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Bleak Christmas ahead for weary Zimbabweans

Reuters

Fri 21 Dec 2007, 12:35 GMT

By Nelson Banya

HARARE, Dec 21 (Reuters Life!) - Workers in one of Harare's big department
stores stock shelves with luxury goods only the rich can afford, while at an
adjacent bank ordinary Zimbabweans are clamouring for cash which is the
latest thing in short supply.

Despite the store's tinsel, Christmas trees and Santa Claus figurines, for
most Zimbabweans celebrations will be muted in this southern African country
struggling with sky-high inflation and unemployment and severe economic
crisis.

"It is no exaggeration to say Christmas has effectively been removed from
our calendar," said James Tsomondo, a clerk with an insurance firm, as he
queued outside a bank.

Even the Christmas carol proclaiming 'joy to the world' in the upmarket
Barbours department store, once a hive of festive season shopping but now
largely deserted, rings like a dirge.

"These decorations are a custom we have to keep up, but it is increasingly
getting pointless putting up something that says 'merry Christmas' when
there is no merriment," said a shop attendant.

Barbours' shelves are stocked with expensive imported goods which only
wealthy Zimbabweans can afford.

Other Harare shops reported slow business with the scant activity mostly
confined to Chinese stores that have mushroomed across the city selling
cheap items such as clothes and household basics.

Chinese imports have proved a hit in Zimbabwe, where the world's highest
inflation rate, at almost 8,000 percent, has ravaged incomes.

NOTHING TO CHEER

As the year draws to a close -- banknotes have joined the long list of
shortages that include food, fuel, foreign currency and electricity -- 
triggering long queues at banks as desperate shoppers seek cash to buy
necessities ahead of the holidays.

"One would have hoped to rest, not celebrate because there's nothing to
cheer, over the holidays. Not to be hunting for cash, after which you would
have to scrounge for food," Tsomondo said.

The central bank announced the introduction of higher-value Z$750,000 ($25
at the official exchange rate and $0.47 on the black market), Z$500,000 and
Z$250,000 notes on Wednesday to ease the shortage, but the measure had no
immediate impact on long queues at banks.

Even the highest denomination note cannot buy a loaf of bread, which costs
between Z$800,000 and Z$1million.

A controversial decision by President Robert Mugabe to freeze prices in June
left bare shop shelves as basic foodstuffs -- many already in short
supply -- quickly ran out.

Bread, milk, cooking oil, maize meal and sugar are hard to find but
available on the black market at inflated prices.

Transport problems, caused by chronic fuel shortages, have also adversely
affected urban Zimbabweans' customary trip back to rural areas in the
Christmas season.

Those who manage the trip have to endure hours in queues as the few
roadworthy buses line up for subsidised government fuel.

Many Zimbabweans look at the New Year with trepidation.

"This year has been bad, I wonder how much worse it will get next year,"
says Patience Machingura, a mother of five.

"That's why I cannot be caught up in the Christmas excitement, only to
struggle to buy (school) uniforms and pay school fees, come January," she
added.

Some still look forward to celebrating Christmas, despite the gloom. Garikai
Mandebvu, a Zimbabwean resident in the United Kingdom, says he is shocked at
how things have changed for the worse since he visited last year.

"It is a shock, but the biggest surprise is the fact that people here have
survived it all," Mandebvu said. "For me, that's enough cause for
celebration with my family, just like the good old days." (Editing by Marius
Bosch and Peter Millership)


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Banks Ordered to Open All Weekend As Banks Run Out of New Notes


SW Radio Africa (London)

21 December 2007
Posted to the web 21 December 2007

Tererai Karimakwenda

The new denominations of currency introduced by the Reserve Bank (RBZ) on
Thursday began to circulate Friday morning and long queues appeared again at
banks in the capital. Our Harare correspondent Simon Muchemwa made the
rounds to monitor progress and reported that most banks had run out of the
new notes by 11:00 Friday morning.

Muchemwa said bank managers announced that a second batch was expected to be
delivered in the afternoon. But as of 5:30 P.M. no money had arrived.
Stressed out managers told those who were still hanging around that the
banks had received a directive from the RBZ to remain open all weekend and
on Monday, in order to make sure people got money for the holidays. Muchemwa
laughed at what he described as the usual mismanagement by the RBZ, for
having failed to deliver enough money on time.

Our correspondent said there has been a lot of panic buying by those who had
bundles of money outside the formal banking system. Electronic appliances
are the popular item. Because they are expensive they allow the buyer to use
up their old Z$200,000 bearers' cheques that are due to expire December
31st.

Muchemwa observed that many items such as DVD players and televisions had
increased in price drastically overnight. He said a television that cost
Z$100 million on Thursday had been raised to Z$124 million by Friday. He
believes some businesses are taking advantage of the December 31st deadline.

Higher denominations of local currency were introduced by the RBZ in an
attempt to address the cash shortages that have gripped the nation. The new
denominations are Z$250,000, Z$500,000 and Z$750,000. Experts have said the
new notes may solve the problem of cash shortages for now, but with the
unofficial inflation rate estimated to be close to 100,000%, cash shortages
will return very soon.


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Wrong monetary policy fuelling crisis, says MDC

Zim Online

by Prince Nyathi  Saturday 22 December 2007

HARARE – Wrong and ill-thought out monetary policies by Reserve Bank of
Zimbabwe (RBZ) governor Gideon Gono have helped plunge the country deeper
into recession, the main opposition Movement for Democratic Change (MDC)
party said on Friday.

The party, which labelled Gono an “economic saboteur,” said while he was not
solely to blame for Zimbabwe’s crisis, he should however take the blame for
policies that have helped fuel the black market and wreck market confidence
in the banking sector.

“Gono should stop his usual blame game on imaginary enemies of the state
such as business, banks and other people he refuses to name without taking
some of the flak himself,” said the faction of the MDC led by Morgan
Tsvangirai.

Zimbabwe is in the grip of a debilitating political and economic crisis that
is marked by hyperinflation, a rapidly contracting GDP, the fastest for a
country not at war according to the World Bank and shortages of foreign
currency, food and fuel.

The southern African nation has in recent months faced a fresh shortage of
its own currency, forcing Gono to intervene by introducing this week new and
higher denominated notes for the inflation ravaged country.

Gono last week blamed the cash shortages on “illegal cash barons” he said
included senior officials of President Robert Mugabe’s ruling ZANU PF party
and government, who he said were hoarding cash for use to finance deals on
the black market.

However, economic experts say Gono is partly to blame after prescribing
sometimes-populist monetary policies often in a bid to appease the political
leadership of the country.

For example, the International Monetary Fund has long criticised Gono for
fuelling inflation through quasi-fiscal activities that have seen the
central bank pumping trillions of Zimbabwe dollars into financing newly
resettled black farmers, most of whom are ruling ZANU PF party supporters
and who have failed to produce enough food to feed the nation.

Gono, who could not be reached for comment, insists he has done the best a
central bank governor could have possibly done under the kind of conditions
obtaining in Zimbabwe.

The MDC said the biggest victims of Gono’s controversial policies were
ordinary citizens many of who have had to spend countless productive hours
waiting in queues in banking halls trying to withdraw money as the country
grappled cash shortages.

 “Zimbabweans are spending productive time in bank queues, which further
cripples the economy. The Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe governor is clearly the
biggest saboteur of our economy,” the MDC said in the statement signed by
its secretary for economic affairs, Elton Mangoma. - ZimOnline


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Currency measures short-term deterrent to speculators

Zim Online

by Never Chanda Saturday 22 December 2007

HARARE – Zimbabwean speculators will live to fight another day after the
country’s central bank moved in to contain a potentially crippling cash
crisis in a move described by analysts as “reactionary” and lacking the
killer punch necessary to improve economic performance.

The analysts said the current cash crisis was the clearest manifestation of
the government’s ill-conceived strategy to informalise the economy.

Since Zimbabwe’s problems started in 2000, most economic activities have
been in the hands of informal sector operators, the bulk of whom operate on
a cash basis and do not have bank accounts.

“This has meant that most banknotes are in the hands of the informal traders
and not the so-called cash barons as the (central bank) governor would want
the whole world to believe,” said a Harare-based investment banker who could
not be named for professional reasons.

Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ) governor Gideon Gono on Wednesday unveiled a
new family of bearer cheques and abolished the Z$200 000 notes in a move
meant to improve the availability of cash in the economy and to beat
so-called cash barons he blamed for feeding a three-month-old shortage of
banknotes.

Under the measures announced during a televised broadcast, the RBZ chief
introduced new higher denomination notes of Z$250 000, Z$500 000 and Z$750
000 and ordered Zimbabweans toreturn the Z$200 000 bearer cheques to banks
as they would cease to be legal tender from 1 January 2008.

He also threatened banks with closure if they ignored the Z$50 million limit
for those wishing to deposit the “demonetised” $200 000 notes.

He effectively quarantined the rural areas to ensure town-folks do not use
financial institutions in those areas to deposit money ahead of the
deadline.

The analysts said Gono’s new measures were a temporary solution that will
only dent short-term demand for cash and would not stand the test of time
unless accompanied by other more comprehensive measures.

“They will temporarily cut down speculative activities. But unless there are
other economic changes, we will see speculators coming back soon,” said
Bulawayo-based economic commentator Eric Bloch.

He said the number one prize for Gono would be to urgently address the
scourge of Zimbabwe’s world record inflation.

Zimbabwe’s inflation was estimated at nearly 15 000 percent last October and
could be higher because the Harare authorities have not released the key
economic data since September.

University of Zimbabwe political scientist Eldred Masunungure said
speculators would outlive the new measures and urged Gono to come up with
more fundamental policy interventions that remove the current supply
bottlenecks in the economy.

“The new measures will not dent the appetite for speculative activities
because, as long as the governor does not come up with fundamental policy
interventions, the speculators will always find ways of circumventing and
surviving these measures,” Masunungure told ZimOnline.

Zimbabwe is in the throes of an economic crisis currently in its eighth
year, which has manifested itself in acute shortages of foreign currency to
import raw materials and stunted growth.

The country’s manufacturing sector has been operating at below 30 percent of
capacity, resulting in shortages of most basic commodities and the attendant
runaway inflation. - ZimOnline


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ZANU PF councilor diverts 165 bags of maize to black market

Zim Online

by Lizwe Sebatha Saturday 22 December 2007

BULAWAYO – A ruling ZANU PF councilor has been dragged to court on
corruption charges for allegedly diverting 165 bags of scarce maize meant
for starving villagers to the black market.

Reuben Dube, the councilor for Malungu ward in Lupane district, was
arrested last Thursday as part of a police crackdown launched two weeks ago
on corrupt practices in grain distribution.

Lupane, which lies in the dry Matabeleland North province, is battling
severe food shortages after poor harvests last farming season.

Lupane magistrate, Edwin Marecha, on Wednesday remanded Dube in
custody until the 24 of December to allow the police to finalise
investigations into the matter.

Dube is being accused of swindling the state-controlled Grain
Marketing Board (GMB) after he misrepresented to the grain firm that he was
buying the 156 bags of maize for starving villagers in his ward.

The state says Dube later sold the maize at the parallel market at an
inflated price.

Deputy officer commanding police in Matabeleland North responsible for
operations, Assistant Commissioner Christopher Gora said at least 100 people
have also been arrested over the past two weeks for illegally selling grain.

Zimbabwe is battling severe food shortages after poor harvest last
farming season. The food crisis has also been worsened by the failure by new
black farmers resettled on former white farms to maintain production.

A shortage of fertilizer and seed is likely to hit hard plans by the
Zimbabwean government to achieve food self-sufficiency next year forcing the
Harare authorities to rely on food handouts from international donors. -
ZimOnline


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Zimbabwe Crisis Talks On Hold; Debate Over Amendments Continues

VOA

By Blessing Zulu and Carole Gombakomba
Washington
21 December 2007

Zimbabwean ruling party and opposition negotiators engaged in crisis
resolution talks who were expected to resume their discussions on Friday
have pushed off their next round of negotiations until January, sources in
Pretoria, South Africa, said.

Justice Minister Patrick Chinamasa asked to be excused saying he would be
attending a weekend memorial service for his son, who died recently. On the
opposition side, Secretary General Tendai Biti of the Movement for
Democratic Change faction of Morgan Tsvangirai also indicated that he has
family business to attend to.

Pretoria sources said the talks will now resume January 2, adding that when
the two sides return, President Thabo Mbeki of South Africa, mediator in the
talks on behalf of the Southern African Development Community, will seek to
break the impasse that has arisen in the talks despite apparently
significant progress on a number of issues.

The opposition says a new constitution must be adopted before elections are
held, but the ZANU-PF team says there is not enough time, given President
Robert Mugabe's recent declaration that elections must be held in March
"without fail."

Opposition officials say ZANU-PF reneged on a promise to adopt a new
constitution before the elections in exchange for support by the opposition
for a constitutional amendment overhauling the electoral system passed in
September.

Ruling party sources say their delegates will offer to prove their
commitment to a new constitution by publishing it officially - though not
implementing it until after elections.

Cape Town-based political analyst Glen Mpani told reporter Blessing Zulu of
VOA's Studio 7 for Zimbabwe that the latest postponement is discouraging.

Despite reservations expressed by civic groups and some MDC members, ZANU-PF
and both factions of the opposition joined forces in parliament to pass
amendments to the country's security, media, broadcasting and electoral laws
this past week.

But the amendments have come under fire from civil society activists who say
these changes are cosmetic and serve ZANU-PF interests.

Though both MDC factions agreed to these amendments, some members of the
rival formations are less than enthusiastic about the amendments, Tsvangirai
formation spokesman Nelson Chamisa saying repressive laws should be entirely
repealed.

But Legal Affairs Secretary David Coltart of the MDC formation of Arthur
Mutambara the amendments represent a step toward democracy even if they fall
short.

For a further discussion of the question, reporter Carole Gombakomba spoke
with Coltart and Advocacy Coordinator Abel Chikomo of the Media Monitoring
Project, who said he believes the opposition may have been snookered by the
ruling party.


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State of disaster declared in Mash Central as 9 more drown in floods



By Tererai Karimakwenda
21 December, 2007

State owned media reported Thursday that the Governor of Mashonaland
Central, Ephraim Masawi, has declared Muzarabani District a national
disaster. This is after reports that nine more people have drowned in
flooded rivers around the country, and extensive flooding has caused serious
damage in Chiredzi and Chivi districts of Masvingo province. The Herald
newspaper said that the Department of Meteorological Services expected rains
to continue into Christmas, but with less intensity. There is great concern
that the authorities do not have the resources to provide adequate
assistance for flood victims.

According to The Herald, a father and his two children were swept away on
Wednesday as they tried to cross the flooded Shashe River in Chivi. The
police sub aqua unit and local villagers found only one body and are still
searching for the other two.

The bodies of two other children are still missing after they were swept
away while trying to cross flooded rivers in Gutu and Mwenezi.

Also missing is the body of Norleen Kalengano of Chitanga communal lands in
Mwenezi. She was reportedly drowned trying to cross an old bridge on Runde
River.
In Mashonaland Central 14 year old Jane Mugona and 4 year old Kudakwashe
Musara of Gutsa Village in Bindura reportedly drowned in Chenhunguru River
on December 12th as they tried to cross the flooded river.

The floods are reported to have cut off many areas from the national
communication network, with roads, power and telephone lines in some areas
completely washed away.

SW Radio Africa Zimbabwe news


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Zuma unlikely to change SA policy towards Zimbabwe



By Lance Guma
21 December 2007

The election of Jacob Zuma to head the African National Congress and
possibly South Africa is not likely to affect that country’s foreign policy
towards Zimbabwe. Those hoping for a change of strategy have already been
disappointed with his comments at a press conference where he said he will
stick to Thabo Mbeki’s quiet diplomacy approach. Zuma believes Mbeki’s
approach is working: ‘It’s not going to be useful to us to stand on the
rooftops and criticise Zimbabwe.’

Zuma then immediately launched into a speech praising several African
political parties, including Zanu PF. He criticised what he called western
sanctions against Zimbabwe arguing; ‘I don’t think sanctions have produced
anything. What has worked in Zimbabwe outside our engagement? Nothing.’
Observers however point out that the western sanctions target specific
individuals in Mugabe’s regime and not ordinary Zimbabweans. It is
anticipated Zuma will take a back seat on Zimbabwe given his country has an
uphill struggle battling with poverty, AIDS and unemployment issues.

The Southern African Development Community tasked Mbeki to broker dialogue
between the ruling Zanu PF party and the MDC. Many months later it remains
unclear if the two parties will sign a deal. Negotiations have stalled over
several issues, which the opposition claim are contained in a draft
agreement Mbeki guaranteed as broker. Zanu PF has still not agreed to a SADC
monitoring team, allowing people to vote using their national ID cards,
introducing a new independent electoral commission, a new voters roll, those
in the diaspora being allowed to vote and the introduction of a transitional
constitution to bridge the gap to a new one.

The talks were expected to resume in Pretoria soon after the conclusion of
the ANC congress this week. Some reports suggested officials would meet on
Friday to try and conclude a deal.

SW Radio Africa Zimbabwe news


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Hot Seat interview with Professor Brian Raftopoulos

SW RADIO Africa Transcript

 

In this week’s Hot Seat programme Violet Gonda’s guest is political commentator Professor Brian Raftopoulos. He gives his analysis on the talks between the MDC and ZANU PF, and the implications of the ANC leadership elections on Zimbabwe.

 

(N.B interview broadcast before the ANC results had been announced).

 

Broadcast on Tuesday 18 December 2007

 

Violet Gonda: My guest on the programme Hot Seat is Professor Brian Raftopoulos, a political commentator and Director of Research for the Solidarity Peace Trust in South Africa. Hello Professor Raftopoulos.

 

Brian Raftopoulos: Hello Violet.

 

Violet: The discussion today is going to centre on the Talks between the MDC and ZANU PF but first let’s talk about the ANC elections in South Africa where Jacob Zuma the former Deputy President of South Africa is expected to win the leadership of the ruling African National Congress and may become the country's next president in 2009. What are the implications of this for Zimbabwe Professor Raftopoulos?

 

Raftopoulos: Look I think whoever wins these ANC elections is not going to change the process of the mediation. I think the mediation process is very much locked into SADC and that whoever comes in now will continue to see the outcome of this mediation through. So while I know there has been some comments on Mugabe from the Zuma side I don’t see any substantial change of position around the mediation at this point.

 

Violet: According to press reports Zuma has, in the past, accused Thabo Mbeki of being too soft on dictators. So what do you think we can expect to see from a Zuma administration though? Will there be a shift in foreign policy?

 

Raftopoulos: No I don’t think so, certainly not on Zimbabwe. As I said I think the mediation process has gone quite a long way and in any case Thabo Mbeki will remain as State President over the next year or is likely to do so. So I don’t see a major change in the strategy on the mediation and the quiet diplomacy. There may be more critical statements occasionally but I don’t see that move-away from quiet diplomacy and the mediation as the major strategy of the South African government.

 

Violet: But we hear that the Talks are at a deadlock, so what role does the ANC have at present with the Zimbabwean talks or to at least make sure that they don’t fall apart?

 

Raftopoulos: As the facilitator the South African President has a key role to play in the current deadlock. From the beginning it was clear that part of his role was that if there was a deadlock his role would be to step in and try and move the process forward. Now I think we are likely to see efforts in this direction after the Polokwane conference and to see how effective President Mbeki can be in moving the process forward and indeed to see how effective SADC can be in moving beyond this blockage, because clearly as we understand it Mugabe is placing unreasonable demands at the moment. The idea that the constitution should come after the elections is quite unacceptable, I think, to any legitimate opposition.

 

Violet: We will talk about the demands later but still on South Africa I wanted to find out how high is Zimbabwe in the list of South Africa’s priorities right now and what can South Africa realistically do to help solve the crisis in Zimbabwe?

 

Raftopoulos: Well I think Zimbabwe is a priority in South Africa for a number of reasons. Clearly South African businesses have a huge role in Zimbabwe. The historical links between Zimbabwe and South Africa, the current migration of Zimbabweans into South Africa. All these make the Zimbabwe issue very, very important here. And I think that the South African role at the moment as I said has been the facilitation around the mediation and that is still a key role to be played and one that has to be completed.

 

Violet: And as you said Thabo Mbeki’s term in office expires in 2009 so is it in his interest to be remembered as the person who helped bring about peace in Zimbabwe?

 

Raftopoulos: Indeed, it’s clear that he has a great interest in seeing this mediation reach a fruitful end and not withstanding what happens today at the ANC elections, I think he would want to see that as part of his legacy. That he helped bring about or find a way through the political impasse in Zimbabwe.

 

Violet: What about this issue of the deadlock itself. How serious is it?

 

Raftopoulos: I think it’s a serious issue. They have covered a lot of ground, there is a lot of agreement around the constitution – at least the interim constitution – the repressive legislation and there seems to have been consensus around these issues. The main problem was always going to be around the last item on the agenda which is the political climate question and the question of the transition period leading to the election. This was always going to be the most difficult issue because this is where we would see how serious ZANU is in implementing the necessary changes and indeed that’s what is proving to be the case. And as we understand it ZANU PF now wants the new constitution to only come after an election and that of course is a hugely problematic position. Also at the moment Mugabe is sticking to the end of  March election date which is another problematic situation because you clearly need more time to have reforms come into place in order to take some kind of meaningful political effect.

 

Violet: We keep hearing that most of the negotiations have been done, as you also said just now, but what actually has been done because it has to be tangible for people to understand?

 

Raftopoulos: Yes I think so. I think clearly the negotiations have reached a point where more information needs to be made available to the people. For example if there is a constitution that has been agreed upon people need to know what is in that constitution. We have already seen the suggested changes that are already taking place to AIPPA and POSA and therefore I think this is a good time to start giving out more information about what’s going on, particularly if there is a deadlock and people need to find out exactly where the deadlock is.

 

Violet: So you don’t have the details either?

 

Raftopoulos: No, No, No I think the mediators and the negotiators will have to comment on that.

 

Violet: And Professor Raftopoulos it’s believed that if elections are go ahead in March with no new constitution or reforms in place, Mugabe will win and that if the MDC boycotts Mugabe will still win uncontested. It seems the MDC is vulnerable at this point in time. What options does the MDC have given the fact that Mugabe is not reciprocating?

 

Raftopoulos: Well look I think if Mugabe goes ahead and has these elections under his own terms with no changes, in particular by breaking the terms of the mediation then nothing will change and things will continue to deteriorate. And he won’t get the general international acceptance he needs for that election and I think an MDC boycott will be a serious problem for him because it will cut further the legitimacy of the election and things will continue to deteriorate for many more years. People always ask what is the bottom out point of all this? And the point is there is no bottoming out and this thing can go on for a long time. But it won’t provide a solution, either for Mugabe or for the Zimbabwe. So I think that clearly the issue is – yes the MDC is weaker than it was in 2000 and 2002 but this mediation has provided a space to be able to move the process politically forward and to provide the potential for opening up new political spaces in the country.

 

Violet: But what if these demands are not met – a new constitution before the elections and if the reforms are not implemented before the elections? I am asking this because it seems the MDC is caught between a rock and a hard place because if the opposition boycotts some people say it will be irrelevant for the next five years but if it participates it can at least secure some seats. So from your observations what do you think it should actually do here?

 

Raftopoulos: Well the first option is obviously to try and see if this mediation can reach a fruitful point, without that of course the option is one of boycott although there is the danger of irrelevance. However if this mediation also seems to have failed because of Mugabe and it is understood to have failed, within SADC, because of Mugabe it also provides the possibility of further isolating the regime even amongst African countries. So it is important that whoever breaks this mediation is made accountable for it and that itself would be a key point in what happens afterwards.

 

Violet: And do you think the MDC would boycott the elections if they don’t get their demands?

 

Raftopoulos: Well it’s difficult because in the past boycott has not been a strategy they wanted to take because of this issue of irrelevance but I think that the point has been reached now at this stage in the crisis, in the mediation – where if they are able to show that they went into the mediation with all good intentions, that they have abided by the processes, that they have done all that they can, then I think a boycott of elections must be accompanied by a broader  strategy to isolate the regime. Not just from the international community – Europe and America – but within SADC and within Africa itself. Increasing pressure at that level must become a part of any kind of a boycott strategy.

 

Violet: Can you talk more about this broader strategy? In other words are you saying there should be an alternative to boycotting?

 

Raftopoulos: At the moment the boycott is obviously an alternative with problems but there is also the question of mass action. We have seen the problems around that, which is why we are at the mediation. We have seen the State dealing very ruthlessly and effectively to any form of mass action. The key participants in the civic movement are much weaker than they used to be – whether it’s the labour movement, the constitutional movement certainly not able to mount the kind of strategies that they used to in an environment that allowed them to do that. So that strategy still holds problems and it’s unlikely to get easier if there is a breakdown of mediation.

 

Violet: So with the way things are right now in Zimbabwe can we say it’s now impossible to mobilise people for mass action?

 

Raftopoulos: I don’t think it’s impossible. Conditions change, possibilities emerge, new alternatives arise but at this moment I would say it is certainly extremely difficult and given what has happened in the last few years, at the moment that seems an unlikely strategy, which is why I think the MDC and others have put so much emphasis into trying to find a way through mediation and political dialogue.

 

Violet: Let’s just say if mediation fails and speculating on boycotting - it’s said there are some opposition MPs who don’t want to boycott because they may lose their jobs. Now if this is the case is the organisational structure of the MDC its worst enemy here?

 

Raftopoulos: Yes I think the organisational structure of the MDC has been a problem almost from its inception and this is part of the reason why the split emerged in 2005 and why there have been recent problems again in the MDC. Organisational problems as a result of both the political conditions under which they have had to operate but also insufficient attention given to developing structures within the organisation. So I think organisational issues are key both to any future success of an opposition but also help to explain why the weakening of the opposition takes place.

 

Violet: Still on this issue do you perceive a leadership crisis in the MDC? I am asking this because it is alleged that there are some people who are trying to force a premature debate by saying that there is a leadership crisis. Is there a leadership crisis in the opposition and at what level is there a crisis and who is exacerbating this crisis?

 

Raftopoulos: Look I think there are different levels of crises that can take place in a leadership. Clearly there is a challenge to the political leadership of the MDC in terms of mounting a strategy to confront the regime. This is a crisis for any leader in the MDC and any leader in the civic movement. There is also of course the divisions in the MDC itself that caused a problem for the leadership of both formations and the continued internal wrangling over issues of accountability within the MDC also continues to raise questions about leadership. But of course in situations like this it’s enormously difficult for any leadership to be able to operate. So you are always going to have a constant threat to leadership and a constant crisis for leadership when you are facing this kind of regime. 

 

Violet: People say South Africa has to do something about what’s happening in Zimbabwe but do Zimbabweans have to measure at this point in time how much support to expect from the outside world?

 

Raftopoulos: Sorry can you repeat that question.

 

Violet: Do Zimbabweans have to measure at this particular time how much support to expect from the outside world because lately a lot of people have been saying if change has to come we need support, or South Africa has to put pressure on the Zimbabwean government. It’s the African leaders that have to come in and help now. So to what extent can Zimbabweans rely on the outside world or it’s now up to the people in the country to take matters into their own hands?

 

 

Raftopoulos: Look this question has been asked since the inception of the crisis and the answer is the same. It’s a combination of both. Struggles like this don’t just involve national forces they also involve regional and international pressure and that is the case in Zimbabwe. And I think in all fairness, I think Zimbabweans have tried under very difficult conditions to change the situation since the 1990s. We have had stayaways, strikes, demonstrations, thousands of arrests, thousands of beatings of activists. There is not a point that Zimbabweans haven’t tried. I think Zimbabwe has one of the most vibrant civic societies in Africa. So it’s clear, but the problem is that these issues and the current environment it’s not just the national situation that counts. It’s the broader regional and international context that also has to account for what is happening in Zimbabwe.

 

Violet: And as we talked about earlier in this interview, Mugabe is adamant that elections will be held in March and there are divisions over this issue and on when electoral reforms should be implemented. What happens if SADC actually fails to intervene, with this deadlock? What options are there for SADC?

 

Raftopoulos: Well the options for SADC are obviously either to allow Mugabe to go ahead and do whatever he likes and to legitimise that as they have done in the past. That unfortunately will not take the situation forward. The stalemate will continue and the crisis will continue to deepen. The other alternative is that if they feel Mugabe is responsible for the blockage in the mediation, is to bring extra pressure to bear on him to ensure that this crisis moves forward in terms of the impasse. Those are the options that are available to them.

 

Violet: If all things fail is a violent overthrow on option?

 

Raftopoulos: I think at this point if there was to be a violent overthrow I think it would come from within ZANU PF itself, within the armed forces although I don’t think that is a likely option. I think obviously the chances of spontaneous violence emerging are certainly rare as the situation gets desperate. But spontaneous violence on its own will not bring about the changes that people want and I think it would be very easy for the government to quell that. So the questions of organised opposition, the question of trying to push as much as possible for dialogue is still for me the best way forward otherwise I think the situation will just continue to deteriorate.

 

Violet: And a final word Professor Raftopoulos?

 

Raftopoulos: I think that we are in a difficult moment but also there is a small window of opportunity to find a way forward. Despite the blockage I think there is still some hope to move this mediation forward and all those who are interested in trying to find a way through the crisis need to give whatever support they can to this mediation process and to see how far we can go with it.

 

Violet: Thank you very much Professor Raftopoulos for speaking on the programme Hot Seat.

 

Raftopoulos: Thank you Violet.

 

Comments and feedback can be emailed to violet@swradioafrica.com

 

Ends.


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Bigger banknotes no answer to Harare crisis

Business Report

December 21, 2007

By Reuters and Sapa-AP

Harare - Zimbabwe's move to introduce higher denomination banknotes to end
cash shortages in its hyperinflationary economy fell short of solving the
crisis, analysts said yesterday, as consumers besieged banks ahead of the
Christmas holidays.

In an address on Wednesday, central bank governor Gideon Gono introduced
higher value notes to help ease the cash crunch amid an acute economic
crisis marked by the world's highest inflation rate and shortages of fuel
and food.

Queues to draw cash have been forming at ATMs from 4am this month but banks
have rationed money to Z$5 million (worth R1 150 at the official rate and
R21.50 on the black market) per customer.

Gono said the Z$200 000 note, the highest bill in circulation, would be
withdrawn with effect from January 1 as it was mostly used by illegal
foreign currency traders.

Bills worth Z$750 000, Z$500 000 and Z$250 000 would be introduced ahead of
the holidays, but people exchanging large sums of cash for new notes would
have to explain how they accumulated the money legally or face criminal
charges.

Analysts said the new bank notes, the highest of which cannot buy a loaf of
bread, were only a temporary solution.

"It's just a temporary measure … the huge demand for cash will always be
there as long as inflation remains high and there is more activity in the
informal economy, as opposed to the formal sector," said Best Doroh, an
economist at ZB Financial Holdings.

Official inflation is running at nearly 8 000 percent.


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Large-Denomination Notes Heralded By Zimbabwe Central Bank Fail To Materialize

VOA

By Jonga Kandemiiri
Washington
20 December 2007

Though Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe Governor Gideon Gono promised in a televised
address late Wednesday that he would resolve cash shortages plaguing
consumers and businesses by introducing new large-denomination notes, there
was no sign of relief Thursday as consumers again lined up at banks in a
futile money hunt.

Gono announced the immediate issuance of three new bearer cheques or central
bank promissory notes - as distinct from a permanent currency - denominated
at $250,000, $500,000 and $750,000 to deal with the effects of roaring
inflation.

But Zimbabweans combing the capital and other cities in search of cash the
day after Gono's address on state television found no new notes in
circulation.

Banks said they had not received the new notes and the central bank said it
had sent shipments of the new bearer cheques first to remote rural areas.

Gono informed the country that all $200,000 notes would be taken out of
circulation by Jan. 1, after which date they would become worthless. He
explained the guidelines for surrendering the expiring notes, making clear
that one of his main reasons for calling them in is to crack down on "cash
baron" dealers in parallel or black markets.

He tried to sooth the fears of Zimbabweans who remember the chaos and
financial losses incurred by many consumers and businesses in the last
currency exchange in August 2006, dubbed "Operation Sunrise." But the
procedure he described for those holding more than Z$50 million in the notes
did not sound particularly agreeable - filling out forms and submitting to
questioning by a battery of officials.

Meanwhile, long queues remained in place outside banks as restive customers
sought to extract a bit of cash from the financial institutions, which said
they were seeing no influx of $200,000.00 bills following Gono’s
instructions the previous evening.

Correspondent Derek Moyo of VOA's Studio 7 for Zimbabwe visited Harare banks
on Thursday and told reporter Jonga Kandemiiri that he mainly found
confusion.


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We will need some shares, says Mugabe

IOL

    December 21 2007 at 12:47PM

Harare - President Robert Mugabe said on Friday that foreign mining
firms who invest in Zimbabwe would be allowed to retain majority stakes
under controversial ownership regulations.

"Where we read that a company has invested its profits over the years,
we will not demand majority shareholding but, of course, we will need some
shares," the state New Ziana news agency quoted Mugabe as saying during a
meeting with Zimbabwean ambassadors.

The veteran leader commended the Zimbabwe Platinum Company (Zimplats)
for building houses and roads, urging other companies to take a cue from the
firm, whose majority shareholder is South Africa's Implats.

The Zimbabwe government plans to amend the Mines and Minerals Act by
inserting a clause providing for compulsory state acquisition of 51 percent
of all foreign-owned mining firms.

Under current laws, locals are entitled to a 15 percent stake in
foreign-owned mining ventures, but there have been few takers.

The Chamber of Mines, representing 200 mining houses in Zimbabwe,
warned last year that the proposed amendments would effectively kill off
investment needed to keep the mines open.

Zimbabwe is in the throes of an economic crisis, with inflation nearly
8 000 percent, and severe shortages of fuel and food.

In June last year during a tour of Zimplats, Mugabe stressed that the
new ownership rules would not apply across the board.

New Ziana said Mugabe expressed concern that the mining sector was
reporting a decline in production and consequently in foreign currency
earnings and yet mining operations were continuing.

Mugabe also lashed out at some black managers of large manufacturing
companies, accusing them of frustrating government efforts to revive the
econony.

"Most of these firms are run by our brothers and sisters and they are
arrogant," he said

"We have created a middle class of people that look down on the people
in government. It is sad," he said. - Sapa-AFP


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Bishops to mobilize citizens for elections

Catholic News Service

Dec-21-2007
By Bronwen Dachs
Catholic News Service

CAPE TOWN, South Africa (CNS) -- Recognizing the difficulty of persuading
Zimbabweans, whose primary concern is survival, to vote in the March
presidential elections, the Catholic bishops' conference of Zimbabwe will
use all its structures to mobilize them, said a church official.

"We need to persuade people that if they don't do something we will have the
same problems next year," said Alouis Chaumba, head of the Catholic
Commission for Justice and Peace in Zimbabwe.

In a Dec. 21 telephone interview from the capital, Harare, he said, "People
can't even buy groceries for Christmas with no food on supermarket shelves
and long lines at all the banks, where very little cash is available."

The Zimbabwe Catholic Bishops' Conference has encouraged people to vote "in
an atmosphere of peace," noting that "to neglect your duty to vote is to be
irresponsible, for you leave others to decide your future for you."

The bishops urged Catholics to "converge at our parish churches in prayer as
we prepare" for the elections.

"We urge those responsible for organizing the elections to establish a
credible electoral process, whose outcome will be free and fair and with
local and international recognition," the bishops said in a Dec. 16 pastoral
letter.

Zimbabwe's ruling Zanu-PF party endorsed President Robert Mugabe as its
candidate Dec. 13, making it possible for him to extend his rule for another
five years. Mugabe, 83, widely blamed for his country's political and
economic crisis, has led Zimbabwe since its independence from Britain in
1980.

The main opposition Movement for Democratic Change, which accuses Mugabe of
hanging on to power through vote-rigging and repression, is weak and
divided, leading analysts to predict another victory for Mugabe.

Noting that "past elections have been marred by controversy and violence,"
the bishops urged "the government and all the contesting parties to create a
social, political and economic climate that enhances moral integrity."

Political parties "should not be provocative in their campaigns," and all
"should be free to campaign and have equal access to state resources in the
form of media coverage, police protection (and) financial subsidies," they
said.

Christian voters should use the church's social teaching to examine
candidates' standpoints "and should consider the candidates' integrity and
their past or potential performance," the bishops said.

The respect the church has for individual decisions is evident in the makeup
of its congregations where members belong "to all existing parties," they
said.

"After elections, all citizens should join forces to build the Zimbabwe we
all want. We appeal to all citizens to adopt a spirit of oneness and
solidarity," the bishops said.

"May the electoral process of 2008 bring us a national rebirth and help us
to grow in the love of God and neighbor, as Zimbabwe regains its rightful
place among the nations of the world," they said.


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South African Prelate Urges Welcome of Zimbabweans

http://www.zenit.org/article-21355?l=english

2007-12-21

Recalls Christian Obligation to Aid Needy

JOHANNESBURG, South Africa, DEC. 21, 2007 (Zenit.org).- The Christian
obligation of South Africans is to welcome those fleeing the escalating
crisis in Zimbabawe, said the archbishop of Johannesburg.

In a Dec. 14 statement, Archbishop Buti Tlhagale called on South Africans to
welcome Zimbabweans fleeing what he described as "events seriously
disturbing public order," a phrase taken from the 1969 Organization of
African Unity Refugee Convention

The archbishop, who is also president of the episcopal conference, described
emigrating Zimbabweans not as migrant workers but as refugees fleeing an
economic and political crisis.

He pointed out that the situation in Zimbabwe has not improved since his
last statement nine months ago. Living conditions have deteriorated such
that survival has become a struggle for most of the population, he noted. He
cited the case of Bulawayo, where there were about 60 burials in August
2006; a year later the number had increased to 867.

Zimbabweans fleeing their homeland are seeking food, medicine and employment
to support themselves and their families, the 59-year-old prelate said. He
lamented that when they arrive in South Africa, they are not welcomed, but
are accused of taking jobs and food, harassed and forced to pay bribes to
the police, and exploited by unscrupulous employers.

Archbishop Tlhagale urged South Africans to make an adjustment to their
lives by welcoming Zimbabweans and assisting them as much as possible. He
said even small gestures of welcome and compassion will make a difference.


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Zimbabwe Police Clear Legislator's Graduation Party But Restrict Speech

VOA

      By Jonga Kandemiiri
      Washington
      21 December 2007

Police in the Kuwadzana suburb of Harare have given spokesman Nelson Chamisa
of the opposition faction led by Morgan Tsvangirai permission to hold a
graduation party on Saturday in the constituency he represents in
parliament - on condition no one mentions the name of President Robert
Mugabe or makes political statements.

Ironically, Chamisa was passed as a graduate last month by Mr. Mugabe,
university chancellor ex officio, taking a degree in political and
administrative studies.

Besides graduating from the University of Zimbabwe this year, Chamisa spent
time in the hospital after being set upon by suspected state agents wielding
iron bars at the Harare airport as he attempted to leave for a conference of
lawmakers in Europe.

Police initially refused permission for the party, citing the Public Order
and Security Act which was amended just this past week by parliament though
the legislation has yet to be signed by President Mugabe. The
much-criticized Public Order and Security Act requires those holding a
gathering of more than four to seek police permission.

Chamisa aid his gathering was not a rally, so police permission wasn't
needed.

He told reporter Jonga Kandemiiri that although he obtained police
authorization he would not comply with the conditions infringing on his
freedom of speech.


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Fast-tracking of various amendments through parliament

The Zimbabwean

 Friday, 21 December 2007 05:37

Zimbabwe Lawyers for Human Rights (ZLHR) wishes to express its deep concern
over the continued lack of respect for the fundamental freedoms of
association, assembly, and expression by holders of public office in
Zimbabwe.

The recent gazetting and subsequent fast-tracking of the Public Order and
Security Amendment Bill, the Access to Information and Protection of Privacy
Amendment Bill and the Broadcasting Services Amendment Bill by members of
both Houses of Parliament evidences a worrying and flagrant lack of respect
for processes allowing public input and scrutiny of legislation which
affects the Zimbabwean public. This, in turn, greatly undermines the
democratic space, and the promotion and protection of human rights in the
country. Whilst it is noted that several amendments have been made which
may, if correctly implemented, relieve a fraction of the repression against
human rights defenders, the amendments are far from satisfactory and in most
instances are merely cosmetic. Further, the fact that the Bills were
drafted, presented and passed without any input from stakeholders within
civil society and the generality of the public reinforces the illegitimacy
of the legislative process as well as the legislation itself, and
strengthens the perception of broader society that the political party
dialogue which led to agreements being reached on such legislation continue
to be non-transparent process which deny civil society and fundamental
stakeholders the opportunity to scrutinize any agreements reached, ensure
that fundamental issues are properly addressed and hold the parties
accountable to the affected public.Detailed analyses of the various Bills
are currently being finalized and will be made available publicly. However,
it is our preliminary view that the amendments do not substantively address
the concerns of those who have been most affected by the clampdown on
freedom of expression, association and assembly and they fail to address
fundamental concerns which have been in the public domain for as long as the
legislation itself has been in operation. They also fail to take into
account regional and international standards to which Zimbabwe has bound
itself and which it is obliged to promote, respect, ensure and fulfill.ZLHR
considers this a missed opportunity to involve all stakeholders and ensure
that substantive, far-reaching and acceptable amendments were made to such
insidious legislation which could have had a substantive effect on ensuring
a satisfactory electoral environment in the run up to the 2008 polls and
beyond.


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Everyday Hazards of Driving in Harare


Financial Gazette (Harare)

COLUMN
20 December 2007
Posted to the web 21 December 2007

Richard Wiley
Harare

Cutting corners WHY is it that certain human beings who drive cars are
endowed with a compulsive desire to cut corners, especially when those
corners are of the blind variety?

Anyone who traverses Kent Road in Highlands will know that two blind corners
present themselves in the upper reaches of this road.

On numerous occasions, either going up or down, I've been forced to take
evasive action and needless to say, such action is fraught with danger as
the verges are totally unkempt and feature jagged tar, a big drop off and/or
potholes.

About three weeks ago when I was returning from a fruitless search for beer,
bread and butter at Chisi shops, I was approaching the blind uphill left
hander on Kent Road and was greeted by a dark blue Volvo wagon hurtling
round the bend, mostly on the wrong side of the road. The middle-aged lady
at the wheel cared not that I had to activate ABS to avoid a head-on
collision and simply pressed on past my door handle with her brow buried in
the upper reaches of her Volvo's steering wheel.

Another danger zone for corner-cutting is the right-angled bend that links
Northend and Burnham Roads near the entrance to DeadBC. Many is the time
that I've been forced onto the dirt, doubtless by a newsreader concerned
about the contents of an unseen script.

Talking of unacceptable driving, I witnessed a triple classic at 5.30am on
December 13 while I was on my way to that ghost town that masquerades as
Harare's International Airport. I was initially miffed to be caught behind
one of those truck/trailer combos that carts huge lumps of granite. I was
miffed because Glenara Avenue North sports a plethora of deep puddles which
are converted into a filthy spray by the multiple wheels on these trailers.

As it turns out, I needn't have been too concerned about the dirty spray as
said truck proceeded through a blood red light guarding Samora Machel Avenue
and thereby made up good ground on me. I closed on this leviathan on
approach to Robert Mugabe Road where the driver again jumped a red light and
believe it or not, he did the same at Hillside Road lights.

Owing to all the filth flying around and to the fact that the trailer
featured near-invisible red on white number plates, I couldn't get a clear
fix on the digits but I did see enough later in the journey to note a name
something like Keeley Transport on the cab door. Maybe the owner would like
to have a word with the intransigent driver. I know red-light-jumping is
becoming a national sport and that Zimbabweans would sweep all the medals,
but it remains an unacceptable and dangerous occupation, the more so when
long, ponderous vehicles are involved.

Disappearing trick

IT really is difficult not to get consumed by all the problems that beset
ordinary people in Zimbabwe so a bit of escapism becomes something of a
necessity. My escape is, or should I say was, provided by what I could only
describe as a 'fleet' of overseas car mags.

I subscribe to no less than 10 titles but thanks, or so it seems, to the
nefarious activities of individuals with connections to ZimPost, these mags
simply don't pitch up anymore.

It doesn't matter what the source country is -- the result is the same -- no
mags. The common denominator is that something untoward happens in Zimbabwe
and despite numerous written approaches to those in charge at Highlands
P.O., the situation just gets worse.

For example, I have only received one copy of UK Car magazine since May and
only one of the last seven SA Car mags. Autocar and Autosport are weeklies
but I haven't seen either of these for over a month, notwithstanding that
the UK expediter has repeatedly sent replacement copies which also vanish.
I've even tried an alternative address but that doesn't help.

Not even opaque as opposed to polywrap envelopes have effected any
improvement so someone in the postal pipeline is making a lot of money
selling my magazines. Not only does it make me exceedingly angry, it simply
adds to the depression that surrounds everyday life in such a deprived
environment.

Where else in the world would people see an opportunity to make a living out
of stealing other people's magazines?

Fuel frustrations

CONTINUING in a negative vein, it seems that provision of information to
customers is another 'norm' that isn't necessary in Zimbabwe. I cite yet
again, Redan's complete reluctance to let motorists know the composition of
the fuel they serve. More's the pity as Redan's outlets and their service
provision, in my experience at least, put their competition in the shade.

Sitting at the back of the queue when it comes to service provision and
condition of outlets, is Caltex. The company, or its lease-holders at St.
Patrick's Road and Clyde Road at least, haven't made the slightest effort to
smarten-up their premises. At the latter, even the lofty Caltex sign is
askew. What really gets me wound up is the fact that unleaded fuel can only
be sourced at Caltex outlets which are miles out on the periphery of Harare.
You're forced to consume millions of dollars worth of fuel getting to these
outlets which on many occasions are bone dry anyway. It's little different
with 'ordinary' petrol, whatever that may be, because we're never told.

Those pumps in recent times are often dry and when they're not, queues
radiate for miles around. Motorists spend hours twiddling their thumbs while
the economy continues its inexorable decline only to find their vigil has
been wasted because the tanks have run dry. This just has to be the only
country in the world which can't top up underground tanks before they go
dry.

Sadly, there's no point asking Caltex why basic logistics are so difficult
to implement because given their deafening silence on matters related to the
condition of their outlets, they appear not to care whether their customers
are looked after or not. And these, good readers, are customers who've paid
in hard currency in advance, for fuel they often never get.

Air conditioning

I HAVE to admit that my knowledge of aircon is decidedly sketchy but I do
know enough about it to pass on a little advice.

Years back, the refrigerant used in aircon was called R12. it worked well
and, other than in Zimbabwe, it didn't cost an arm and a leg if a top-up was
needed. Over time, the gas escapes through seals and through the piping
itself and it's this fact of life that led to the demise of R12 in most
parts of the world as it is accused of being an 'ozone layer depleter'.

The more environmentally friendly but marginally less efficient R134 gas
then took centre stage and has stayed there ever since. The bad news is that
if you own an older car filled with R12, you must not under any
circumstances use R134 as this is not compatible with the lubricating oil
used for compressors. It's in your interests to find out what's in your
system and stick with it if humanly possible. In most cases, an appropriate
sticker is applied in the engine bay.

All is not lost though as an R12 system can be converted by a refrigeration
specialist to accept R134. In simple terms, the system is flushed out and an
R134 compatible lube is introduced with the 'new' gas. Everything should
then work fine but you might just find things aren't as cold as they were.

Those were the days

BACK in the mid to late 90s, it was possible to walk into a car dealer in
Zim and drive out in a car paid for in local dollars. I just happened to
come across a comprehensive price list from 1998 and include herewith a
selection for you to gawp at and then bemoan the devastating price rises
we've been subjected to in this decade.

Audi A4 1.8 $682 264

BMW 316i $830 000

Ford Escort 1600i $248 200

Mazda 323 $194 000

Mercedes C200 Classic $936 000

Nissan Sentra 160 $245 836

Opel Astra 140i $352 000

Toyota Tazz 130 $281 087

VW Golf 1.6 GS $401 282

It's enough to make you weep!

Closing shop

THIS will be the last edition of Top Gear in 2007. Hopefully normal service
will resume in the New Year. I do hope you've enjoyed my observations and
increasingly strident rantings, but 'telling it how it is' is for me an
all-important component in a column that's intended to educate and entertain
at the same time.

Equally, I trust you'll all enjoy the upcoming break and that you will be
the recipients of electricity from ZESA, water from ZINWA and repaired
potholes courtesy of your local council. On all counts, good luck!

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