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Mugabe resorts to powers of decree

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

June 14, 2013 in News, Politics

IN a bid to meet the deadline set by the Constitutional Court (Concourt),
President Robert Mugabe yesterday proclaimed elections will be held on July
31 as he controversially resorted to draconian Presidential Powers
(Temporary Measures) Act (PPTM Act) to fulfil his self-serving political
agenda for polls on his terms.

Report by Owen Gagare

Mugabe declared the Nomination Court would sit on June 28, while elections
would be held on July 31. In the event no outright winner emerges in the
first round of the presidential poll, he said a runoff would be held on
September 11.

Mugabe’s move took his political opponents by surprise as they disclosed
during Tuesday’s cabinet meeting he had agreed to follow all the processes
laid down in the new constitution, meaning polls would possibly to be held
in August at the earliest.

The PPTM Act empowers the president, subject to certain limitations, to make
regulations amending an Act of Parliament when it is inexpedient to wait for
parliament to pass an amendment Act because of the urgency of the situation.

Justifying the invocation of the PPTM Act, Mugabe referred to the Concourt
ruling ordering that polls be held by July 31.

He also stated that public interest requires upholding the doctrine of the
separation of powers, the principle of constitutionalism, and the supremacy
of the Concourt over the executive in all matters concerning the
interpretation of the constitution, hence his moves to ensure compliance.

Mugabe said it was inexpedient to await the passage of the Electoral Act
through parliament because of the Concourt deadline.

Veritas, a lawyers’ grouping which monitors parliamentary activities, said
Mugabe’s use of the PPTM Act does not necessarily mean that the Electoral
Amendment Bill will not be taken to parliament.

Crucially though Mugabe, by using his emergency powers, has erased the
possibility of the Bill being delayed by debates in parliament, which would
have militated against his wish for a July 31 election.

“The passing of a Bill to confirm today’s regulations is a legal necessity,
given the fact that the Presidential Powers (Temporary Measures) Act says
that it cannot be used to do by regulation what the constitution says must
be provided for “by, rather than in terms of, an Act of Parliament,” said
Veritas.

“And the new constitution requires just that, for instance, Section 120
refers to elections ‘in the manner prescribed in the Electoral Law’, and the
election of Senators having to be ‘in accordance with the Electoral Law’,
that is, the Act of Parliament regulating elections.

“In the circumstances, SI 85/2013 is presumably a stop-gap measure designed
to allow the publication of a proclamation later today for an election to be
held on or before the July 31 — probably even before that date.”

Earlier, Veritas had noted that it would almost be impractical for Mugabe to
meet the July 31 deadline given the little space he has to manoeuvre in.
The grouping and other legal experts had argued that for Mugabe to comply
with the ruling, he should proclaim elections by Monday, June 17, given the
nomination court could only sit 14 days after proclamation, while elections
can only be held 30 days after sitting of the nomination court.

The proclamation was not to be made by making a public statement but through
gazetting in line with Section 157(3) of the new constitution and the
Electoral Law.

In addition, the Electoral Amendment Bill making appropriate amendments to
the Electoral Act first had to be passed by parliament before Mugabe could
proclaim, but he has since resorted to the PPTM Act to cut short the
process.

This is because the Electoral Law (Act and Regulations) cannot be changed
after the electoral proclamation. Section 157(5) of the new constitution
provides that “after an election has been called, no change to the Electoral
Law or to any other law relating to elections has effect for the purpose of
those elections”.

The Electoral Act had to be changed to accommodate the election of 60 women
members of the National Assembly under a party-list system of proportional
representation as well as 60 Senators, among other things”.

“The significance of this is that until an Electoral Amendment Bill making
appropriate amendments to the Electoral Act has been passed by parliament,
assented to by the president and gazetted, it will not be legally possible
for the president to proclaim the elections date,” it said.

The new constitution stipulates that a 30-day intensive voter registration
exercise must precede nomination day. The programme began on Monday and
should end on July 9. After proclamation the Nomination Court was meant to
sit after two weeks and a month before polls could be held.

If the constitution was to be followed to the letter, the president could
only proclaim elections after the voter registration exercise was completed.
Mugabe, though, repealed Section 26A of the Electoral Act to allow the
voters roll to close 12 days after nomination day, presumably to allow the
parties a month to campaign while also trying to meet the July 31 deadline.

Veritas though is questioning whether the country can hold credible
elections without complying with the new constitution, while Zec’s ability
to organise elections at short notice is doubtful.

“It would be sad if the first elections under the new constitution were to
be spoilt by inadequate time, lack of funding, an incomplete or
unsatisfactory voters’ roll, or too little time for Zec to satisfactorily
arrange the logistics associated with such a large project,” said the
grouping.

“Zimbabwe desperately needs elections that are credible within the country,
and within Sadc and the international community.”


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Zanu PF not ready for elections — SK Moyo

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

June 14, 2013 in News, Politics

IN a race to meet the July 31 elections deadline Zanu PF is expected to
conduct its primary elections on June 24, four days ahead of June 28 which
President Robert Mugabe has set as the date for the nomination of
candidates.

Report by Elias Mambo

Mugabe yesterday proclaimed July 31 as the date for general elections, in
compliance with a recent Constitutional Court ruling.

After meeting on Wednesday and Thursday this week, Zanu PF’s politburo
finally endorsed the party’s rules and regulations to guide the conduct of
the primary elections on June 24. The politburo meetings also discussed the
party’s preparedness for elections, its manifesto and position on the Sadc
extraordinary summit in Maputo, Mozambique, tomorrow.

In a frank presentation on the daunting challenges facing Zanu PF ahead of
polls, national chairperson Simon Khaya Moyo told the politburo his probe
team’s findings had shown the party was not ready for elections because of
factionalism and infighting.

Following the recent eruption of fresh intra-party clashes in Masvingo,
Manicaland and Bulawayo, the Zanu PF politburo appointed a team comprising
Khaya Moyo, national commissar Webster Shamu, national secretary for
security Sydney Sekeramayi and secretary for administration Didymus Mutasa
to quell the infighting.

A politburo insider said: “Khaya Moyo was very frank and open when he tabled
his findings that showed provinces were not ready for the polls because the
structures are in a shambles.

“The chairperson told the meeting that any mistake at the elections will
endanger all of us. He said we must know that if we don’t cross the river
together some of us will drown.”

Khaya Moyo warned the party that it would lose in Manicaland, Masvingo and
Bulawayo because of deepening divisions on factional lines in those
provinces.

“There was deathly silence after Moyo presented his hard-hitting findings,”
said another politburo member. Mugabe reportedly jumped in and pleaded with
the party leadership to put their differences aside and unite ahead of the
crucial elections. “Mugabe appealed for unity and urged people to pull in
one direction,” said the politburo member.

The old guard in the party was accused of “ring-fencing” itself from
competition, especially from the so-called young turks.
The politburo also quashed a proposal from the Women’s League boss Oppah
Muchinguri to reserve 62 seats for women in the primary elections.

The party hardliners argued that women were already catered for in the
election of 60 women through proportional representation, adding that the
party should field the strongest candidates to win the elections.

A party insider said Muchinguri, who is aligned to the Defence minister
Emmerson Mnangagwa’s faction, had identified the 62 constituencies, which
included Makoni South, Chimanimani West and Chipinge South, held by Vice
President Joice Mujuru’s close allies, against whom the Mnangagwa grouping
is fighting.


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Fierce political clashes erupt

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

June 14, 2013 in News, Politics

A MESSY political stand-off between President Robert Mugabe and other
government principals has erupted after his proclamation of poll dates
yesterday to meet the recent contentious Constitutional Court (Concourt)
ruling ordering general elections by July 31, setting the stage for a
bruising contest ahead.

Report by Faith Zaba

Mugabe yesterday notified Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai, leader of the
MDC-T, and Industry and Commerce minister Welshman Ncube, who heads the MDC,
he had proclaimed July 31 as the general elections date. He fixed June 28 as
the date for nomination of candidates and September 11 as the date for a
possible presidential election run-off.

This came after Mugabe had used his emergency measures through the
Presidential Powers (Temporary Measures) Act to amend the Electoral Act as
waiting for parliament to do so next week was inconvenient.

The Concourt now faces a flood of court cases resulting from its
ruling in the Jealousy Mawarire case which Mugabe and Zanu PF have seized on
to push their political agenda to have elections without reforms and on
their own terms.

Reacting to the proclamation of the poll dates, Tsvangirai said Mugabe’s
actions were “a clear, flagrant and fraudulent breach of our constitution”.
Sources said the MDC-T is today expected to file two Concourt applications
challenging Mugabe’s proclamation of election dates and arbitrary use of the
powers of decree.

“The net effect of the proclamation is therefore to infringe on the
constitutional provisions obliging the 30-day intensive voter registration
exercise. It will also mean that President Mugabe is disenfranchising many
people who were registering to vote, for instance, aliens and first-time
voters. President Mugabe is also denying political parties and Zimbabweans
the opportunity to inspect the voters’ roll,” Tsvangirai said yesterday.

“In any event, Section 26A of our Electoral Act Chapter 2:13 makes it clear
that voter registration for everyone closes 24 hours before the sitting of
the Nomination Court. This means that voter registration will now close on
June 27,2013 instead of July 9 2013. A clear, flagrant and fraudulent breach
of our constitution.”

The new constitution also makes it clear in Section 8 of the Sixth Schedule
that the forthcoming elections must be conducted in “terms of the electoral
law in conformity with this constitution”.

“The new electoral law, according to Section 157, ought to provide, among
other things, for new issues such as proportional representation for the
election of senators and the new two disabled senators and members of the
newly-introduced provincial councils. As has been widely reported, cabinet
only agreed to the proposed electoral law on Tuesday. President Mugabe in
calling for an election when the electoral law has not been passed in
parliament is clearly acting unconstitutionally,” he said.

The premier also said the use of the Presidential Powers (Temporary
Measures) Act violated the new constitution.

“The Presidential Powers (Temporary Measures) Act, which in the past allowed
the president to make laws on his own without parliament, is patently not in
compliance with the new constitution,” he said.

“For the avoidance of doubt, Section 134A of the new constitution, makes it
clear that only parliament has the power to make primary legislation and
that its powers of making law cannot be delegated to anyone, including the
president. In any event, what is the material urgency when parliament is
still sitting until June 29 2013?”

The two MDC-T court applications today will bring to six the number of cases
filed to stop elections from being held by July 31.

Tsvangirai insisted: “The point being made is that President Mugabe has
acted unlawfully and unconstitutionally and is deliberately creating and
precipitating an unnecessary constitutional crisis. The net effect of
President Mugabe’s unilateral and illegal proclamation is an unmitigated
frontal and rear attack on Sadc, the AU and (South African) President
(Jacob) Zuma and his team.”

He further declared: “No one is going to force me into an election. I will
not commit suicide.” Ncube, who was just as shocked as Tsvangirai about the
unilateral proclamations, described Mugabe as possibly the most “deceitful
politician” he has ever seen.

“We discussed this matter in cabinet on Tuesday and agreed that voter
registration will take place until 9 July. We agreed that we would monitor
voter registration every week and correct any anomalies that may arise.
After approving the amendments, we agreed that they would be discussed in
parliament,” Ncube said.

“(Justice minister Patrick) Chinamasa and our negotiators had also agreed
with the (South African) facilitation team that there would be no
proclamation of poll dates before the Sadc summit (tomorrow). That this
could be done on the eve of the Sadc summit shows that this act is in brazen
contempt of Sadc leaders.

“The irony in this is, basically that the Constitutional Court ruled that
elections should be held by July 31 so that we don’t have to rule by decree.
But we are now having to rule by decree to enforce the constitutional court
judgment. What an irony!”

Zuma’s international relations advisor Lindiwe Zulu, who is part of the
South African facilitation team, and Sadc executive secretary Tomaz Salomao
said the matter would be dealt with at the Sadc meeting in Maputo tomorrow.

“We are going to the summit on Saturday (tomorrow) and we haven’t met with
the negotiators, so I can’t comment on that, but that will be dealt with at
the summit,” Zulu said.

Simba Makoni, Mavambo/Kusile/Dawn president, said Mugabe must ensure reforms
are adopted before credible, free and fair elections are held.


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Mugabe triggers war over elections

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

June 14, 2013 in News, Politics

PRESIDENT Robert Mugabe yesterday triggered a potentially explosive
political battle with his coalition government partners after proclaiming
dates for general elections as July 31 following the controversial use of
the draconian Presidential Powers (Temporary Measures) Act to truncate the
electoral process by legally dubious means.

Report by Brian Chitemba

His confrontational manoeuvres and resultant political storm came on the eve
of the crucial Sadc summit in Maputo, Mozambique, to discuss Zimbabwe’s
political and security situation, particularly to review the Global
Political Agreement (GPA), attendant roadmap and poll funding ahead of the
elections.

Mugabe wrote to Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai and Industry and Commerce
minister Welshman Ncube, unilaterally informing them elections will be held
on July 31, while saying he was implementing a recent controversial
Constitutional Court (Concourt) order.

“In my capacity as President of the Republic of Zimbabwe, I hereby inform
you that I have today issued a proclamation calling for the holding of
harmonised elections and fixing June 28 2013 as the date for the nomination
of aspiring candidates and July 31 2013 as the date for holding polls,”
Mugabe said in his letter.

“This proclamation has been preceded by the enactment of the Electoral
Amendments that were approved by cabinet on 11 June 2013.

Given the need to comply with the deadline for elections as imposed upon me
by the Constitutional Court judgment, it became inexpedient to await the
passage through parliament of the electoral (Act).”

He also said in the event that no one wins the first round of the
presidential election, the run-off will be held on September 11 after the
United Nations World Tourism Organisation conference in Victoria Falls from
August 24 to 29.

In a move which disregarded Tuesday’s collective cabinet decisions, Mugabe
used the authoritarian powers of decree to by-pass a parliamentary process
which was supposed to amend the Electoral Act to include issues related to
the registration of voters, a code of conduct for political parties,
candidates participating in elections, a system of proportional
representation for senators and seats reserved for women, disabled senators
and members of the newly introduced provincial councils.

Tsvangirai immediately rejected Mugabe’s unilateral proclamation of
elections dates, saying it was “a clear, flagrant and fraudulent breach of
our constitution”. He vowed to fight Mugabe’s bid to railroad the nation
into elections before full implementation of critical reforms as outlined in
the GPA.

Mugabe’s manoeuvres are also facing stiff resistance from other political
parties and the issue is expected to dominate the Sadc summit tomorrow.
Mugabe gazetted Statutory Instrument 85 of 2013 amending the Electoral Act
in a situation he said was necessitated by urgency and public interest. He
said he used the controversial Presidential Powers (Temporary Measures) Act
to comply with the Concourt judgment of May 31 which ordered him to proclaim
dates for elections by not later than July 31.

Law experts said the use of Presidential Powers to amend electoral laws was
unconstitutional since Section 157(1) states that only an Act of Parliament
can be used.

Mugabe used his contentious powers to unilaterally amend the Electoral Act
and include a provision which extends the voter registration exercise by 12
days after nomination day.

Initially, Section 26A of the Electoral Act 2:13 provided that voter
registration was supposed to be finalised 24 hours before the nomination
court sits after which the constitution required that 44 days elapse between
the proclamation of election dates and polling day.

Mugabe used his sweeping powers to repeal Section 26A and insert a new
provision for the closure of the voters’ roll 12 days after nomination day
in a bid to fit the processes within the July 31 deadline.

“No person shall be registered as a voter for the purposes of voting at any
Presidential election or election of members of the National Assembly or
councillors unless he or she lodges a claim for registration or transfer of
registration under Section 24 or 25 no later than 12 days after the
nomination day fixed in terms of a proclamation referred to in Section 28 or
a notice referred to in Section 39, as the case may be, in relation to that
election,” the amendment says.

The MDC formations expected the elections would be held by August 25 given
that the mandatory mobile voter registration which began on June 10 was
supposed to end on July 9, after which the proclamation of elections dates
would have been on July 10. The constitution provides that the nomination
court can only sit between 14 and 21 days of the proclamation, meaning the
date that was expected for the court to sit was July 24, not June 28 as
Mugabe arbitrarily set.

As the new constitution provides for a minimum 30-day period of campaigning
to a maximum of 42 days before polling day, it meant after the July 24
nomination, elections could only have been held at least on August 25.

But Mugabe used the Concourt ruling and his powers of decree to stampede the
nation into elections, something he had failed to achieve since 2011.


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Fresh chaos rocks 30- day voter registration

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

June 14, 2013 in News, Politics

THE 30-day mandatory mobile voter registration exercise started amid chaos
as despondent aspiring voters accused the Registrar-General’s Office of
employing delaying tactics to frustrate the electorate while many were
turned away for various reasons.

Report by Hazel Ndebele

A survey by the Zimbabwe Independent this week showed that the exercise
which started on Monday was engulfed by chaos despite desperate efforts by
cabinet to implement a raft of changes to smoothen the process.

But potential voters complained the bottlenecks that chocked the initial
voter registration conducted between April 29 and May 19 remained with the
situation worsened by what would-be voters described as a “go-slow” by the
RG’s officers.

“We have been here since 5am and only less than 20 people have been served,”
said Janet Ncube when the Zimbabwe Independent visited Mai Musodzi Hall in
Mbare on Wednesday afternoon. “This is our second day here and it seems we
are not going to be served again.”

Angry aspiring voters at Huruyadzo Shopping Centre in Chitungwiza could not
contain their disappointment as they claimed the “go slow” was a deliberate
attempt by Zanu PF to deter urbanites from registering as the party has
often fared badly in urban areas.

“Tasvika pamapenalties chaipo apa saka hazviite kuti tidzokere tisina
kuregister (we are at a crucial point in as far as elections are concerned
and we cannot go back without registering),” said Tapiwa Mamvura.

The current voter registration exercise has not been widely publicised and
hundreds of people are still being turned away.

“We are travelling long distances just to come and register here. They
should have increased the number of registration centres to ease this
congestion,” said Nicholas Banda at Sunningdale Community Hall.

Zimbabwe Electoral Commission chairperson, Justice Rita Makarau, has
accepted that the first mobile voter registration was not a success and
promised to correct the problems.

Meanwhile, Makarau on Wednesday said her organisation was constrained by the
limited mandate accorded to it by law and financial dependence on Treasury.

Makarau made the remarks in parliament where she was briefing legislators on
the body’s preparedness to hold general elections under the new constitution
in the face of the Constitutional Court ruling that polls must be held by
July 31.

Makarau said the electoral body could not do much in regulating skewed
reporting and hate speech in the media, especially the broadcasting sector,
before the election dates are proclaimed.

“Zec’s function to monitor the content of broadcasters will only kick in
after the proclamation of the elections date,” Makarau said.

“That is the time when broadcasters have an obligation to bring their
programmes for vetting to us; thus before proclamation we don’t have any
teeth.”

Makarau was responding to Senator Tendayi Makunde who had asked if the
electoral body had put in place a code of conduct for political parties and
the media ahead of the general elections. She said Zec had received limited
funding from Treasury but remained ready to deliver credible elections.

“Zec is ready in terms of logistics and human resources,” Makarau said,
“However it is an open secret that we are under- resourced. Out of a budget
of US$150 million we only received US$25 million and we are simply awaiting
the release of the money.”


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Primaries: Zanu PF bigwigs set to fall

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

June 14, 2013 in News, Politics

AFTER many months of haggling over primary elections guidelines, Zanu PF is
likely to plunge into further turmoil as its bigwigs face stiff challenges
in the internal polls set to be held in a single day.

Report by Brian Chitemba

The politburo held meetings on Wednesday and Thursday to finalise
contentious primary elections guidelines as it prepares for the plebiscite
President Robert Mugabe wants held before July 31 as ordered by a recent
constitutional court ruling.

The primaries present faction-riddled Zanu PF with serious challenges as
senior party officials have to prove their mettle against ‘young turks’,
police officers and CIO operatives.

Like in the MDC-T where sitting MPs fell by the wayside during the primaries
which are yet to be finalised, the same bloodbath is expected in sharply
divided Zanu PF when party members vote for their representatives in
imminent crucial polls.

In Manicaland, outspoken Zanu PF secretary for administration Didymus Mutasa
will be challenged by Women’s Affairs ministry director Christopher
Chingosho for the Headlands constituency.

Justice and Legal Affairs minister Patrick Chinamasa, said to be a close
ally of Defence minister Emmerson Mnangagwa, will battle it out with Arda
chairman Basil Nyabadza — a Vice-President Joice Mujuru associate — in
Makoni Central, while Manicaland governor Christopher Mushohwe squares off
against businessman Jonathan Kadzura in Mutare West.

Journalist-cum-businessman Supa Mandiwanzira will have to beat ZBC general
manager finance, retired Brigadier-General Elliot Kasu for the right to
stand in Nyanga South, whereas Agriculture minister Joseph Made will not go
unchallenged in Makoni West which youth league member Kudzie Chipanga is
vying for.

There is a battle of senior policemen in Buhera West where Assistant
Commissioner Oliver Mandipaka fights it out with his boss, Senior Assistant
Commissioner Ronald Muderedzwa, while drama is expected in Makoni South
where Senator Monica Mutsvangwa contests Nyasha Chikwinya and six others. In
Chamanimani East, battle lines are drawn between Economic Planning and
Investment Promotion Deputy minister Samuel Undenge and youth league
official Joshua Sacco.

Women’s League boss Oppah Muchinguri, politburo member Kumbirai Kangai and
retired Major-General Mike Nyambuya are said to be eyeing senatorial seats
decided through proportional representation, while ousted provincial
chairman Mike Madiro is said to be contemplating standing as an independent
candidate. A staggering 15 politicians are eyeing Mutare North.

Elsewhere in Zvimba North, Local Government minister Ignatius Chombo is
having sleepless nights plotting to save his constituency from ex-wife
Marian, and close Mugabe relative Edwin Matibiri. Mugabe’s nephew Patrick
Zhuwawo locks horns with his nemesis, CIO operative Francis Mukwangwariwa in
Zvimba East.

In the politically volatile Epworth constituency, former Mines minister and
Zanu PF Harare provincial chairman Amos Midzi faces a challenge from Coxwell
Chigwanha, who claims he was chosen by the people to challenge the
ex-diplomat.

A group of young turks challenging the old guard has also stirred a storm in
the former liberation movement with Affirmative Action Group’s Chamu
Chiwanza eyeing the Mabvuku constituency, which is also targeted by Zimbabwe
Mining Development Corporation chairman Goodwills Masimirembwa.

Danny Kasukuwere, younger brother to Minister of Youth Development,
Indigenisation and Empowerment, Saviour Kasukuwere, is challenging
businessman Kenneth Musanhi while another Kasukuwere brother, Tongai, is
said to be eyeing Mt Darwin East constituency.

Mashonaland Central provincial chairperson, Dickson Mafiosi, is facing
competition in Mt Darwin North from a police officer only identified as
Superintendent Muponora.

In Bindura South, businesswoman Verna Madake will battle it out with farmer
Remigio Matangira while Mashonaland Central governor Martin Dinha is eyeing
one of the two Bindura constituencies.

In Chinhoyi, businessman Phillip Chiyangwa will contest for the Chinhoyi
seat after benefiting from the relaxation of party regulations stating that
only those with a minimum five-year membership in the party should contest.
Chiyangwa was only re-admitted into the party over a year ago.

Fireworks are expected in Masvingo South where Tourism and Hospitality
minister Walter Mzembi is being challenged by serving CIO operative Lesley
Humbe and Colonel Phillip Toperesu, a serving member of the Zimbabwe
National Army. Copac co-chairperson Munyaradzi Paul Mangwana is set to fight
it out with Ephraim Gwanongodza for Chivi Central in the party’s primaries,
while Tongai Muzenda fights it out with Masvingo chairperson Lovemore
Matuke.

Zimpapers chairperson Paul Chimedza is interested in the Gutu North seat.
Former Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe senior employee Munyaradzi Kereke and
musician Elias Musakwa are gunning for Bikita West. Eddison Zvobgo (jnr) is
wrestling Edmund Mhere for the Masvingo Central seat.

Masvingo governor Titus Maluleke and retired Brigadier-General Callisto
Gwanetsa want senatorial seats while retired Brigadier- General Livingstone
Chineka, a former Zaka East parliamentary representative, is also said to be
interested in representing Zanu PF on the Zaka Senate seat.

In Matabeleland, Mines minister Obert Mpofu’s brother Bekithemba Mpofu is
vigorously campaigning for the Hwange West constituency.

Politburo member Eunice Sandi-Moyo is said to be eyeing one of the urban
constituencies in Bulawayo.

Public Service deputy minister Andrew Langa is battling to protect his
Insiza North seat from Patrick Hove’s challenge. Former Information and
Publicity minister Politburo member Sikhanyiso Ndlovu, who has lost the
previous three parliamentary polls from 2000, is campaigning in Mpopoma
where he has been regularly donating an assortment of goodies since the
beginning of 2012.

Home Affairs co-minister Kembo Mohadi and his wife Tambudzani are also
campaigning to keep their Beitbridge seats. Kembo is the Beitbridge MP while
Tambudzani holds the senate seat.


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Nyambuya pleads with youths not to dump Zanu PF

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

June 14, 2013 in News, Politics

ZANU PF Manicaland vice-chairperson, retired lieutenant-general Mike
Nyambuya has pleaded with disgruntled party youths not to dump the former
liberation movement after they vociferously expressed deep concern over
their exclusion in the indigenisation programme spearheaded by
Indigenisation minister Saviour Kasukuwere.

REPORT BY CLAYTON MASEKESA

The youths said they are concerned by the alleged looting of diamonds in
Chiadzwa by influential people from outside Manicaland.

Nyambuya last week told an intra-party district conference in Makoni he
feared Zanu PF would lose the forthcoming elections if it failed to address
the concerns of the youths.

“If we go into the elections without first solving the youths’ concerns and
also finding solutions to the divisions in the party, we will lose the
elections,” Nyambuya warned.

He reminded party colleagues that the youths constitute a large number of
voters.

However, the Zanu PF youths said they were tired of unfulfilled promises.

The youth groups in the province threatened to jump ship and join the MDC-T.

The secretary-general of Marange Youth Empowerment Trust, John Kaisi, said:
“We were promised claims in Chiadzwa and Penhalonga as part of initiatives
to empower us. But up to now we do not have anything to show. They only want
us when we approach elections and this time we are saying no.”

Zanu PF Manicaland Youth Assembly secretary for information and publicity,
Pemberai Marudza, said the party was being weakened by corrupt senior party
officials.


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Several cabinet ministers under fire

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

June 14, 2013 in News, Politics

SEVERAL cabinet ministers, mostly from Zanu PF, have for the past five
months been ducking questions from MDC-T MPs on government’s policy relating
to the alleged partisan conduct of central intelligence officers (CIOs), the
recruitment and promotion of police officers, diamond revenue, the Essar
deal and monies owed to Zesa by the executive.

Report by Paidamoyo Muzulu

Questions from Mazowe Central MP, Shepherd Mushonga and Kwekwe Central MP,
Blessing Chebundo, on the conduct of the police and CIO, which have been on
the order papers since February, were raised as MDC-T called for security
sector reforms ahead of general elections ordered by the Constitutional
Court to be held on or before July 31.

Mushonga on May 22 asked the minister of State Security: “What is the
ministry’s policy with regards to state intelligence officers who are openly
partisan and hold provincial and central committee positions in Zanu PF?”

Mushonga further inquired: “If state security intelligence agents are
partisan and belong to political parties, how will they protect members of
government who do not belong to their preferred political parties who are in
government? Does this not compromise their (members of government) security,
safety and privacy?”

Chebundo on February 13 asked co-ministers of Home Affairs Kembo Mohadi and
Theresa Makone to “explain and justify why the Zimbabwe Republic Police
(ZRP) was enrolling or integrating its general hand employees as regular
police officers and issuing them with police ID cards with different ranks
and enlisting them with the Salary Services Bureau (SSB)?”

Chebundo cited 13 such cases from around Kwekwe district where individuals
were employed and some promoted as officers in an allegedly clandestine
manner. Several other ministers have also not responded to written questions
over the past five months.

Industry and Commerce minister Welshman Ncube has not responded to a
question from Chebundo on why the New Zimbabwe Steel Company is failing to
take off despite the deal with Indian Investors, Essar Holdings. Chebundo
also wanted to know what measures were in place to address the plight of the
workers at NewZim Steel and Zimasco.

Energy and Power Development minister, Elton Mangoma, is still to respond to
a question from Chebundo on how much ministers, their deputies and senior
government officials owe Zesa and what measures have been put in place to
recover the debts.

Mines and Mining Development minister Obert Mpofu has not responded to
questions from Mushonga relating to Marange diamond mining. Mushonga wanted
to know the gross output from July 2012 to January this year in all the
seven mines operating in Marange, and what gross dividend government had
received from its 50% ownership.

Public Service minister Lucia Matibenga and Ignatius Chombo (Local
Government) are among ministers who have also not responded to questions
sent to them since February this year.

Analysts at various forums have said the seventh parliament, due to expire
at the end of this month, has been the least productive since Independence
in 1980. They, however, say the development may have been caused by the
nature of the coalition government incepted in February 2009 following the
signing of the Sadc- facilitated Global Political Agreement.


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Concourt ruling gives Mugabe headache

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

June 14, 2013 in News, Politics

THE controversial Constitutional Court (Concourt) ruling that elections
should be held by July 31 this year has placed President Robert Mugabe in a
cauldron, given that he has to comply with the court order while at the same
time upholding the constitution and provisions of the Electoral Act, which
set timelines for the plebiscite.

Report by Elias Mambo

Mugabe, who quickly embraced the judgment saying he would comply, is under
immense pressure to also ensure provisions of the new constitution are not
violated.
Mugabe, who has been pushing for early elections since 2010, is in a
quandary because he will not be able to fully comply with the Concourt
ruling while simultaneously upholding the Electoral Act.

Mugabe is also under pressure from Sadc and the MDC formations in the
inclusive government who are demanding full implementation of democratic
reforms outlined in the Global Political Agreement — precursor to the unity
government.

The MDCs argue elections could be held by October 29 to allow the
implementation of reforms since the constitution provides that elections can
be held four months after dissolution of parliament on June 29.

Derek Matyszak, a researcher with the Research and Advocacy Unit (RAU)
insists Mugabe has to uphold provisions of the new constitution if elections
are to be credible.

“The new constitution provides that there must be a minimum of 30 days
between nomination day and the elections, taking the earliest date for
elections, if these laws are to be complied with, to August 3. The president
cannot comply with both the Electoral Act and the constitution and the
Concourt order all at the same time given these realities,” Matyszak wrote
in the Independent last week.

He added: “The new constitution provides that the Electoral Act cannot be
changed once the election dates have been announced. But the Electoral Act
must be changed to accommodate the new provisions in the constitution
relating to proportional representation before the election. Parliament,
dominated by the MDC parties, is now unlikely to allow an early passage of
the amending Bill.”

Besides the above processes, according to Matyszak, the new constitution
also provides that there must be at least 44 days between the announcement
of the election date and the actual elections.

If the amendment to the Electoral Act is only passed after June 17, and the
president waits for the change to take place, as the constitution requires,
before announcing the election dates, there will be less than 44 days left
between the announcement of the elections date and July 31.

The 44 days are therefore the minimum period between the proclamation and
the elections.

Four days after the Concourt ruling, Zec chairperson Rita Makarau said her
commission would not be ready to supervise elections by July 31 as “the
voters roll is still in a shambles.”

MDC-T, MDC, Zapu, Zanu Ndonga and Mavambo/Kusile/Dawn, in a rare show of
solidarity, agreed to push Sadc to stop Mugabe from proclaiming election
dates before full implementations of electoral and democratic reforms.

Sadc developed an elections roadmap to guide the country to credible, free
and fair elections after the disputed 2008 elections and regional leaders
demanded at summits in Livingstone, Zambia, Sandton in Johannesburg, South
Africa, and in Luanda, Angola, the need for Zimbabwe to follow the roadmap
prior to elections.

However, Zimbabwe Democracy Institute Director Pedzisai Ruhanya said Mugabe
failed to foresee the impact of the Concourt ruling because he was
pre-occupied by his rush to hold elections.

“Now he (Mugabe) is in a difficult position because he has to meet the
deadline as well as implement the reforms in order to get legitimacy from
the regional body, Sadc and the international community,” he said.

Ruhanya also said the other unforeseen effect of the court ruling was the
opportunity it had given to the opposition parties to come together and
fight from the same corner.

While Sadc, on numerous occasions, has been criticised for treating Mugabe
with kid-gloves, analysts say it is unlikely that the regional body will
rubber-stamp Zanu PF’s position, even if Mugabe is armed with the Concourt
ruling. Public Policy and Governance manager at the Institute for a
Democratic Alternative for Zimbabwe, Jabusile Shumba, said Sadc was likely
to intensify pressure for credible elections.

“Sadc will intensify pressure on Mugabe because all other parties have shown
how serious elections are by holding internal polls for candidates to
represent them in the harmonised elections, except for Zanu PF which has not
even finalised rules for its polls,” Shumba said.

Habakkuk Trust chief executive officer Dumisani Nkomo said the Concourt
ruling was like a double-edged sword aimed at Mugabe.

“The ruling is a double-edged sword aimed at Mugabe, whose party is in a
shambles and not even ready for its own internal elections and, on the other
hand, Sadc requires the implementation of its initiated election roadmap,”
Nkomo said.

“We have to see how Mugabe emerges out of this self-imposed conundrum
without amputating part of his dignity,” he said.

Observers claim if Mugabe wants to comply with the ruling, he has to make
sure that reforms are implemented and that all the electoral processes
stipulated in the new constitution are followed to the letter, demands that
make it practically impossible to meet the July 31 deadline.

Cabinet on Tuesday endorsed proposed amendments to align the Electoral Act
with the new constitution, with prospective candidates for the forthcoming
elections now being able to submit their nomination papers to Zec for
scrutiny before the sitting of the nomination court, among other changes.

The Concourt ruling has also opened what could turn out to be a flood of
petitions with individuals filing papers to stop elections from being held
on July 31.
By Wednesday this week two people had approached the courts to file their
petitions. Last Friday, A Bulawayo woman, Maria Phiri, filed a Supreme Court
application seeking to overturn a Constitutional Court ruling to have polls
held before July 31, while another Harare man, human rights activist Nixon
Nyikadzino also made an application at the ConCourt on Monday seeking to
compel Mugabe to proclaim an election date only after complying with
constitutional requirements.

Pressure is also mounting on Mugabe who tomorrow will face regional leaders
at the Sadc extra-ordinary summit in Maputo, Mozambique, which will deal
with Zimbabwe’s preparedness for elections, poll funding and the contentious
Concourt ruling.

Quoting the Latin maxim Lex non cogit ad impossibilia (the law does not
require one to do the impossible) Zimbabwe Lawyers say Mugabe does not have
to do what is practically and legally impossible to meet the July 31
deadline. Constitutional lawyer and MDC minister, David Coltart, suggested
that the only way out of the “constitutional quagmire” is to go to the
Constitutional Court for a fresh court order enabling the country to avoid
being in contravention of other electoral provisions and the constitution.


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Zanu PF hijacks Nkomo Day plans

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

June 14, 2013 in News, Politics

ZANU PF has hijacked plans by the late vice-president Joshua Nkomo’s family
and other organisations in Matabeleland to declare July 1 a Joshua Nkomo and
Liberators’ Day in honour of the late veteran nationalist’s immense
contribution towards nation-building.

Report by Brian Chitemba

The son of the late vice-president, Sibangilizwe Nkomo, has been at the
forefront of pushing government to declare July 1 a national holiday from
this year onwards, as the country marks the 14th commemoration of Nkomo’s
death. Nkomo died on July 1, 1999 after a long battle with cancer.

This year’s commemorations will be held at Stanely Square in Bulawayo’s
sprawling suburb of Makokoba, where several liberation icons and civil
rights activists lived prior to Independence.

As part of the commemorations, there will be a march from Nkomo’s retail
outlet Blue Lagoon to Stanley Square.

Having written several times to the Home Affairs ministry to have July 1
declared a national holiday without getting a response, the Nkomo family
remains undeterred. However, the family’s idea has now been appropriated by
Zanu PF bigwigs in Matabeleland who allegedly want to gain political mileage
before the forthcoming elections.

Party insiders told the Zimbabwe Independent this week politburo and central
committee members in Matabeleland met last weekend at Davies Hall — the
party’s Bulawayo provincial headquarters — where they unanimously agreed to
take over the idea to declare July 1 a holiday and score political points.

The central committee members met for several hours to deliberate on Nkomo
Day at a gathering chaired by Matabeleland South governor and politburo
member, Angeline Masuku.

After the endorsement of Nkomo Day, the politburo members promised to push
government to ensure July 1 is declared a holiday.

“We were surprised that central committee and politburo members are planning
to hijack the Nkomo Day idea which was initiated by the Nkomo family and
some members of Zapu. It’s an election strategy just to gain sympathy and
garner votes,” said a party official.

With shambolic structures and dwindling support in the Matabeleland region,
Zanu PF hopes to lure the electorate and regain popularity ahead of polls
through association with the Nkomo brand.

Plans to honour Nkomo through the erection of a life-size statue in Bulawayo
along Main Street flopped due to lack of funding after an initial attempt
was reversed as the Nkomo family complained over government’s unilateral
decision without consulting other stakeholders.

Main Street, one of the major roads in Bulawayo, was also supposed to be
renamed after Nkomo, but this is yet to be done.

A radical Matabeleland-based traditional and cultural group, Matojeni
Cultural Society “Isifiso Sikazulu”, has already declared July 1 a public
holiday without government’s consent.

Zanu PF’s push to honour Nkomo is widely viewed as hypocritical given that
the nationalist was persecuted by President Robert Mugabe’s regime in the
1980s during the Gukurahundi massacres which left more than 20 000 dead in
Matabeleland and the Midlands.

Nkomo, affectionately known as uMdala Wethu, only managed to stop the
killings and abuse after he agreed to a controversial December 22 1987 Unity
Accord, which critics saw as “the swallowing of PF Zapu by Zanu PF”.


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Joblessness: It’s still doom and gloom

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

June 14, 2013 in News

AFTER attaining Independence in 1980, Zimbabwe was regarded as an economic
powerhouse in Southern Africa, with hundreds of thousands employed in its
industries. Many of the workers were middle-income earners.

Report by Hazel Ndebele

The country was also a major agricultural producer in the region.

As the years passed by, Zimbabwe’s literacy rate increased to more than 90%,
making the country an oasis of remarkable human capital development.

This is borne out by millions of locals employed by multinational
conglomerates across the globe, especially after the turn of the century
when most skilled and experienced workers fled an economic malaise that saw
the unemployment rate skyrocketing to above 80%.

The job situation worsened from 2000, with undergraduate students from all
universities sharing a common fear — the reality of unemployment in a
moribund economy with less than 40% capacity utilisation.

To date, companies continue scaling down operations while others are closing
down completely. As of 2011, close to 100 firms in Bulawayo alone had shut
down, rendering more than 20 000 jobless, according to the Ministry of
Industry and Commerce.

The shrinking economy, characterised by massive job losses is attributed to
bad economic policies dating back to the 1990s during the days of the
Economic Structural Adjustment Programme (Esap) where companies routinely
retrenched to weather the economic storm.

Now, thousands of graduates churned from the University of Zimbabwe (UZ),
National University of Science and Technology, Midlands State University,
Great Zimbabwe University, Africa University, Chinhoyi University of
Technology, Catholic University and polytechnic colleges as well as private
tertiary institutions can only join the informal sector, which is
predominantly engaged in cross-border trading in cheap Chinese products
imported from South Africa, Tanzania, Zambia and Botswana.

The harrowing stories of graduates forced into cross-border trading, the
main trade in the informal sector, is testimony to the shattered dreams of
aspiring professionals.

Blessed Ncube, a Bulawayo graduate in her mid-20s with a Bachelor of Arts
Degree from UZ attained two years ago, has joined the sea of informal
traders who are earning a living from re-selling clothes imported from South
Africa.

“I have since failed to secure a formal job since I graduated, which is why
I have settled to buying and selling clothes to help with my day-to-day
expenses while I look for a formal job,” she said.

The gloomy Zimbabwean economic picture was buttressed by last week’s Poverty
Income Consumption and Expenditure Survey (Pices) report which indicated
that a paltry 22% are in the formal sector while 57% of workers are employed
in agriculture.

The report further states the informal sector is flooded with young people
aged between 15 and 34 years.

Confederation of Zimbabwe Industries president Kumbirai Katsande said
Zimbabwe’s economy shrunk further in the first five months of the year
mainly due to de-industrialisation in Bulawayo, once the country’s
industrial hub, further swelling unemployment figures.

But Finance minister Tendai Biti shocked the nation last week when he
claimed the national employment rate was above 90%, sparking criticism from
economists who accused the minister of contradicting his MDC-T economic
blueprint — Jobs Upliftment Investment Capital Ecology (Juice) which aims to
create a million jobs between 2013 and 2018.

Biti based his argument on the Pices report by Zimstat, which says
employment stood at 91%, with the majority of the people engaged as farmers,
taxi drivers or hairdressers.

Contrary to Biti’s assertions, Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai last year
bemoaned that high unemployment was one of the major problems dogging the
country.

“We need to create jobs for the people and reduce the 80% unemployment rate.
Most of the country’s youth are roaming the streets,” Tsvangirai said.
Economist Takunda Mugaga said Biti’s employment rate figures were misleading
and unfair to ordinary people.

“The reason why many young people are engaging in informal jobs is because
of failure to secure formal jobs and this should not be seen as normal,
employment is not created in the streets,” said Mugaga.

“A visit to most of the industries in Zimbabwe will illustrate the level of
unemployment in the country.”

It is impossible for the country to have 90% unemployment when the economy
is operating below 48% in terms of capacity utilisation, Mugaga said.

Economist John Robertson said the unemployment rate remained high, with less
than 900 000 people formally employed out of 13 million.

“It is very unfortunate that the government defines employment as informal
jobs, yet most people involved in informal activities would prefer to get a
formal job with a steady stream of income,” Robertson said.

He added that people in the informal sector were hard-pressed to access bank
loans because they naturally did not have the necessary paperwork to access
credit lines.

“The majority of the people who constitute the informal sector are deprived
and have serious disadvantages because whenever one needs a credit facility,
a payslip is needed, but these informal traders on the pavements do not have
such documentation,” Robertson said.

“Unless Zimbabwe takes austerity measures to address political and economic
problems that continue to stress its economy, the country’s unemployment
rate will continue to escalate,” he added.


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Old judges unlikely to offer new jurisprudence

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

June 14, 2013 in News

THE new Constitutional Court (Concourt) is unlikely to offer new
jurisprudence into the law because the same judges who were in the Supreme
Court are the ones sitting in the Concourt which passed a controversial
judgment ordering that elections be held by July 31.

Report by Brian Chitemba

The Concourt, led by Chief Justice Godfrey Chidyausiku, stirred controversy
and sharp criticism from legal pundits over its ruling after a shadowy
non-governmental organisation — the Centre for Election Democracy in
Southern Africa, run by Jealousy Mawarire — filed an application demanding
President Robert Mugabe should urgently proclaim elections dates, arguing
delays in proclaiming the poll dates violated his constitutional rights.

The Research and Advocacy Unit (Rau) said the judgement, which was in line
with Mugabe’s wish to have early elections, was not surprising since the old
Supreme Court judges now sitting as a Concourt were well-known for
jurisprudence that favours the executive, particularly the president and
Zanu PF.

The Concourt has nine judges comprising Chidyausiku, his Deputy Chief
Justice Luke Malaba, Judge President George Chiweshe, Justice Antoinette
Guvava, Justice Paddington Garwe, Justice Annemarie Gowora, Justice Vernanda
Ziyambi, Justice Bharat Patel and Justice Ben Hlatshwayo.

Rau argues the Concourt bench which adjudicated the Mawarire matter were
members of the Supreme Court whose judgments on constitutional matters were
questionable.

The appointment of the new court was unilaterally done by Mugabe, who was
supposed to consult Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai in keeping with the
letter and spirit of the Global Political Agreement.

Rau said: “Since the new court comprises old judges, it may have been naive
to expect jurisprudence different from that of the Supreme Court to emerge.
But it is jurisprudence of this ilk through which the new Declaration of
Rights in the new Constitution will be filtered.

“This is a direct consequence of negotiating a new constitution which did
not provide for a fresh and reconstructed court to adjudicate upon
constitutional matters, but rather the current Supreme Court operating,
under a different name, albeit with a few more judges.”

Rau added that: “The judges of the new Constitutional Court seized with the
matter were not fresh judicial appointees who had been through the selection
process set out in Section 180 of the new constitution, which potentially
curbs presidential influence over judicial appointments.”

Rau said Chiweshe and Hlatshwayo were both likely to comfortably complement
the Chidyausiku jurisprudence, given that these judges were well-known for
ruling in favour of the executive and Zanu PF.

For instance, in 2011 Chiweshe dismissed an application which pointed out
that the constitution provides that there “shall” be 31 ministers in the
inclusive government, yet Mugabe appointed 41. Chiweshe ruled that 41 “does
not outrageously exceed” the stipulated 31 and he would take a “broad
approach” to constitutional interpretation, saying the purpose of the then
constitution was to create stability.

The Chiweshe ruling was heard on appeal nine months ago but the Supreme
Court is yet to issue a ruling and is unlikely to do so before a new
government is formed.

Therefore, the previous controversial rulings by the judges who now sit in
the Concourt has put the highest court of the land under the spotlight.

In the Mawarire case, Chidyausiku penned the judgment for the majority, with
six judges appending words “I agree” to the Chief Justice, save for Malaba
and Patel, who had dissenting opinions.

They said the majority was wrong in its ruling as the old constitution,
which together with the new one will be used to hold the next elections
during the transitional period, allows for the polls to be held within four
months after the dissolution of parliament, either by the president before
its tenure ends, or automatically when it expires.

Rau further argued the Concourt judgement was incorrect because it is
impossible for the country to hold polls by July 31 considering outstanding
processes that need to be implemented as provided by the new governance
charter.

The Mawarire order, Rau said, created a possibility that the president may
not be able to comply with both the court order and the constitution because
provisions of the new constitution stipulate that there must be at least 44
days between the proclamation of the election dates and election day.

The new constitution also provides that the Electoral Act cannot be changed
once the election dates have been announced, meaning the president may not
proclaim poll dates until the amendments to the Electoral Act have been
finalised.

“There is no guarantee that the MDC formations will agree to the amendments
at least 44 days before July 31, 2013. The president will then either have
to violate the constitutional requirement that 44 days elapse between the
electoral proclamation and the election itself, or fail to meet the July 31,
2013 deadline,” said Rau.

“Furthermore, the 44 days is the minimum period between the proclamation and
the election. The last amendment to the Electoral Act, responding to a
request from the Zimbabwe Electoral Commission which believed the previous
42 days too brief for logistical purposes, extended the minimum period to 56
days. If this or a similar period is retained, the president will not be
able to comply with the Concourt order and the Electoral Act
 simultaneously.”

Rau suggested that it could have been more appropriate for the Concourt to
order that elections be held within a minimum period of four months as
provided for by the new constitution.


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ZTA reports an increase in Zim tourism

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

June 14, 2013 in Business

ZIMBABWE’s tourist arrivals increased 17% to 404 282 in the first quarter of
2013, helped by the growth in regional trade and commerce through transiting
business vistors.

Report by Gamma Mudarikiri

A report released by the Zimbabwe Tourism Authority (ZTA)this week showed
that last year tourist arrivals plunged 26% to 1 794 230, weighed down
mainly by a drop in visits from mainland Africa which fell by close to 25%.

Arrivals in the three months to April this year, however, rose to 404 282,
up from 346 299 recorded in the same period the previous year.
“This growth is clearly a witness of the country’s improved destination
image, resuming competitiveness in the region,” said ZTA in the report.

“The ever increasing regional trade and commerce also contributed immensely
to the growth through indirect transiting tourists and business arrivals as
shown by the current 40% increase in business tourists and 65% increase in
shopping tourists.”

Arrivals from mainland Africa grew 12% to 346 428, up from 308 646 recorded
in the same period the previous year with South Africa, Mozambique and
Zambia contributing close to 70% of all arrivals from the region.

This is a recovery from a 23% drop to 1,56 million arrivals recorded last
year which ZTA said was largely influenced by the fall in the number of
visitors from South Africa, a major African market.

As most tourists from the country travel by road this raises concern over
issues such as smooth clearance at border posts and the current poor state
of the road network in Zimbabwe.

“It should also be noted that the sluggish growth of the South African
economy to 2,8% from 3,1% in 2011 that is currently prevailing is to an
extent an additional factor to the decline,” added ZTA.

However, Africa in the first three months of this year contributed 86% of
the arrivals market share to Zimbabwe, followed by Europe of 8%, Asia 3% and
Americas 3%, while Oceania and the Middle East markets remained depressed,
with less than 2% of the arrivals into the country.

Overall arrivals from the overseas market in the first quarter of 2013 grew
54% to 57 854 on the backdrop of an increase in arrivals, from Europe and
Asia. Europe contributed 54% of the overseas arrivals followed by Asia and
America with 20% of the overseas market share, while the remainder was
shared among the Middle East and Oceania.

“While all markets registered growth, arrivals from Europe and Asia
experienced significant increases which have been to an extent due to the
increased outbound trend, especially in China and the softening of the
Eurozone crisis,” said ZTA.

Commenting on hotel occupancy, ZTA said average hotel room occupancy levels
remained stagnant at 46% while average hotel bed occupancy levels rose a
percentage point to 35%.

As for lodges, average room occupancy levels grew two percentage points up
44% while average bed occupancy levels were also up 5% to 35%.

ZTA however said leisure tourism was still in its infancy in the country,
especially among the locals.


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Zim companies losing out to SA

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

June 14, 2013 in Business

CORPORATES in Zimbabwe should adopt hedging products and derivatives to
avoid unnecessary foreign currency exchange losses, a leading international
trade and currecy expert said.

Report by Clive Mphambela

At a training seminar on managing currency risk organised by Zimbabwe Stock
Exchange (ZSE)-listed NMB Bank Ltd in Harare last week, managing director of
Swapskills, Simon Rogers, said because Zimbabwean-based companies were using
the United States dollar, there was a false belief that they were immune to
foreign currency risks.

Swapskills is a derivatives training firm based in Singapore. Rogers said
some large Zimbabwean companies that are predominantly import-oriented were
losing value on their imports because they were allowing their South African
suppliers to give them prices in US dollars instead of South African Rands.

“Zimbabwean companies are essentially being cheated by their South African
suppliers when they get priced in US dollars because the South African
company will be buying a hedge on the value of the transaction. Zimbabwean
trading companies should not take it for granted that just because they have
been offered a price in US dollars it is the best deal. They should ask for
a rand price and then shop for a hedging product that will immunise them
from exchange rate movements,” Rogers said.

He said companies did not have to take full hedges, but partial hedges of,
say, between 30% and 70% of exposure.

Rogers said Zimbabwean companies should leverage the huge amount of research
that has been written on the US dollar and South African rand trading
patterns. The currency of Zimbabwe’s largest trading partner has been very
volatile in the past few years.

This week the South African rand tumbled to a low of R10,36 against the US
dollar and analysts expect it to slide further.

NMB Bank CEO James Mushore told delegates at the seminar, drawn from over 60
Zimbabwean companies, that Zimbabwe had slowly been integrated into the
global economy since dollarisation in 2009.

“This intergration has come with its own risks. For example, you can no
longer ignore developments in the Eurozone or the current downward spiral of
the Rand because it now has a direct impact on how you run your businesses
in Zimbabwe,” Mushore pointed out.

He said the period of economic decline between 1998 and 2008, during which
Zimbabwe’s currency was wiped out and foreign currency became non-existent,
meant that the country had lost out on a decade of financial innovation,
particularly methods of managing foreign currency risks.

“We have now become used to cash payments and foreign exchange terms such as
hedging, forward contracts, swaps or arbitrage are now rarely used in our
business language, but this is where the world has moved,” he said.

Mushore said Zimbabwean companies must prepare themselves for the economy
opening up soon as they will be competing with international companies that
have access to sophisticated foreign currency risk management tools.


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Biti should get real

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

June 14, 2013 in Opinion

If that’s what politics does to people, therefore wise men should stay very
far away from it.

Candid Comment with Itai Masuku

“… for wise men know well enough what monsters ye (politics) make of them,”
to quote from Act 3 Scene 1 of Shakespeare’s Hamlet. The word politics is an
own insertion. Here, we’re of course referring to the hallucinatory
statement by the honourable Minister of Finance, Tendai Biti, that the
unemployment rate in Zimbabwe is a mere 9%.

We have a dichotomy here in that the “honourable” and learned Biti has
become a true politician, albeit truth and politics are mutually exclusive.

And likewise so is honour and politics. That the minister should insult the
legions of job-seeking Zimbabweans eking a living from activities deemed
illegal by the state and local authorities such as vending and hawking, can
only be described as appalling. For, employment, or lack of it, is a very
straightforward matter.

Simply put, unemployment occurs when a person who is actively searching for
a job is unable to find it. This includes those who have given up the
search. And there are countless graduates, holders of degrees, diplomas,
vocational qualifications and O and A level certificates who simply can’t
find jobs in Zimbabwe.

Many end up joining the estimated three million Zimbabweans in the diaspora,
who left the country precisely because they couldn’t find jobs here.

This is not a mere thumbsuck; statistics from the Zimbabwe National
Statistics Agency (Zimstat), which falls under the minister, show the
national unemployment rate at more than 80%. In addition, figures from both
government and industry agree that industrial capacity utilisation in the
country is less than half.

Looked at from the other hand, unemployment is the result of businesses not
having enough demand for labour to employ all those who are looking for
work. The lack of employer demand comes from a lack of spending and
consumption in the overall economy. And as everyone knows, consumption is
subdued in Zimbabwe because the economy is not performing and is therefore
illiquid.

Biti conveniently forgets he’s the one who slashed the economic growth
(recovery, more like) rate by almost half to 4,5%.

Conveniently, too, his statement on the MDC-T website on the MDC-T’s
economic blueprint, Juice — Jobs, Upliftment, Investment, Capital and
Ecology is now inaccessible. In that statement and in Juice, the MDC-T seeks
to create a million jobs because this is a critical problem in Zimbabwe.

Jobs are not only an acute problem in the country today. They have been for
the past two decades and a chronic lack of them is the very reason Biti’s
MDC-T found political space. Biti and the MDC-T should not delude themselves
that their supporters will back them even if they don’t deliver and say
absurd things.

Surely, if we have 9% unemployment, then we’re among the best performing
economies in the world! Employment is a key economic indicator.

This Bitinomics (remember takakiya-kiya), implies stronger economies like
Spain, with a 26% unemployment rate, are way behind us. Or is Biti trying to
spruce up the omnishambles he and his colleagues from the MDCs and Zanu PF
have presided over for the past five years, now that this farce is about to
come to an end?

Biti must not pretend the situation has improved by concocting figures as
this does no good. For the people can’t pretend to be paid and pretend to
eat. Biti should get real.


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Jonathan Moyo singing for his supper

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

June 14, 2013 in Opinion

It boggles the mind to figure out Jonathan Moyo’s twisted logic in his daily
rantings in the state-owned media to which the other parties don’t have
access.

Opinion by Clifford Mashiri

In his latest mouthing, the Zanu PF politburo member claims MDC-T is, in his
words, “desperately trying to prolong voter registration beyond the 30–day
minimum constitutional requirement after realising that it was failing to
get its supporters to register” (The Herald of June 11, in an article titled
Moyo alleges MDC-T in panic mode).

While I don’t hold any brief for the MDC-T, it is worthwhile to expose Moyo’s
flawed reasoning.

Contrary to his assertions, it is arguable that it is him and his boss
President Robert Mugabe who should be panicking about the Constitutional
Court (Concourt)-imposed deadline, than the opposition to Zanu PF.

Firstly, going by the rationale of a recent Supreme Court application by
Maria Phiri of Bulawayo, former aliens have to acquire identity cards first
and cannot immediately benefit from the 30-day voter registration exercise
which began on June 10 and ends on July 10. As a result, she argues, polls
could only be held after August 12.

Secondly, Research and Advocacy Unit (Rau) perceptively notes that to comply
with the Concourt ruling, Mugabe will have to alter provisions of the
Electoral Act specifically agreed among the main political parties and which
formed part of the 2007 amendments to the Act — that is, that voter
registration must end 24 hours before the nomination court sits.

It is this provision, says Rau, which prevents the president from complying
with the 30-day registration period in the constitution and the Concourt
order.

Furthermore, Rau points out that if there is to be compliance with the law,
it seems that the president will have to ask the Concourt for a
postponement, which he proved very good at during the by-election saga.

However, in Rau’s view, “the problem for the president is that if he is able
to ask for a postponement to another date, this will then make it clear that
July 31 is not carved in stone by the law, as Zanu PF would like the
populace to believe”.

Thirdly, going by news reports from Harare, the former information minister,
and other Zanu PF “prodigal sons” risk being barred from standing as
candidates unless they had served in the party as office bearers for a
cumulative period of at least five years to the primary elections.

It is common knowledge that if Zanu PF adopts its guidelines on
qualifications for candidates, Moyo could kiss goodbye to his plan B of
standing as a candidate in Zanu PF’s primary elections because he was only
re-admitted into the party at the end of 2009 after being expelled in 2005.

Tsvangirai should keep tightening pressure to thwart Mugabe’s bid to
stampede the country into a farcical election. He should not relent. If he
does, Mugabe will laugh the whole way to another sham swearing-in ceremony
as president.

Finally, it is safe to argue that the recent regrouping of the opposition
coalition against Mugabe’s dictatorship is causing Moyo sleepless nights as
he realises how he has failed to raise Zanu PF from its “Lazarus Moment” as
he races against time before being disqualified in primary elections.

A grand opposition alliance does not necessarily mean all the parties are
swallowed by MDC-T. Not necessarily, although a greater convergence would
make things easier.

The coalition need not be in writing either. However, it’s regular
visibility like we saw last week, is enough to cause nightmares to those who
have thrived on political violence and vote-rigging for decades.

Regardless of how the opposition parties would like to field candidates for
elections, at least their priority should be in calling for credible
electoral reforms, media, security sector, human rights reforms, sufficient
time for voter registration and education, especially on the electoral
systems, finalisation on dual citizenship, international observers and, of
course, United Nations funding and supervision of the elections.

It should be noted that Zanu- PF’s opposition to UN funding has nothing to
do with sovereignty, but because of a hard-hitting UN panel of experts
report produced in 2002 accusing the party, military and some businesspeople
aligned to Mugabe of looting the Democratic Republic of Congo’s natural
resources, including but not only limited to diamonds.

Even Mugabe confessed to having been given a mining concession by the late
DRC president Laurent Kabila. As a result, they were slapped with sanctions.

Crucially, any opposition alliance cannot be divorced from the electoral
system, which promises to be a mixture of proportional representation and
first-past-the-post systems; that is voting for a party list like we did in
1980 and voting for a particular candidate in constituencies.

The electoral process is inevitably fraught with serious challenges ahead
and sharp disagreements cannot be ruled out.

However, leaders of smaller parties should know that they stand a good
chance of getting government posts at home and abroad if a grand opposition
alliance wins elections than if they stand as smaller mushrooming units.

Ideally, Zimbabwean think tanks should be educating people on the envisaged
electoral systems and the pros and cons as well as the modalities of a grand
opposition alliance. It is a civic duty.
Otherwise, Jonathan Moyo is just singing for his supper.

Mashiri is a political analyst based in London. He can be contacted on
zimanalysis2009@gmail.com


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Concourt ruling sows absurdities

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

June 14, 2013 in Opinion

IN arriving at judgments, it is important that courts do not cultivate the
unsavoury impression that they are hell-bent on taking us back to the Court
of Chancery in Charles Dickens’ Bleak House.

Opinion by Percy Makombe

The Court of Chancery was entrusted with the responsibility of making fair
and reasonable judgments, but it was not fulfilling its function.

The word chancery itself is a term in the art of boxing. If you are
in-chancery, it means your head is held in someone’s hand as he punches you.
If one gets into Chancery Court, one is thumped, one is hammered. That was
the feeling I got after reading the decision of the Constitutional Court
(Concourt) ordering President Robert Mugabe to hold elections by July 31.

The majority decision is an exercise in legal sophistry. It is much easier
for a camel to pass through the eye of a needle than for this decision to
make sense. The decision is not only poorly argued, but represents a clear
and present danger to the holding of credible elections in the country.

At the heart of the contestation is how parliament ought to be dissolved and
how soon elections take place after this dissolution. According to the
constitution, there are two ways in which parliament can be dissolved.

It is either through a presidential proclamation, or at any rate, an
automatic dissolution after its five-year term comes to an end in this case
on June 29. Either way it is clear that elections must be held four months
after parliament is dissolved.
Section 58(1) of the constitution, which is cited as the basis of the
majority decision penned by Chief Justice Godfrey Chidyausiku, is clear and
unambiguous on when elections must held.

It states: “A general election and elections for members of the governing
bodies of local authorities shall be held on such day or days within a
period not exceeding four months after the issue of a proclamation
dissolving parliament under Section 63(4) as the president may, by
proclamation in the gazette, fix.”

The majority decision advances the position that there are two ways of
reading this section depending on what the chief justice calls “punctuation
and emphasis”.

According to the ruling, in reading Section 58(1) it would be read as if
there was a colon after the word “on”, thus: “A general election and
elections for members of the governing bodies of local authorities shall be
held on: such day or days within a period not exceeding four …”

As a constitutional expert Derek Matyszak has clearly articulated, the
introduction of the colon dramatically changes the section to mean that the
election has to be held “on” the dissolution of parliament and not “within a
period not exceeding four months”.

Says Matyszak: “Inserting the colon in Section 58(1) after the word “on” has
the effect of removing the application of the phrase “within a period not
exceeding four months after” from the portion of the section referring to
automatic dissolution under Section 63(4).

With a proper and grammatical reading of the sentence, the phrase must apply
to dissolution by proclamation and to automatic dissolution.”

Elsewhere in the judgment, the chief justice makes the fair comment that in
interpreting the law, the courts must follow an interpretation that does not
lead to an absurdity.

The mind boggles why Chidyausiku decides to introduce a colon in a sentence
that does not have one and thus unwittingly leads the court to an absurdity.

In giving the president two months to hold the elections, the decision cites
the holding of the March 2008 harmonised elections as an example. Digging up
Statutory Instrument 7A of 2008, the chief justice gives the example of this
proclamation which was issued on January 24 2008, and dissolved parliament
with effect from midnight, leading to elections in slightly over two months.

One imagines that the reason why this example is given is to buttress the
point that it is possible to organise elections within two months. This
understanding is misleading to say the least because the context is
remarkably different to the one in 2008.

For starters, Zimbabwe is following two constitutions in the sense that
although Chapter 7 of the new constitution is the supreme law regarding
elections, it has to be guided by the Lancaster House constitution on the
timing of elections.

More importantly, the two constitutions must be read together with the Sixth
Schedule of the new constitution which outlines provisions meant to assist
the transition from the old constitution to the new constitution. The amount
of legal work that needs to be done before elections can take place is
massively different from what was required for the March 2008 elections.

According to Section 8 of the Sixth Schedule, elections must be conducted in
terms of the Electoral Act which law must comply with the new constitution.

Put simply, the Electoral Act as well as other laws and regulations related
to elections must be amended so that they are in compliance with the new
constitution.

Having read the full judgment of the Concourt, there is no reason, however
magnificently maintained, that persuades me that the honourable justices who
proffered the majority opinion sufficiently engaged with the new
constitution and understood the various legislative provisions which make
the July 31 deadline an impossibility.

It is still not clear how the proportional system of representation mandated
by the constitution will operate.
There is need to amend the Local Government Act and the Provincial Councils
Act. Reforms also beckon on criminal procedure and the justice delivery
system as well as clarity on the operations of the Electoral Court itself.

Making all these reforms is not a walk in the park and elections cannot
proceed without these reforms.
What is more, the various amendments must sail through both houses of
parliament and be signed into law by the president before he can announce an
election date.

Indeed, according to Section 157(5) of the new constitution, all amendments
to the Electoral Act and to any other provisions relating to elections, must
be made before the proclamation of the election date.

There are also other processes that need to be considered that have
implications on the absurd July 31 deadline. Section 6(3) of the Sixth
Schedule makes it mandatory for a 30-day intensive voter registration
exercise to kick-in after the publication of the new constitution. The
beginning of this process depends on the Zimbabwe Electoral Commission (Zec)
being properly financed and resourced.

Zec chairperson Justice Rita Makarau says voter registration will begin on
June 9, and will run concurrently with the inspection of the voters’ roll.

If we take the bare minimum scenario, then voters’ roll inspection would
close on July 8. The nomination court would sit 14 days later (that takes us
to July 22), and after 30 days (takes us to August 21) of the sitting of the
nomination court, elections can take place.

If we master the suspension of disbelief necessary for a feigned belief in
our ability to fast-track things, it would still be impossible to meet the
July 31 deadline. The only fast-tracking that can be done is if we assume
that all amendments have been done and are operational.

This would mean that an election date is announced during voter
registration, but even then, it can only be announced 15 days before the
conclusion of the voter registration exercise. This would mean the earliest
elections can be held is August 6.

For the avoidance of doubt, it is not desirable that Mugabe and the
executive can continue up to four months while parliament is absent, but it
certainly is not unconstitutional.

It seems to me that the proper balance would have been to extend the life of
parliament for at most six months so that it can align the various laws and
regulations with the new constitution.

Those with short memories are peddling the fiction that Mugabe is a true
democrat because he does not want the country to function without a
parliament for four months; nothing can be further from the truth.

Lest we forget, in 2008, parliament was dissolved in January and only
convened in August of that year and Mugabe was happy to run the show on his
own.

And no one should argue that Mugabe is a stickler for court orders because
he is on record aiding and abetting the disobedience of court orders that
are not palatable to him and Zanu PF.

In Bleak House, fog is an important symbol, and it is that condition in
which things are mystified and people cannot see one another. The Court of
Chancery is the source of this fog; it has a disastrous occupation with
forms at the expense of solutions. It is the master of the bleak world and
its attitude is that of polite smug and pretence.

While it is too early to suggest the Concourt has gone the Court of Chancery
way, its judgment does not inspire confidence. The judgment is full of
palpable absurdities and, to put it mildly, preposterous. The only way that
the July 31 deadline can be met is through violating the constitution.

Makombe is a development practitioner based in South Africa and can be
contacted on: pfmakombe@yahoo.com


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Lack of media reforms unconstitutional

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

June 14, 2013 in Opinion

Reading Professor Jonathan Moyo’s article in the Herald of June 10 2013, one
is left wondering at the unashamed zeal he exhibited in trying to pull the
wool over Zimbabweans’ faces with regards media reforms.

Opinion by Nhlanhla Ngwenya

Whatever the source of Moyo’s rabid personal dislike of MDC-T leader Morgan
Tsvangirai, which he displays ad nauseam in his articles laced with
invectives aimed at debasing President Robert Mugabe’s political rival, only
he knows.

In any case, one key hallmark of a democracy is the contestability of ideas
where individuals engage and debate each other’s ideas without fear of
reprisals. But such an exercise should be done with civility, integrity and
honesty.

Over the years, Zimbabweans have come to understand — if not ignore — the
abusive and abrasive tone of Moyo’s contributions on issues of national
discourse as his “normal” style of engagement. Ordinarily, I would not have
responded to his instalment had it been his usual tired expression of his
perceived leadership qualities of Tsvangirai.

For I am not one of those paid to defend the MDC-T leader or sanitise his
image and make him saleable to the electorate.

But what cannot be allowed to pass without challenge are Moyo’s efforts to
mislead readers into believing that the new constitution puts paid to calls
for media reforms.

That is not only a disingenuous misinterpretation of the supreme law, but a
desperate attempt to defend the status quo; entrench the abuse of the
hijacked public media and simply perpetuate the subjection of Zimbabweans to
spells of undemocratic media controls.

But why is Moyo and his colleagues so afraid of a free media space if they
have nothing to hide or fear? The answer is simple; they cannot phantom a
media that will fearlessly unravel state transgressions and those involved,
demand accountability in the exploitation of the country’s resources,
robustly scrutinise those in office as well as provide a platform on which
citizens can challenge and question those in authority.

In trying to cover up such deep-seated paranoia of a free press, typical of
tyrannical states, he claimed: “There is nothing that the government,
political or commercial interests can now do to reform the media in the way
demanded by Tsvangirai without offending against the new constitution. In
other words, the Sadc-mediated media reforms are plainly now
unconstitutional.”

Obviously, Moyo was referring to the controversial media reform matrix the
government principals, including Mugabe, agreed to before Sadc. Under the
matrix, the parties came up with formulae for appointing individuals to head
media bodies, including the ZBC board.

Each of the three parties in government allocated themselves quotas of
individuals they were to second to sit on the envisaged boards.

While civil society organisations and other observers roundly condemned this
plan as antithetical to principles of liberalising the media space, it was
grudgingly accepted as a compromise deal given the diametrically opposed
standpoints on the nature and form of media reforms to be undertaken within
the auspices of the coalition government.

However, to then claim, as Moyo does, that the adoption of the new
constitution automatically renders envisaged media reforms unconstitutional
is the height of dishonesty that can only come from those who believe that
they can commandeer the sun to set in the east through the verbosity of
their arguments.

The simple fact that the coalition government’s reform agenda of the last
four years may have been overtaken by events does not mean Zimbabweans
cannot come up with measures to democratise the media sector in line with
the new constitution.

In fact, the new constitution offers Zimbabweans a golden opportunity to
break with the media tyranny of the past and join the league of democratic
nations where the media is not viewed as the enemy of the state, but an
indispensable cog in building and strengthening democracy.

Moyo cannot therefore give the impression that because of the new
constitution, Zimbabweans cannot sit down, discuss, debate and chart the way
forward on what sort of media reforms they want.

It is within every Zimbabwean’s right to demand and participate in the
democratisation of the media space, however unpalatable that may be to some
in Zanu PF.

Oblivious to this simple democratic principle, Moyo then sought to cement
his argument by citing sections of the new constitution as they relate to
the regulation of the state-owned media and broadcasting. One of the
sections he cited is 61(4)(a), which states that “all state-owned media of
communication must be free to determine independently the editorial content
of their broadcasts or other communications”.

Apart from perpetuating the confusion of state-owned media with the
privately-owned outlets, one of the key points of contradictions found in
the new constitution, he narrowly interpreted the section to simply mean an
entrenchment of the status quo.

On the contrary, the section, with all its faults, clearly outlaws the
continued manipulation and control of the hijacked public media by his
colleagues in Zanu PF, who are in charge of these news outlets.

For him to suggest that Tsvangirai’s demands for reformation of the public
media is tantamount to political interference more than what is already
obtaining, is utterly dishonest.

It is a matter of public record that Zanu PF interferes with management,
operations and editorial content of the hijacked public media. And that
surely is unconstitutional!

Also unconstitutional is the continued regulation of the broadcasting sector
under the current regulatory framework. Section 61(3)(b) of the new
constitution stipulates that, as Moyo rightly cited: “Broadcasting and other
electronic media of communication have freedom of establishment, subject
only to state licensing procedures that are independent of control by
government or by political or commercial interest.”

An honest interpretation of this section would clearly show that the
intention of the law is to insulate the regulation of broadcasting against
abuse and manipulation, to which the Broadcasting Authority of Zimbabwe has
been vulnerable.

It is a section that if complied with should see the replacement of the
current licensing regime and boards with a democratic regulator whose
appointment and conduct of business is transparent, not subordinate to a
single ministry and generally meets the best practice in regulating the
broadcasting sector as spelt out in various democratic instruments on
broadcasting.

The current media legislative framework falls far short of the democratic
standards and any Zimbabwean aspiring for a democratic dispensation would
embrace any initiative aimed at adopting those principles without unfounded
qualms.

But it is not difficult to understand why Moyo furiously disagrees.

He stands accused of being the mastermind of the worst media repression this
country has witnessed when he was in charge of the information ministry.

He would obviously defend his infamous legacy.
Lastly, it is important that any discussion on media reforms is not
predicated on self-preservation agendas that play out through narrow and
superficial analysis of the new constitution.

Instead, they should be grounded on a holistic reading of the document to
ensure that media freedom is not compartmentalised as exclusivesly for
journalists, but a key vehicle for the enjoyment of all political,
socio-economic, cultural and environment freedoms the constitution provides
for in its expansive Bill of Rights.

It is important that this happens to avoid legislative trickery where
liberties given by one hand are taken away by the other.

Our legislative history is littered with such examples. A case in point is
the deceit that surrounded amendments to the Public Order and Security Act
(Posa) and Access to Information nand Protection of Privacy Act (Aippa)ahead
of the 2008 harmonised elections.

Pressured to repeal laws that imposed unwarranted restrictions to freedom of
expression by various stakeholders, including the African Commission on
Human and People’s Rights, government revoked Section 15 of Posa and Aippa’s
Section 80. Both sections criminalised communication or publication of
falsehoods.

However, this offence was then tucked under Section 31 of a different Act,
the Criminal Law (Codification and Reform) Act, with even a heavier penalty
of a maximum 20-year imprisonment term, a heavy fine or both for its
violation. Before the amalgamation of the two sections, the crime attracted
a maximum five years imprisonment.

For these reasons, media reforms can never be wished away on flimsy
constitutional arguments. Only a holistic, inclusive and participatory
approach will atone for years of destructive media policies.

Ngwenya is the director of Misa Zimbabwe.


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Biti abuses employment statistics

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

June 14, 2013 in Opinion

Early this week the Minister of Finance, Tendai Biti, deserved commendation
when he announced that Government and the International Monetary Fund (IMF)
had agreed that Zimbabwe would implement an IMF-staff monitored Sovereign
Debt Management Programme, which would progressively ensure reduction of
Zimbabwe’s US$10,7 billion national debt (including debt rescheduling and
potential partial debt forgiveness).

The Erich Bloch Column

Such a programme, with the implementation of it being strongly interactive
with IMF’s personnel expertise, would enable removal in due course of
Zimbabwe’s suspended membership of IMF and would facilitate reinstatement of
good credit rating internationally for Zimbabwe. That is in pronounced
contrast to Zimbabwe’s very negative international credit rating at the
moment.

However, counterbalancing that meritorious development, Biti also
misrepresented the views of “textbook economists” on the magnitude of
Zimbabwean unemployment rate. At the launch of the Poverty Income
Consumption and Expenditure Survey 2011/12 Report, issued by the Zimbabwe
National Statistics Agency (Zimstat), Biti said that it was unfounded when
such economists stated that the extent of unemployment exceeded 85%, and
that the actual unemployment rate in Zimbabwe is only 9%. In attacking the
alleged textbook economists, he was clearly oblivious of the Disraeli maxim
that “there are lies, damned lies, and statistics”.

Equally, he was unaware of the contention by a leading US investor that,
“Statistics are like a bikini – very revealing but concealing the
 essentials”.
When diverse Zimbabwean and international economists, and many other
statisticians refer to unemployment in Zimbabwe exceeding 85%, they
consistently say that “in excess of 85% of Zimbabwe’s employable population
do not have formal sector employment”. In other words, they are specific
that assessment is not of numbers gainfully employed, be they so engaged in
the formal or informal sectors, but only of those without formal sector
employment. Indirectly, the minister substantially corroborated that an
overwhelming majority of those unemployed in the formal sector were closely
aligned with the contentions of those described by him as “textbook
economists”, for he acknowledged that only 22% of the employable population
were engaged in the formal sector.

In fact, according to the Zimstat Survey, at least 57 % of Zimbabweans are
engaged in informal sector activities, generating almost 20% of Zimbabwe’s
total economic output (measured as Gross Domestic Product). Moreover, if
more than half of the population are earning less than one-fifth of the
national economic output, it is very evident that many within the informal
sector are not realising any substantive income. That supports the
assessment of many in the private sector and international authoritative
economic evaluators, that a vast majority of Zimbabwe’s population are
struggling to survive on incomes below the Poverty Datum Line (PDL) and many
of them do not even earn to the extent of the Food Datum Line (FDL), and
therefore they and their families suffer grievous malnutrition.

In addition, the survey undoubtedly only includes those informal sector
economic operators who are engaged in legal, or quasi-legal operations,
excluding those who resort (often out of financial desperation) to illegal
activities such as theft, gold-panning, diamond smuggling, hijacking, and
the like, as well as those who seek a livelihood as “runners”, carrying
imports or exports circuitously, in order to evade liability for customs
duties and like imposts, or to avoid import or export restrictions and
constraints. The survey contends that at least US$1,7 billion (equating to
approximately 19,5% of GDP) is earned by informal sector operatives, but if
the unlawful, and therefore undisclosed, incomes are brought to account, the
quantum of informal sector earnings would be considerably greater, and would
represent a markedly higher percentage of GDP.

The magnitude of informal sector operations results in several major
national prejudices. These include the competition to formal sector
operations, by virtue of minimal overhead operating costs, and tax evasion,
contributing to the decline of many manufacturing and other sector
enterprises. This results in diminished formal sector employment, and much
reduced fiscal inflows. Those inflows are a critical necessity for
government to address its ongoing state of virtual bankruptcy, with
concomitant inability of the state to fund fully essential services such as
Education and Health, maintain and enhance infrastructure, and the like.

Moreover, many of the informal sector operations place the wellbeing of the
operatives, and of the populace in general, in jeopardy, for there is
frequent non-compliance with governmental and local authority health laws,
road safety regulations, and with many other laws intended to be protective
of workers, consumers, and others. Among those operations are also
considerable numbers that encompass externalisation of currency from
Zimbabwe, thereby intensifying the constant negative balance of payments
which further constricts Zimbabwe’s achieving its needed economic recovery
and growth.

The magnitude of the informal sector becoming formalised is driven by
diverse factors, the foremost being:

Constructively addressing the non-availability of formal sector employment,
which will endure until government facilitates the procurement of
considerable foreign investment, lines of credit, and funding for the
banking sector. That facilitation must include actions which will imbue
potential investors with confidence of investment security, will maximise an
environment of substantive adherence to respect for property rights and
maintenance of law and order, a conducive tax regime, and effective
infrastructural service delivery.
Minimisation of bureaucracy constraining formal sector operations, including
significant devolution of administration to all areas of the country,
instead of absolute centralisation thereof to the governmental head offices
in the capital city.
More effective enforcement of compliance with law, evaded by many in the
informal sector, instead of evasion of law being facilitated by the corrupt
willingness of many authorities and law enforcement officers to accept
bribes in order to be oblivious to the constant evasion of the law.
Practical and realistic incentives and inducements being extended to those
who can migrate their informal sector-operations to the formal sector.
Because of the intensity of the widespread national poverty, primarily
driven by the inadequacy of formal sector employment, and non-accessibility
to funding needed for effective formal sector operations, most of the
population are driven to informal sector engagement, in order to survive,
and with such engagement not generating enough for essential needs. Thus,
instead of gleaning satisfaction from the number allegedly in employment
(being almost wholly within the informal sector), government needs belatedly
to recognise the ills that afflict Zimbabwe and its populace, and must
effectively address those ills.


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MUCKRACKER: Beating journalists not best way to win friends

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

June 14, 2013 in Opinion

The episode last Friday at Harvest House in which Prime Minister Morgan
Tsvangirai’s security personnel attacked a journalist from this newspaper,
Herbert Moyo, comes as no surprise to us.

By Muckracker

The assault came after another journalist, Mashudu Netsianga from the
Chronicle, was manhandled in Bulawayo at a meeting between Tsvangirai and
Bulawayo businesspeople. They confiscated his notebook and mobile phone.

Moyo was guilty of nothing more than covering a demonstration by MDC-T
activists from Sunningdale. He was dragged into a room at Harvest House and
severely beaten despite identifying himself as a journalist.

Daily criticism

There is a context to this. Tsvangirai had earlier at a policy conference in
Bulawayo expressed frustration with daily press criticism of him. This could
not be tolerated in a democracy, he averred.

We can understand this. The daily denunciation of Tsvangirai is part of a
calculated and malevolent campaign directed by senior politburo members. It
is personal and often poisonous.

But in excoriating the press, Tsvangirai is often the author of his own
discomfort. He declined the opportunity to address the issue of media reform
at the outset of the Government of National Unity (GNU). It was specified as
a key item in the Global Political Agreement. And he has in the past
suggested the private media is just as “bad” as the public media. As a
result of this omission, the country continued to experience a partisan and
unprofessional press where professionalism and diversity were urgently
needed.

Failure to get this right at the outset led to the now daily attacks on
Tsvangirai by a multitude of players who seek to block reform, or indeed a
Tsvangirai victory at the polls.

Tsvangirai is a courageous leader who has suffered all manner of assaults
over the years. But he has not listened to the press and therefore not
learnt from it. Beating up journalists is not the best way to win friends
and influence people.

Dangerous belief

And the MDC-T generally should abandon the mentality that we as a nation owe
them a living. There is a dangerous belief now developing that an MDC-T
government will be no better than the current band of tyrants when they get
the opportunity.

It is said of a country that it gets the press it deserves.

Friday’s episode underlines this.

Abuse of the media is not confined to the MDC-T. Last Thursday Zanu PF
national chairperson Simon Khaya Moyo (SK) said the current crop of
journalists had become “weapons of destruction”. He said in some quarters
the noble profession of journalism was being used for a regime change
agenda.

He made these remarks at a surprise birthday party held for Media,
Information and Publicity minister Webster Shamu at a city hotel.

Noble profession

Moyo also commended Shamu for being an accomplished professional journalist
trained to know that journalism is a noble profession.

Moyo said there was no doubt that President Robert Mugabe saw Cde Shamu’s
“exceptional professionalism and charisma …”. That includes, we suppose, not
lifting a finger to reconstitute the boards of the Broadcasting Authority of
Zimbabwe, Zimbabwe Broadcasting Corporation and Zimbabwe Mass Media Trust
when instructed to do so.

We also thought somewhere in Moyo’s hagiographical account there might be
some mention of Cde Shamu’s illustrious career as an RBC DJ!
Judging by the size of SK and other luminaries present around the cake, it
is a career in politics that truly builds you up.

Chronic amateurism

Meanwhile, let’s hope Shamu devotes some energy to creating conditions for
the safe return of Zimbabwean journalists based abroad. This appears to be
another media reform issue which should have been addressed at the beginning
of the GNU.

External broadcasters cannot be expected to return so long as ministers do
nothing to create a climate conducive to reform or provide opportunities for
media workers to practise their skills here at home.

Broadcasters cannot be expected to seek work in a country where they are not
free to express themselves or where chronic amateurism is the order of the
day. Any ZBC-TV panel discussion or radio news transmission provides good
examples of how radio or television stations should not be run.

Has any ZBC or ZBC-TV staff been to South Africa where they can see how it
is done? SABC may be terrible, but there are plenty of alternative stations.
Or are they content to remain stuck in a turgid and boring career with no
competition to speak of? Just one name illustrates this dilemma: Tafataona
Mahoso, Zimbabwe Media Commission chief executive.

Never sulk

In Britain and the US where broadcasters are free to express a variety of
views politicians know they should never make war on the press. Whatever the
grievance, they must pretend not to be offended and carry on without
rancour. We need to do that here.

Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai and ICT minister Nelson Chamisa must never
sulk or display pique. They don’t have to like what this or that paper says
or what the radio and TV says. They will never like it at all in the
democracy Tsvangirai referred to, but they must smile and take it on the
chin.

The winner is the guy who can walk out of a press conference feeling good
because he treated his questioners fairly.

On this point, have you noticed how the president of the US at a press
conference calls out journalists who have their hands up by their first
names? Can you imagine such a thing here?

We do recall, however, how Mugabe, at a press conference, asked where all
the white reporters were? George Charamba popped up to say they had been
invited, but didn’t come.

What mendacity!

Ingratiating Dali

Still with the media, Muckraker is not one of those patting Dali Tambo on
the back. His interview was ingratiating and lacked challenging questions.
Luckily, the South African audience did not think he did a good job either.
They know a soft soap when they see one!

Zinara losing

The Zimbabwe National Road Administration (Zinara) are not doing much to
enhance their income. A friend passing through the Lion’s Den tollgate
recently heading towards Harare was confronted by an official who didn’t
have change for US$20, or so she said.

“Don’t worry about it, pay us when you come back through,” she said.

Just imagine all those vehicles passing through every day and she didn’t
have change for US$20! All she had to do was ask a colleague for help. But
that required getting off her chair. How much did Zinara lose that day, we
wonder.

We don’t know who is responsible for this operation, but a colleague points
out that if certain ministers are involved, it is likely to cost the nation
dearly. For instance, the 15km of the airport road that is under
construction will cost US$70 million. And there is still no road to speak
of.

Compare this with the Hartley Platinum Mine road just outside Chegutu. This
private sector undertaking cost US$15 million for 25km of road. And it
shows!
A South African company, Big Five, is working on the Harare-Bulawayo Road.
Again, you can actually see the road.

Calm down, Zvayi

Finally, could somebody please explain to Caesar Zvayi that court
challenges, far from being frivolous and vexatious, are fundamentally a part
of the democratic process. They don’t require malevolent attacks on the
applicants in such cases, especially if, as we are told, the applications
don’t stand much chance of success.

Zvayi should follow the cases passing through the South African courts on a
regular basis. The ANC is quick to recognise the importance of embracing
appeals even when the government loses.

Zvayi and his colleagues at the Herald should understand that by denouncing
applicants as “finding legal excuses to file frivolous and vexatious
applications” in the courts, they are prejudicing the whole constitutional
process.

Is that really in the interests of democratic due process? The new
constitution, by providing a constitutional court, does in fact provide for
appeal.

Zvayi and Co should calm down and live with the new realities unless they
want the public to think the courts are unhelpful places.


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Coalition: Important lessons for Tsvangirai

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

June 14, 2013 in Opinion

The Constitutional Court (Concourt) of Zimbabwe has ruled that the upcoming
elections must be held by July 31. This development confirms the suspicions
of many that Zanu PF intends to hold elections immediately after the expiry
of the coalition government on June 29. This then leaves just a few weeks to
carry out political and security sector reforms necessary for a free and
fair election.

By Simukai Tinhu

Triggered by an application challenging President Robert Mugabe to announce
an election date, the Concourt’s ruling has been interpreted by opposition
groups as yet another trick from the Zanu PF political trickbook. The
allegation is that through this ruling, Zanu PF has effectively declared an
election date.

According to the Global Political Agreement (GPA), the election date should
be set by the executive in consultation with coalition partners. In other
words, the court route effectively circumvents the consultative process and
gives Mugabe the authority to go ahead and set a date under the pretext that
his choices are constricted by the court’s ruling.

This should have come as no surprise to the opposition. The writing has been
on the wall for a while — Zanu PF has always insisted that it wants
elections sooner rather than later, and those who follow Zimbabwean politics
must have predicted that it was only a matter of time before Mugabe’s party
found a clandestine way to achieve that objective. Since they have been
caught off-guard, this ruling should act as a warning to the opposition that
it is wise to plan for elections as if political reforms are not going to
happen, and this means changing the campaign strategy.

Why reforms are unlikely

Misplaced optimism that political reforms will be carried out before the
elections has been fuelled by the peaceful referendum on the new
constitution held in March this year, and also by a fundamental
misunderstanding of Zanu PF’s behaviour. By insisting on political reforms,
the opposition and local democracy promotion groups are seriously misreading
what has been Mugabe’s political plan since 1980; an uneven playing field
which formed the steel frame of Zanu PF’s political strategy since
Independence.

In the government of national unity, Zanu PF, which occupies the executive,
has stalled political reforms over the last four years by successfully
limiting discourse and diverting discussion towards removal of sanctions. It
is now inconceivable that reforms will be instituted in the next few weeks,
and for the two MDC formations to devise campaign strategies based on the
premise that Mugabe will acquiesce to their demands is bad planning.

Moreover, the guarantor of the GPA, Sadc, does not have the motivation or a
strategy to coerce Zanu PF into implementing reforms. For example, Sadc is
almost always pre-occupied with trade and economic issues, and appears to
have little time and inclination for reform nor does it have a standing army
or a sanctions regime that can act as a coercive threat.

Another cause for concern is that while the West was a vocal critic of
Mugabe’s regime in the last decade, the European Union and the United States
in particular, appear to have retreated. It seems the international
community is attempting to avoid playing a heavy–handed role as in the
previous elections where it was seen as overtly promoting opposition forces
and demonising Zanu PF.

It is apparent that this time the international community has taken a
hands–off approach on Zimbabwe’s internal politics, allowing the political
process to drift. This policy of rapprochement from the international
community (for example, the lifting of sanctions against Zanu PF officials
with virtually no political reforms having been made) has negatively
impacted on the pressure they can place on Zanu PF to make reforms.

How to defeat Zanu PF

Political party strategists should demonstrate an interest in underlying
transitions at a wider level and perhaps more crucially, how those
fundamental undercurrents are affecting political attitudes in their
country. One of them is the increasing nationalistic attitude of the young
and educated urban populations in Africa.

Buoyed by the “Africa Rising” narrative, nationalism is on the rise, and
Zimbabwe is no exception. In the continent’s most recent elections in Zambia
and Kenya, the victors — Michael Sata and Uhuru Kenyatta respectively — ran
sustained anti–Western campaigns that drew the support of the young and
educated.

If the opposition wants to succeed, they might as well embrace nationalism
and adopt a position where they argue that they are the best guarantor of
the independence legacy that has been betrayed by Zanu PF. In other words,
this time around, MDC-T leader Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai might need
to wage a populist and more aggressive campaign that might even be
reminiscent of Mugabe’s tone, though moderated.

Tsvangirai should also attempt to convince some of Mugabe’s softer
supporters that he can secure the gains of the current regime, such as land
reform. This will put Zanu PF in a defensive mode, and deprive them of
ammunition to attack Tsvangirai as a neo–imperialist agent. However, the
trouble with adopting such a strategy is that it needs time, and there is
precious little of that if elections are indeed to be held by July 31.

Undermining elite cohesion

The other pillar that should undergird any opposition movement is
undermining Zanu PF party unity. Currently, the ageing leader skilfully
manages a brittle internal balance of power between various factions. But
maintaining such a balance is extremely difficult and a great deal of it is
done via patronage politics.

Undermining elite cohesion is likely to achieve two objectives: Targeting
key individuals as an effective tactic that not only brings patronage
networks, but the stalwart’s votes and experience. Second, and at a
psychological level, drawing party stalwarts counters the narrative that
Zanu PF’s unity is invincible.

Coalition of the opposition

One realistic campaign strategy remains: a coalition of opposition forces.
The main opposition party (MDC–T) continues to be adamant that it will win
on its own.

Tsvangirai’s party seems oblivious to a mountain of complex of problems it
faces: a dwindling support base, an uneven playing field, circumscribed
regional and international support, a surge in Zanu PF popularity and also a
crowded opposition space with reportedly 28 candidates vying for the
presidency. MDC–T needs to rein in, be realistic and understand that joining
a coalition should not be considered discretionary.

There are three reasons why the MDC–T should not go it alone:

Historical precedent: the opposition has failed in the previous elections to
get into power despite odds being slightly better than today. Also, those in
favour of a one-party strategy are blind to the fact that no single
political party has successfully challenged Zanu PF’s stranglehold on
Zimbabwean politics since Independence.

The coalition will not only change the fundamentals of Zimbabwean
opposition, but also the very terms in which the Zimbabweans think about and
define national politics.

Considering that there is unlikely to be political reform, this strategy is
logical. The greater chance to topple Mugabe is when the opposition combines
its efforts, resources and votes.

Who should join MDC–T?

Despite its faults in a coalition, the MDC-T remains the anchor of the
opposition and should therefore take a lead in any negotiations. Building a
strong coalition should be limited to MDC led by Welshman Ncube to back
Tsvangirai as the presidential candidate. Ncube is a polarising figure and
is perceived as being vocal on behalf of the voters from Matabeleland and
the Midlands provinces. But it is precisely because of this quality that he
is in a unique position to mobilise votes from these two regions.

Drawing Simba Makoni (Mavambo/Kusile/Dawn) and Dumiso Dabengwa (Zapu) into
an alliance might be problematic. Politically, both men were creations of
Zanu PF and still benefit materially from ancient Zanu PF patronage
networks. It is not unreasonable that some see Dabengwa and Makoni’s
political parties as proxies created by Zanu PF to disrupt the strength of
the opposition.

The differences between the MDC–T and MDC leaders are fundamental. Ncube
accuses Tsvangirai of being weak on democratic and leadership credentials,
while the MDC–T leader accuses Ncube of being provincial. In addition, each
man sees himself as best suited to stand as the presidential candidate.

How it could be done

In order to create an environment for constructive dialogue, relations
between Tsvangirai and Ncube need to be reset. Tsvangirai must desist from
making statements that risk pushing Ncube further away.

It is important to remind ourselves that Ncube is one of the architects and
ideologues of the original MDC. Instead of ridiculing him, Tsvangirai must
acknowledge his contribution and treat him as a friend who must be embraced.
He also needs to acknowledge Ncube’s growing influence and support in
Matabeleland and the Midlands.

In extending an olive branch, MDC–T must attempt to address some of Ncube’s
legitimate grievances. Ncube remains convinced that Tsvangirai and his inner
circle worked to block his ascent to the top of the party. Ncube also
alleges that MDC–T has deliberately undermined his party by labelling it as
“tribal” or provincial.

While the above are manageable problems, more difficult is the discussion of
who is going to be offered what as part of the strategic partnership. The
onus of the MDC-T is to be seen to be generous in what it offers. Ncube’s
party will seek assurances on key positions in return for backing the
coalition as they cannot be expected to relinquish their independence
without getting tangible offers in return. Equally, Ncube will need to
display humility and self-discipline.

Despite their differences, a coalition of the opposition is a possible and
viable strategy. The two parties have a convergent interest in getting rid
of Mugabe.
We also have to remind ourselves that in the 2008 presidential elections,
the MDC urged its supporters to vote for Makoni. Such an unprecedented
overture shows Ncube’s pragmatic side and that he is open to negotiations.

Coalition only option

Failure to form a united opposition is a prescription for defeat. The MDC–T
is trailing Zanu PF in polls and no one who is seriously concerned with
political and electoral strategies can afford to ignore these, no matter how
flawed or old they are. Not only do the polls show that Zanu PF support has
surged, but most importantly, the party may use these numbers to justify a
rigged electoral “win”. Poor shows at rallies, an uneven playing field and
circumscribed regional and international support also count against the
MDC-T.

Politics needs ideals and policies, but most crucially a sense of direction.
Post-Independence electoral history of Zimbabwe has two important lessons:
No political party has successfully challenged Mugabe on its own and
pre-occupation with legality and political reforms in a Zanu PF-dominated
Zimbabwe does not work. This is a reality that is still to register with the
opposition.

Zanu PF is corrupt, ruthless and violent, but nobody can accuse the party of
being directionless. They alone seem to know how to get what they want in
the next elections and they may well be rewarded for that. Their adversaries
should be wise enough to draw together and substitute competition for
political union. A coalition coupled with an effective campaign strategy
offers better chances.

Tinhu is a political analyst based in London.


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Mugabe ignites political storm

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

June 14, 2013 in Opinion

PRESIDENT Robert Mugabe’s proclamation yesterday that general elections must
be held on July 31 as recently ordered by the Constitutional Court
(Concourt) after a Zanu PF-inspired court application, has the potential of
creating a messy political affair before the crucial polls while keeping
Zimbabwe stuck in a stalemate.

Besides the proclamation of election dates, Mugabe, in an extraordinary
Government Gazette published yesterday, issued a statutory instrument using
the draconian Presidential Powers (Temporary Measures) Act to unilaterally
amend the Electoral Act to suit his election agenda now being executed under
the guise of implementing a court order.

The regulations contain 75 pages of amendments to the Electoral Act
initially expected to come before parliament next week.

In a development which showed he has no regard for democracy or ensuring
free and fair elections, Mugabe used his powers of decree, his favourite
option to make regulations amending laws when it is inconvenient to wait for
parliament or in the absence of the legislature.

In so doing, Mugabe gave the impression he was hurrying to implement the
controversial Concourt order, although his regime has a long record of
ignoring due process, court orders and selective application of the law,
quite apart from purging dissenting judges and packing the court benches
with punier ones, as well as undermining the rule of law, and encouraging
lawlessness and impunity.

Mugabe is not an advocate of the rule of law. As matters stand, he has still
not been able to implement a Supreme Court order issued last year for him to
proclaim by-elections dates initially by August 31 2012. Instead he has used
the High Court to delay doing that until June 29, effectively evading and
defying the order given his proclamation yesterday.

But now, all of a sudden — without any sense of irony after he said he won’t
rule by decree and pretending to be a convert to the rule of law despite
that no one believes him — Mugabe wants to implement the Concourt ruling
which may well have been initiated by his supporters using the courts to
achieve what he has failed to achieve politically.

Constitutional and legal scholars and experts have poked holes in the
Concourt ruling, showing it was badly flawed and a disservice to democracy
even though its architects claimed it was designed to protect democratic
imperatives by ensuring that at all times the three arms of the state —
executive, judiciary and legislature — are there to avoid rule by decree.

Editor’s Memob by Dumisani Muleya

Inevitably, events on the ground, including Mugabe’s use of emergency
powers, and the ruling’s inherent contradictions, have shown this claim was
phony.

Of course, Mugabe makes no reference to the need for free and fair elections
in all this. The reason why Zimbabwe has this coalition government after the
bloody 2008 presidential election run-off fiasco and the attendant killings,
is that it should eventually organise peaceful and credible polls — which
can’t be achieved through deception — to take the country forward.

This is what Sadc leaders meeting in Maputo tomorrow must remind him. He
must not be allowed to hide behind the Concourt ruling which came after an
application whose genesis and motive remain dodgy, though decipherable.

The whole plot by power-hungry but short-sighted Zanu PF hawks has created a
political cauldron in Zimbabwe in a situation already explosive.

Even if Mugabe and his Fifth Columnists behind the Concourt application
eventually bulldoze their way, it is democracy and Zimbabwe that will be
greatest losers.

If elections are held against a background of dubious electoral processes
and chaotic preparations and won by Mugabe and Zanu PF, despite their legacy
of disastrous failure, the outcome will be a democratic aberration which
takes Zimbabwe nowhere.


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Sadc summit: D-day for Zim

http://www.theindependent.co.zw/

June 14, 2013 in Opinion, Politics

Where do we go from here? Another chapter of this rather tragic story is due
to be written with a Sadc summit tomorrow in Maputo where election dates,
funding and the roadmap will be discussed.

Zimbabwe Independent Editorial

ere, once again, the problem is likely to be one of presidential
intransigence. President Robert Mugabe yesterday proclaimed July 31 election
day. He is still doing his best to avoid ceding power, even when he loses at
the polls. He is supported in this by a coterie of security service chiefs
and Zanu PF reactionaries — the post-liberation aristocracy which has
corruptly amassed wealth and power over the past 33 years. The events
leading up to this are not edifying.

The MDC-T’s Morgan Tsvangirai did well to break this power nexus to win a
large batch of seats in 2000, this following a constitutional referendum
victory. Relations thereafter were fraught with political violence and
electoral manipulation thwarting prospects of democratic change. A brutal
assault on Tsvangirai and other MDC officials at Machipisa Police Station
led eventually to Sadc’s intervention. It was a turning point.

Regional leaders, backed by AU officials, were determined to prevent any
further publicity that could damage investment prospects in the region. That
meant stabilising Zimbabwe’s economy and reforming its political system via
free and fair elections. Sadly, those elections proved just as discredited
as those of 2002 to the extent that nobody recognised their validity.
Zimbabwe was persuaded as a result to accept Sadc proposals for a Government
of National Unity (GNU) based on a so-called Global Political Agreement
(GPA). The GNU was not an unalloyed success. In fact, it was not a success
at all as the two main parties battled for influence and stalled reforms.

Now, however, we face another dilemma. The MDC-T and its smaller MDC
counterpart will not agree to elections until the GPA is fulfilled. In this
they are supported by Sadc. Hence, the summit tomorrow will be as much a
test of President Jacob Zuma’s resolve as it is of Tsvangirai’s. The agenda
will look much the same as it did four years ago. This includes electoral,
media and security sector reforms, among others.

But there is an elephant in the living room nobody has noticed. There is a
possibility Zanu PF and MDC-T could garner an equal number of votes in any
poll. Then they would have to devise some form of co-habitation which sticks
in the throat.

Can they do that given the vitriol emanating from the Zanu PF camp and
warped structure of the state? Mostly, the MDCs subscribe to normal liberal
values to be found in any modern constitution, Zanu PF seeks to maintain its
grip on power via manipulation and institutional control.

Vitriolic criticism this week of lawyers allegedly seeking to conduct “a
sustained attack on the judiciary” by submitting a series of court
applications demonstrates how far removed the former ruling party remains
from the democratic process. Court applications are part of that process.
But Zanu PF appears not to know this, childishly regarding it as a hostile
conspiracy because it is used to dark plots. Are we really any further
forward or is it much of the same? This weekend and events leading to the
elections will tell.


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