‘Zimbabwe on the brink’

via ‘Zimbabwe on the brink’ – DailyNews Live 20 November 2015

HARARE – Zimbabwe is on the brink of total collapse and the infighting in Zanu PF could trigger unprecedented chaos in the country – with the death of two political activists from the ruling party – a sign of a “rotten regime” that is on its “wits end”, the Oxford linked NKC African Economics (NKC) has said.

Citing the resurgence of political violence and rising poverty levels, as well as continued company closures in the country, the respected economic think-tank said Zanu PF is now in a cul-de-sac.

In its latest report, NKC predicts the downfall of President Robert Mugabe’s party – which has ruled Zimbabwe for the past 35 years.

In the report titled, “Renewed violence an inevitable consequence of regime decay,” NKC says Zanu PF is walking dead.

“The US (United States) and European Union (EU) have raised a fresh red flag over reports of increasing violence and growing repression in Zimbabwe. These are issues we highlighted some time ago as likely consequences of regime decay and increasing political instability,” the report reads.

According to NKC, the prevailing economic conditions place Zimbabwe in the ‘Potential Conflict Watch’ list that also includes countries like the Democratic Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, Guinea-Bissau, Madagascar, and Western Sahara.

“The increase in violence, intimidation and inevitable repression has seen a renewed clampdown on government opponents with the arrests of more than 50 people during the second week of November at various protests and student demonstrations,” noted NCK in its report.

The economic think-tank also buttressed views made by analysts last week that Zanu PF’s ugly factional fights could turn violent-with Mugabe now unable to meet the rigours and demands of his punishing workload due to old age.

“The simmering succession contest taking place within the ruling party is also resulting in conflict and violence as First Lady Grace Mugabe turns on her one-time ally (and her husband’s most likely successor), Vice President Emmerson Mnangagwa.

“Mrs Mugabe’s intentions are unclear though she clearly has some ambitions, and her methods of inciting violence and her venomous tongue have turned on  Mnangagwa. The internal conflict in Zanu PF has at least as much potential for violence as inter-party conflict. Both are being fuelled by the simmering discontent in Zimbabwe – a consequence of a growing economic crisis and rising frustration and anger.”

The UK-based research company also added that Zimbabwe’s political system has long appeared immune to any domestic or external pressures, and has defied all predictions to date of its imminent demise.

“We suggest that those days may now be numbered due to a series of fresh hammer blows to its long-suffering people.

“We have already argued that the combined impact of several recent economic blows on ordinary people – removing hawkers from the streets and denying them even that meagre existence, thereby adding thousands of new unemployed to a number that is already terrifyingly large – is not sustainable and is likely to increase the level of anger, frustration, and desperation in the country. Inevitably, confrontation, violence and repression will follow.

“If we put rising internal conflict within Zanu PF and plans to drastically reduce the public payroll into the mix, it becomes even more toxic. Zimbabwe has moved closer to the brink,” added the report.

Analysts have said contrary to the government’s heavy propaganda, the Zimbabwe economy is “definitely dying”, as manifested by worsening liquidity challenges, company closures and job losses.


  • comment-avatar
    Mugarbage 7 years ago

    Indigenise this.
    Why do we expect in Zimbabwe under black rule a higher standard of living then in Uganda, Congo or Erithrea?

    Zimbabwe is on the brink of becoming just another African state.

    • comment-avatar
      Yayano 7 years ago

      @Mugarbage, the skin colour has nothing to do with this misrule. History shows us that we have had despots and dictators not so long ago in Chile, Spain, Burma to cover three continents whose colour was not black.
      Equally what can you say about success stories in the likes of Namibia, Ghana and Botswana?
      The fact of the matter is that Mugabe is really bad but there are equally got people who have never been given a chance to lead who can turn things around.
      Just leave skin colour out of the equation and just focus on the facts.

  • comment-avatar

    You had a couple of beers there, Mugarbage?
    Because, your syntax is usually better than this.

    I got to agree, though.
    Present crop of African leaders leaves much to be desired.
    That don’t translate to the ordinary African being scum, as you would have the world believe.

  • comment-avatar
    Rwendo 7 years ago

    Zimbabwe has been “on the brink” so many times that I wouldn’t hold my breath just yet.

  • comment-avatar
    C Frizell 7 years ago

    If it actually “fell in” then perhaps something could/would be done. Zimbabwe is a classic example of boiling the frog.

  • comment-avatar
    Zvakwana 7 years ago

    Bring it on anything is better than the zpf rot.