A tale of two southern African countries: Botswana’s smooth transition of power vs. Mozambique’s election crisis

Source: A tale of two southern African countries: Botswana’s smooth transition of power vs. Mozambique’s election crisis

In the heart of Southern Africa, two nations that share geographical proximity and a common colonial past are experiencing starkly different political realities.

Tendai Ruben Mbofana

While Botswana, today, celebrated a peaceful, democratic transition of power, Mozambique is embroiled in a violent political crisis following disputed elections.

The contrast between these two nations’ electoral processes speaks volumes about the crucial role of democracy, respect for human rights, and the rule of law in maintaining peace, unity, and stability.

On the one hand, Botswana stands as a beacon of democratic governance in Africa.

The peaceful, smooth transition of power between outgoing President Mokgweetsi Masisi and incoming leader Duma Boko, following the November 2024 elections, is a testament to the strength of Botswana’s democratic institutions.

The process was marked by Masisi’s graceful concession, his immediate acknowledgment of Boko’s victory, and his public pledge to work together with the new government for the betterment of the country.

In contrast, Mozambique finds itself in the grip of violent protests, allegations of electoral fraud, police brutality, and the killing of opposition figures following elections on October 9, 2024.

These opposing scenarios underscore the different political cultures that define these nations today—cultures that have been shaped by historical, social, and institutional factors that determine their current state of affairs.

This article will explore the contrasting election processes in Botswana and Mozambique, examining the role of democracy, human rights, and good governance in fostering peace, stability, and unity.

It will also delve into why these two countries, both of which gained independence in the mid-20th century, have had such different political trajectories and systems of governance, and what lessons can be drawn from their experiences.

Botswana’s Peaceful Transition: A Model for Africa

Botswana’s election and the peaceful transfer of power that followed stand as a remarkable example of what is possible when democratic norms are adhered to.

In the lead-up to the 2024 general elections, the Botswana Democratic Party (BDP), which had ruled for decades under President Masisi, found itself defeated by the opposition Umbrella for Democratic Change (UDC), led by Duma Boko.

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In the aftermath of the elections, the world witnessed a model of political maturity: Masisi graciously accepted defeat, congratulated Boko on his victory, and pledged to support him in building a stronger Botswana.

The ceremony of power transfer, held in the presence of invited dignitaries from both within the country and from regional and international communities, reflected the deep commitment to democratic principles that Botswana has championed since its independence in 1966.

While such a peaceful transfer is often taken for granted in many well-established democracies, in the African context, it remains a rare and inspiring achievement.

Botswana’s peaceful transition has been the result of several interwoven factors: a strong democratic tradition, a well-established rule of law, independent institutions, and a political culture that prioritizes stability over power struggles.

The Botswana Democratic Party (BDP) has been in power for over 50 years, but it has also been able to evolve politically.

In contrast to other African political elites who have resisted the idea of losing power, Masisi and the BDP did not seek to manipulate or suppress the will of the people.

Masisi’s decision to step down after his defeat was a demonstration of the political maturity of both the outgoing and incoming leadership.

By accepting the election results without contest, Masisi showed that Botswana’s commitment to democracy transcended political power.

This peaceful transition of power, often referred to as a hallmark of Botswana’s political stability, offers a shining example for other African nations to emulate.

In Botswana, democracy isn’t just a theoretical concept; it is part of the nation’s DNA.

The Constitution of Botswana guarantees fundamental human rights, including freedom of speech, freedom of assembly, and the right to vote in free and fair elections.

Moreover, the country boasts an independent judiciary, a vibrant civil society, and an active media that plays an essential role in holding the government accountable.

These democratic principles ensure that any election results are respected, regardless of who wins or loses.

This culture of respect for democracy and human rights is also rooted in Botswana’s political history.

Since gaining independence in 1966, the country has managed to avoid the turmoil that has often plagued other African nations.

The country’s leaders have embraced democratic elections and peaceful transitions of power, focusing on nation-building and fostering social cohesion.

Botswana’s success, despite being a small landlocked country with limited natural resources, offers compelling evidence of the power of democratic governance and the rule of law in ensuring peace and prosperity.

Mozambique’s Election Crisis: The Dangers of Electoral Fraud and Repression

In stark contrast to Botswana’s smooth transition of power, Mozambique is grappling with the consequences of an election process marred by allegations of fraud, violence, and human rights abuses.

The October 9, 2024, general elections, in which the ruling FRELIMO party, led by President Daniel Chapo, was declared the winner with an overwhelming 70% of the vote, have been widely criticized for their lack of transparency and fairness.

Opposition parties, particularly the Mozambique Democratic Movement (MDM) led by Venancio Mondlane, have vehemently rejected the election results, alleging widespread electoral fraud, vote manipulation, and intimidation.

These accusations have sparked protests across the country, particularly in the capital, Maputo.

The government’s response to these protests has been brutal: police have used tear gas, rubber bullets, and even live ammunition to disperse crowds.

The violence escalated with the tragic killing of Mondlane’s lawyer and spokesperson, adding fuel to an already volatile situation.

The situation in Mozambique highlights the dangerous consequences of electoral malpractice and repressive governance.

When elections are manipulated or perceived as unfair, trust in democratic institutions erodes, and citizens lose faith in the political process.

In such an environment, dissent is often met with violent repression, and opposition voices are silenced through intimidation, arrest, or even death.

This lack of political freedom and respect for the rule of law creates an atmosphere of fear and division, preventing the emergence of a unified national vision.

The escalation of protests into violent confrontations, as witnessed in Mozambique, is not an isolated event.

Throughout Africa, nations that have failed to ensure free and fair elections often descend into political instability and conflict.

One of the key factors contributing to Mozambique’s current crisis is the lack of political inclusivity.

For years, the FRELIMO party has been accused of consolidating power and stifling opposition voices.

Political opponents, particularly from the Renamo party, have faced violence and harassment, and allegations of electoral fraud are not new in Mozambique.

In 2014, similar accusations of fraud marred the presidential elections, leading to widespread protests and violence.

The failure to address these issues has led to deep divisions within the country.

When a ruling party seeks to hold onto power through undemocratic means, it undermines social cohesion and breeds a cycle of violence.

The tragic loss of life, particularly the killing of Mondlane’s lawyer, underscores the dangers of a government that views opposition not as a legitimate part of the democratic process but as a threat to be crushed.

We witness the same adversarial attitude towards the opposition in Zimbabwe, whose own elections, as those in Mozambique, have repeatedly been disputed and marred by voter intimidation, a brutal crackdown on the opposition, and electoral malpractices.

In such a political environment, national unity becomes nearly impossible to achieve.

The polarization between the ruling FRELIMO party and opposition groups has deepened over the years, and the use of violence and repression to maintain power has made it harder for the country to move beyond its colonial legacy of conflict.

Mozambique’s experience stands as a cautionary tale about the perils of authoritarianism, electoral fraud, and the suppression of opposition voices.

The Role of Democracy in Ensuring Peace, Stability, and Unity

The experiences of Botswana and Mozambique illustrate the profound impact that democratic governance has on national peace and stability.

Democracies, when functioning properly, provide avenues for peaceful conflict resolution, political participation, and social cohesion.

In contrast, when authoritarian regimes or undemocratic practices take root, they breed disunity, mistrust, and violence.

At the heart of democracy is the idea of respect for the rule of law, transparency in governance, and the protection of human rights.

Free and fair elections are not just a means of choosing leaders; they are a process that affirms the political will of the people and reinforces social contracts between the government and the citizens.

When elections are fair, they allow for peaceful transitions of power, as seen in Botswana.

When elections are rigged or manipulated, they can lead to protests, repression, and conflict, as demonstrated in Mozambique.

The respect for human rights, including freedom of expression and the right to protest, is another cornerstone of democracy.

In Botswana, despite the defeat of the ruling party, opposition leaders are able to express their views, participate in the political process, and challenge the status quo through peaceful means.

In Mozambique, however, the use of state violence against protesters reveals the government’s disregard for basic human rights.

Furthermore, democratic systems tend to promote political inclusivity.

When political parties, regardless of their ideological orientation, are given the opportunity to compete fairly in elections, they are more likely to work together for the common good of the nation.

In Botswana, the peaceful transfer of power following the 2024 elections is a sign of a healthy political environment where multiple voices are heard and respected.

In Mozambique, the entrenched political conflict between the ruling party and opposition groups illustrates the dangers of a political system that stifles dissent and undermines inclusive governance.

The Path Forward: Lessons from Botswana and Mozambique

As we look at Botswana and Mozambique, there are valuable lessons to be learned.

Botswana’s successful transition is a testament to the power of democracy, the importance of respecting human rights, and the value of political maturity.

Mozambique, on the other hand, highlights the dangers of authoritarianism, electoral fraud, and the suppression of opposition voices.

For Mozambique, the path forward must involve deep political reform, greater transparency in electoral processes, and a commitment to upholding the rule of law and human rights.

The people of Mozambique have the potential to chart a different course, one that emphasizes the principles of democracy, respect for human rights, and a commitment to peaceful political competition.

The recent violent protests, repression, and the killing of opposition figures are a wake-up call, urging the government and political leaders to recognize the fundamental importance of restoring faith in the electoral process.

In the long run, addressing the root causes of discontent—electoral fraud, political exclusion, and human rights violations—will be essential to preventing further unrest.

International actors, including the African Union (AU), Southern African Development Community (SADC), and various non-governmental organizations (NGOs), also have a role to play in supporting Mozambique’s efforts to establish a more inclusive political system.

These organizations can help facilitate dialogue between the government and opposition parties, monitor electoral processes, and provide technical assistance to strengthen democratic institutions.

It is only through collective efforts that Mozambique can move away from cycles of violence and repression and build a more stable and united nation.

For Mozambique to become a beacon of democracy, like Botswana, the political elite must embrace the idea that power is not an entitlement but a mandate given by the people.

Political leaders must accept the legitimacy of opposition voices, acknowledge the importance of electoral fairness, and commit to building institutions that are not only independent but also accountable to the people they serve.

Transparency in elections and the protection of fundamental rights are the bedrock on which Mozambique’s democracy should be built.

Additionally, Mozambique’s leaders must take decisive steps to break the historical cycle of conflict that has characterized its post-independence history.

The legacy of civil war between FRELIMO and RENAMO has left deep scars that still affect the country’s political landscape.

However, while the conflict may have shaped some of the current political dynamics, Mozambique’s future should not be defined by it.

A commitment to reconciliation, political inclusivity, and power-sharing could help heal the divisions within the country and restore trust in the democratic process.

The Importance of Regional Cooperation and Stability

Both Botswana’s success and Mozambique’s challenges underline the importance of regional cooperation in ensuring that democratic principles are upheld.

While Botswana enjoys political stability, the turmoil in Mozambique has implications for the entire Southern African region.

The SADC and AU have a critical role in promoting democracy and ensuring peace across the region.

These organizations must continue to engage in dialogue with member states, encouraging adherence to democratic norms and intervening where necessary to prevent violent political crises.

In the case of Mozambique, regional actors can provide support for free and fair elections and offer mediation services in the event of political disputes.

SADC, in particular, must also be proactive in holding governments accountable for electoral fraud and human rights violations.

The regional body should desist from being a club of the ruling elite with scant regard for the fundamental rights of ordinary citizens.

Failure to address these issues will perpetuate the perception of a “double standard” when it comes to upholding democratic principles.

On the other hand, Botswana’s leadership in promoting democratic governance can serve as an example for other SADC countries.

Through regional cooperation and the sharing of best practices, Botswana can help guide its neighbors towards more inclusive and transparent political systems.

Botswana’s success, despite its small population size and lack of an abundance of natural resources, proves that good governance can lead to peace, prosperity, and stability—key factors in achieving long-term regional stability.

Conclusion: The Future of Democracy in Southern Africa

Botswana and Mozambique’s divergent paths offer important lessons on the significance of democratic governance in Africa.

Botswana’s smooth transition of power highlights the value of a robust democratic framework that respects the rule of law and human rights.

Conversely, Mozambique’s election crisis underscores the dangers of electoral fraud, repression, and political violence.

The stark contrast between the two countries calls attention to the profound role that democracy, transparency, and political inclusivity play in ensuring peace and stability in the region.

For Botswana, the peaceful transfer of power and Masisi’s gracious concession symbolize the strength of a democratic tradition that is firmly rooted in the country’s political culture.

Botswana’s commitment to democracy, good governance, and human rights serves as an inspiration to the continent, demonstrating that free and fair elections are not just desirable but achievable.

By embracing democracy, Botswana has avoided the violent political conflicts that have plagued other African nations and has set an example for other countries in the region.

Mozambique, however, remains at a crossroads.

The tragic violence and repression that followed its disputed elections in October 2024 represent a significant setback for the country’s democratic prospects.

To overcome this crisis, Mozambique’s leaders must acknowledge the legitimacy of opposition voices, work towards ensuring electoral fairness, and guarantee that the rights of all citizens are protected.

The future of Mozambique hinges on its ability to move beyond its violent past and build a political system that is inclusive, transparent, and accountable.

In the broader context of Southern Africa, the political experiences of Botswana and Mozambique are emblematic of the broader struggles and triumphs of democracy in the region.

While Botswana offers hope for the possibilities of democracy, Mozambique’s crisis underscores the challenges of political consolidation in a post-conflict society.

The region’s future depends on the ability of its governments to embrace the principles of democracy, respect for human rights, and the rule of law, ensuring that the mistakes of the past are not repeated.

Ultimately, the contrast between Botswana and Mozambique’s electoral outcomes reinforces the notion that the most effective way to achieve peace and stability is through the embrace of democratic values.

Only by upholding the ideals of free and fair elections, political inclusivity, and the protection of human rights can African nations avoid the pitfalls of repression, violence, and civil unrest.

Botswana has shown that democratic governance is not only possible but also effective in fostering national unity and prosperity.

Mozambique, despite its current challenges, has the potential to learn from Botswana’s successes and work toward a more democratic, peaceful future.

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