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JUSTICE FOR AGRICULTURE LEGAL COMMUNIQUE - September 9, 2005

Email: justice@telco.co.zw; justiceforagriculture@zol.co.zw
Internet: www.justiceforagriculture.com

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Communique 1:

The Justice for Agriculture Trust (JAG) and Justice for Agriculture
Membership Association (JAGMA) stand firm with the Zimbabwe Lawyers for
Human Rights (ZLHR) and fully endorse and support their urgent appeal on
the Constitutional Amendment (No. 17) Act to the Special Rapporteur,
dealing with the independence of judges and lawyers in the office of the
High Commissioner for Human Rights at the United Nations, Geneva.

JAG and its Membership Association is seeking to join with the Zimbabwe
Lawyers for Human Rights, other human rights organisations and wider
stakeholders in the launching of an international challenge case against
this appalling amendment if, God forbid, it is assented by the president
into enforceable law.

Herewith below the Lawyers for Human Rights appeal as referred to above:

Mr. L Despouy
Special Rapporteur
Independence of the Judges and Lawyers
Office of the High Commissioner for
Human Rights
United Nations Office at Geneva
8-14 Avenue de la Paix
1211 Geneva 10
SWITZERLAND Fax: +41 22 917 9003
urgent-action@ohchr.org

Dear Sir

URGENT APPEAL ON THE CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENT (NO.17) ACT

Zimbabwe Lawyers for Human Rights (ZLHR) is a registered professional
membership organisation of lawyers working for the promotion and protection
of human rights in Zimbabwe. We hold Observer Status with the African
Commission on Human and Peoples' Rights, Affiliate Status with the
International Commission of Jurists, and form the Secretariat of the SADC
Lawyers' Association Human Rights Committee.

We are calling on you in your esteemed capacity as the Special Rapporteur
on the Independence of the Judges and Lawyers to make an urgent
intervention in Zimbabwe on the Constitutional Amendment (No. 17) Bill,
which was passed by the Parliament of Zimbabwe on the 30th of August 2005.
As we appeal to you, the Act is awaiting Presidential assent and will
become enforceable thereafter.

In summary, the Constitutional Amendment Act No.17 seeks to confirm the
acquisition by, and vesting of full title in, the State of agricultural
land for resettlement purposes which took place pursuant to the Land Reform
Programme beginning in 2000 without compensation (except for improvements
effected prior to acquisition), and provide for the acquisition in the
future of agricultural land for resettlement and other purposes by the
insertion of Section 16B. The Act will allow for the retrospective
operation of the law in relation to such acquisition and vesting of full
title. It will further remove the jurisdiction of the Courts of Zimbabwe to
determine the merits of any such acquisition or any other matter relating
to that land as envisaged by section 18(9) of the Constitution.

Section 18(9) of the Constitution provides that `Subject to the provisions
of this Constitution, every person is entitled to be afforded a fair
hearing within a reasonable time by an independent and impartial court or
other adjudicating authority established by law in the determination of the
existence or extent of his civil rights or obligations.' The effects of the
provisions in the Bill will effectively render this protection of no value
to affected litigants.

Once the President has assented to the Act, the State will be empowered to
acquire property, in particular land, without notice to affected landowners
or the possibility of them challenging such acquisition through the Courts
of Zimbabwe. `Agricultural land' is not defined in the Bill, and therefore
a majority of landowners in Zimbabwe today can potentially be affected. Any
anomaly in the gazetting or acquisition of the land cannot be contested in
court as long as it is purportedly carried out in terms of the new
Constitutional Amendment Act.

As a result of this Act, an entire category of landowners will effectively
have their constitutional right to protection from deprivation of property
summarily removed, on the basis that they own agricultural land.

The Constitution itself in its current form provides that all persons are
entitled to the fundamental rights and freedoms contained in the
Declaration of Rights. It provides under Section 23(1) (a) and (b) that no
law shall make any provision that is discriminatory either of itself or in
its effect and that no person shall be treated in a discriminatory manner
by any person acting by virtue of any written law or in the performance of
the functions of any public office or authority. Again, this protection has
been overridden by the provisions of the Bill.

We draw your attention to the contemplated ouster of the jurisdiction of
the Courts of Zimbabwe, which will prevent the Judiciary from considering
whether the actions of the other arms of government are within the confines
of the Constitution and other relevant laws of the land. This contravenes
fundamental international human rights instruments which Zimbabwe has
ratified and which protect the independence of the Judiciary such as the
International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (1991), African
Charter on Human and Peoples Rights (1986) and the International Covenant
on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights (1991) among others. It also
undermines the very principle of constitutionalism, which requires a
separation of powers and the protection of the independence of the
Judiciary.

There are currently a plethora of land cases already before the
Administrative Courts, the High Courts, and the Supreme Court of Zimbabwe,
which will be affected by this provision. They will be prematurely
terminated should this provision pass, notwithstanding the individual
merits and circumstances of each case and will provide no compensation for
litigants for their wasted costs. Some cases have been in the court system
for many years now.

There is also concern that the Judiciary itself was not consulted on such a
blatant withdrawal of its constitutional mandate and encroachment by the
Executive and Legislature into its jurisdiction. The Legislature has, by
passing the Act, condoned potential future ousters of the functions of the
Judiciary by the Executive in other areas, which could eventually lead to a
complete removal of the Courts of this land, causing a complete breakdown
of the rule of law and no legal protection for any person living in
Zimbabwe whose rights and fundamental freedoms are violated.

The Courts of the land are effectively being reduced to legal advisors of
Government as and when it pleases because it can now simply legislate that
it merely wants their opinion on certain issues, which it can disregard at
its pleasure, (for example around the issue of quantum of compensation) but
it is not willing to allow the courts to decide on the lawfulness of its
conduct. Now the Courts cannot review patently unlawful and or
unconstitutional laws and or constitutional amendments. This function will
be left to the Executive and its disputed majority in Parliament.

We therefore call on you in your capacity as the Special Rapporteur on
Independence of Judges and Lawyers to make an urgent intervention to the
government of Zimbabwe and the President in particular to:

a) refrain from assenting to the Act by putting his signature to the Bill;
b) refer the Bill back to Parliament for removal of the provisions which
undermine the independence of the Judiciary, their operating environment
and shrink their jurisdiction;
c) request the government of Zimbabwe to carry out a wide and
representative consultative process with the judiciary and all other
stakeholders before constitutional changes or reform are enacted.

We look forward to your urgent intervention in this matter in order to
safeguard the independence of the judiciary, to protect the proper
functioning of the courts, to assure the people of Zimbabwe that they can
expect a fair judicial hearing where their fundamental rights and freedoms
are endangered, and to restore the rule of law in Zimbabwe.

Yours faithfully

Arnold Tsunga
Director
Zimbabwe Lawyers for Human Rights

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Communique 2:

Today's Herald 09 September 2005 has listings of 42 properties under Lot 27
(Section 8) as follows:

1 6210/00 Navalphase Farming P/L Charter Duncanston 457,8817ha
2 1413/89 Hoffmanrus Estate P/L Charter Portion of Nooitgedacht Estate B
3774,7662ha
3 11132/99 Freitas Inv P/L Charter Kwesfontein A 2219,2387ha
4 5852/89 Sobbah Farm P/L Chipinga Lot 34 AB of Middle Sabi Estate
209,5100ha
5 4627/89 Jonty P/L Chipinga Homefield 50,0659ha
6 6585/99 Landprep P/L Chipinga Remainder of Morgenson of Avontuur
340,7416ha
7 5294/88 Nocholas Folliott Douglas Powell Goromonzi Madan of hillside
120,2734ha
8 4943/80 Secuta P/L Goromonzi R/E of Melfort Estate 1473,7273ha
9 4602/76 Hector Dalton Ludick Goromonzi Lot 1 of Strathlorne 432,37ha
10 507/76 Goromonzi Estate P/L Goromonzi Lot 5 of Sellair 295,5822ha
11 2968/81 A J Pauw Goromonzi R/E of S/D A of Cromlet 108,2527ha
12 2547/00 Michael Ian Heath & Fiona Jean Heath Goromonzi Remainder of S/D
E of Binder 90,9601ha
13 11038/97 Propkept Inv P/L Goromonzi R/E of S/D C of Learig 307,5811ha
14 2406/05 Anthony James Murdoch-Eaten Inyanga Remainder of Bramble Downs
of Troutbeck Ext 5 of Inyanga Downs of Inyanga Block 35,9849ha
15 3178/89 Mahogany Ridge P/L Inyanga Lot 82A Inyanga Downs 454,0660ha
16 1354/65 Adam Farms P/L Makoni The Springs 4818,1316ac
17 5527/87 N J Oosthuizen P/L Makoni Longfield 5527,6502ha
18 7396/89 Rupako P/L Makoni R/E of the Farm Rupako 1124,5768ha
19 1957/65 Adam Farms P/L Makoni Howick 3638,3046ac
20 6180/90 Karen Kay Richards Marandellas Castle Combe 375,7716ha
21 1603/39 Safari P/L Marandellas Eirene 4612,8153mor
22 6065/80 Derek Richard Hinde Marandellas Killerton Estates 1246,0267ha
23 7339/73 Rufaro Bricks P/L Marandellas Rufaro of Longlands 1303,4890ha
24 4391/99 Bayvale Inv P/L Marandellas Camdale Estate 1824,7973ha
25 3646/76 J L Pretorius P/L Marandellas Howgate Estate 2511,5693ha
26 7993/89 Kilbride Est P/L Mrewa Athlone Estate 1331,8683ha
27 3265/88 Selvia Inv P/L Que Que Riverbend Estate 280,8304ha
28 5296/81 Red Dane Dairy P/L Salisbury Marirangwe 632,9454ha
28 2148/2000 Malberry Farming P/L Salisbury Duiker 1104,0246ha
30 8406/97 Five Star Holdings P/L Salisbury Huntcroft Estate 1126,1961ha
31 1663/63 Saratoga Farm Successors P/L Salisbury R/E of Saratoga
2628,8200ac
32 3667/95 Farland Inv P/L Salisbury Thorndale 644,0502ha
33 5319/86 Michael Alan Howard Burr Salisbury Lot 1 of Alicedale 325,8573ha
34 5627/81 Frans Jacob Jordaan Salisbury Lot 1 of charleston 400,7996ha
35 5627/81 Frans Jacob Jordaan Salisbury Lot 1 of Vrede 121,4846ha
36 638/65 Iris Dawn Bannister Salisbury Lot GA Guildford 231,9440ac
37 3010/55 G M Swan P/L Salisbury Karreboom 1664,122mor
38 4055/73 Chibvuti P/L Salisbury Chibvuti 1069,6483ha
39 4700/71 Peplow Country House Hotel P/L Umtali R/E of Tall Trees of Devon
33,2944ha
40 2281/86 Speros Peter Landos Umtali Riverside 984,1392ha
41 1804/84 Karl Berthold Wolf Umtali Jagersberg 63,5758ha
42 2214/87 Fels Estate P/L Wedza Remainder of Bristol Est 1294,4112ha

Lot 180 (Section 5 Notices) - 27 properties:

1 1942/89 Gladys Marjorie Parkin Bubi Farm G1 of Bletchingley Block
727,1871ha
2 1169/76 Cedric Robers Wilde Bubi Sailor's Hope 464,3794ha
3 637/83 Meikles Ranches P/L Bubi Hamilton's Farm 2567,3400ha
4 1870/71 Muir Inv P/L Bubi Remainder of Gabriella of Robert Block
804,3918ha
5 1870/71 Muir Inv P/L Bubi Farm 3 Called Gabriella A of Robert Block
809,3567ha
6 1870/71 Muir Inv P/L Bubi Lot 2 of Huntsman Farm 102,3460ha
7 2008/96 A & M Ranching P/L Bubi Fairview 999,6850ha
8 100/84 Anthony Ross Bronwlee-Walker Bubi Wessels B of S/D A of Wessels
1235,5130ha
9 1942/89 Gladys Marjorie Parkin Bubi S/D G3 of Bletchingley Block
323,7382ha
10 1170/81 Huckel Farms P/L Bubi S/D C of Allendale 2110,9087ha
11 3906/71 Drillwell Partnership Bubi Dysart 1281,9834ha
12 491/88 Dudley William Barclay Nicholas & Carol Ann Nicholas Bubi
Redlands Valley 4349,4985ha
13 756/78 A & M Ranching P/L Bubi Courthleigh C 4362,8326ha
14 3367/83 Adrian Godfrey Carbutt Bubi St Ninians 2599,6593ha
15 760/85 George Parkin Bulawayo Farm 9 of Woollandale Est 590,8419ha
16 759/85 George Parkin Bulawayo Farm 6 of Woollandale Est 813,6679ha
17 225/98 Gary Richard Norvall Bulawayo Umgusa Irrigation Lot 9 29,0962ha
18 225/98 Gary Richard Norvall Bulawayo Umgusa Irrigation Lot 29 60,3367ha
19 79/70 Sotani Farm Inv P/L Lupane Sotani 19008,3720ac
20 4727/91 George Lewis Dando & Raymond Hector Dando & Jane Butler
Nyamandhlovu Pontnewydd Extension 289,9136ha
21 337/95 Chrystamel Ranching P/L Nyamandhlovu Lot 2 of Inyokene C of
Inyokene 669,6479ha
22 2115/93 Samunya Farming P/L Nyamandhlovu Ulundi Estate 1304,1615ha
23 2020/87 Hilda's Kraal Farm P/L Nyamandhlovu R/E of Hilda's Kraal
434,3894ha
24 4727/91 George Lewis Dando & Raymond Hector Dando & Jane Butler
Nyamandhlovu Pontnewydd 756,8796ha
25 4143/89 Burford Farms P/L Nyamandhlovu Burford 235,5410ha
26 649/99 Cedgay P/L Nyamandhlovu Remainder of Paddy's Valley 1166,8166ha
27 2890/71 Antoinette Estate P/L Wankie Annex Antoinette 428,2576ha

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UPDATE 3-IMF meets to consider Zimbabwe expulsion or warning
Fri Sep 9, 2005 4:06 PM ET
 
 

WASHINGTON, Sept 9 (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund's executive board met on Friday to decide whether to expel cash-strapped Zimbabwe over its unpaid arrears, a move that could deepen the beleaguered country's economic isolation.

President Robert Mugabe's government coughed up $120 million last week to stave off expulsion from the fund, raising the possibility the IMF would simply issue a warning to the southern African nation.

Zimbabwe, which has been in continuous arrears to the IMF since February 2001, still owes $175 million to the fund.

Compulsory withdrawal is the last step in a series of escalating measures that the IMF applies to members that fail to meet their obligations under the fund's articles of agreement.

The IMF has forced out only one country, the former Czechoslovakia, in its more than 60-year history.

If the executive board recommends Zimbabwe's ouster, the full board of governors could vote on the issue at the fund's annual meeting later this month in Washington.

Six years of rapid economic decline has left Zimbabwe with unemployment of more than 70 percent, triple-digit inflation and acute food and fuel shortages.

Its crisis has been worsened by the withdrawal of aid by key donors who cited policy differences with Mugabe, especially his forcible redistribution of white-owned commercial farms among blacks.

Mugabe, in power since Zimbabwe's independence in 1980, denies he has misruled the country and says opponents of his land reforms have sabotaged the economy. Mugabe has recently sought financial aid from neighbor South Africa and China.

In an editorial entitled "Zimbabwe can survive with or without IMF" on Friday, the state Herald newspaper said the outcome of Friday's meeting should not spell doom for the country "as the future of Zimbabwe and its prosperity rests on its citizens."

But the paper conceded that remaining a member of the IMF was important and would lessen Zimbabwe's heavy economic burden by reopening closed international lines of credit.   

"Zimbabwe, to a large extent, has done all it could have possibly done over the six-month period to remain part of the IMF community and, if judged fairly, should not be chucked out of the Fund today," the Herald said.

"However, if it so happens that we are booted out of the IMF, it will certainly not be the end of the road for this country. We have survived up to this day without financial assistance from the IMF and we are sure we could still survive without them."

Zimbabwe's surprise payment last week raised questions about how the government had raised the money when the country was facing a shortage of foreign currency.

The government said the funds came from export earnings, inflows from expatriate Zimbabweans and locals working for foreign-owned organizations who are paid in foreign currency. Zimbabwe's arrears stood at $295 million before the payment.    

© Reuters 2005. All Rights Reserved.

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UPDATE 4-IMF again postpones decision on Zimbabwe expulsion
Fri Sep 9, 2005 8:03 PM ET

WASHINGTON, Sept 9 (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund's executive board on Friday postponed casting judgment on whether to expel Zimbabwe as a member but pledged to revisit the issue within six months.
The IMF board, which has twice before put off an expulsion verdict for Zimbabwe, said it deferred acting on the country's membership status because of recent arrears payments and some small exchange rate and monetary policy steps.
"This decision provides Zimbabwe with a further opportunity to strengthen its cooperation with the IMF in terms of economic policies and payments," the fund said in a statement.
The IMF began a process to revoke Zimbabwe's membership in December 2003 after the government fell back on debt repayments to the global lender.
The executive board has twice since -- in July 2004 and February 2005 -- postponed recommending that Zimbabwe be stripped of its fund membership, a move likely to further isolate the beleaguered southern African country.
Compulsory withdrawal is the final step in a series of escalating measures that the IMF applies to members failing to meet their obligations under the fund's articles of agreement.
The IMF has forced out only one country -- the former Czechoslovakia -- in its more than 60-year history.
Six years of rapid economic decline has left Zimbabwe with unemployment of more than 70 percent, triple-digit inflation and acute food and fuel shortages.
Its economic crisis has been worsened by the withdrawal of aid by key donors who cited policy differences with President Robert Mugabe, especially his forcible redistribution of white-owned commercial farms among blacks.
Mugabe, in power since Zimbabwe's independence in 1980, denies he has misruled the country and says opponents of his land reforms have sabotaged the economy. He has recently sought financial aid from neighbor South Africa and China.
The IMF board, which said it would reconsider whether to expel Zimbabwe within six months, said the country needed widespread fiscal, monetary and exchange rate reforms to reverse its economic woes.
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"There is a significant risk that unless strong macroeconomic policies are undertaken without delay, economic and social conditions could deteriorate further," it said. "Providing adequate social safety nets and food security for vulnerable groups ... are also critical priorities."
Zimbabwe, which has been in continuous arrears to the IMF since February 2001, paid the fund $120 million last week but still owes about $175 million.
Last week's unexpected payment, which contributed to the board's decision to postpone an expulsion move, raised questions about how the government had raised money when the country was facing a shortage of foreign currency.
The government said the funds came from export earnings, inflows from expatriate Zimbabweans and locals working for foreign-owned organizations who are paid in foreign currency.
The IMF said Harare has indicated it intends to fully eliminate its arrears to the fund by November 2006.    


© Reuters 2005. All Rights Reserved.
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Washington Post

Zimbabwe Makes Partial Payment on Debts

By HARRY DUNPHY
The Associated Press
Friday, September 9, 2005; 8:50 PM

WASHINGTON -- The International Monetary Fund's executive board decided Friday to defer a decision on whether to expel Zimbabwe after the southern African nation made a surprise partial payment last week of millions of dollars toward arrears.

The IMF board said the decision "provides Zimbabwe with a further opportunity to strengthen its cooperation with the IMF in terms of economic policies and payments."

The board said it will take up Zimbabwe's expulsion within six months.

Zimbabwe's economy has been in free fall since March 31 parliamentary elections, widely seen as fraudulent, gave embattled President Robert Mugabe's African National Union-Patriotic Front 55 of parliament's 120 elected seats.

The decision not to expel Zimbabwe now will provide a boost for Mugabe, who could portray it as a victory over the United States and Britain, which he repeatedly portrays as his enemies.

Zimbabwe's $120 million payment to the IMF last week was a factor in the decision, the board said, as well as economic changes Zimbabwe had made since the IMF last reviewed its economy in February. Zimbabwe has asked its neighbor, South Africa, for help in meeting its remaining obligation to the IMF of $175 million.

One Zimbabwe dollar was worth $2 U.S. when Rhodesia became Zimbabwe in 1980. In a recent "managed auction" conducted by the central bank, $1 U.S. bought 18,003-24,025 Zimbabwe dollars.

The IMF board stressed that Zimbabwe needs to provide adequate social safety nets and food security for vulnerable groups. An estimated 4 million of Zimbabwe's 12.5 million people need food aid in what used to be southern Africa's breadbasket.


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IMF Considers the Complaint Regarding Zimbabwe's Compulsory Withdrawal from the IMF

The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has reviewed Zimbabwe's overdue financial obligations to the IMF and further considered the Managing Director's complaint regarding Zimbabwe's compulsory withdrawal from the IMF Taking into account Zimbabwe's increased payments to the IMF and its initial policy steps since the last review in February 2005, the Executive Board decided to postpone a recommendation to the IMF's Board of Governors with respect to Zimbabwe's compulsory withdrawal from the IMF. This decision provides Zimbabwe with a further opportunity to strengthen its cooperation with the IMF in terms of economic policies and payments. The Executive Board will consider again the Managing Director's complaint regarding Zimbabwe's compulsory withdrawal from the IMF within six months.

The Executive Board welcomed Zimbabwe's payments of US$131 million to the IMF since the last review, which resulted in a significant decline in the country's arrears to the IMF. The Board also noted the authorities' intention to fully eliminate arrears to the IMF by November 2006.

The Executive Board noted that Zimbabwe has taken some initial policy measures in the area of exchange rate and monetary policies since the last review, but concluded that these fell well short of what is needed to address Zimbabwe's economic difficulties. It warned that there is a significant risk that unless strong macroeconomic policies are undertaken without delay, economic and social conditions could deteriorate further. The Executive Board urged Zimbabwe to adopt and implement a comprehensive and coherent adjustment program as a matter of urgency, in the areas of fiscal, monetary, and exchange rate policies and structural reforms. The Board also stressed that providing adequate social safety nets and food security for vulnerable groups, including those affected by "Operation Restore Order" and HIV/AIDS, are also critical priorities.

Zimbabwe has been in continuous arrears to the IMF since February 2001. As of September 8, 2005, Zimbabwe's arrears to the IMF amounted to SDR 119 million (about US$175 million), or about 34 percent of its quota in the IMF. Of this amount, SDR 37 million (about US$54 million) is owed to the General Resources Account and SDR 82 million (about US$121 million) to the PRGF Trust. Compulsory withdrawal is the last step in a series of escalating measures that the IMF applies to members that fail to meet their obligations under the Articles of Agreement.



IMF EXTERNAL RELATIONS DEPARTMENT
Public Affairs: 202-623-7300 - Fax: 202-623-6278
Media Relations: 202-623-7100 - Fax: 202-623-6772
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Sep 8th 2005 | JOHANNESBURG
From The Economist print edition


President Robert Mugabe may be off the IMF's hook-for now

            Reuters


      Gimme the cash


ON SEPTEMBER 9th, the IMF is to decide whether to expel Zimbabwe from its
ranks for not paying its debt and for grossly mismanaging the economy. The
country has not received any money from the IMF since 1999 and has already
lost its right to vote on the board. But last week, in a surprise move, its
government paid $170m out of the $295m or so it owes the Fund. Whether or
not this is enough to reverse the automatic expulsion process, it may
persuade the IMF board to postpone a final decision for another six months.
While the payment may make life even more miserable for ordinary
Zimbabweans, it may give their beleaguered president, Robert Mugabe, further
means to go on ignoring foreign pressure.

His government made the last-minute effort to find the money itself in order
to avoid having to rely on South Africa to tide it over. President Thabo
Mbeki looked as if he would come to his neighbour's rescue once again, with
a loan; but this time it would have had strings attached, marking a distinct
shift in policy. Loan negotiations were said to have included insistent
chats about economic and political reform, though the South African
government has been loth to talk about "conditions".

So Mr Mugabe and his ruling ZANU-PF may breathe again, at least for a while.
They have said that talks with the opposition, thought to be part of South
Africa's demands, are out of the question. On August 30th, the parliament,
controlled by the ruling party, amended the constitution: a senate is to be
created, landowners will no longer have legal recourse against
expropriation, and opponents can be stripped of their passports.



      South Africa



      Human rights

      The World Bank and the IMF





Mr Mugabe's efforts to find money elsewhere seem to have largely failed. His
recent trip to China has not produced the cash he had hoped for; no other
country seems keen to sign a cheque. Despite China's interest in minerals,
Zimbabwe is of no great strategic importance; Mr Mugabe's "look-East" policy
is unlikely to bring the investment so badly needed.

The government made the IMF payment by mopping up just enough foreign
exchange from local exporters. As a result, unless some more hard currency
shows up quickly, food and fuel shortages may get worse; this week the price
of petrol doubled. In an effort to fend off the continuing crisis,
Zimbabwe's official exchange rate was devalued in June, interest rates
nudged up and measures to cut the budget deficit were announced. But overall
the economy is still a mess; it will take more than monetary and fiscal
tinkering to stop descent into total ruin. The country's GDP has shrunk a
third since 2000; inflation, at last count, was running at 254% a year.
About a quarter of Zimbabwe's estimated 12m-plus people are thought to have
emigrated. The UN says that Mr Mugabe's recent drive to "clear out" the
cities by expelling black-marketeers and destroying houses said to have been
built without permission has left at least 700,000 more people destitute.



Getting by on nothing
The suffering of ordinary people is growing. The UN World Food Programme
reckons that 4m of them will need food aid by March, but is short of funds.
The South African Council of Churches collected blankets and food to support
those left homeless by the government's urban clearances, but distribution
has been delayed by government demands for proof that the food has not been
genetically modified and by extra paperwork over import-duty exemption. Lack
of foreign exchange may eventually force Mr Mugabe to start making
concessions to his critics. But Zimbabwe's people may have become inured to
their hardship, and some bits of the economy-mining, for instance, which
brings in hard cash-still function. It is difficult to say when the
government will run out of money completely.

Neither sanctions by the European Union and the United States nor South
Africa's soft approach have persuaded Mr Mugabe to change course. He has
rebuffed an attempt by Nigeria's president, Olusegun Obasanjo, the African
Union's current chairman, to send an envoy to talk sense into him. And the
prospect of Zimbabwe imploding in chaos on its doorstep may weaken South
Africa's new resolve to squeeze Mr Mugabe. Without more pressure from
abroad, especially from South Africa, Mr Mugabe can concentrate on squashing
opposition at home. Despite the growing misery around him, he does not seem
to be on his last legs yet.
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