zanu-PF, nonchalantly.
Members of the country's emasculated opposition party, the Movement for Democratic Change (MDC), have faced periodic beatings.
Mugabe, who has remained in power since the country gained independence in 1980, has blamed Zimbabwe's myriad problems on white colonialists and outside powers trying to meddle in his affairs, namely, Great Britain and the U.S.
As pressure against him has mounted, his cronies have embarked on an aggressive campaign to limit public demonstrations and silence the international press. Unaccredited foreign journalists face stiff prison sentences if caught operating inside the country.
On a tour through Harare's poorest townships, this reporter asked his guide if he could enter a shop to speak with people inside.
"If you go in there and start interviewing people, the police will show up in five minutes to pick you up," this reporter was told.
Zimbabweans are fleeing their country by the thousands, among them doctors, teachers and other highly educated professionals. Some cannot afford to purchase a visa to places like South Africa.
Instead, they cross the border illegally in the dead of night, crawling through holes in the barbed wire fences separating the two countries.
One South African soldier patrolling the porous border estimated that more than 500 cross this way each day.
"They come here because there is no food on that side," said the 34-year-old private who identified himself as Paul. "They suffer."
Tatenda's suffering diminished rapidly, he said, after arriving in the border town of Musina. He sleeps under an overhang beside a gas station and still has to beg. But the important thing is that he is eating again.
"As long as I am getting food, I will die here," he said.
The Telegraph
Last Updated: 12:50am BST
26/08/2007Page 1 of 2
Former England bowler Phil Edmonds
faces his biggest test yet as he battles
for a larger share of Africa's
copper riches. Sylvia Pfeifer reports
a.. A sporting chance in
business?
Just a few years ago, it was a brave airline that operated out of
Lubumbashi
airport, in the southeastern corner of the Democratic Republic of
Congo.
Today, four years after the end of a civil war that claimed 3m lives,
the
small airport is buzzing.
Every week, planeloads of businessmen
from Europe, China and Australia spill
out on to its runway. The executives
are all after one thing: the DRC's vast
mineral resources.
The
country is home to some of the richest mineral deposits on the planet;
copper, cobalt, diamonds, uranium, zinc and coal are all in abundance. Its
production declined during decades of dictatorship under Mobutu Sese Seko
and much of the infrastructure was destroyed during the civil
war.
But the election as president last year of Joseph Kabila, a former
guerilla
fighter, in the DRC's first democratic elections in four decades,
has
brought some much-needed stability to the country. It has also
encouraged
foreign investors to consider putting in billions of dollars for
a slice of
the action.
This week, the starting gun will be fired for
what is shaping up to be a
controversial battle for control of the jewel in
the crown of the DRC's
copper assets. Central African Mining &
Exploration Company (Camec), the
Aim-listed group chaired by ex-cricketer
Phil Edmonds, will put down an
£800m offer for Katanga Mining. The
Canadian-listed, London-based miner
operates a vast, potentially lucrative
copper-cobalt mine in the Katanga
province.
Camec has already built
up a 22 per cent stake in Katanga. It has also
secured soft irrevocables for
a further 54 per cent, including the 24 per
cent stake held by George
Forrest, the largest shareholder in Katanga and
one of the powerbrokers in
the DRC's mining industry.
For Zimbabwe-born Edmonds, the deal is the
biggest yet. If successful, it
would catapult the Middlesex cricketer, who
took 125 wickets for England in
the 1980s, into the big league. A combined
Camec and Katanga would create
one of the world's largest copper and cobalt
companies and be a candidate
for inclusion in the blue-chip FTSE 100
index.
But Edmonds's tilt at the big time has not been without
controversy; last
month, the Congolese government ejected Billy Rautenbach,
a Zimbab-wean
entrepreneur and one of the kingpins in the African mining
industry as well
as a shareholder in Camec.
It was through
Rautenbach, who headed the state mining company Gecamines in
the late 1990s
under then-president Laurent Kabila, that Camec secured its
current assets
in the DRC. Rautenbach, who faces fraud and corruption
charges in South
Africa, was declared persona non grata in what was widely
seen as a move by
the Congolese government to clean up the domestic mining
industry.
Rautenbach has denied any wrongdoing but it is a
controversy that Camec,
founded by Edmonds and his long-term business
partner Andrew Groves, could
do without.
Camec's bid for Katanga also
faces some significant obstacles. RP Capital,
which has a stake of 15.7 per
cent in Katanga, opposes the deal and wants
the company to merge with
Nikanor, another Aim-listed group with assets in
the DRC.
"As a large
shareholder in Katanga and across the DRC mining space, this
isn't the
combination we prefer. We are doing everything we can to effect
the
combination of Nikanor and Katanga," says an RP Capital
spokesman.
Meanwhile, Katanga's management has its own issues with
Camec's proposal.
Art Ditto, chairman of Katanga and himself a large
shareholder, describes
Camec's initiative as "opportunistic". "We have seen
no details yet [of
Camec's offer] but we do not think Camec is an attractive
option for us", he
adds. Katanga is looking for other
partners.
Conspiracy theorists have added an extra dimension to the
impending bid
battle, speculating that Dan Gertler, the Israeli diamond
merchant who holds
significant stakes in both Katanga and Nikanor, is the
real reason for
Katanga's opposition to Camec.
Another theory is that
big miners such as Xstrata or Anglo American are
waiting in the wings to
pounce on a combined Katanga/Nikanor. The Congo
represents an unparalleled
opportunity for the big guys.
"Every large copper producer has
the same problem - a lack of growth between
now and 2010 at the earliest,"
says Jeremy Gray, mining analyst at Credit
Suisse. "Congo represents one of
the few untouched growth regions that can
deliver near-term supply for the
majors at a cost of less than $4,000 per
tonne of copper. The days of the
industry building big greenfield projects
in low-grade copper regions like
Chile and Peru seem to be behind us given
their capital costs are now well
above $8,000 per tonne.
"By contrast, Camec has built the Luita copper
and cobalt operation [in the
Congo] in 12 months and at a cost of less than
$2,000 per tonne. There are
risks. Congo is still regarded as a politically
volatile country. An
independent committee is currently reviewing every
mining concession
including Camec's and the findings should be known in the
coming months."
In Camec's Mayfair offices, Edmonds is clearly
exasperated by the noise
surrounding what he believes is a straightforward
deal that makes strategic
sense. He has refused to be photographed and has
brought along Chris
Chapple, Camec's new chief development officer and a
former Goldman Sachs
banker, to back him up. Organic growth alone will
enable Camec to produce
some 100,000 tonnes of -copper and between
6,000-12,000 tonnes of cobalt by
the end of 2008, says Edmonds. But by
taking over Katanga, the company could
be producing as much as 250,000
tonnes of copper.
"Surely it must be much more attractive to get into a
position where you can
be producing 250,000 tonnes of copper in as short a
space of time as
possible," he says.
"It's an opportunity to take
advantage of high metal prices. At the
operating level, you are taking two
companies which are closest to
production and fully-funded," adds
Chapple.
The offer will be launched this week and both men insist they
are not
worried about the possibility of a rival suitor emerging; this is
plan A.
"We're not worried about it," says Edmonds. "We think it's the
most
strategically sensible deal". Chapple adds that detractors should look
at
how the shareholders of Camec and Katanga reacted to news a deal was in
the
offing: shares in both went up.
How worried are they about any
fall-out from the Rautenbach affair? Both
insist Rautenbach has barely been
involved in recent months, although
Edmonds concedes the company would
probably not have got its current assets
without him. "You have to take the
whole package," he adds.
But the controversy has prompted more general
questions about whether Camec
needs to improve its corporate governance.
Until now, the company has been
defined by the entrepreneurial spirit of the
Edmonds/Groves duo. Their focus
on securing early-stage positions in African
countries - White Nile, their
oil company, is involved in a title dispute in
the Sudan - has meant
traditional corporate governance was sometimes not a
priority.
"The growth of the company has far outstripped the early stage
corporate
governance it had put in place," says Chapple
diplomatically.
But his own recent appointment is a clear sign that the
company recognises
that it needs to bolster its management team. This week,
Andrew Burns, a
former finance director of Luminar, the leisure group, will
join as chief
financial officer. Chapple says the company is also looking
for heavyweight
non-executive directors.
You get the feeling that, at
least for Edmonds, the more people there are at
Camec for outsiders to focus
on the better. Asked how he feels being on the
verge of landing what could
be his biggest deal, he says: "Why focus on me?
We're a fantastic team here.
All I do is give a bit of sage advice now and
then." When he teamed up with
Groves, neither Africa nor the resources
sector were high on investors'
lists. "We both hail from there, so Africa
seemed the place to be," he
says.
He admits he is enjoying himself but dreads flippant comparisons
with his
cricketing past. "One of my favourite films is Chariots of Fire.
You indulge
your passion, do it to the best of your ability and then you go
off and do
something serious. Sport is just a game," he says.
Pulling
off the Katanga deal would go some way toward proving Edmonds'
detractors
wrong: that he is deadly serious when it comes to doing business.