The ZIMBABWE Situation | Our
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Integrated Regional Information Networks
August 28, 2003
Posted to the
web August 28, 2003
Johannesburg
The deregulation of the petroleum
oil industry could see further
inflationary pressure adding to the financial
travails of ordinary
Zimbabweans, an analyst told IRIN on
Thursday.
The official newspaper The Herald quoted Minister of Energy and
Power
Development Amos Midzi as saying that as from yesterday "all the
registered
oil companies will source their own foreign currency, import
petroleum
products and sell directly to the members of the public at economic
prices
through approved outlets".
However, fuel imports by the
parastatal National Oil Company of Zimbabwe
would be distributed to
government departments, institutions, public
transport operators and the
agricultural sector at the state controlled
price of Zim $450 a litre for
petrol and Zim $200 a litre for diesel.
The two-tier system means that
private sector motorists would pay the new
pump prices for petrol of Zim
$1,170 per litre and diesel at Zim $1,060 per
litre announced by the oil
companies yesterday.
"This means diesel has gone up about 500 percent and
petrol by about 160
percent," said economist Tony Hawkins.
He told
IRIN that "there will be an inflationary effect, but part of it has
already
been felt in that most people have already been paying the higher
prices for
fuel on the parallel market".
Hawkins cautioned, however, that the fuel
price may well rise further as the
two-tier pricing structure was based on
the government's stipulated exchange
rate of Zim $3,000 to US $1.
"The
current parallel rate is between Zim $5,500 and Zim $6,000 for US $1.
So you
have to ask where the oil companies are going to find foreign
currency at
that [official] rate. I've spoken to banks who are saying if we
have to buy
US dollars at a rate of Zim $5,500, how can we then sell it to
the oil
companies at Zim $3,000?" Hawkins noted.
This could well force the oil
companies to sell their imported fuel at
higher prices than those announced
on Wednesday.
SABC
Zimbabwe's new fuel policy could ease shortages
August 28, 2003,
03:36 PM
Zimbabwe's embattled government might ease a critical fuel
shortage in
scrapping price controls and opening up imports to the private
sector, but
the move could also stoke political tensions, analysts said
today.
President Robert Mugabe's government is grappling with the
country's worst
political and economic crisis since independence in 1980,
which many critics
blame on controversial policies and general
mismanagement.
Yesterday the government relented to pressure from private
oil firms and
removed some price controls. It also officially relaxed the
state monopoly
on fuel imports to help fight a shortage that has gripped the
country since
1999.
Analysts said while this was likely to improve
supplies, it would also
trigger a round of price increases, making life
harder for ordinary
consumers and the government unpopular.
"The new
policy should help the situation in terms of supply if it is
allowed to work
and all the parties are faithful to it," said James Jowa,
chief economist at
the Zimbabwe National Chamber of Commerce (ZNCC).
Transport prices
already up
Zimbabwe's media reported today that some public transport
operators had
already raised fares last night in response to fuel price
increases.
"I think it's fair to expect that while supplies may improve
on one hand, on
the other, political tension is going to be rising if
consumer prices keep
on rising beyond the reach of people," said a political
analyst at the
Zimbabwe Institute of Development Studies
(ZIDS).
Zimbabwe's economic crisis is deepening with severe fuel, foreign
currency
and banknote shortages, along with inflation of nearly 400%, one of
the
highest rates in the world.
Masimba Kambarami, the chairperson of
the Petroleum Association of Zimbabwe,
said the decision to allow private
companies to import fuel and sell it at
market rates would help meet the
country's needs and stifle a thriving black
market.
"The oil companies
have the capacity to import adequate supplies and to
supply the market as
long as the question of viability and sustainability is
handled," he
said.
The government said it had adopted a dual fuel system under which
its
national oil importer NOCZIM would supply fuel to state departments
and
public transporters at a discounted price.
Private oil companies
had already agreed on a new pump price of Z$1,170 a
litre for petrol and
Z$1,060 for diesel, it said.
The new petrol price is about three times
the old tariff, which was pegged
by the government in April. Fuel has been
commanding much higher prices of
about five times the previous official rate
on the black market.
Zimbabwe's fuel woes have worsened since a trade
deal with supplier Libya
collapsed last November, a visible sign of the
economic plight of a country
Mugabe has ruled since independence from Britain
in 1980. - Reuters
Sunspot.net, Maryland
Hunger as a
weapon
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
Originally
published August 28, 2003
OVER THE PAST 23 years, President
Robert G. Mugabe's mismanagement has
reduced Zimbabwe from a Southern African
bread basket to a deadbeat nation
teetering on collapse. The economy is in
ruins; once-thriving farms are
fallow. Now this tyrant is trying to hijack
international food aid to his
starving countrymen.
According to a recent
ultimatum from Mr. Mugabe, international donors must
end independent food
distribution in Zimbabwe. Instead of using their own
networks of churches and
civic organizations, they must channel all aid
through Mr. Mugabe's
government and political machine so that it can be
directed to supporters and
he can claim the credit.
This cynical blackmail is part of the
79-year-old Mr. Mugabe's desperate
effort to cling to power amid growing
gloom.
Zimbabwe is so badly in arrears on its debt payments that it is on
the
blacklist of both the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund,
which
have frozen cooperation. Shortages of all kind - from fuel to
electricity -
are common; inflation is running at 400 percent a year and
soaring; the
national budget is in chaos.
All this, Mr. Mugabe
insists, is the fault of domestic saboteurs and their
international sponsors,
particularly Britain, which once ruled the country
as Rhodesia.
That's
humbug, of course.
A trickle of oil from Libya, courtesy of credit from
strongman Muammar el
Kadafi, is about all that keeps Zimbabwe afloat these
days. In the past,
Zimbabwe has reportedly paid for that oil with farms
confiscated from white
farmers.
In recent months, Zimbabwe has
experienced difficulties in paying Libya. If
it gains control over aid
distribution, tons of donated corn and rice could
be simply diverted to Libya
as payments for oil, or so critics fear.
Mr. Mugabe's hijack attempt must
be prevented.
With other donors, the U.S. government ought to talk sense
to Mr. Mugabe,
who has yet to implement his ukase. Washington, after all, has
pledged to
contribute nearly half of the emergency aid needed to feed some 5
million
starving people in Zimbabwe before the next harvest comes this
winter.
The United States must also intensify contacts with South Africa
to force
Mr. Mugabe into retirement. If he stays in power, this doctrinaire
Marxist
may well end up destroying his country.
News24
Zim: Fresh land grab wave
28/08/2003 19:18 -
(SA)
Harare - About 50 white commercial farmers in Zimbabwe have been
driven off
their land in a fresh wave of farm evictions around the southern
African
country, the head of the Commercial Farmers' Union (CFU) said on
Thursday.
"There are at most 50 farmers affected, mostly from Mashonaland
and
Manicaland provinces. In a couple of cases, some farmers were attacked
by
settlers or gangs," CFU president Doug Taylor-Freeme told
AFP.
"These evictions are illegal. Farmers will protect themselves
through legal
means," he said.
Land reforms completed
While the
Zimbabwe government says it has successfully completed its
controversial
fast-track land reforms, white-owned farms continue to be
listed regularly
for compulsory acquisition.
Two weeks ago, the latest list of 152
properties which the government
intends to seize was published in the state
media.
The new list came out after it was revealed at an annual congress
of a small
group of embattled white farmers still remaining in the country
that
agricultural production levels have fallen by over 50% in Zimbabwe over
the
last few years.
The eviction of white farmers has been partly
blamed by aid agencies and
critics for Zimbabwe's worst famine in living
memory which left about two
thirds of the 11.6 million people facing severe
food shortages.
Taylor-Freeme said most of the farms affected in the
latest seizures were
tobacco farms.
To date, the government says it
has resettled 210 000 peasant farmers and 14
880 commercial farmers on 11
million hectares of formerly white-owned land.
An estimated 400 white
commercial farms remain in Zimbabwe, out of about 4
000 when the land
invasions started in 2000.
From The Cape Times (SA), 28 August
Want to visit SA? That'll be Z$300 000
Brian Latham
Harare - The South African
government has imposed stiff visa requirements on
Zimbabweans wanting to
visit South Africa, demanding a deposit of Z$300 000.
The South African High
Commission also demands that people applying for
visas produce a "letter of
invitation" from the person they will be staying
with in the country and
proof of accommodation. The move, which has been
criticised by many
Zimbabweans, was introduced because the South African
government has grown
weary of "fake documents" produced by Zimbabweans. An
official in the South
African High Commission denied that everyone applying
for a visa would be
made to leave a Z$300 000 deposit. "It's only those who
fail to meet the
other visa requirements," Kennedy Shisvo said "What we've
had is up to 60 or
70 people producing letters inviting them to South
Africa, all written by the
same person at the same address. That's
ridiculous."
Still, one
regular business visitor to South Africa complained that he had
been told to
leave a Z$300 000 bank guaranteed cheque with the High
Commission. Speaking
on condition of anonymity because he feared his next
application would be
refused, he said: "It's all very well, but while you're
out of Zim your
cheque loses about two percent of its value for each day
you're out of the
country because of inflation." Shisvo said the main
culprits forging
documents to enter South Africa were the thousands of
cross-border traders
who roam between South Africa and Zimbabwe. Many sell
goods at Johannesburg
flea markets before returning to Zimbabwe with
electronic goods and food,
both of which are sought after in Harare. Beit
Bridge, less than 20km north
of Musina, is Africa's busiest border crossing
where hundreds of people wait
for hours every day under the blistering
lowveld sun for their papers to be
processed
Daily News
Police raid Mahomed Mussa Wholesalers
POLICE yesterday raided Mahomed Mussa Wholesalers in search of cash
as the
law enforcement agency cracked down on people and institutions
suspected of
hoarding cash.
Police spokesman Wayne Bvudzijena told the Daily
News last night that
the police were enforcing
regulations which
made it criminal for anyone to keep any amount of
money exceeding $5 million
in cash. He said that the police would carry out
frequent raids on suspected
individuals and companies in a bid to eliminate
any deliberate hoarding of
cash, adding that the operation would also focus
on areas outside
Harare.
“We have a warrant to search his (Mahomed Mussa’s)
premises in
conformity with the requirements of the new regulations,”
Bvudzijena said
last night.
The police official added: “He
has been refusing to open particular
offices and he has brought his
lawyer.”
When the Daily News visited the Mahomed Mussa
Wholesalers premises
late yesterday afternoon the police were out in full
force, searching for
cash within suspected units of the wholesale’s building
in central Harare.
Business came to a halt at the wholesale with
all customers being
referred to another section of the
giant
outlet which attracts thousands of customers a day.
The swoop
forced the wholesale’s officials to close shop at around 4
pm instead of the
usual 6 pm.
Furious officials of the wholesale tried hard to thwart
efforts by the
Business Daily to take a photo of the explosive arguments
between themselves
and the police.
The owners of the
wholesale refused to speak to this newspaper and
were busy trying to convince
the
police that there was no cash within the
multi-million-dollar
wholesaler.
Mahomed Mussa is one of
Harare’s biggest wholesale chains.
Zimbabwe has been battling
shortages of cash in the past four months,
with local bank notes now being
sold at a premium amid widespread reports
that large wholesale chains were
hoarding cash which they would later sell
at a premium to banks and other
institutions.
The shortages of local currency have resulted in most
people spending
a large part of their time queuing for cash.
By Stanley Taderera
Business Reporter
Daily News
None but ourselves
TORMENTED Zimbabweans
will again face starvation in the 2004-to-2005
period because the government
has predictably failed to do basic planning.
Barely two months
before the onset of the main agricultural season,
Zimbabwe does not have fuel
or fertiliser, two of the most critically needed
resources – other than land
– to ensure successful food production.
And when the two vital
commodities are available, prices -- which
according to the Herald newspaper
went up by about 75 percent last month –
are beyond the reach of poor
villagers, or as the government calls them,
"new farmers", resettled on farms
seized from white commercial producers.
Needless to mention the
thriving black market where unscrupulous
traders levy extortionate prices for
fertiliser and fuel.
And yet the government could, and should
have, foreseen the crisis
coming and taken adequate measures to ensure that
farmers would be able to
produce enough food for Zimbabwe.
The foreign currency crisis, the real reason why manufacturing
companies are
failing to produce enough fertiliser – because they are unable
to import
chemicals and other materials needed to produce the commodity –
has been with
us since the government launched this country on the path to
ruin four years
ago.
Galloping inflation, now pegged at an all-time high of
399.5 percent,
should have been another clear indicator to Agriculture
Minister Joseph
Made, if he cared, that the price of fertiliser would rise be
beyond the
reach of the "new farmers".
The government should
also have ensured that some of the very little
foreign currency trickling
into the country was not wasted on trips
attending useless summits and
conferences on this or that issue, but was set
aside to pay for fuel for
farmers to till the land.
The basic point is Made and his colleagues should have planned ahead.
They should have
mobilised whatever farming inputs were needed to
ensure the country was able
to produce enough food when there was still
ample time to do so, and when
prices were much lower than they are now.
For President Robert
Mugabe to be running around to Malaysia and other
places – literally at the
eleventh hour – in search of fertiliser, merely
confirms what many
Zimbabweans know already: that this country has been
mismanaged to the point
of betrayal.
For the lack of proper planning, Zimbabwe, which
faces famine this
year unless donors chip in with 700 000 tonnes of food aid,
must endure
hunger again next year and beyond even if the country receives
enough rains
in the coming farming season.
Just like all the
other plagues afflicting Zimbabwe, shortages of
local currency, essential
medical drugs, electricity and several other
crises could have been prevented
only if the government had stopped to think
and plan before
acting.
But more importantly, Zimbabwe could have been saved
from collapse if
only Zimbabweans themselves had stood up to the excesses of
a power-drunk
dictatorship.
And no one else but Zimbabweans
can salvage this once prosperous and
proud nation from further
disaster.
The international community, no matter how well
meaning, can only
offer solidarity and support. But the ball is really in the
court of every
one of the 11,6 million Zimbabweans.
Daily News
Sewage forces Dzivaresekwa families to abandon
homes
At LEAST two families in Harare’s Dzivaresekwa Two
high-density
suburb have been forced to leave their homes and seek shelter
elsewhere
because of raw sewage flowing into their homes from blocked
municipal sewer
pipes.
Another 20 families in the crowded
suburb told the Daily News
yesterday that every morning they have to clear
their houses of raw sewage
overflowing from bathrooms and
toilets.
“We have had to remove some of the furniture from the
house as it
might get damaged as every morning the house will be almost
flooded with raw
sewage,” one of the residents, Elina Chisale,
told
a Daily News crew that visited Dzivaresekwa
yesterday.
Chisale said while she and her family were still
living in the suburb,
some of her neighbours had send their children away for
fear they could
contract diseases from the raw sewage water
gushing
out of broken and blocked pipes every day.
She said: “If we had somewhere to go we would have left this area
until the
situation is resolved. We are being forced to live under these
unhealthy
conditions and we fear that there could be a
serious outbreak if
the situation remains like this.”
Some of the roads in the
suburb are almost impassable as they are
flooded with the raw sewage, while
swarms of green flies could be seen
flying in and around
homes.
The city needs at least $6 billion to refurbish and
upgrade the
dilapidated sewerage system.
Harare City Council
spokesman Cuthbert Rwazemba would not comment on
the matter when
contacted by this newspaper yesterday.
He said he was unaware
of the situation in Dzivaresekwa and said he
would only comment
on the matter after visiting the suburb.
Rwazemba said: “I am
not aware of the situation there. I will have to
visit the site and then make
an informed comment.”
But some of the residents interviewed by
this newspaper said they had
reported the blocked sewer pipes to the city’s
department of works but the
department, in charge of maintaining the city’s
collapsing sewer system, was
still to respond to their pleas for
help.
“We have been having constant breakdowns of the sewer
tanks for some
time but this is just too much and to make matters worse the
city council is
not even bothering to come and monitor the situation,” said
another
resident, who spoke on condition she was not named.
Burst and blocked sewer pipes have become a common sight in several
of
Harare’s overcrowded high-density suburbs such as
Dzivaresekwa.
The cash-strapped Harare City Council says it
requires $6 billion to
refurbish a sewer system that has virtually collapsed
under the weight of a
population far bigger than its designed
capacity.
By Lawrence Paganga
Staff Reporter
Daily News
Region stands by troubled
Dar es Salaam –
South African President Thabo Mbeki and his
Zimbabwean counterpart President
Robert Mugabe held talks late into the
night – presumably to discuss the
latest developments in Zimbabwe – after
the first day of the Southern Africa
Development Community (SADC) leadership
summit.
SADC leaders
officially declared their solidarity with Mugabe on
Tuesday, despite a heated
debate on the handling of the Zimbabwe issue and
the negative impact it could
have on the region. At certain times, they were
apparently very emotional and
divided on the issue.
The members of SADC maintained that the
United States of America and
the European Union should rather enter into
constructive debate with
Zimbabwe than institute sanctions. At the end of the
second day of the 23rd
SADC summit in Tanzania, the leaders agreed that
sanctions negatively
affected not only the citizens of Zimbabwe, but also the
entire region.
They stressed that SADC would not be divided by
the Zimbabwe issue,
which could mean that the countries that voted for reform
were in the
minority.
The SADC leaders expressed their
commitment to assist Zimbabwe in
finding and implementing solutions. They
planned to build on the positive
developments “that are taking place at
present” in the search for lasting
solutions.
These
developments probably referred to negotiations between the
ruling Zanu PF
party and the
opposition Movement for Democratic Change. –
Reuter
Daily News
Fresh farm evictions reported
THE few
white farmers still remaining on the land yesterday accused
the government
and suspected ruling ZANU PF supporters of launching a fresh
blitz of
evictions against them in the last two weeks.
Some of the
farmers interviewed by the Daily News yesterday said the
new wave of
evictions appeared aimed at driving the about 400 remaining
white farmers off
the land.
Lands and Agriculture Minister Joseph Made could not
be reached for
comment on the matter by the time of going to print last
night.
But Made told the state-run Zimbabwe Broadcasting
Corporation
yesterday that the government was still acquiring more farms
for
redistribution to landless blacks despite the government announcing
in
August last year that it had completed its controversial and chaotic
land
reforms.
Both the Commercial Farmers’ Union (CFU) and
the Justice for
Agriculture, (JAG), which represent the country’s remaining
white commercial
farmers, yesterday said that close to 200 farms had been
listed in the last
two weeks.
The two groups also said that
disruption of farming operations had
picked up during the last fortnight,
with some farmers reportedly forcibly
driven off their
properties.
The new wave of evictions and destabilisation would
almost certainly
derail preparations for this year’s tobacco planting season,
which is
expected to begin next Monday.
CFU president Doug
Taylor-Freeme said, “There has been a serious
intensification (in evictions)
in the past two weeks. Over a hundred farms
are being listed each week but
there seems to be more of this jambanja
(violence) element
involved.
“A lot of farmers are being given less than 24 hours
to leave their
farms. We are also aware that some senior government officials
are involved
behind the scenes to push farmers out completely using this
renewed
jambanja. All the Mashonaland provinces are affected, and pockets
of
Manicaland as well.”
JAG director Hart Wynand said: “We
understand that the operation (to
evict farmers) emerged from the top offices
and is code-named Clean Sweep
and it has affected farmers who already have a
crop on the ground and those
who were just about to plant.
“Most farmers who were supposed to prepare for the tobacco season have
had to
put everything on hold
because of the high activity taking place.
They want to kill off
agriculture completely.”
Taylor-Freeme
predicted a sharp fall in tobacco production this
season, saying some growers
of the golden leaf had abandoned preparations
for tobacco planting after
being driven off their farms.
The CFU boss said this year’s crop
was likely to fall below 50 million
kilogrammes.
Tobacco
output has been in freefall since the government began its
controversial land
reform programme in 2000 and has plummeted from over 200
million kgs three
years ago to a paltry
85 million kgs last year. Tobacco is
hard-cash-starved Zimbabwe’s
biggest foreign exchange earner.
Taylor-Freeme said:
“Unless a miracle happens and all this
violence is stopped this week,
then we are going to miss the next (tobacco)
season.
“We are fast coming to a situation where agriculture is
being driven
into irrelevance as far as this country’s economy is concerned.
The
government should immediately remove all this conflict from agriculture,
if
we are to salvage this sector.”
Staff Reporter
Daily News
Stop the rot
NOTHING more aptly
demonstrates the implosion in the country’s
higher and tertiary education
sector than reports that less than half of
this year’s potential graduates of
the University of Zimbabwe (UZ) will be
capped today.
According to the UZ’s Students’ Executive Council, only 3 500 out of
a
possible 10 000 graduands will graduate today.
Why?
Because yet again, a crisis that most people saw developing
several weeks ago
was allowed to deteriorate until it got out of hand.
After
unsuccessfully trying to engage the government on their salaries
and working
conditions, lecturers have thrown in the towel in disgust and
have not been
reporting for duty since early this month.
They stress that
they are not on strike. They simply cannot afford to
go to work, where they
are needed to mark students’ examination scripts and
process
results.
Despite attempts by the Ministry of Higher and
Tertiary Education to
entice them back to work by promising to increase their
salaries, most of
the lecturers seem to be taking the attitude that this is
too little too
late.
The implications of this stand-off on
final-year students are clear
for all to see. At a time when jobs are so hard
to come by and every
advantage must be exploited, many UZ students could be
forced to delay going
out to seek employment.
The
certificates they should have been awarded by the university would
certainly
have given them an edge over other job seekers. But God only knows
when these
students are likely to finally get these important pieces
of
paper.
Of course, this debacle will also do nothing for
the image of the
country’s premier institution of higher
learning.
This at a time when the image of Zimbabwe’s education
sector has
already been dealt a body blow by the scandals and corruption
charges that
have dogged the Zimbabwe Schools’ Examinations Council, an
institution that
has become the butt of jokes because it has been known to
award bogus
certificates to people who have not even seen the inside of an
exam room.
Clearly, if Zimbabwe continues to take its education
sector so
lightly, the gains made in the past 23 years will be eroded
beyond
redemption.
Indeed, it will not be surprising if
foreign schools and universities
resort to asking Zimbabwean students to take
extra exams to demonstrate
their competence.
They must,
after all, protect their own standards and there are
indications that ours
have plummeted to alarming levels.
It is time that parents and
civic groups began to insist that the
government stems the rot in Zimbabwe’s
education sector.
It is time that all stakeholders began to
demand increased funding for
education and the provision of adequate
resources so that public schools,
colleges and universities can retain
competent staff.
It is unacceptable that Zimbabwe should continue
to pay its educators
starvation wages, or that students should be expected to
learn when they do
not have books, let alone basic necessities such as chalk
and pencils.
With regard to the UZ lecturers, the government
must ensure that it
seriously engages these disgruntled and clearly
disillusioned people in a
bid to resolve the crisis that is facing Zimbabwe’s
main university.
That the government would choose to proceed
with today’s farce of a
graduation ceremony is an indication of the arrogance
that is partly
responsible for the economic crisis that has led to the
lecturers’ strike.
Such attempts to pretend that everything is
fine when things are, in
fact, falling apart, will resolve nothing but will
just aggravate an already
difficult situation.
It is time
problems with serious national consequences were treated
with the respect
they deserve.
Daily News
Imprudent to issue threats that cannot be
sustained
ZIMBABWE is in a state of suspended equilibrium or
“precarious
balance”, some would say.
It stands dangerously on
the edge of a steep precipice and a slight
push in the wrong direction will
tilt it over, to the common ruin of
everyone.
There is a
palpable air of frustration, fatigue, nervousness and a
deep sense of
hopelessness and foreboding.
Zimbabweans are living each day as
it comes and planning is now a
futile exercise whether in domestic of
corporate affairs. The only
predictable thing about Zimbabwean socio-economic
and political life is its
unpredictability.
Frustration and
disillusionment now run deep in the masses and the
political leadership of
both the political establishment and the opposition.
The masses yearn for
some kind of credible assurances from their leaders
that the current syndrome
of crises is a temporary aberration and not a
permanent feature of our
troubled country. In short, that there is light at
the end of the tunnel and
that the tunnel is short.
HOPE
The prospect of
a serious dialogue process provided such a rare
occasion for hope for the
otherwise hopeless. The ZANU PF hawks have
extinguished whatever light was at
the end of a tunnel that is getting
longer every day.
There
is a sense in which hopelessness is the mother of irrationality,
in politics
and elsewhere. And this brings us to the position of the MDC
with respect to
its adversary, the ruling ZANU PF party.
I strongly suspect a
disturbing sense of exasperation in the MDC and
an indication that its search
for viable options of achieving the envisioned
democratic change has reached
exhaustion point.
To understand this, one needs to situate the
MDC’s stance in the
context of the shifting ZANU PF strategies in its
dealings with the MDC.
Since the emergence of the MDC as the
only opposition party with a
real and credible chance of capturing power on a
national scale and,
therefore dislodging, ZANU PF from State House, the
latter reacted by
seeking, not only to contain the MDC, but annihilating it
from the Zimbabwe
political landscape.
It engaged in the
political game of “wipe out”, in which one player,
in this case ZANU PF,
insists on total domination and when that player
confronts resistance (in the
form of the MDC), it employs brute force to
wipe out the
enemy.
The appeal is to the use of force, even as a first
resort, to win the
game in the fierce gladiation for power. The alleged
violent involvement of
war veterans, party militants, the “Green Bombers” and
the formal
instruments of state violence can be viewed in this
light.
In this game of power politics, the opponent must
surrender or be
wiped out! One is reminded of the Greek historian Thucydides
in his History
of the Peloponnesian War, which is about the savage war
between two mortal
political enemies. The Athenians (the strong state)
declare candidly to
their enemy: “You know as well as we do that right, as
the world goes, is
only in question between equals in power . . . The strong
do what they can
and the weak suffer what they must.”
But
then this strategy is not only motivated by might is right – it is
also
crude, overt, visible and costly materially and in terms of the
domestic and
international image of the perpetrators. Few governments can
sustain a heavy
and concerted campaign of negative publicity, thus the
government’s
determined attempts to repackage itself and counter the
adverse
publicity.
This appears to explain its shift from a
strategy of “wipe out” to
that of “wear and tear”. While as the former
strategy and its grisly outputs
can be seen with the naked eye, the latter
strategy is silent, subtle,
covert, and more politically efficient than the
crude “wipe out”.
ZANU-PF’s hide-and-seek game with the
churchmen on the dialogue
process is in all likelihood part of this new
strategy. It entails wearing
down and psychologically tearing your enemy
without seeking its
annihilation.
The relatively peaceful
campaign for the forthcoming two by-elections
and council elections is
evidence of this new thrust. It does not
necessarily mean that “wipe out” has
been abandoned, but that it is now a
strategy of last and not first resort;
it has been subordinated to that of
wear and tear.
The MDC
does not appear to have a coherent and credible response to it
this shift in
the strategy of the ruling party.
TALK OR ELSE This was most
starkly revealed over the weekend when the
MDC leader addressed his Gweru
supporters in his “Let’s talk or else” speech
(Daily News 25 October, 2003).
Morgan Tsvangirai’s comments clearly betrayed
a deep sense of frustration not
only at the blocked dialogue process, but
also an incapacity to articulate a
workable option. “Let’s talk or else” has
an in-built threat, a threat of
negative sanctions in case of
non-compliance.
Threats, in
politics and in war, must be credible and doable to be
taken seriously. It is
highly dangerous to issue threats that cannot be
activated should there be
non-submission to the threat. A dog that always
barks but never bites can be
worse than one that does neither; the former
lulls its owner into a false
sense of security. Tsvangirai’s answer: “If
there are no formal talks by 1
October, then the window of opportunity which
we had opened will be closed
and we will shift our focus to the presidential
election court challenge . .
. ” This is the first leg of the MDC’s
two-legged strategy.
But
how can this be a credible threat when it has already been
activated and ZANU
PF itself has challenged the MDC not to withdraw the
court case? Then there
is the second leg of the threat: “We have not
abandoned mass action as an
option. We will revisit it if there are no
formal talks by the beginning of
November . . . ”.
I find this threat implausible given the recent
history of attempted
organised mass action in this country, the latest in
June this year. I have
said it before, and I restate the point that
present-day Zimbabwe does not
have a critical mass of citizens that can
support and sustain an organised
mass action.
You cannot have
mass action without mass activists. Zimbabweans are
heavily inclined to
passive resistance and not a frontal assault on the
state. When aggrieved,
Zimbabweans can at best withdraw from the state but
not combat it. This is
the harsh reality that ZANU PF has long realised and
taken full advantage of.
The MDC has to contemplate ways of confronting the
government, minus mass
action; they have the parlous state of the economy as
an ally.
It is in this light that I find Tsvangirai’s “Let’s talk or else”
speech
problematic if not dangerous. It is dangerous in that threats that
are not
capable of being activated create a false sense of confidence that
is quickly
deflated once the deadline arrives and passes without any “or
else”. This
generates a dangerous crisis of expectations that can quickly
mutate into a
crisis of confidence in the political leadership.
These are the
dangers inherent in threats that lack credibility in the
practical world of
politics to which all politicians must descend.
Eldred Masunungure
is the head of the University of Zimbabwe’s
political and administrative
studies department.
Daily News
RBZ to monitor foreign currency flows
daily
Business Reporter
BANKS are now required
to furnish the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ)
with daily
information on foreign currency inflows and outflows, amid worsening
hard
cash shortages, it was learnt this week.
Banking officials said the
measures had been put in place “by mutual
consent” between financial
institutions and the central bank.
The officials said the
new directive altered an earlier one, under which banks had to
disclose
information on hard cash inflows and outflows on a weekly
basis.
It was not possible yesterday to secure comment from acting
RBZ
governor Charles Chikaura, but an official with the Bankers’ Association
of
Zimbabwe (BAZ) told the Business Daily: “A week is a long time in
the
current environment.
“The measures were effected by mutual
consent and we hope the
development will create better understanding between
us and the central
bank.”
He said the directive was
issued about 10 days ago.
The BAZ official added that bankers
believed the requirement to
furnish the Reserve Bank with foreign currency
information “more often”
would enable them to prove that they were not
hoarding hard cash so that
they could trade it on the parallel market for
forex.
Financial institutions have been accused of being major
players on the
illegal black market, where the bulk of
Zimbabwe’s hard cash transactions take place.
Bankers said at a
meeting held on Monday with the central bank,
Chikaura reiterated that
financial institutions found illegally trading on
the parallel market would
have their licences revoked.
The Reserve Bank has in the past
imposed hefty fines on banks involved
in unofficial forex trade, and has
threatened to take tougher action if the
practice continues.
Zimbabwe, in its fifth year of economic recession, has been critically
short
of foreign exchange due to poorly performing exports, which have
dipped by
more than 50 percent.
The hard cash crisis has contributed to
shortages of fuel, and has
made it difficult for Zimbabwe to import
the special ink and paper needed to print bank notes, leading to a
cash
crisis.
Bankers said at this week’s meeting, the continuing
cash shortages
were discussed, with the central bank asking banks to
“incentivise deposits”
and ensure as much local cash flowed into the system
“by whatever means,
even it means increasing interest rates”.
The cash crisis has forced banks to ration money, with some
financial
institutions allowing their clients to withdraw as
little as $1 000 a day.
A large number of people are being forced
to spend a significant
amount of their time in winding queues for cash.
Daily News
Talks should focus on handing power to
MDC
IT IS a measure of the desperation of Zimbabweans that the
political
parties’ “talks about talks” had initially been greeted with so
much energy
and enthusiasm.
Sadly, however, this is simply
dangerous, misleading nonsense. The
country knows full well –
and to its enormous cost – that in dealing with ZANU PF, the time for
talking
has not begun, but, in fact, ended a long time ago.
Does anyone in
their right mind really believe that the ZANU PF
leopard has changed its
spots? That the party which prides itself that “ZANU
is bloody” and has
“degrees in violence” will seriously sit down and
negotiate any “free and
fair” election which would only secure its exit from
power?
Of
course not.
ZANU PF is nothing but a bunch of thugs and thieves,
and like any
violent bully, understands only two things – action and the
threat of
action. That ZANU PF is even rumoured to be considering negotiation
is only
because of the very pressure brought to bear by the forces of
opposition. It
is thus reassuring to note that in the letters columns in the
independent
Press, the realists have been hitting back. Thankfully, those who
had been
vilified as “MDC hard-liners” for opposing talks with ZANU PF have
pointed
out the sheer inanity of such criticism.
In particular,
the cheap, easy allegations that it was “irresponsible”
and “selfish” for the
two major political antagonists to maintain their
conflict completely ignored
– with breathtaking stupidity – that we are not
dealing with a question of
equals here.
CORRUPTION
The very reason why
MDC – and indeed the whole opposition and
pro-democracy movement – came about
in the first place was due to the
overweening corruption, kleptocracy and
arrogance of ZANU PF – a party
which, daring to call itself “government,”
turned to the brutal repression
of innocent people once it realised its
future was doomed.
Just how can one compare equally the party of
“Green Bombers”, “war
veterans” and associated riff-raff with the
non-violent, reasoned,
courageous MDC?
The South African
government, and other African and Arab states, might
wish to perpetuate this
myth for their own self-serving purposes, but
Zimbabweans have had ample,
painful experience to know better.
Apply whatever metaphor you
wish, but “supping with the devil” will
never produce the liberation of
Zimbabwe from ZANU PF.
Let us just say if – and this is a big “if”
– the negotiations do
indeed lead to a commitment from ZANU PF to fresh
elections . . . even under
the much-needed international supervision, is it
not obvious that ZANU PF’s
interest in such talks would only be to once again
gerrymander the usual
deceitful results for itself?
HAND-OVER
In fact, the talks should not even be about fresh
elections, but
rather the handing over of the keys to the MDC president who
is – as
everyone apart from certain South African “observers” knows full well
– the
rightfully elected President of Zimbabwe as of March 2002. In other
words,
we should be demanding the hand-over of power, not letting ZANU PF off
the
hook to fight again!
Which brings us back to the original
contention – that there is no
point in talking at all unless and until ZANU
PF is willing to concede, not
negotiate. And even if they are prepared to
concede, this would from their
side only be on condition that their hides be
spared. Given the track record
of ZANU PF’s human rights abuses, the MDC
should also be tough here. There
are those who say that ZANU PF is indeed a
necessity in a post-ZANU PF
government, to preserve the function of
multi-party democracy. This is
another serious mistake.
A
democratic plurality is indeed a desirable thing, but not with ZANU
PF. In
the same way that post-1945 Germany had to be de-Nazified and
present-day
Iraq de-Baathified, the ZANU PF edifice should be
utterly
destroyed.
You cannot negotiate with an animal that’s
out of control – it has to
be finished off once and for all. In the same
vein, the criminal should be
punished for his evil ways, not
rewarded!
As for those who have suffered enough and desperately cry
for a deal
with the animal to relieve the pain, this is indeed a tempting,
sympathetic
thought, but does not stand up. There will be no relief from the
suffering
as long as ZANU PF is in any form still present as an actor in the
drama.
There will simply be none of the crucial support from
the
international donor agencies and monetary institutions and no investor
will
confidently support the country while the animal is still alive, kicking
and
manipulating.
It may sound a tough, unyielding approach, but
to carry the struggle
through to its final, logical conclusion is the only
way. So much sacrifice
has already been made that it would be letting down
those who have fallen,
been maimed, tortured or raped – and indeed the people
as a whole – if the
movement were to soften its stance at the last
hurdle.
NEGOTIATE NOW The MDC’s mass action did not fail
because President
Robert Mugabe had men of violence ready to mow down
protesters. It failed
because Mugabe knew that the people were afraid of him.
And it is for the
very reason that he knows in his heart that the moment that
fear goes will
spell his end that he is prepared to negotiate now. Don’t let
him get away
with it. But when Tsvangirai calls again for action, we must be
there with
him. If not, the only result will be a pointless compromise which
will not
allow Zimbabwe to breathe again as a free nation – free from ZANU
PF.